BetSharpr
Updated Nov 14, 11:13 PM ET
FRI NOV 13
FRIDAY NOV 13 graded picks
Went 7-2 on the day
7:00 PM ET 2 games
Fri Nov 13 · 7:00 PM ET
New York104
Indiana106
FINAL · we projected 118 – 112Projected total 230
SPREADIndiana +8.559%
OUR TOTAL PICKOver 219.565%LOSS
64%
36%
Win chance · New York favored
OUR PICKIndiana +8.5SPREADWIN
59%Confidence
We expect a closer game than the line says; Indiana has home court; Indiana is without Tyrese Haliburton but still gets the edge.
✗ Moneyline✓ Spread✗ Total
  • New York has a big edge in roster quality over Indiana
  • Indiana gets home court
  • Indiana is without Tyrese Haliburton
OutIndiana: Tyrese Haliburton (G), Ben Sheppard (G), Johnny Furphy (G)
OfficialsJustin Van Duyne, Ed Malloy, Intae Hwang
PLAYER PROPS
  • Kelly Oubre Jr.Under 1.5 threes made65%WIN
  • Mikal BridgesUnder 1.5 threes made64%LOSS
  • Ivica ZubacUnder 0.5 steals62%WIN
2 more props
  • Landry ShametUnder 2.5 rebounds61%LOSS
  • Obi ToppinUnder 4.5 rebounds61%WIN
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Recent games: New York 4-1, Indiana 2-3 over their last five
  • New York is led by Jalen Brunson
  • We like Indiana getting the points: we expect a closer game than the line says
Official profiles: Justin Van Duyne, Ed Malloy, Intae Hwang
Justin Van DuyneOfficial · 322 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureDuyneLeagueRank
Calls per game43.144.061 of 73
Shooting fouls per game19.420.066 of 73
Free throws per game attempts, both teams43.745.065 of 73
Offensive fouls per game incl. charges3.503.2310 of 73
Technicals per game0.750.8157 of 73
Traveling per game1.501.4431 of 73
Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 51.271.3354 of 73
Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant1.391.4347 of 73
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 40.4% (130/322)Home covered 42.9% (137/319)Favorite covered 45.8% (146/319)
Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
Ed MalloyOfficial · 306 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureMalloyLeagueRank
Calls per game43.644.046 of 73
Shooting fouls per game20.020.035 of 73
Free throws per game attempts, both teams44.545.051 of 73
Offensive fouls per game incl. charges3.363.2323 of 73
Technicals per game0.890.8117 of 73
Traveling per game1.471.4436 of 73
Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 51.281.3351 of 73
Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant1.411.4340 of 73
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 47.2% (144/305)Home covered 55.3% (167/302)Favorite covered 51.5% (155/301)
Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
Intae HwangOfficial · 97 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Only 97 games on record: too few to judge.
MeasureHwangLeagueRank
Calls per game42.444.0
Shooting fouls per game19.920.0
Free throws per game attempts, both teams44.145.0
Offensive fouls per game incl. charges2.943.23
Technicals per game0.730.81
Traveling per game1.231.44
Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 51.361.33
Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant1.661.43
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 47.4% (46/97)Home covered 46.4% (45/97)Favorite covered 51.5% (50/97)
Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
Fri Nov 13 · 7:00 PM ET
Milwaukee99
Orlando107
FINAL · we projected 110 – 117Projected total 227
SPREADMilwaukee +9.557%
OUR TOTAL PICKOver 224.553%LOSS
29%
71%
Win chance · Orlando favored
OUR PICKMilwaukee +9.5SPREADWIN
57%Confidence
We expect a closer game than the line says; Orlando is without Paolo Banchero and Jalen Suggs.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✗ Total
  • Orlando has a clear edge in roster quality over Milwaukee
  • Orlando gets home court
  • Orlando is without Paolo Banchero
OutMilwaukee: Ousmane Dieng (F); Orlando: Paolo Banchero (F), Noah Penda (F), Jonathan Isaac (F), Izaiyah Nelson (F)
OfficialsMitchell Ervin, Jacyn Goble, Phenizee Ransom
Ref noteRansom calls more flagrants: 0.19 a game vs 0.15 league (50 in 265 games).
