BetSharpr
Updated Nov 14, 11:13 PM ET
2026 SEASON · 47 PICKS
OUR RECORD every graded pick, wins and losses
Last 7 days
1-1
50.0% wins
Season top picks
7-4-1
63.6% wins
Top 25 games
64-68-1
48.5% wins
EVERY GAME TODAY 55 on the board · 47 with a pick, the rest a pass
Top 25 games 18 games
Duke22
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Miami37
SpreadMiami -13.552%
TotalOver 54.560%
Sat Nov 14 · 12:00 PM ET
Duke@5Miami
18%
82%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKMiami -13.5SPREAD
We like Miami at this line.
Trust score · High 80
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • No. 5 Miami (8-1) is at home against Duke (7-2).
  • Duke has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 32 and allowing 11 a game.
Out: Duke
C. Salas (K), K. Simmons (WR)
STATS All 7 stats →
  • HomeMiami is 29-10 at home since 2021.
  • QuarterbackDarian Mensah has thrown 3+ TD passes in 9 of his last 10 games (1 of them at Duke last season).
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Miami has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 39 and allowing 31 a game.
  • Duke is missing C. Salas (K), K. Simmons (WR).
  • Miami is missing C. Brown (RB), J. Moore (WR).
  • Their games this season have averaged about 55 combined points; the posted total is 54.5.
Out: Miami
C. Brown (RB), J. Moore (WR)
Records
Duke 7-2 · Miami 8-1
Northwestern21
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Ohio State33
SpreadNorthwestern +1455%
TotalOver 45.571%
Sat Nov 14 · 12:00 PM ET
Northwestern@21Ohio State
23%
77%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKNorthwestern +14SPREAD
We like Northwestern at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Loud stadium: Ohio Stadium, #8 on our list of toughest road crowds
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • No. 21 Ohio State (6-3) is at home against Northwestern (6-3).
  • Northwestern has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 26 and allowing 23 a game.
Out: Northwestern
A. Chiles (QB), J. Fussell (CB)
STATS All 10 stats →
  • Head to headOhio State has beaten Northwestern 11 straight times (since 2005).
  • ReceivingJeremiah Smith has caught a TD pass in 9 of his last 10 games, dating back to last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Ohio State has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 28 and allowing 26 a game.
  • Northwestern is playing without its starting quarterback (Aidan Chiles).
  • Ohio State is playing without its starting quarterback (Julian Sayin).
  • Northwestern faces one of the tougher road crowds in the country.
Out: Ohio State
J. Jackson (RB), J. Sayin (QB)
Records
Northwestern 6-3 · Ohio State 6-3
Wake Forest35
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
SMU26
SpreadWake Forest +1.574%
TotalUnder 60.550%
Sat Nov 14 · 12:00 PM ET
11Wake Forest@25SMU
71%
29%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKWake Forest +1.5SPREAD
We like Wake Forest at this line.
Trust score · High 80
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • No. 25 SMU (7-2) is at home against No. 11 Wake Forest (8-1).
  • Wake Forest has won its last 4, scoring 52 and allowing 7 a game.
Out: SMU
C. Brown (WR), I. Singleton IV (DL), T. Polley Jr. (S)
STATS All 9 stats →
  • ScoringWake Forest has scored 30+ points in 9 of its last 10 games.
  • QuarterbackKevin Jennings has thrown 2+ TD passes in 6 straight games.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • SMU has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 40 and allowing 23 a game.
  • SMU is missing C. Brown (WR), I. Singleton IV (DL), T. Polley Jr. (S).
  • Their games this season have averaged about 60 combined points; the posted total is 60.5.
Records
Wake Forest 8-1 · SMU 7-2
Alabama39
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Vanderbilt16
SpreadAlabama -1471%
TotalOver 48.565%
Sat Nov 14 · 12:45 PM ET
7Alabama@Vanderbilt
92%
8%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKAlabama -14SPREAD
We like Alabama at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 48°F, sunny.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Vanderbilt (4-5) is at home against No. 7 Alabama (7-2).
  • Alabama has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 22 and allowing 20 a game.
Out: Alabama
A. Dear (RB), J. Ford (TE)
STATS All 3 stats →
  • ConferenceAlabama is 41-11 in SEC games since 2021.
  • ReceivingJunior Sherrill has 6+ catches in 7 of his last 10 games, dating back to last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Vanderbilt has won 1 of its last 4, scoring 20 and allowing 35 a game.
  • Alabama is missing A. Dear (RB), J. Ford (TE).
  • Alabama is in a letdown spot after an upset win.
  • Their games this season have averaged about 55 combined points; the posted total is 48.5.
Records
Alabama 7-2 · Vanderbilt 4-5
Tennessee21
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Texas A&M18
SpreadTennessee -1.555%
TotalUnder 44.564%
Sat Nov 14 · 3:00 PM ET
9Tennessee@Texas A&M
59%
41%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKTennessee -1.5SPREAD
We like Tennessee at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 70°F, partly sunny, wind up to 15 mph.
Loud stadium: Kyle Field, #10 on our list of toughest road crowds
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Texas A&M (4-5) is at home against No. 9 Tennessee (7-2).
  • Tennessee has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 27 and allowing 15 a game.
Out: Tennessee
D. Morris (RB)
STATS All 5 stats →
  • HomeTexas A&M is 32-9 at home since 2021.
  • RushingDeSean Bishop has 100+ rushing yards in 5 straight games.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Texas A&M has won 1 of its last 4, scoring 19 and allowing 19 a game.
  • Tennessee is missing D. Morris (RB).
  • Texas A&M is missing A. Bethel-Roman (WR), T. Bussey (WR).
  • Tennessee may be looking ahead to a ranked opponent next week.
Out: Texas A&M
A. Bethel-Roman (WR), T. Bussey (WR)
Records
Tennessee 7-2 · Texas A&M 4-5
Missouri18
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Georgia34
TotalOver 48.558%
Sat Nov 14 · 3:30 PM ET
Missouri@1Georgia
15%
85%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKNo pick
Our numbers and the betting line agree on this one, so there is no side to take.
Game-time forecast: 58°F, sunny, wind up to 10 mph.
