OUR RECORD every graded pick, wins and losses
Yesterday
27-25
51.9% wins
Last 7 days
124-108
53.4% wins
Season top picks
0-0
–
Season all picks
140-132
51.5% wins
EVERY GAME TODAY 9 on the board · our pick for each
AP Top 25 2 games
Sat Nov 14 · 2:00 PM ET
Stonehill37
16Texas Tech88
FINAL · we projected 51 – 90Projected total 141
SPREADStonehill +40.555%
OVER / UNDERUnder 143.555%
Win chance · Texas Tech favored
OUR PICKStonehill +40.5SPREADLOSS
0Input quality (not a win chance)Our power numbers like Stonehill at this line.
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✓ Total
- No. 16 Texas Tech is at home against Stonehill.
- Stonehill went 12-21 last season.
- Texas Tech went 23-11 last season.
RecordsStonehill 1-3 · Texas Tech 4-0
Players gradeStonehill #360 · Texas Tech #6
Record gradeStonehill #305 · Texas Tech #24
OfficialsDoug Sirmons, James Duke, Jason Garretson
Ref watchDoug Sirmons: unders hit 57% of his 466 games since 2021-22.
Ref notesDuke: Quick with technicals: 0.59 a game vs 0.35 average (33 in 56 games).
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Stonehill returns about 10% of its minutes and added 7 transfers and 2 freshmen.
- Texas Tech returns about 34% of its minutes and added 5 transfers and 5 freshmen.
- Texas Tech plays in one of the louder arenas in college basketball.
Loud arena: United Supermarkets Arena, one of the toughest home courts in college basketball
Official profiles: Doug Sirmons, James Duke, Jason Garretson
Doug SirmonsOfficial · 212 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
| Measure | Sirmons | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fouls per game | 31.7 | 34.5 | 256 of 284 |
| Technicals per game | 0.37 | 0.35 | 117 of 284 |
| Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points | 2.00 | 2.47 | 251 of 284 |
| Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call | 0.18 | 0.20 | 174 of 284 |
| Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games | 42.7% | 50.6% | 426 of 462 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 42.7% (199/466)Home covered 54.2% (211/389)Favorite covered 53.0% (246/464)Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
James DukeOfficial · 56 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: technicals per game.
- Quick with technicals: 0.59 a game vs 0.35 average (33 in 56 games)
| Measure | Duke | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fouls per game | 35.6 | 34.5 | 90 of 284 |
| Technicals per game | 0.59 | 0.35 | 14 of 284 |
| Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points | 2.05 | 2.47 | 239 of 284 |
| Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call | 0.21 | 0.20 | 104 of 284 |
| Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games | 49.2% | 50.6% | 291 of 462 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.2% (61/124)Home covered 47.2% (50/106)Favorite covered 46.8% (58/124)Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Jason GarretsonOfficial · 103 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
| Measure | Garretson | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fouls per game | 33.9 | 34.5 | 184 of 284 |
| Technicals per game | 0.38 | 0.35 | 109 of 284 |
| Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points | 2.16 | 2.47 | 218 of 284 |
| Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call | 0.17 | 0.20 | 190 of 284 |
| Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games | 43.9% | 50.6% | 409 of 462 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 43.9% (61/139)Home covered 50.0% (56/112)Favorite covered 50.7% (70/138)Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sat Nov 14 · 3:30 PM ET
LSU81
14Gonzaga80
FINAL · we projected 72 – 84Projected total 156
SPREADGonzaga -6.561%
OVER / UNDERUnder 160.559%
Win chance · Gonzaga favored
OUR PICKGonzaga -6.5SPREADLOSS
0Input quality (not a win chance)Our power numbers like Gonzaga at this line; home court in a loud arena.
✗ Moneyline✗ Spread✗ Total
- No. 14 Gonzaga is at home against LSU.
- LSU went 15-17 last season.
- Gonzaga went 31-4 last season.