PLAYER PROPS
  • Nate AmentUnder 1.5 threes made65%LOSS
  • Brayden BurriesUnder 1.5 threes made64%WIN
  • Jaime Jaquez Jr.Under 1.5 threes made62%LOSS
2 more props
  • Tristan da SilvaUnder 2.5 threes made60%WIN
  • Franz WagnerUnder 1.5 steals60%WIN
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Recent games: Milwaukee 0-5, Orlando 2-3 over their last five
  • Orlando is led by Franz Wagner
  • We like Milwaukee getting the points: we expect a closer game than the line says
Official profiles: Mitchell Ervin, Jacyn Goble, Phenizee Ransom
Mitchell ErvinOfficial · 343 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureErvinLeagueRank
Calls per game45.844.03 of 73
Shooting fouls per game20.520.015 of 73
Free throws per game attempts, both teams46.745.05 of 73
Offensive fouls per game incl. charges3.383.2320 of 73
Technicals per game0.810.8142 of 73
Traveling per game1.591.4416 of 73
Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 51.791.331 of 73
Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant1.871.431 of 73
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 55.1% (188/341)Home covered 49.6% (169/341)Favorite covered 48.1% (163/339)
Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
Jacyn GobleOfficial · 345 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureGobleLeagueRank
Calls per game44.044.038 of 73
Shooting fouls per game20.520.09 of 73
Free throws per game attempts, both teams46.045.013 of 73
Offensive fouls per game incl. charges3.183.2339 of 73
Technicals per game0.920.817 of 73
Traveling per game1.301.4461 of 73
Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 51.381.3330 of 73
Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant1.531.4317 of 73
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 53.5% (184/344)Home covered 48.8% (168/344)Favorite covered 50.6% (174/344)
Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
Phenizee RansomOfficial · 265 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Stands out on: calls more flagrants.
  • Calls more flagrants: 0.19 a game vs 0.15 league (50 in 265 games).
MeasureRansomLeagueRank
Calls per game44.444.028 of 73
Shooting fouls per game19.920.041 of 73
Free throws per game attempts, both teams45.745.018 of 73
Offensive fouls per game incl. charges3.133.2347 of 73
Technicals per game0.870.8122 of 73
Traveling per game1.371.4456 of 73
Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 51.281.3352 of 73
Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant1.321.4359 of 73
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 53.2% (140/263)Home covered 42.4% (112/264)Favorite covered 43.9% (116/264)
Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
8:00 PM ET 4 games
TOP PICKFri Nov 13 · 8:00 PM ET
Cleveland121
Miami133
FINAL · we projected 118 – 116Projected total 234
SPREADCleveland +2.564%
OUR TOTAL PICKUnder 235.553%LOSS
56%
44%
Win chance · Cleveland favored
OUR PICKCleveland +2.5SPREADLOSS
64%Confidence
Cleveland has the stronger roster on paper; Cleveland is without Evan Mobley and Sam Merrill but still gets the edge.
✗ Moneyline✗ Spread✗ Total
  • Cleveland has a clear edge in roster quality over Miami
  • Miami gets home court
  • Cleveland is without Evan Mobley and Sam Merrill
OutCleveland: James Harden (G), Donovan Mitchell (G), Evan Mobley (C), Peyton Watson (G), Sam Merrill (G), Jarrett Allen (C), Nae'Qwan Tomlin (F); Miami: Pelle Larsson (G)
OfficialsJohn Goble, Mark Lindsay, JD Ralls
Ref noteGoble calls traveling often: 1.98 a game vs 1.44 league (622 in 314 games). Lindsay calls defensive 3 seconds often: 0.51 a game vs 0.32 league (164 in 321 games). Lindsay slow to call technicals: 0.64 a game vs 0.81 league (207 in 321 games). Ralls calls defensive 3 seconds often: 0.41 a game vs 0.32 league (44 in 107 games).