Loud stadium: Sanford Stadium, #19 on our list of toughest road crowds
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • No. 1 Georgia (8-1) is at home against Missouri (6-3).
  • Missouri has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 21 and allowing 20 a game.
Out: Georgia
I. Canion (WR)
STATS All 8 stats →
  • HomeGeorgia is 35-2 at home since 2021.
  • DefenseNicholas Rodriguez has recorded 10+ tackles in 7 of his last 10 games, dating back to last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Georgia has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 28 and allowing 15 a game.
  • Georgia is missing I. Canion (WR).
  • Missouri faces one of the tougher road crowds in the country.
  • Their games this season have averaged about 53 combined points; the posted total is 48.5.
Records
Missouri 6-3 · Georgia 8-1
USC20
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Indiana29
SpreadUSC +9.552%
TotalUnder 51.556%
Sat Nov 14 · 3:30 PM ET
15USC@6Indiana
30%
70%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKUSC +9.5SPREAD
We like USC at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 47°F, sunny, wind up to 8 mph.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • No. 6 Indiana (8-1) is at home against No. 15 USC (7-2).
  • USC has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 23 and allowing 22 a game.
Out: USC
C. Simms (WR), T. Anderson (WR)
STATS All 5 stats →
  • DefenseTobi Osunsanmi has recorded a sack in 8 straight games.
  • ReceivingNick Marsh has caught a TD pass in 8 of his last 10 games (1 of them at Michigan State last season).
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Indiana has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 18 and allowing 14 a game.
  • USC is missing C. Simms (WR), T. Anderson (WR).
  • Indiana is missing T. Richard (RB).
  • USC comes in rested off a bye week.
Out: Indiana
T. Richard (RB)
Records
USC 7-2 · Indiana 8-1
Michigan13
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Oregon29
SpreadOregon -10.565%
TotalOver 39.557%
Sat Nov 14 · 3:30 PM ET
Michigan@18Oregon
15%
85%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKOregon -10.5SPREAD
We like Oregon at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 58°F, mostly cloudy, wind up to 10 mph.
Loud stadium: Autzen Stadium, #18 on our list of toughest road crowds
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • No. 18 Oregon (6-3) is at home against Michigan (5-4).
  • Michigan has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 15 and allowing 17 a game.
Out: Michigan
B. Underwood (QB)
STATS All 3 stats →
  • HomeOregon is 37-3 at home since 2021.
  • ConferenceMichigan is 43-11 in Big Ten games since 2021.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Oregon has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 26 and allowing 22 a game.
  • Michigan is playing without its starting quarterback (Bryce Underwood).
  • Oregon is missing A. Flowers (CB), A. Olesh (TE), J. Davison (RB).
  • Oregon is in a letdown spot after an upset win.
Out: Oregon
A. Flowers (CB), A. Olesh (TE), J. Davison (RB)
Records
Michigan 5-4 · Oregon 6-3
Boston College9
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Notre Dame39
SpreadNotre Dame -3149%
TotalUnder 51.558%
Sat Nov 14 · 3:30 PM ET
Boston College@3Notre Dame
3%
97%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKNotre Dame -31SPREAD
We like Notre Dame at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 45°F, chance rain showers, wind up to 10 mph, 36% chance of rain.
Loud stadium: Notre Dame Stadium, #9 on our list of toughest road crowds
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • No. 3 Notre Dame (8-1) is at home against Boston College (4-5).
  • Boston College has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 26 and allowing 32 a game.
Out: Notre Dame
F. Brewu (DT), J. Onye (DT)
STATS All 6 stats →
  • Head to headNotre Dame has beaten Boston College 10 straight times (since 2009).
  • QuarterbackC.J. Carr has not thrown an interception in 5 straight games.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Notre Dame has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 37 and allowing 18 a game.
  • Notre Dame is missing F. Brewu (DT), J. Onye (DT).
  • Notre Dame may be looking ahead to a ranked opponent next week.
  • Boston College faces one of the tougher road crowds in the country.
Records
Boston College 4-5 · Notre Dame 8-1
Oregon State27
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Boise State40
SpreadOregon State +16.559%
TotalOver 63.560%
Sat Nov 14 · 6:00 PM ET
Oregon State@17Boise State
21%
79%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKOregon State +16.5SPREAD
We like Oregon State at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 55°F, sunny.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • No. 17 Boise State (8-1) is at home against Oregon State (5-4).
  • Oregon State has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 39 and allowing 31 a game.
Out: Oregon State
B. Atkinson (QB), E. Freauff (WR)
STATS All 6 stats →
  • RankedOregon State is 4-23 against ranked teams since 2016.
  • QuarterbackBraden Atkinson has thrown for 2,775 yards, 24 TDs and 3 INTs in 8 games this season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Boise State has won its last 4, scoring 45 and allowing 31 a game.
  • Oregon State is playing without its starting quarterback (Braden Atkinson).
  • Their games this season have averaged about 65 combined points; the posted total is 63.5.
Records
Oregon State 5-4 · Boise State 8-1
Florida29
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Kentucky31
SpreadFlorida +1.549%
TotalOver 52.566%
Sat Nov 14 · 6:15 PM ET
Florida@13Kentucky
45%
55%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKFlorida +1.5SPREAD
We like Florida at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 44°F, partly cloudy.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • No. 13 Kentucky (7-2) is at home against Florida (5-4).
  • Florida has won 1 of its last 4, scoring 15 and allowing 28 a game.
Out: Florida
V. Brown (WR)
STATS
  • RushingJadan Baugh has scored a rushing TD in 8 of his last 10 games, dating back to last season.
  • KickerPatrick Durkin has made 11 of 12 field goals this season (92%), with a long of 53 yards.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Kentucky has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 24 and allowing 24 a game.
  • Florida is missing V. Brown (WR).
  • Kentucky is missing N. Anderson (WR).
  • Their games this season have averaged about 58 combined points; the posted total is 52.5.
Out: Kentucky
N. Anderson (WR)
Records
Florida 5-4 · Kentucky 7-2
Baylor22
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
BYU24
SpreadBaylor +8.565%
TotalUnder 50.561%
Sat Nov 14 · 7:00 PM ET
Baylor@12BYU
44%
56%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKBaylor +8.5SPREAD
We like Baylor at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 46°F, partly sunny.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • No. 12 BYU (7-2) is at home against Baylor (6-3).