RecordsLSU 4-0 · Gonzaga 2-1
Players gradeLSU #51 · Gonzaga #11
Record gradeLSU #20 · Gonzaga #37
OfficialsDoug Shows, Gregory Nixon, Clarence Armstrong, Justin Shamion
Ref notesShamion: Quick with technicals: 0.61 a game vs 0.35 average (57 in 94 games).
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- LSU returns about 0% of its minutes and added 7 transfers and 6 freshmen.
- Gonzaga returns about 14% of its minutes and added 5 transfers and 4 freshmen.
- Gonzaga plays in one of the louder arenas in college basketball.
Loud arena: the McCarthey Athletic Center, a tough place for visiting teams
Official profiles: Doug Shows, Gregory Nixon, Clarence Armstrong, Justin Shamion
Doug ShowsOfficial · 168 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
| Measure | Shows | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fouls per game | 35.5 | 34.5 | 99 of 284 |
| Technicals per game | 0.36 | 0.35 | 129 of 284 |
| Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points | 2.88 | 2.47 | 55 of 284 |
| Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call | 0.24 | 0.20 | 76 of 284 |
| Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games | 48.5% | 50.6% | 314 of 462 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 48.5% (196/404)Home covered 50.9% (169/332)Favorite covered 49.8% (200/402)Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Gregory NixonOfficial · 173 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
| Measure | Nixon | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fouls per game | 35.6 | 34.5 | 83 of 284 |
| Technicals per game | 0.35 | 0.35 | 134 of 284 |
| Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points | 2.12 | 2.47 | 223 of 284 |
| Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call | 0.19 | 0.20 | 158 of 284 |
| Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games | 50.8% | 50.6% | 235 of 462 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.8% (201/396)Home covered 48.6% (157/323)Favorite covered 48.1% (192/399)Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Clarence ArmstrongOfficial · 197 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
| Measure | Armstrong | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fouls per game | 34.2 | 34.5 | 164 of 284 |
| Technicals per game | 0.39 | 0.35 | 96 of 284 |
| Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points | 2.57 | 2.47 | 112 of 284 |
| Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call | 0.18 | 0.20 | 185 of 284 |
| Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games | 50.1% | 50.6% | 252 of 462 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.1% (227/453)Home covered 50.5% (198/392)Favorite covered 47.3% (215/455)Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Justin ShamionOfficial · 94 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: technicals per game.
- Quick with technicals: 0.61 a game vs 0.35 average (57 in 94 games)
| Measure | Shamion | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fouls per game | 34.3 | 34.5 | 162 of 284 |
| Technicals per game | 0.61 | 0.35 | 12 of 284 |
| Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points | 2.18 | 2.47 | 213 of 284 |
| Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call | 0.16 | 0.20 | 208 of 284 |
| Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games | 49.8% | 50.6% | 270 of 462 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.8% (100/201)Home covered 51.4% (92/179)Favorite covered 54.7% (111/203)Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
More games 7 games
Sat Nov 14 · 8:00 PM ET
Northwestern State83
Little Rock84
FINAL · we projected 68 – 75Projected total 143
SPREADNorthwestern State +9.555%
OVER / UNDERUnder 143.552%
Win chance · Little Rock favored
OUR PICKNorthwestern State +9.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)Our power numbers like Northwestern State at this line.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✗ Total
- Little Rock is at home against Northwestern State.
- Northwestern State went 10-22 last season.
- Little Rock went 12-20 last season.
RecordsNorthwestern State 1-3 · Little Rock 0-3
Players gradeNorthwestern State #300 · Little Rock #179
Record gradeNorthwestern State #223 · Little Rock #322
OfficialsJason Baker, Michael Swoboda, K.B. Burdett Jr.
Ref watchJason Baker: unders hit 54% of his 329 games since 2021-22; Michael Swoboda: unders hit 58% of his 170 games since 2021-22. Whole crew leans under.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Northwestern State returns about 26% of its minutes and added 2 transfers and 3 freshmen.