PLAYER PROPS
  • Bobby PortisOver 0.5 threes made64%WIN
  • Davion MitchellUnder 2.5 threes made62%LOSS
  • Mario HezonjaUnder 1.5 threes made62%WIN
2 more props
  • Peyton WatsonUnder 1.5 blocks61%WIN
  • Meleek ThomasUnder 3.5 rebounds61%WIN
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Miami is without Pelle Larsson
  • Recent games: Cleveland 2-3, Miami 3-2 over their last five
  • Cleveland is led by Donovan Mitchell
Official profiles: John Goble, Mark Lindsay, JD Ralls
John GobleOfficial · 314 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Stands out on: calls traveling often.
  • Calls traveling often: 1.98 a game vs 1.44 league (622 in 314 games).
MeasureGobleLeagueRank
Calls per game45.344.06 of 73
Shooting fouls per game19.320.067 of 73
Free throws per game attempts, both teams44.045.059 of 73
Offensive fouls per game incl. charges3.273.2328 of 73
Technicals per game0.910.8110 of 73
Traveling per game1.981.441 of 73
Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 51.471.3312 of 73
Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant1.461.4334 of 73
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.7% (156/314)Home covered 53.0% (166/313)Favorite covered 47.8% (149/312)
Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
Mark LindsayOfficial · 321 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Stands out on: calls defensive 3 seconds often, slow to call technicals.
  • Calls defensive 3 seconds often: 0.51 a game vs 0.32 league (164 in 321 games).
  • Slow to call technicals: 0.64 a game vs 0.81 league (207 in 321 games).
MeasureLindsayLeagueRank
Calls per game43.944.041 of 73
Shooting fouls per game20.120.030 of 73
Free throws per game attempts, both teams45.545.023 of 73
Offensive fouls per game incl. charges2.863.2372 of 73
Technicals per game0.640.8169 of 73
Traveling per game1.301.4460 of 73
Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 51.301.3347 of 73
Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant1.461.4333 of 73
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.3% (162/322)Home covered 45.8% (146/319)Favorite covered 48.9% (156/319)
Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
JD RallsOfficial · 107 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Stands out on: calls defensive 3 seconds often.
  • Calls defensive 3 seconds often: 0.41 a game vs 0.32 league (44 in 107 games).
MeasureRallsLeagueRank
Calls per game44.544.021 of 73
Shooting fouls per game20.320.019 of 73
Free throws per game attempts, both teams46.245.09 of 73
Offensive fouls per game incl. charges2.883.2371 of 73
Technicals per game0.840.8128 of 73
Traveling per game1.071.4473 of 73
Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 51.191.3363 of 73
Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant1.111.4372 of 73
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.5% (54/107)Home covered 43.9% (47/107)Favorite covered 53.3% (57/107)
Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
Fri Nov 13 · 8:00 PM ET
RESTED · Atlanta · 3d off
Atlanta117
Chicago125
FINAL · we projected 115 – 111Projected total 226
SPREADChicago +6.557%
OUR TOTAL PICKUnder 246.576%WIN
61%
39%
Win chance · Atlanta favored
OUR PICKChicago +6.5SPREADWIN
57%Confidence
We expect a closer game than the line says; Chicago has home court.
✗ Moneyline✓ Spread✓ Total
  • Atlanta has a clear edge in roster quality over Chicago
  • Chicago gets home court
  • Atlanta is the more rested team (3 days off)
OutAtlanta: Kingston Flemings (G), Keshon Gilbert (G), Mouhamed Gueye (F), Asa Newell (F), Henri Veesaar (C); Chicago: Caleb Wilson (F), Jalen Smith (F), Nic Claxton (C), Tobe Awaka (F)
OfficialsTony Brothers, Bill Kennedy, JT Orr
Ref noteBrothers calls defensive 3 seconds often: 0.43 a game vs 0.32 league (156 in 359 games). Orr calls defensive 3 seconds often: 0.51 a game vs 0.32 league (132 in 261 games). Orr quick with technicals: 0.97 a game vs 0.81 league (253 in 261 games).