  • Baylor has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 28 and allowing 20 a game.
Out: BYU
R. Saleapaga (TE)
STATS All 6 stats →
  • StreakBYU has won 12 straight home games.
  • ReceivingGavin Freeman has 6+ catches in 9 of his last 10 games (1 of them at Oklahoma State last season).
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • BYU has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 26 and allowing 28 a game.
  • BYU is missing R. Saleapaga (TE).
  • Their games this season have averaged about 50 combined points; the posted total is 50.5.
Records
Baylor 6-3 · BYU 7-2
Texas23
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
LSU27
TotalOver 46.558%
Sat Nov 14 · 7:30 PM ET
8Texas@24LSU
40%
60%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKNo pick
Our numbers and the betting line agree on this one, so there is no side to take.
Game-time forecast: 57°F, mostly clear.
Loud stadium: Tiger Stadium, #1 on our list of toughest road crowds
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • No. 24 LSU (6-3) is at home against No. 8 Texas (7-2).
  • Texas has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 31 and allowing 19 a game.
Out: LSU
D. Spears (S), P. Wright III (WR)
STATS All 8 stats →
  • HomeLSU is 35-6 at home since 2021.
  • KickerGianni Spetic has made 14 of 15 field goals this season (93%), with a long of 52 yards.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • LSU has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 29 and allowing 21 a game.
  • LSU is missing D. Spears (S), P. Wright III (WR).
  • Texas faces one of the tougher road crowds in the country.
  • Their games this season have averaged about 52 combined points; the posted total is 46.5.
Records
Texas 7-2 · LSU 6-3
Purdue18
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Iowa33
SpreadPurdue +17.557%
TotalOver 47.558%
Sat Nov 14 · 7:30 PM ET
Purdue@16Iowa
18%
82%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKPurdue +17.5SPREAD
We like Purdue at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 40°F, clear.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • No. 16 Iowa (7-2) is at home against Purdue (3-6).
  • Purdue has won 1 of its last 4, scoring 28 and allowing 29 a game.
Records
Purdue 3-6 · Iowa 7-2
STATS All 4 stats →
  • RankedPurdue is 7-27 against ranked teams since 2016.
  • KickerJacobo Echeverria Lozano has made 21 of 22 field goals this season (95%), with a long of 49 yards.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Iowa has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 26 and allowing 12 a game.
  • Their games this season have averaged about 51 combined points; the posted total is 47.5.
UNLV15
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
New Mexico35
SpreadNew Mexico -16.559%
TotalOver 46.558%
Sat Nov 14 · 7:30 PM ET
UNLV@23New Mexico
11%
89%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKNew Mexico -16.5SPREAD
We like New Mexico at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 52°F, slight chance rain showers.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • No. 23 New Mexico (8-1) is at home against UNLV (5-4).
  • UNLV has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 28 and allowing 28 a game.
Out: UNLV
D. Irvin Jr. (WR)
STATS
  • DefenseNew Mexico has held 9 of its last 10 opponents under 20 points.
  • StreakNew Mexico has won 11 straight home games.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • New Mexico has won its last 4, scoring 24 and allowing 11 a game.
  • UNLV is missing D. Irvin Jr. (WR).
  • New Mexico is missing M. Mingo (WR), T. Omeire (WR).
  • Their games this season have averaged about 49 combined points; the posted total is 46.5.
Out: New Mexico
M. Mingo (WR), T. Omeire (WR)
Records
UNLV 5-4 · New Mexico 8-1
South Carolina32
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Arkansas23
SpreadSouth Carolina -7.555%
TotalOver 51.558%
Sat Nov 14 · 7:45 PM ET
20South Carolina@Arkansas
72%
28%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKSouth Carolina -7.5SPREAD
We like South Carolina at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 47°F, mostly cloudy.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Arkansas (3-6) is at home against No. 20 South Carolina (6-3).
  • South Carolina has won its last 4, scoring 31 and allowing 19 a game.
Out: South Carolina
N. Harbor (WR), N. Tuggle (WR)
STATS All 4 stats →
  • RankedArkansas is 9-49 against ranked teams since 2016.
  • DefenseFred Johnson has recorded 10+ tackles in 4 of his last 5 games.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Arkansas has won 1 of its last 4, scoring 20 and allowing 26 a game.
  • South Carolina is missing N. Harbor (WR), N. Tuggle (WR).
  • South Carolina may be looking ahead to a ranked opponent next week.
  • Their games this season have averaged about 53 combined points; the posted total is 51.5.
Records
South Carolina 6-3 · Arkansas 3-6
Texas Tech30
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Oklahoma State42
SpreadOklahoma State -3.571%
TotalUnder 73.555%
Sat Nov 14 · 9:30 PM ET
10Texas Tech@Oklahoma State
22%
78%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKOklahoma State -3.5SPREAD
We like Oklahoma State at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 47°F, chance rain showers, wind up to 8 mph, 66% chance of rain.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Oklahoma State (6-3) is at home against No. 10 Texas Tech (8-1).
  • Texas Tech has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 41 and allowing 34 a game.
Out: Texas Tech
C. Eakin (WR), D. Lee Jr. (WR), Q. Joyner (RB)
STATS All 5 stats →
  • RankedTexas Tech is 4-13 on the road against ranked teams since 2016.
  • QuarterbackDrew Mestemaker has thrown for 300+ yards in 8 straight games.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Oklahoma State has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 51 and allowing 34 a game.
  • Texas Tech is playing without its starting quarterback (Will Hammond).
  • Oklahoma State is missing C. Kolb (TE).
  • Game-time forecast: 47°F, chance rain showers, wind up to 8 mph, 66% chance of rain.
Out: Oklahoma State
C. Kolb (TE)
Records
Texas Tech 8-1 · Oklahoma State 6-3
Utah29
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Arizona26
SpreadUtah -1.555%
TotalUnder 55.552%
Sat Nov 14 · 10:30 PM ET
2Utah@22Arizona
59%
41%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKUtah -1.5SPREAD
We like Utah at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 59°F, partly cloudy.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • No. 22 Arizona (7-2) is at home against No. 2 Utah (9-0).