- Little Rock returns about 2% of its minutes and added 9 transfers and 4 freshmen.
- Records coming in: Northwestern State 1-3, Little Rock 0-3.
Official profiles: Jason Baker, Michael Swoboda, K.B. Burdett Jr.
Jason BakerOfficial · 140 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
| Measure | Baker | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fouls per game | 34.7 | 34.5 | 134 of 284 |
| Technicals per game | 0.27 | 0.35 | 210 of 284 |
| Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points | 2.73 | 2.47 | 80 of 284 |
| Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call | 0.22 | 0.20 | 97 of 284 |
| Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games | 45.6% | 50.6% | 378 of 462 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 45.6% (150/329)Home covered 46.6% (130/279)Favorite covered 47.1% (154/327)Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Michael SwobodaOfficial · 76 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
| Measure | Swoboda | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fouls per game | 33.6 | 34.5 | 197 of 284 |
| Technicals per game | 0.41 | 0.35 | 78 of 284 |
| Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points | 2.14 | 2.47 | 220 of 284 |
| Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call | 0.18 | 0.20 | 172 of 284 |
| Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games | 41.8% | 50.6% | 437 of 462 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 41.8% (71/170)Home covered 52.2% (84/161)Favorite covered 51.5% (88/171)Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
K.B. Burdett Jr.Official · 110 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
| Measure | Jr. | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fouls per game | 36.7 | 34.5 | 36 of 284 |
| Technicals per game | 0.45 | 0.35 | 48 of 284 |
| Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points | 2.83 | 2.47 | 64 of 284 |
| Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call | 0.19 | 0.20 | 157 of 284 |
| Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games | 55.4% | 50.6% | 101 of 462 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 55.4% (118/213)Home covered 45.1% (88/195)Favorite covered 52.1% (110/211)Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sat Nov 14 · 8:00 PM ET
Louisiana Tech68
Nicholls71
FINAL · we projected 69 – 71Projected total 140
SPREADNicholls -1.551%
OVER / UNDEROver 134.561%
Win chance · Nicholls favored
OUR PICKNicholls -1.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)Our power numbers like Nicholls at this line; home court.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✓ Total
- Nicholls is at home against Louisiana Tech.
- Louisiana Tech went 20-14 last season.
- Nicholls went 14-19 last season.
RecordsLouisiana Tech 2-1 · Nicholls 1-2
Players gradeLouisiana Tech #261 · Nicholls #262
Record gradeLouisiana Tech #141 · Nicholls #314
OfficialsEarnie Pheal, Brent Dugas, Garrett Theriot
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Louisiana Tech returns about 10% of its minutes and added 4 freshmen.
- Nicholls returns about 10% of its minutes and added 7 transfers and 1 freshman.
- Records coming in: Louisiana Tech 2-1, Nicholls 1-2.
Official profiles: Brent Dugas, Garrett Theriot
Brent DugasOfficial · 34 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Only 34 games of 2024-26 play-by-play on record: too few to judge.
| Measure | Dugas | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fouls per game | 31.5 | 34.5 | |
| Technicals per game | 0.38 | 0.35 | |
| Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points | 1.76 | 2.47 | |
| Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call | 0.12 | 0.20 | |
| Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games | 41.5% | 50.6% | 438 of 462 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 41.5% (49/118)Home covered 57.4% (62/108)Favorite covered 60.8% (73/120)Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Garrett TheriotOfficial · 32 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Only 32 games of 2024-26 play-by-play on record: too few to judge.
| Measure | Theriot | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fouls per game | 34.7 | 34.5 | |
| Technicals per game | 0.56 | 0.35 | |
| Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points | 1.59 | 2.47 | |
| Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call | 0.12 | 0.20 | |
| Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games | 59.0% | 50.6% | 35 of 462 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 59.0% (36/61)Home covered 48.1% (26/54)Favorite covered 52.5% (32/61)Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sat Nov 14 · 8:00 PM ET
UC Davis75
Sacramento State56
FINAL · we projected 77 – 82Projected total 159
SPREADSacramento State -3.552%
OVER / UNDERUnder 161.556%
Win chance · Sacramento State favored
OUR PICKSacramento State -3.5SPREADLOSS
75Input quality (not a win chance)Our power numbers like Sacramento State at this line; home court.