PLAYER PROPS
  • Aaron WigginsUnder 2.5 threes made62%WIN
  • Jalen JohnsonUnder 1.5 steals62%WIN
  • Nickeil Alexander-WalkerUnder 1.5 steals61%LOSS
2 more props
  • Dyson DanielsUnder 2.5 steals61%WIN
  • Matas BuzelisUnder 1.5 blocks61%LOSS
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Atlanta has 4 players out
  • Recent games: Atlanta 4-1, Chicago 0-5 over their last five
  • Atlanta is led by Jalen Johnson
Official profiles: Tony Brothers, Bill Kennedy, JT Orr
Tony BrothersOfficial · 359 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Stands out on: calls defensive 3 seconds often.
  • Calls defensive 3 seconds often: 0.43 a game vs 0.32 league (156 in 359 games).
MeasureBrothersLeagueRank
Calls per game45.244.07 of 73
Shooting fouls per game20.420.017 of 73
Free throws per game attempts, both teams46.445.07 of 73
Offensive fouls per game incl. charges3.403.2317 of 73
Technicals per game0.940.815 of 73
Traveling per game1.561.4418 of 73
Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 51.351.3337 of 73
Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant1.481.4328 of 73
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 54.6% (195/357)Home covered 51.0% (182/357)Favorite covered 49.3% (176/357)
Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
Bill KennedyOfficial · 298 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureKennedyLeagueRank
Calls per game44.244.031 of 73
Shooting fouls per game20.220.027 of 73
Free throws per game attempts, both teams45.545.027 of 73
Offensive fouls per game incl. charges3.123.2349 of 73
Technicals per game0.820.8140 of 73
Traveling per game1.521.4425 of 73
Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 51.151.3366 of 73
Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant1.241.4370 of 73
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.7% (147/296)Home covered 49.8% (146/293)Favorite covered 54.9% (161/293)
Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
JT OrrOfficial · 261 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Stands out on: calls defensive 3 seconds often, quick with technicals.
  • Calls defensive 3 seconds often: 0.51 a game vs 0.32 league (132 in 261 games).
  • Quick with technicals: 0.97 a game vs 0.81 league (253 in 261 games).
MeasureOrrLeagueRank
Calls per game44.444.026 of 73
Shooting fouls per game19.520.061 of 73
Free throws per game attempts, both teams44.445.054 of 73
Offensive fouls per game incl. charges3.253.2330 of 73
Technicals per game0.970.814 of 73
Traveling per game1.541.4423 of 73
Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 51.341.3338 of 73
Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant1.351.4355 of 73
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 45.6% (119/261)Home covered 48.3% (126/261)Favorite covered 47.1% (123/261)
Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
Fri Nov 13 · 8:00 PM ET
Memphis142
New Orleans111
FINAL · we projected 117 – 112Projected total 229
SPREADMemphis -3.554%
OUR TOTAL PICKUnder 235.560%LOSS
63%
37%
Win chance · Memphis favored
OUR PICKMemphis -3.5SPREADWIN
54%Confidence
Memphis has the stronger roster on paper; New Orleans is without Trey Murphy III and Dejounte Murray.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✗ Total
  • Memphis has a big edge in roster quality over New Orleans
  • New Orleans gets home court
  • Memphis has 4 players out
OutMemphis: Ty Jerome (G), Jerami Grant (F), Zach Edey (C), Scotty Pippen Jr. (G), GG Jackson (F), Quinten Post (C), Richie Saunders (G); New Orleans: Trey Murphy III (F), Dejounte Murray (G), Bennedict Mathurin (G), Trendon Watford (F), Bryce McGowens (G)
OfficialsCurtis Blair, Brent Barnaky, CJ Washington
Ref noteBlair calls traveling less often: 1.10 a game vs 1.44 league (383 in 348 games). Washington calls fewer flagrants: 0.10 a game vs 0.15 league (24 in 244 games).
PLAYER PROPS
  • Cedric CowardUnder 1.5 steals65%WIN
  • Isaiah StewartUnder 0.5 steals63%WIN
  • Jeremiah FearsOver 0.5 steals62%WIN
2 more props
  • Herbert JonesUnder 1.5 threes made62%WIN
  • Derik QueenUnder 0.5 threes made61%WIN
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • New Orleans is without Trey Murphy III and Dejounte Murray
  • Recent games: Memphis 1-4, New Orleans 1-4 over their last five
  • Memphis is led by Ty Jerome
Official profiles: Curtis Blair, Brent Barnaky, CJ Washington
Curtis BlairOfficial · 348 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Stands out on: calls traveling less often.