  • Utah has won its last 4, scoring 31 and allowing 20 a game.
Out: Arizona
D. Austin (S), I. Mahdi (RB), T. Spivey (WR)
STATS All 5 stats →
  • StreakUtah has won 15 games in a row.
  • QuarterbackNoah Fifita has thrown for 250+ yards in 7 straight games.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Arizona has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 36 and allowing 24 a game.
  • Arizona is missing D. Austin (S), I. Mahdi (RB), T. Spivey (WR).
  • Their games this season have averaged about 54 combined points; the posted total is 55.5.
Records
Utah 9-0 · Arizona 7-2
More games 37 games
Cincinnati29
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Iowa State32
TotalOver 58.557%
Sat Nov 14 · 12:00 PM ET
Cincinnati@Iowa State
43%
57%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKNo pick
Our numbers and the betting line agree on this one, so there is no side to take.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Iowa State (4-5) is at home against Cincinnati (5-4).
  • Cincinnati has won 1 of its last 4, scoring 32 and allowing 37 a game.
Out: Cincinnati
J. Gibson (WR)
STATS
  • KickerKyle Konrardy has made a field goal in 11 straight games, dating back to last season.
  • RushingAiden Flora has 1,119 rushing yards and 9 rushing TDs in 9 games this season (7.1 per carry).
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Iowa State has won 1 of its last 4, scoring 24 and allowing 38 a game.
  • Cincinnati is missing J. Gibson (WR).
  • Iowa State is missing C. Jackson (WR), C. Pabst (WR).
  • Their games this season have averaged about 60 combined points; the posted total is 58.5.
Out: Iowa State
C. Jackson (WR), C. Pabst (WR)
Records
Cincinnati 5-4 · Iowa State 4-5
Syracuse29
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
NC State28
SpreadNC State +354%
TotalOver 54.556%
Sat Nov 14 · 12:00 PM ET
Syracuse@NC State
54%
46%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKNC State +3SPREAD
We like NC State at this line.
Trust score · High 80
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • NC State (4-5) is at home against Syracuse (4-5).
  • Syracuse has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 25 and allowing 27 a game.
Out: Syracuse
S. Anderson (RB)
STATS All 3 stats →
  • HomeNC State is 32-9 at home since 2021.
  • ReceivingUmari Hatcher has 6+ catches in 6 of his 9 games this season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • NC State has won 1 of its last 4, scoring 19 and allowing 30 a game.
  • Syracuse is missing S. Anderson (RB).
  • NC State is missing H. Provience (TE), V. Ploog (TE), W. Wilson (QB).
  • Their games this season have averaged about 56 combined points; the posted total is 54.5.
Out: NC State
H. Provience (TE), V. Ploog (TE), W. Wilson (QB)
Records
Syracuse 4-5 · NC State 4-5
Wisconsin25
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Maryland21
SpreadMaryland +8.560%
TotalOver 41.561%
Sat Nov 14 · 12:00 PM ET
Wisconsin@Maryland
61%
39%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKMaryland +8.5SPREAD
We like Maryland at this line.
Trust score · High 80
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Maryland (3-6) is at home against Wisconsin (6-3).
  • Wisconsin has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 16 and allowing 16 a game.
Out: Wisconsin
K. Heywood (OT)
STATS
  • ReceivingChris Durr Jr. has 6+ catches in 7 of his 9 games this season.
  • DefenseCooper Catalano has recorded 10+ tackles in 4 of his last 5 games.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Maryland has won 1 of its last 4, scoring 24 and allowing 33 a game.
  • Wisconsin is playing without its starting quarterback (Colton Joseph).
  • Maryland is missing H. Dalton (RB), L. Willson (RB).
  • Their games this season have averaged about 50 combined points; the posted total is 41.5.
Out: Maryland
H. Dalton (RB), L. Willson (RB)
Records
Wisconsin 6-3 · Maryland 3-6
James Madison37
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
UConn27
SpreadJames Madison -463%
TotalOver 56.568%
Sat Nov 14 · 12:00 PM ET
James Madison@UConn
72%
28%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKJames Madison -4SPREAD
We like James Madison at this line.
Trust score · High 80
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • UConn (4-5) is at home against James Madison (8-2).
  • James Madison has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 39 and allowing 26 a game.
Records
James Madison 8-2 · UConn 4-5
STATS All 4 stats →
  • After a lossUConn is 19-52 in the game after a loss since 2016.
  • RushingCyncir Bowers has scored a rushing TD in 7 of his 9 games this season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • UConn has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 29 and allowing 27 a game.
  • Their games this season have averaged about 60 combined points; the posted total is 56.5.
Georgia Tech16
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Clemson31
TotalUnder 47.554%
Sat Nov 14 · 12:30 PM ET
Georgia Tech@Clemson
18%
82%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKNo pick
Our numbers and the betting line agree on this one, so there is no side to take.
RIVALRY Clemson-Georgia Tech rivalry
Game-time forecast: 53°F, sunny.
Loud stadium: Memorial Stadium, #11 on our list of toughest road crowds
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Clemson (6-3) is at home against Georgia Tech (2-7).
  • Georgia Tech has lost its last 4, scoring 20 and allowing 40 a game.
Out: Georgia Tech
K. Roche (TE)
STATS All 6 stats →
  • Head to headClemson has won 9 of the last 10 meetings with Georgia Tech (since 2015).
  • KickerNolan Hauser has made a field goal in 18 straight games, dating back to last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Clemson has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 27 and allowing 14 a game.
  • Georgia Tech is missing K. Roche (TE).
  • Clemson is missing C. Vizzina (QB), D. Eziomume (RB), G. Davidson (RB).
  • Georgia Tech faces one of the tougher road crowds in the country.
Out: Clemson
C. Vizzina (QB), D. Eziomume (RB), G. Davidson (RB), T. Brown (WR)
Records
Georgia Tech 2-7 · Clemson 6-3
Nebraska34
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Rutgers22
SpreadRutgers +15.560%
TotalOver 51.560%
Sat Nov 14 · 12:30 PM ET
Nebraska@Rutgers
76%
24%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKRutgers +15.5SPREAD
We like Rutgers at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 45°F, mostly cloudy, wind up to 15 mph.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Rutgers (2-7) is at home against Nebraska (5-4).