✗ Moneyline✗ Spread✓ Total
- Sacramento State is at home against UC Davis.
- UC Davis went 19-14 last season.
- Sacramento State went 10-21 last season.
RecordsUC Davis 2-1 · Sacramento State 1-1
Players gradeUC Davis #190 · Sacramento State #162
Record gradeUC Davis #301 · Sacramento State #201
OfficialsTrent Lovewell, Horace Shields, Courtney Holmes
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- UC Davis returns about 53% of its minutes and added 4 transfers and 3 freshmen.
- Sacramento State returns about 33% of its minutes and added 6 transfers and 3 freshmen.
- Records coming in: UC Davis 2-1, Sacramento State 1-1.
Sat Nov 14 · 8:30 PM ET
Furman62
Belmont72
FINAL · we projected 75 – 80Projected total 155
SPREADBelmont -2.554%
OVER / UNDERUnder 155.551%
Win chance · Belmont favored
OUR PICKBelmont -2.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)Our power numbers like Belmont at this line; home court.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✓ Total
- Belmont is at home against Furman.
- Furman went 22-13 last season.
- Belmont went 26-6 last season.
RecordsFurman 4-0 · Belmont 2-1
Players gradeFurman #147 · Belmont #135
Record gradeFurman #52 · Belmont #236
OfficialsJohn St. Clair, Jeff Campbell, Peter Larson
Ref watchJohn St. Clair: unders hit 51% of his 166 games since 2021-22.
Ref notesLarson: Quick with technicals: 0.65 a game vs 0.35 average (37 in 57 games). High-foul crew: crews like this went over 55% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Furman returns about 46% of its minutes and added 4 transfers and 4 freshmen.
- Belmont returns about 38% of its minutes and added 4 transfers and 3 freshmen.
- Records coming in: Furman 4-0, Belmont 2-1.
Official profiles: John St. Clair, Jeff Campbell, Peter Larson
John St. ClairOfficial · 61 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
| Measure | Clair | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fouls per game | 37.1 | 34.5 | 31 of 284 |
| Technicals per game | 0.41 | 0.35 | 76 of 284 |
| Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points | 2.80 | 2.47 | 70 of 284 |
| Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call | 0.38 | 0.20 | 6 of 284 |
| Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games | 48.8% | 50.6% | 305 of 462 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 48.8% (81/166)Home covered 52.6% (80/152)Favorite covered 50.9% (85/167)Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Jeff CampbellOfficial · 73 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
| Measure | Campbell | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fouls per game | 35.9 | 34.5 | 71 of 284 |
| Technicals per game | 0.59 | 0.35 | 15 of 284 |
| Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points | 2.77 | 2.47 | 73 of 284 |
| Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call | 0.19 | 0.20 | 153 of 284 |
| Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games | 56.5% | 50.6% | 73 of 462 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 56.5% (70/124)Home covered 54.9% (62/113)Favorite covered 50.4% (62/123)Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Peter LarsonOfficial · 57 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: technicals per game.
- Quick with technicals: 0.65 a game vs 0.35 average (37 in 57 games)
| Measure | Larson | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fouls per game | 34.2 | 34.5 | 167 of 284 |
| Technicals per game | 0.65 | 0.35 | 8 of 284 |
| Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points | 2.11 | 2.47 | 227 of 284 |
| Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call | 0.21 | 0.20 | 114 of 284 |
| Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games | 44.2% | 50.6% | 403 of 462 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 44.2% (38/86)Home covered 50.6% (42/83)Favorite covered 46.0% (40/87)Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sat Nov 14 · 9:00 PM ET
Montana77
North Dakota77
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 154
SPREADNorth Dakota +1.553%
OVER / UNDEROver 150.557%
Win chance · North Dakota favored
OUR PICKNorth Dakota +1.5SPREAD
75Input quality (not a win chance)Our power numbers like North Dakota at this line; home court.