  • Calls traveling less often: 1.10 a game vs 1.44 league (383 in 348 games).
MeasureBlairLeagueRank
Calls per game43.344.052 of 73
Shooting fouls per game19.220.070 of 73
Free throws per game attempts, both teams43.845.064 of 73
Offensive fouls per game incl. charges3.383.2321 of 73
Technicals per game0.750.8154 of 73
Traveling per game1.101.4472 of 73
Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 51.491.338 of 73
Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant1.541.4315 of 73
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 46.7% (162/347)Home covered 48.3% (166/344)Favorite covered 44.5% (153/344)
Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
Brent BarnakyOfficial · 341 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureBarnakyLeagueRank
Calls per game43.344.053 of 73
Shooting fouls per game19.920.042 of 73
Free throws per game attempts, both teams44.645.050 of 73
Offensive fouls per game incl. charges3.173.2341 of 73
Technicals per game0.790.8144 of 73
Traveling per game1.301.4462 of 73
Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 51.121.3369 of 73
Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant1.311.4362 of 73
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.0% (170/340)Home covered 51.0% (173/339)Favorite covered 49.7% (168/338)
Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
CJ WashingtonOfficial · 244 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Stands out on: calls fewer flagrants.
  • Calls fewer flagrants: 0.10 a game vs 0.15 league (24 in 244 games).
MeasureWashingtonLeagueRank
Calls per game44.744.019 of 73
Shooting fouls per game20.520.012 of 73
Free throws per game attempts, both teams45.845.016 of 73
Offensive fouls per game incl. charges3.223.2337 of 73
Technicals per game0.830.8132 of 73
Traveling per game1.561.4419 of 73
Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 51.471.3312 of 73
Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant1.501.4323 of 73
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 56.0% (136/243)Home covered 42.8% (104/243)Favorite covered 45.7% (111/243)
Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
Fri Nov 13 · 8:30 PM ET
Utah118
Houston125
FINAL · we projected 107 – 121Projected total 228
SPREADUtah +15.552%
OUR TOTAL PICKOver 221.559%WIN
15%
85%
Win chance · Houston favored
OUR PICKUtah +15.5SPREADWIN
52%Confidence
We expect a closer game than the line says; Utah is without Lauri Markkanen, Jaren Jackson Jr. and Jusuf Nurkic but still gets the edge.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✓ Total
  • Houston has a big edge in roster quality over Utah
  • Houston gets home court
  • Utah is without Lauri Markkanen, Jaren Jackson Jr. and Jusuf Nurkic
OutUtah: Lauri Markkanen (F), Jaren Jackson Jr. (F), Jusuf Nurkic (C), Jaxson Hayes (C), Trey Alexander (G); Houston: Fred VanVleet (G), Marcus Smart (G), Steven Adams (C), Clint Capela (C)
OfficialsSean Wright, Kevin Cutler, Jenna Reneau
PLAYER PROPS
  • Ace BaileyUnder 1.5 blocks65%WIN
  • Reed SheppardUnder 1.5 steals64%WIN
  • Fred VanVleetUnder 0.5 blocks64%LOSS
2 more props
  • Jaxson HayesUnder 1.5 blocks63%WIN
  • Tari EasonUnder 1.5 steals63%WIN
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Recent games: Utah 0-5, Houston 3-2 over their last five
  • Houston is led by Alperen Sengun
  • We like Utah getting the points: we expect a closer game than the line says
Official profiles: Sean Wright, Kevin Cutler, Jenna Reneau
Sean WrightOfficial · 336 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureWrightLeagueRank
Calls per game45.444.05 of 73
Shooting fouls per game20.220.024 of 73
Free throws per game attempts, both teams46.845.03 of 73
Offensive fouls per game incl. charges3.223.2335 of 73
Technicals per game0.860.8124 of 73
Traveling per game1.481.4434 of 73
Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 51.431.3322 of 73
Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant1.521.4320 of 73
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 51.0% (171/335)Home covered 48.1% (161/335)Favorite covered 52.1% (174/334)
Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
Kevin CutlerOfficial · 309 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureCutlerLeagueRank
Calls per game43.244.057 of 73
Shooting fouls per game19.920.038 of 73
Free throws per game attempts, both teams44.545.052 of 73
Offensive fouls per game incl. charges2.973.2367 of 73
Technicals per game0.690.8164 of 73
Traveling per game1.431.4446 of 73
Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 51.121.3368 of 73
Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant1.391.4346 of 73
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.8% (153/307)Home covered 45.8% (140/306)Favorite covered 47.2% (144/305)
Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
Jenna ReneauOfficial · 69 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Only 69 games on record: too few to judge.