  • Nebraska has lost its last 4, scoring 14 and allowing 20 a game.
Out: Nebraska
A. Jones Jr. (DL), V. Genatone (RB)
STATS All 3 stats →
  • After a lossRutgers is 19-58 in the game after a loss since 2016.
  • ReceivingKJ Duff has 45 catches for 774 yards and 9 TDs in 7 games this season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Rutgers has won 1 of its last 4, scoring 20 and allowing 33 a game.
  • Nebraska is missing A. Jones Jr. (DL), V. Genatone (RB).
  • Rutgers is missing D. Lonergan (QB), K. Duff (WR), K. Sanders (CB).
  • Nebraska may be looking ahead to a ranked opponent next week.
Out: Rutgers
D. Lonergan (QB), K. Duff (WR), K. Sanders (CB)
Records
Nebraska 5-4 · Rutgers 2-7
East Carolina31
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Charlotte19
SpreadEast Carolina -12.548%
TotalOver 45.561%
Sat Nov 14 · 1:00 PM ET
East Carolina@Charlotte
76%
24%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKEast Carolina -12.5SPREAD
We like East Carolina at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 53°F, sunny, wind up to 10 mph.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Charlotte (1-8) is at home against East Carolina (5-4).
  • East Carolina has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 22 and allowing 24 a game.
Out: East Carolina
I. Smith Flores (TE), J. Melvin (WR), M. Griffis (QB), T. Engleman (RB)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Charlotte has won 1 of its last 4, scoring 23 and allowing 36 a game.
  • East Carolina is playing without its starting quarterback (Mitch Griffis).
  • Charlotte is playing without its starting quarterback (Cole Gonzales).
  • Their games this season have averaged about 52 combined points; the posted total is 45.5.
Records
East Carolina 5-4 · Charlotte 1-8
UAB21
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Temple24
TotalUnder 47.555%
Sat Nov 14 · 1:00 PM ET
UAB@Temple
43%
57%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKNo pick
Our numbers and the betting line agree on this one, so there is no side to take.
Game-time forecast: 46°F, mostly cloudy, wind up to 15 mph.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Temple (2-7) is at home against UAB (5-4).
  • UAB has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 19 and allowing 24 a game.
Out: UAB
A. Ferguson (TE), J. Elder (WR)
STATS All 4 stats →
  • RoadUAB is 6-28 on the road since 2021.
  • DefenseMarlin Dean has 11.5 sacks in 9 games this season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Temple has lost its last 4, scoring 24 and allowing 33 a game.
  • UAB is missing A. Ferguson (TE), J. Elder (WR).
  • Temple is missing H. Smith (RB), P. Clarke (TE), R. Stocksdale (WR).
  • Game-time forecast: 46°F, mostly cloudy, wind up to 15 mph.
Out: Temple
H. Smith (RB), P. Clarke (TE), R. Stocksdale (WR)
Records
UAB 5-4 · Temple 2-7
Arkansas State22
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Coastal Carolina25
SpreadCoastal Carolina -1.554%
TotalUnder 52.562%
Sat Nov 14 · 1:00 PM ET
Arkansas State@Coastal Carolina
43%
57%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKCoastal Carolina -1.5SPREAD
We like Coastal Carolina at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 58°F, sunny, wind up to 8 mph.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Coastal Carolina (3-6) is at home against Arkansas State (4-5).
  • Arkansas State has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 32 and allowing 30 a game.
Records
Arkansas State 4-5 · Coastal Carolina 3-6
STATS All 3 stats →
  • QuarterbackDeuce Bailey has thrown 2+ TD passes in 7 of his 9 games this season.
  • DefenseMarcellius Pulliam has 97 tackles in 9 games this season (10.8 per game).
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Coastal Carolina has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 24 and allowing 24 a game.
  • Their games this season have averaged about 52 combined points; the posted total is 52.5.
Kansas State15
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
TCU28
TotalUnder 44.552%
Sat Nov 14 · 2:00 PM ET
Kansas State@TCU
21%
79%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKNo pick
Our numbers and the betting line agree on this one, so there is no side to take.
Game-time forecast: 62°F, slight chance rain showers, wind up to 15 mph, 23% chance of rain.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • TCU (4-5) is at home against Kansas State (4-5).
  • Kansas State has won 1 of its last 4, scoring 26 and allowing 36 a game.
Out: Kansas State
J. Knuth (QB), W. Anciaux (TE)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • TCU has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 22 and allowing 19 a game.
  • Kansas State is playing without its starting quarterback (Avery Johnson).
  • TCU is missing J. Denman (RB), M. Short (LB).
  • Kansas State may be looking ahead to a ranked opponent next week.
Out: TCU
J. Denman (RB), M. Short (LB)
Records
Kansas State 4-5 · TCU 4-5
Kennesaw State24
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Sam Houston21
SpreadSam Houston +760%
TotalUnder 45.553%
Sat Nov 14 · 2:00 PM ET
Kennesaw State@Sam Houston
57%
43%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKSam Houston +7SPREAD
We like Sam Houston at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 66°F, partly sunny, wind up to 15 mph.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Sam Houston (1-8) is at home against Kennesaw State (3-6).
  • Kennesaw State has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 28 and allowing 32 a game.
Out: Kennesaw State
Z. Booker (WR)
STATS
  • After a lossSam Houston is 7-21 in the game after a loss since 2016.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Sam Houston has lost its last 4, scoring 11 and allowing 29 a game.
  • Kennesaw State is missing Z. Booker (WR).
  • Sam Houston is missing K. Berry-Johnson (WR).
  • Kennesaw State is in a letdown spot after an upset win.
Out: Sam Houston
K. Berry-Johnson (WR)
Records
Kennesaw State 3-6 · Sam Houston 1-8
New Mexico State25
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Missouri State26
SpreadNew Mexico State +1.552%
TotalOver 49.554%
Sat Nov 14 · 3:00 PM ET
New Mexico State@Missouri State
49%
51%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKNew Mexico State +1.5SPREAD
We like New Mexico State at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 50°F, sunny.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Missouri State (3-6) is at home against New Mexico State (3-6).