- North Dakota is at home against Montana.
- Montana went 18-16 last season.
- North Dakota went 18-17 last season.
RecordsMontana 1-2 · North Dakota 1-2
Players gradeMontana #296 · North Dakota #329
Record gradeMontana #263 · North Dakota #155
OfficialsBryan Anslinger, Mark Riggs, Sutton Simon
Ref notesAnslinger: Calls it tight: 37.8 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (2,572 in 68 games, 2024-26). High-foul crew: crews like this went over 55% last season.
STATS All 4 stats →
- Head to headMontana is 15-3 against North Dakota since 2008-09.
- PlayerTyler Thompson averaged 8.4 points per game for Montana in 2025-26 (30 games).
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Montana returns about 33% of its minutes and added 1 transfer and 3 freshmen.
- North Dakota returns about 20% of its minutes and added 2 transfers and 4 freshmen.
- Records coming in: Montana 1-2, North Dakota 1-2.
Official profiles: Bryan Anslinger, Mark Riggs, Sutton Simon
Bryan AnslingerOfficial · 68 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (high).
- Calls it tight: 37.8 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (2,572 in 68 games, 2024-26)
| Measure | Anslinger | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fouls per game | 37.8 | 34.5 | 18 of 284 |
| Technicals per game | 0.49 | 0.35 | 39 of 284 |
| Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points | 2.04 | 2.47 | 243 of 284 |
| Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call | 0.12 | 0.20 | 254 of 284 |
| Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games | 52.4% | 50.6% | 173 of 462 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 52.4% (87/166)Home covered 53.9% (82/152)Favorite covered 56.3% (94/167)Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Mark RiggsOfficial · 66 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
| Measure | Riggs | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fouls per game | 37.3 | 34.5 | 24 of 284 |
| Technicals per game | 0.44 | 0.35 | 57 of 284 |
| Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points | 2.27 | 2.47 | 187 of 284 |
| Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call | 0.27 | 0.20 | 48 of 284 |
| Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games | 55.8% | 50.6% | 94 of 462 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 55.8% (86/154)Home covered 47.8% (64/134)Favorite covered 49.1% (78/159)Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sutton SimonOfficial · 42 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
| Measure | Simon | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fouls per game | 36.5 | 34.5 | 47 of 284 |
| Technicals per game | 0.24 | 0.35 | 237 of 284 |
| Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points | 3.26 | 2.47 | 12 of 284 |
| Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call | 0.45 | 0.20 | 1 of 284 |
| Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games | 55.4% | 50.6% | 104 of 462 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 55.4% (31/56)Home covered 50.9% (28/55)Favorite covered 44.6% (25/56)Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sat Nov 14 · 10:00 PM ET
New Mexico81
Santa Clara79
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 160
SPREADNew Mexico -1.552%
OVER / UNDERUnder 165.561%
Win chance · New Mexico favored
OUR PICKNew Mexico -1.5SPREAD
75Input quality (not a win chance)Our power numbers like New Mexico at this line.
- Santa Clara is at home against New Mexico.
- New Mexico went 26-11 last season.
- Santa Clara went 26-9 last season.
RecordsNew Mexico 3-0 · Santa Clara 4-0
Players gradeNew Mexico #59 · Santa Clara #86
Record gradeNew Mexico #68 · Santa Clara #11
OfficialsMichael Greenstein, Mark Fulton, Kirk Smith
Ref notesFulton: Quick with technicals: 0.58 a game vs 0.35 average (35 in 60 games). Smith: Quick with technicals: 0.60 a game vs 0.35 average (26 in 43 games). High-foul crew: crews like this went over 55% last season.
STATS All 9 stats →
- HomeSanta Clara is 68-18 at home since the 2021-22 season.