MeasureReneauLeagueRank
Calls per game44.144.0
Shooting fouls per game20.320.0
Free throws per game attempts, both teams46.945.0
Offensive fouls per game incl. charges2.963.23
Technicals per game0.870.81
Traveling per game1.121.44
Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 51.001.33
Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant1.191.43
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 45.6% (31/68)Home covered 44.1% (30/68)Favorite covered 45.6% (31/68)
Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
9:30 PM ET 2 games
Fri Nov 13 · 9:30 PM ET
Golden State85
San Antonio123
FINAL · we projected 107 – 116Projected total 223
SPREADGolden State +12.558%
OUR TOTAL PICKOver 215.561%LOSS
24%
76%
Win chance · San Antonio favored
OUR PICKGolden State +12.5SPREADLOSS
58%Confidence
We expect a closer game than the line says; San Antonio is without Tobias Harris; Golden State is without Jimmy Butler III, Stephen Curry, Moses Moody and Kristaps Porzingis but still gets the edge.
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✗ Total
  • San Antonio has a big edge in roster quality over Golden State
  • San Antonio gets home court
  • Golden State is without Jimmy Butler III, Stephen Curry and Moses Moody
OutGolden State: Jimmy Butler III (F), Stephen Curry (G), Moses Moody (G), Kristaps Porzingis (C), Brandon Williams (G); San Antonio: Tobias Harris (F), Jayden Quaintance (F)
OfficialsJames Williams, Eric Dalen, Evan Scott
Ref noteWilliams calls defensive 3 seconds often: 0.42 a game vs 0.32 league (156 in 370 games). Scott calls fewer flagrants: 0.10 a game vs 0.15 league (22 in 223 games).
PLAYER PROPS
  • Stephon CastleUnder 1.5 steals66%WIN
  • De'Anthony MeltonUnder 2.5 threes made66%WIN
  • Dylan HarperUnder 1.5 steals65%WIN
2 more props
  • Devin VassellUnder 1.5 steals64%WIN
  • De'Aaron FoxUnder 0.5 blocks63%WIN
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • San Antonio is without Tobias Harris
  • Recent games: Golden State 4-1, San Antonio 5-0 over their last five
  • San Antonio is led by Victor Wembanyama
Official profiles: James Williams, Eric Dalen, Evan Scott
James WilliamsOfficial · 370 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Stands out on: calls defensive 3 seconds often.
  • Calls defensive 3 seconds often: 0.42 a game vs 0.32 league (156 in 370 games).
MeasureWilliamsLeagueRank
Calls per game43.044.063 of 73
Shooting fouls per game19.120.071 of 73
Free throws per game attempts, both teams43.445.069 of 73
Offensive fouls per game incl. charges3.163.2344 of 73
Technicals per game0.930.816 of 73
Traveling per game1.511.4428 of 73
Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 51.381.3329 of 73
Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant1.431.4336 of 73
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.6% (183/369)Home covered 54.0% (198/367)Favorite covered 51.2% (188/367)
Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
Eric DalenOfficial · 273 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureDalenLeagueRank
Calls per game43.144.062 of 73
Shooting fouls per game19.620.057 of 73
Free throws per game attempts, both teams43.845.063 of 73
Offensive fouls per game incl. charges3.243.2333 of 73
Technicals per game0.770.8151 of 73
Traveling per game1.411.4452 of 73
Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 51.411.3324 of 73
Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant1.491.4326 of 73
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 43.3% (119/275)Home covered 52.4% (143/273)Favorite covered 52.0% (142/273)
Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
Evan ScottOfficial · 223 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Stands out on: calls fewer flagrants.