  • New Mexico State has won 1 of its last 4, scoring 12 and allowing 25 a game.
Out: New Mexico State
J. Thomas (TE), T. King (WR)
STATS All 4 stats →
  • ReceivingJmariyae Robinson has 6+ catches in 5 straight games.
  • DefenseJared Lloyd has recorded 10+ tackles in 6 of his 9 games this season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Missouri State has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 26 and allowing 27 a game.
  • New Mexico State is playing without its starting quarterback (Adam Damante).
  • Missouri State is playing without its starting quarterback (Skyler Locklear).
  • Their games this season have averaged about 50 combined points; the posted total is 49.5.
Records
New Mexico State 3-6 · Missouri State 3-6
Florida International21
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Delaware26
SpreadDelaware -452%
TotalUnder 54.567%
Sat Nov 14 · 3:00 PM ET
Florida International@Delaware
38%
62%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKDelaware -4SPREAD
We like Delaware at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 48°F, partly sunny, wind up to 15 mph.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Delaware (4-5) is at home against Florida International (4-5).
  • Florida International has won 1 of its last 4, scoring 20 and allowing 30 a game.
Out: Florida International
G. Gaines (WR)
STATS All 3 stats →
  • RoadFlorida International is 7-27 on the road since 2021.
  • QuarterbackNick Minicucci has thrown for 1,885 yards, 16 TDs and 4 INTs in 7 games this season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Delaware has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 42 and allowing 34 a game.
  • Florida International is missing G. Gaines (WR).
  • Delaware is missing G. Spiller (RB).
  • Game-time forecast: 48°F, partly sunny, wind up to 15 mph.
Out: Delaware
G. Spiller (RB)
Records
Florida International 4-5 · Delaware 4-5
California17
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Virginia29
SpreadVirginia -1056%
TotalUnder 46.551%
Sat Nov 14 · 3:30 PM ET
California@Virginia
22%
78%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKVirginia -10SPREAD
We like Virginia at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 52°F, mostly sunny, wind up to 14 mph.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Virginia (4-5) is at home against California (3-6).
  • California has won 1 of its last 4, scoring 16 and allowing 38 a game.
Out: California
C. Vargas (RB), D. Thomas (TE), J. King (WR)
STATS
  • ReceivingDashawn Martin has caught a TD pass in 7 of his last 10 games (1 of them at Kent State last season).
  • DefenseKingston Lopa has 5 interceptions in 6 games this season, including a pick-six.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Virginia has won 1 of its last 4, scoring 16 and allowing 30 a game.
  • California is missing C. Vargas (RB), D. Thomas (TE), J. King (WR).
  • Virginia is missing E. Minter (S), J. Hammond (DL), R. Flores Jr. (WR).
  • California comes in rested off a bye week.
Out: Virginia
E. Minter (S), J. Hammond (DL), R. Flores Jr. (WR)
Records
California 3-6 · Virginia 4-5
Kansas34
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
West Virginia35
SpreadKansas +354%
TotalOver 68.552%
Sat Nov 14 · 3:30 PM ET
Kansas@West Virginia
46%
54%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKKansas +3SPREAD
We like Kansas at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 45°F, cloudy, wind up to 13 mph.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • West Virginia (5-4) is at home against Kansas (3-6).
  • Kansas has won 1 of its last 4, scoring 24 and allowing 28 a game.
Out: Kansas
J. Dupree (RB), Y. Willis (RB)
STATS All 7 stats →
  • After a lossKansas is 17-62 in the game after a loss since 2016.
  • RushingMichael Hawkins Jr. has scored a rushing TD in all 9 games this season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • West Virginia has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 37 and allowing 42 a game.
  • Kansas is missing J. Dupree (RB), Y. Willis (RB).
  • West Virginia is missing M. Boswell (RB).
  • Kansas may be looking ahead to a ranked opponent next week.
Out: West Virginia
M. Boswell (RB)
Records
Kansas 3-6 · West Virginia 5-4
Nevada29
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Northern Illinois20
SpreadNevada -5.560%
TotalOver 47.554%
Sat Nov 14 · 3:30 PM ET
Nevada@Northern Illinois
72%
28%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKNevada -5.5SPREAD
We like Nevada at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 45°F, sunny.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Northern Illinois (0-9) is at home against Nevada (3-6).
  • Nevada has won 1 of its last 4, scoring 12 and allowing 26 a game.
Out: Nevada
J. McFadden (K), L. Duncan (QB)
STATS All 3 stats →
  • RoadNevada is 8-26 on the road since 2021.
  • DefenseEJ Smith has 95 tackles in 9 games this season (10.6 per game).
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Northern Illinois has lost its last 4, scoring 22 and allowing 40 a game.
  • Nevada is missing J. McFadden (K), L. Duncan (QB).
  • Northern Illinois is missing G. Weber (TE).
  • Their games this season have averaged about 49 combined points; the posted total is 47.5.
Out: Northern Illinois
G. Weber (TE)
Records
Nevada 3-6 · Northern Illinois 0-9
Georgia Southern29
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Georgia State26
SpreadGeorgia State +657%
TotalUnder 55.550%
Sat Nov 14 · 3:30 PM ET
Georgia Southern@Georgia State
57%
43%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKGeorgia State +6SPREAD
We like Georgia State at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 54°F, sunny, wind up to 10 mph.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Georgia State (5-4) is at home against Georgia Southern (5-4).
  • Georgia Southern has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 29 and allowing 14 a game.
Out: Georgia Southern
A. Hollins (WR), T. Bradshaw (WR)
STATS All 3 stats →
  • ReceivingRodshaun Dorsey has caught a TD pass in 6 of his 9 games this season.
  • QuarterbackMax Johnson has thrown 3+ TD passes in 3 of his last 5 games.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Georgia State has won 1 of its last 4, scoring 28 and allowing 35 a game.
  • Georgia Southern is missing A. Hollins (WR), T. Bradshaw (WR).
  • Georgia State is playing without its starting quarterback (Cameran Brown).
  • Georgia State is in a letdown spot after an upset win.