- StreakJake Hall has scored 20+ points in 5 straight games for New Mexico, dating back to last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- New Mexico returns about 33% of its minutes and added 3 transfers and 5 freshmen.
- Santa Clara returns about 55% of its minutes and added 4 transfers and 3 freshmen.
- Records coming in: New Mexico 3-0, Santa Clara 4-0.
Official profiles: Michael Greenstein, Mark Fulton, Kirk Smith
Michael GreensteinOfficial · 170 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
| Measure | Greenstein | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fouls per game | 35.5 | 34.5 | 94 of 284 |
| Technicals per game | 0.47 | 0.35 | 42 of 284 |
| Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points | 2.45 | 2.47 | 139 of 284 |
| Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call | 0.32 | 0.20 | 18 of 284 |
| Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games | 52.0% | 50.6% | 184 of 462 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 52.0% (208/400)Home covered 52.5% (166/316)Favorite covered 50.1% (200/399)Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Mark FultonOfficial · 60 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: technicals per game.
- Quick with technicals: 0.58 a game vs 0.35 average (35 in 60 games)
| Measure | Fulton | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fouls per game | 36.5 | 34.5 | 44 of 284 |
| Technicals per game | 0.58 | 0.35 | 16 of 284 |
| Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points | 1.98 | 2.47 | 253 of 284 |
| Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call | 0.12 | 0.20 | 255 of 284 |
| Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games | 55.6% | 50.6% | 99 of 462 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 55.6% (65/117)Home covered 42.7% (47/110)Favorite covered 51.7% (60/116)Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Kirk SmithOfficial · 43 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: technicals per game.
- Quick with technicals: 0.60 a game vs 0.35 average (26 in 43 games)
| Measure | Smith | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fouls per game | 37.3 | 34.5 | 25 of 284 |
| Technicals per game | 0.60 | 0.35 | 13 of 284 |
| Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points | 2.05 | 2.47 | 241 of 284 |
| Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call | 0.21 | 0.20 | 117 of 284 |
| Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games | 58.4% | 50.6% | 44 of 462 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 58.4% (59/101)Home covered 48.0% (47/98)Favorite covered 57.8% (59/102)Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sat Nov 14 · 10:00 PM ET
Utah Valley71
Nevada81
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 152
SPREADNevada -9.552%
OVER / UNDEROver 151.551%
Win chance · Nevada favored
OUR PICKNevada -9.5SPREAD
75Input quality (not a win chance)Our power numbers like Nevada at this line; home court.
- Nevada is at home against Utah Valley.
- Utah Valley went 25-9 last season.
- Nevada went 24-13 last season.
RecordsUtah Valley 2-0 · Nevada 2-1
Players gradeUtah Valley #128 · Nevada #75
Record gradeUtah Valley #132 · Nevada #46
OfficialsMichael Irving, Earl Walton, Nate Harris
Ref watchEarl Walton: unders hit 51% of his 399 games since 2021-22.
Ref notesHigh-foul crew: crews like this went over 55% last season.
STATS All 9 stats →
- StreakNevada has won 11 straight home games, a run that began in January 2026.
- PlayerElijah Price averaged 12.8 points and 8.5 rebounds for Nevada in 2025-26 (37 games).
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Utah Valley returns about 38% of its minutes and added 3 transfers and 4 freshmen.
- Nevada returns about 36% of its minutes and added 5 transfers and 4 freshmen.
- Records coming in: Utah Valley 2-0, Nevada 2-1.