  • Calls fewer flagrants: 0.10 a game vs 0.15 league (22 in 223 games).
MeasureScottLeagueRank
Calls per game43.144.059 of 73
Shooting fouls per game19.620.058 of 73
Free throws per game attempts, both teams43.645.066 of 73
Offensive fouls per game incl. charges3.173.2342 of 73
Technicals per game0.910.819 of 73
Traveling per game1.481.4433 of 73
Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 51.201.3361 of 73
Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant1.361.4354 of 73
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 54.1% (119/220)Home covered 54.1% (120/222)Favorite covered 46.4% (103/222)
Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
Fri Nov 13 · 10:00 PM ET
Portland120
Sacramento107
FINAL · we projected 120 – 109Projected total 229
SPREADPortland -10.551%
OUR TOTAL PICKUnder 229.551%WIN
78%
22%
Win chance · Portland favored
OUR PICKPortland -10.5SPREADWIN
51%Confidence
Portland has the stronger roster on paper; Sacramento is without Maxime Raynaud; Portland is without Shaedon Sharpe and Ja Morant but still gets the edge.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✓ Total
  • Portland has a big edge in roster quality over Sacramento
  • Sacramento gets home court
  • Portland is without Shaedon Sharpe and Ja Morant
OutPortland: Shaedon Sharpe (G), Ja Morant (G), Vit Krejci (G); Sacramento: Maxime Raynaud (C), Ben Simmons (G)
OfficialsMarc Davis, Andy Nagy, Biniam Maru
Ref noteNagy calls defensive 3 seconds less often: 0.19 a game vs 0.32 league (55 in 284 games).
PLAYER PROPS
  • Damian LillardUnder 0.5 blocks68%WIN
  • Darius Acuff Jr.Under 0.5 blocks68%WIN
  • Jrue HolidayUnder 0.5 blocks68%WIN
2 more props
  • Scoot HendersonUnder 0.5 blocks67%WIN
  • De'Andre HunterUnder 0.5 blocks67%WIN
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Sacramento is without Maxime Raynaud
  • Recent games: Portland 3-2, Sacramento 1-4 over their last five
  • Portland is led by Deni Avdija
Official profiles: Marc Davis, Andy Nagy, Biniam Maru
Marc DavisOfficial · 367 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureDavisLeagueRank
Calls per game42.344.070 of 73
Shooting fouls per game19.120.072 of 73
Free throws per game attempts, both teams43.145.072 of 73
Offensive fouls per game incl. charges2.963.2368 of 73
Technicals per game0.850.8126 of 73
Traveling per game1.201.4466 of 73
Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 51.081.3371 of 73
Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant1.251.4369 of 73
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 51.9% (190/366)Home covered 47.7% (174/365)Favorite covered 47.9% (175/365)
Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
Andy NagyOfficial · 284 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Stands out on: calls defensive 3 seconds less often.
  • Calls defensive 3 seconds less often: 0.19 a game vs 0.32 league (55 in 284 games).
MeasureNagyLeagueRank
Calls per game44.044.037 of 73
Shooting fouls per game20.620.07 of 73
Free throws per game attempts, both teams46.145.011 of 73
Offensive fouls per game incl. charges3.013.2362 of 73
Technicals per game0.840.8129 of 73
Traveling per game1.271.4463 of 73
Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 51.181.3364 of 73
Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant1.381.4349 of 73
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 56.0% (159/284)Home covered 49.6% (140/282)Favorite covered 53.5% (151/282)
Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
Biniam MaruOfficial · 43 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Only 43 games on record: too few to judge.