Out: Georgia State
C. Brown (QB)
Records
Georgia Southern 5-4 · Georgia State 5-4
Jacksonville State36
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Western Kentucky20
SpreadJacksonville State -7.569%
TotalOver 54.553%
Sat Nov 14 · 3:30 PM ET
Jacksonville State@Western Kentucky
83%
17%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKJacksonville State -7.5SPREAD
We like Jacksonville State at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 52°F, sunny.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Western Kentucky (3-6) is at home against Jacksonville State (7-2).
  • Jacksonville State has won its last 4, scoring 31 and allowing 16 a game.
Out: Jacksonville State
C. Kouemi (RB), F. Baret Jr. (WR), G. Glover (WR)
STATS All 4 stats →
  • ConferenceJacksonville State is 26-5 in Conference USA games since 2023.
  • KickerGarrison Rippa has made a field goal in 7 straight games.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Western Kentucky has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 28 and allowing 26 a game.
  • Jacksonville State is missing C. Kouemi (RB), F. Baret Jr. (WR), G. Glover (WR).
  • Western Kentucky is playing without its starting quarterback (Brock Glenn).
  • Their games this season have averaged about 53 combined points; the posted total is 54.5.
Out: Western Kentucky
B. Glenn (QB)
Records
Jacksonville State 7-2 · Western Kentucky 3-6
Middle Tennessee15
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Liberty39
SpreadLiberty -2156%
TotalOver 53.551%
Sat Nov 14 · 3:30 PM ET
Middle Tennessee@Liberty
7%
93%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKLiberty -21SPREAD
We like Liberty at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 51°F, sunny, wind up to 14 mph.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Liberty (8-1) is at home against Middle Tennessee (5-4).
  • Middle Tennessee has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 34 and allowing 35 a game.
Out: Middle Tennessee
T. Galloway (TE)
STATS All 4 stats →
  • HomeLiberty is 28-8 at home since 2021.
  • RushingKam Davis has scored a rushing TD in 5 straight games.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Liberty has won its last 4, scoring 37 and allowing 8 a game.
  • Middle Tennessee is missing T. Galloway (TE).
  • Liberty is missing B. Randolph (WR), C. Wood (RB).
  • Their games this season have averaged about 52 combined points; the posted total is 53.5.
Out: Liberty
B. Randolph (WR), C. Wood (RB)
Records
Middle Tennessee 5-4 · Liberty 8-1
Fresno State28
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Texas State32
SpreadFresno State +9.563%
TotalUnder 59.551%
Sat Nov 14 · 4:00 PM ET
Fresno State@Texas State
40%
60%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKFresno State +9.5SPREAD
We like Fresno State at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 68°F, chance rain showers, wind up to 10 mph, 64% chance of rain.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Texas State (5-4) is at home against Fresno State (5-4).
  • Fresno State has won 1 of its last 4, scoring 26 and allowing 26 a game.
Records
Fresno State 5-4 · Texas State 5-4
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Texas State has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 43 and allowing 28 a game.
  • Texas State is in a letdown spot after an upset win.
  • Game-time forecast: 68°F, chance rain showers, wind up to 10 mph, 64% chance of rain.
  • Their games this season have averaged about 58 combined points; the posted total is 59.5.
Auburn26
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Mississippi State26
SpreadMississippi State +2.556%
TotalOver 51.552%
Sat Nov 14 · 4:15 PM ET
Auburn@Mississippi State
50%
50%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKMississippi State +2.5SPREAD
We like Mississippi State at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 57°F, sunny.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Mississippi State (4-5) is at home against Auburn (5-4).
  • Auburn has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 21 and allowing 32 a game.
Out: Mississippi State
A. Williams (WR), T. Williams (DL)
STATS All 4 stats →
  • RushingByrum Brown has scored a rushing TD in 7 straight games.
  • ReceivingAnthony Evans III has 6+ catches in 7 of his 9 games this season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Mississippi State has lost its last 4, scoring 10 and allowing 28 a game.
  • Mississippi State is playing without its starting quarterback (Kamario Taylor).
  • Their games this season have averaged about 52 combined points; the posted total is 51.5.
Records
Auburn 5-4 · Mississippi State 4-5
Tulane22
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Rice25
TotalUnder 48.554%
Sat Nov 14 · 4:30 PM ET
Tulane@Rice
41%
59%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKNo pick
Our numbers and the betting line agree on this one, so there is no side to take.
Game-time forecast: 64°F, mostly sunny, wind up to 15 mph.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Rice (1-8) is at home against Tulane (4-5).
  • Tulane has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 24 and allowing 38 a game.
Out: Tulane
G. Mmahat (WR), J. McClure (RB)
STATS
  • KickerCooper Helmke has made a field goal in 7 straight games.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Rice has lost its last 4, scoring 25 and allowing 42 a game.
  • Tulane is playing without its starting quarterback (Kadin Semonza).
  • Rice is missing B. Grice (WR).
  • Game-time forecast: 64°F, mostly sunny, wind up to 15 mph.
Out: Rice
B. Grice (WR)
Records
Tulane 4-5 · Rice 1-8
Southern Miss17
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Louisiana Tech42
SpreadLouisiana Tech -17.568%
TotalOver 56.557%
Sat Nov 14 · 5:00 PM ET
Southern Miss@Louisiana Tech
6%
94%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKLouisiana Tech -17.5SPREAD
We like Louisiana Tech at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 59°F, mostly sunny, wind up to 10 mph.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Louisiana Tech (7-2) is at home against Southern Miss (3-6).
  • Southern Miss has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 26 and allowing 32 a game.
Out: Southern Miss
E. Hampton (QB), J. Himes (WR)
STATS All 4 stats →
  • QuarterbackBlake Baker has not thrown an interception in 5 straight games.
  • DefenseAlonzo Jackson Jr. has 15 tackles for loss in 9 games this season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Louisiana Tech has won its last 4, scoring 32 and allowing 9 a game.
  • Southern Miss is playing without its starting quarterback (Landry Lyddy).
  • Their games this season have averaged about 57 combined points; the posted total is 56.5.
Records
Southern Miss 3-6 · Louisiana Tech 7-2
Arizona State24
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
UCF35
SpreadUCF -3.567%
TotalOver 47.575%
Sat Nov 14 · 5:30 PM ET
Arizona State@UCF
26%
74%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKUCF -3.5SPREAD
We like UCF at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 63°F, sunny.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • UCF (5-4) is at home against Arizona State (5-4).
