OUR PICKS a win chance for every runner that has not scratched
Breeders' Cup Turf G1
Keeneland · Oct 31, 2026 · Turf · 1 1/2 miles
OUR WIN CHANCE FOR EVERY RUNNER14 runners
10Tiffany30.1%
6Burnham Square11.1%
12Diamond Necklace10.4%
1Ethical Diamond7.3%
13Bay City Roller7.0%
2Benvenuto Cellini5.2%
3Minaret Station4.8%
4Far Bridge4.8%
9Johanna Walsh4.3%
7Hotazhell4.0%
11Survie3.5%
15Map of Stars3.0%
5El Cordobes2.5%
14Deep Monster2.1%
Scratched, not counted: Test Score, Telescopic.
Breeders' Cup Classic G1
Keeneland · Oct 31, 2026 · Dirt · 1 1/4 miles
OUR WIN CHANCE FOR EVERY RUNNER7 runners
5Forever Young31.8%
7Knightsbridge28.2%
2Sovereignty15.8%
3Golden Tempo9.3%
8Napoleon Solo5.8%
4The Puma5.3%
1T O Password3.8%
Scratched, not counted: Magnitude.
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies G1
Keeneland · Oct 30, 2026 · Dirt · 1 1/16 miles
OUR WIN CHANCE FOR EVERY RUNNER12 runners
5Miss Monica29.6%
10Emphatic20.0%
8Manuka Honey10.7%
2Domain Expansion7.3%
11Voyager6.4%
4Rum Twist5.6%
7Lexi's Charm5.5%
1Scarlett Begonia4.2%
3Foxiest3.6%
6Revenge of the Sis2.8%
12Life Changing2.5%
9Badittude1.8%
Breeders' Cup Juvenile G1
Keeneland · Oct 30, 2026 · Dirt · 1 1/16 miles
OUR WIN CHANCE FOR EVERY RUNNER6 runners
5Hughes47.4%
7Coach Pope14.9%
3Salahudin14.5%
6American History14.0%
8He Is No Lie5.6%
1Damavand3.6%
Scratched, not counted: Gaudreau, Earth Song.
OUR RESULTS graded from chances saved before each race
No counted races yet. A race counts once its chances were saved before the race was run; the first one will be graded here after it finishes.
Practice runs 4 Breeders' Cup races scored after they were run · not counted
We built the model after these races, so they only show it behaves sensibly. They are not part of the record above.
| Race | Winner | Our rank for the winner | Our chance for the winner | Our top pick | Top pick finished | Our top 3 in the real top 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breeders' Cup Classic 2026-10-31 | Sovereignty | 3 | 15.8% | Forever Young (32%) | 5 | 2 of 3 |
| Breeders' Cup Turf 2026-10-31 | Benvenuto Cellini | 6 | 5.2% | Tiffany (30%) | 4 | 1 of 3 |
| Breeders' Cup Juvenile 2026-10-30 | Hughes | 1 | 47.4% | Hughes (47%) | 1 | 2 of 3 |
| Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies 2026-10-30 | Emphatic | 2 | 20.0% | Miss Monica (30%) | 2 | 3 of 3 |
Win chances come from our own model, which scores every runner against the rest of its field and adds up to 100% per race. They are opinions, not guarantees and not betting advice. The workings stay on our private side.