Official profiles: Michael Irving, Earl Walton, Nate Harris
Michael IrvingOfficial · 146 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
| Measure | Irving | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fouls per game | 35.5 | 34.5 | 92 of 284 |
| Technicals per game | 0.29 | 0.35 | 189 of 284 |
| Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points | 2.10 | 2.47 | 228 of 284 |
| Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call | 0.12 | 0.20 | 248 of 284 |
| Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games | 50.3% | 50.6% | 249 of 462 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.3% (186/370)Home covered 52.2% (157/301)Favorite covered 49.9% (184/369)Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Earl WaltonOfficial · 155 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
| Measure | Walton | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fouls per game | 36.1 | 34.5 | 62 of 284 |
| Technicals per game | 0.15 | 0.35 | 278 of 284 |
| Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points | 2.26 | 2.47 | 193 of 284 |
| Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call | 0.12 | 0.20 | 256 of 284 |
| Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games | 49.4% | 50.6% | 287 of 462 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.4% (197/399)Home covered 45.8% (154/336)Favorite covered 48.4% (193/399)Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Nate HarrisOfficial · 141 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
| Measure | Harris | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fouls per game | 36.6 | 34.5 | 42 of 284 |
| Technicals per game | 0.32 | 0.35 | 165 of 284 |
| Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points | 2.17 | 2.47 | 216 of 284 |
| Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call | 0.11 | 0.20 | 260 of 284 |
| Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games | 55.2% | 50.6% | 106 of 462 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 55.2% (169/306)Home covered 48.0% (122/254)Favorite covered 55.9% (170/304)Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
STAT CORNER college basketball stats for the games on this page All stats →
- PlayerZach Kraft averaged 8.1 points per game for North Dakota in 2025-26 (31 games).
- NewcomerUtah Valley newcomer Tanner Davis averaged 7.5 points per game at Utah Tech in 2025-26 (30 games).
- PlayerCourtney Anderson averaged 5.7 points per game for Montana in 2025-26 (8 games).
- HomeSanta Clara is 68-18 at home since the 2021-22 season.
Power rankings
POWER RANKINGS Nov 14
| # | Team | Record | Streak | Players | Record grade | Best win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida | 4-0 | W4 | #1 | #2 | Miami (N) |
| 2 | Duke | 3-1 | #2 | #105 | Coastal Carolina | |
| 3 | Kansas | 3-0 | W3 | #3 | #9 | Kentucky (N) |
| 4 | Houston | 3-0 | W3 | #8 | #33 | California (N) |
| 5 | Illinois | 3-1 | #5 | #57 | Sam Houston | |
| 6 | Michigan State | 4-0 | W4 | #7 | #3 | Duke (N) |
| 7 | Arizona | 3-1 | W3 | #12 | #17 | at Auburn |
| 8 | Texas | 3-0 | W3 | #4 | #148 | Grambling |
| 9 | Michigan | 2-1 | #13 | #36 | Marquette | |
| 10 | Texas Tech | 4-0 | W4 | #6 | #24 | Illinois |
| 11 | UConn | 4-0 | W4 | #16 | #4 | Michigan (N) |
| 12 | Vanderbilt | 4-0 | W4 | #20 | #12 | Memphis |
| 13 | Gonzaga | 2-1 | #11 | #37 | Purdue (N) | |
| 14 | UCLA | 3-0 | W3 | #22 | #39 | Arizona (N) |
| 15 | Louisville | 2-0 | #9 | #127 | Chattanooga | |
| 16 | Nebraska | 3-0 | W3 | #15 | #38 | Providence (N) |
| 17 | Miami | 3-1 | W3 | #14 | #130 | North Alabama |
| 18 | Iowa State | 2-1 | #17 | #154 | Southern Miss | |
| 19 | Virginia | 5-0 | W5 | #24 | #1 | Arkansas (N) |
| 20 | BYU | 4-0 | W4 | #18 | #5 | Ohio State (N) |
| 21 | Arkansas | 3-1 | #10 | #66 | Central Arkansas | |
| 22 | St. John's | 3-0 | W3 | #23 | #56 | Monmouth |
| 23 | Alabama | 4-0 | W4 | #21 | #13 | Seton Hall |
| 24 | Saint Louis | 3-0 | W3 | #31 | #28 | Missouri (N) |
| 25 | Baylor | 3-0 | W3 | #25 | #75 | Yale |