MeasureMaruLeagueRank
Calls per game44.544.0
Shooting fouls per game21.720.0
Free throws per game attempts, both teams48.745.0
Offensive fouls per game incl. charges2.913.23
Technicals per game0.810.81
Traveling per game1.191.44
Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 50.861.33
Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant1.401.43
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 53.5% (23/43)Home covered 39.5% (17/43)Favorite covered 69.8% (30/43)
Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
10:30 PM ET 1 game
Fri Nov 13 · 10:30 PM ET
Oklahoma City112
Los Angeles (C)113
FINAL · we projected 115 – 108Projected total 223
SPREADLos Angeles (C) +7.550%
OUR TOTAL PICKOver 222.550%WIN
70%
30%
Win chance · Oklahoma City favored
OUR PICKLos Angeles (C) +7.5SPREADWIN
50%Confidence
We expect a closer game than the line says; Oklahoma City is without Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams and Cason Wallace; Los Angeles (C) has home court; Los Angeles (C) is without Brandon Ingram and Bradley Beal but still gets the edge.
✗ Moneyline✓ Spread✓ Total
  • Oklahoma City has a big edge in roster quality over Los Angeles (C)
  • Los Angeles (C) gets home court
  • Oklahoma City is without Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams and Cason Wallace
OutOklahoma City: Chet Holmgren (C), Jalen Williams (G), Cason Wallace (G), Jaylin Williams (F), Thomas Sorber (C); Los Angeles (C): Brandon Ingram (F), Bradley Beal (G), Jordan Miller (G), Yanic Konan Niederhauser (C)
OfficialsScott Foster, Natalie Sago, Brandon Adair
Ref noteFoster slow to call technicals: 0.64 a game vs 0.81 league (209 in 327 games). Adair slow to call technicals: 0.62 a game vs 0.81 league (146 in 235 games).
PLAYER PROPS
  • Darius GarlandUnder 1.5 steals65%WIN
  • Brook LopezUnder 1.5 blocks64%WIN
  • Max StrusUnder 2.5 threes made64%WIN
2 more props
  • Ajay MitchellUnder 1.5 threes made63%
  • Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderUnder 1.5 steals62%WIN
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Los Angeles (C) is without Brandon Ingram and Bradley Beal
  • Recent games: Oklahoma City 3-2, Los Angeles (C) 1-4 over their last five
  • Oklahoma City is led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Official profiles: Scott Foster, Natalie Sago, Brandon Adair
Scott FosterOfficial · 327 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Stands out on: slow to call technicals.
  • Slow to call technicals: 0.64 a game vs 0.81 league (209 in 327 games).
MeasureFosterLeagueRank
Calls per game44.844.016 of 73
Shooting fouls per game20.220.026 of 73
Free throws per game attempts, both teams45.745.020 of 73
Offensive fouls per game incl. charges3.723.231 of 73
Technicals per game0.640.8170 of 73
Traveling per game1.541.4422 of 73
Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 51.281.3350 of 73
Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant1.501.4322 of 73
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 54.1% (177/327)Home covered 54.4% (178/327)Favorite covered 51.4% (168/327)
Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
Natalie SagoOfficial · 318 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureSagoLeagueRank
Calls per game43.544.047 of 73
Shooting fouls per game20.520.016 of 73
Free throws per game attempts, both teams45.145.033 of 73
Offensive fouls per game incl. charges3.203.2338 of 73
Technicals per game0.870.8121 of 73
Traveling per game1.591.4415 of 73
Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 51.211.3360 of 73
Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant1.281.4365 of 73
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 48.3% (153/317)Home covered 51.0% (160/314)Favorite covered 50.6% (159/314)
Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
Brandon AdairOfficial · 235 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Stands out on: slow to call technicals.
  • Slow to call technicals: 0.62 a game vs 0.81 league (146 in 235 games).
MeasureAdairLeagueRank
Calls per game42.044.072 of 73
Shooting fouls per game19.520.063 of 73
Free throws per game attempts, both teams43.345.071 of 73
Offensive fouls per game incl. charges2.933.2369 of 73
Technicals per game0.620.8171 of 73
Traveling per game1.501.4430 of 73
Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 51.341.3339 of 73
Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant1.421.4339 of 73
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 41.9% (98/234)Home covered 47.4% (110/232)Favorite covered 49.4% (114/231)
Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.