  • Arizona State has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 23 and allowing 27 a game.
Out: Arizona State
K. Anderson (TE), L. Rawls (CB), R. Bimage (CB)
STATS All 3 stats →
  • KickerCarson Smith has made 12 of 12 field goals this season (100%), with a long of 46 yards.
  • ReceivingJoshua Derry has caught a TD pass in 4 of his last 5 games.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • UCF has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 27 and allowing 36 a game.
  • Arizona State is playing without its starting quarterback (Cutter Boley).
  • UCF is missing D. Watson (RB), L. Carter (LB), W. Charles (WR).
  • UCF is in a letdown spot after an upset win.
Out: UCF
D. Watson (RB), L. Carter (LB), W. Charles (WR)
Records
Arizona State 5-4 · UCF 5-4
Washington22
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Michigan State23
SpreadMichigan State +2.559%
TotalOver 44.553%
Sat Nov 14 · 5:30 PM ET
Washington@Michigan State
48%
52%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKMichigan State +2.5SPREAD
We like Michigan State at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 43°F, mostly cloudy, wind up to 9 mph.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Michigan State (3-6) is at home against Washington (5-4).
  • Washington has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 26 and allowing 26 a game.
Out: Washington
Q. Carr (RB), T. Cooley (RB)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Michigan State has won 1 of its last 4, scoring 21 and allowing 24 a game.
  • Washington is missing Q. Carr (RB), T. Cooley (RB).
  • Michigan State is missing J. Savoury (TE), M. Parrish (RB), R. Bullard (WR).
  • Washington may be looking ahead to a ranked opponent next week.
Out: Michigan State
J. Savoury (TE), M. Parrish (RB), R. Bullard (WR)
Records
Washington 5-4 · Michigan State 3-6
App State29
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Marshall23
SpreadApp State -1.560%
TotalUnder 54.557%
Sat Nov 14 · 6:00 PM ET
App State@Marshall
63%
37%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKApp State -1.5SPREAD
We like App State at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 44°F, mostly cloudy.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Marshall (5-4) is at home against App State (5-4).
  • App State has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 24 and allowing 30 a game.
Out: App State
J. Burnette (RB), J. Lewis (RB)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Marshall has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 22 and allowing 28 a game.
  • App State is missing J. Burnette (RB), J. Lewis (RB).
  • Their games this season have averaged about 52 combined points; the posted total is 54.5.
Records
App State 5-4 · Marshall 5-4
Minnesota19
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Penn State28
SpreadMinnesota +11.556%
TotalOver 42.560%
Sat Nov 14 · 7:00 PM ET
Minnesota@Penn State
29%
71%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKMinnesota +11.5SPREAD
We like Minnesota at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 39°F, slight chance rain and snow showers, wind up to 10 mph.
Loud stadium: Beaver Stadium, #3 on our list of toughest road crowds
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Penn State (5-4) is at home against Minnesota (5-4).
  • Minnesota has won 1 of its last 4, scoring 16 and allowing 27 a game.
Out: Minnesota
R. Estrada (RB)
STATS All 4 stats →
  • HomePenn State is 31-10 at home since 2021.
  • RushingCarson Hansen has scored a rushing TD in 5 straight games.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Penn State has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 25 and allowing 24 a game.
  • Minnesota is missing R. Estrada (RB).
  • Penn State is missing K. Howard (WR), M. Granville (DL).
  • Minnesota faces one of the tougher road crowds in the country.
Out: Penn State
K. Howard (WR), M. Granville (DL)
Records
Minnesota 5-4 · Penn State 5-4
Louisville30
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
North Carolina30
SpreadNorth Carolina +3.557%
TotalOver 57.557%
Sat Nov 14 · 7:00 PM ET
Louisville@North Carolina
51%
49%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKNorth Carolina +3.5SPREAD
We like North Carolina at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 42°F, clear.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • North Carolina (5-4) is at home against Louisville (6-3).
  • Louisville has won its last 4, scoring 44 and allowing 22 a game.
Out: Louisville
A. Watts (CB)
STATS All 6 stats →
  • DefenseDerek Mcdonald has recorded 10+ tackles in 6 of his 9 games this season.
  • ReceivingJordan Shipp has caught a TD pass in 4 of his last 5 games.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • North Carolina has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 32 and allowing 28 a game.
  • Louisville is missing A. Watts (CB).
  • Their games this season have averaged about 58 combined points; the posted total is 57.5.
Records
Louisville 6-3 · North Carolina 5-4
Troy27
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
South Alabama33
SpreadSouth Alabama -356%
TotalOver 55.561%
Sat Nov 14 · 7:00 PM ET
Troy@South Alabama
37%
63%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKSouth Alabama -3SPREAD
We like South Alabama at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 55°F, clear.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • South Alabama (4-5) is at home against Troy (4-5).
  • Troy has won 1 of its last 4, scoring 15 and allowing 29 a game.
Out: Troy
J. Merriweather (RB), J. Worley (TE)
STATS All 3 stats →
  • Head to headTroy has won 8 of the last 10 meetings with South Alabama (since 2016).
  • RushingPJ Martin has scored a rushing TD in 7 of his 9 games this season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • South Alabama has won 1 of its last 4, scoring 29 and allowing 33 a game.
  • Troy is playing without its starting quarterback (Goose Crowder).
  • South Alabama is playing without its starting quarterback (Jared Hollins).
  • Their games this season have averaged about 57 combined points; the posted total is 55.5.
Records
Troy 4-5 · South Alabama 4-5
San José State17
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Air Force26
SpreadSan José State +12.559%
TotalUnder 48.561%
Sat Nov 14 · 7:00 PM ET
San José State@Air Force
29%
71%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKSan José State +12.5SPREAD
We like San José State at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 43°F, rain showers likely, wind up to 15 mph, 71% chance of rain.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Air Force (7-2) is at home against San José State (5-5).
  • San José State has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 21 and allowing 20 a game.
Out: Air Force
L. Szarka (QB)
STATS
  • KickerTrajan Sinatra has made a field goal in all 10 games this season.
  • KickerCarter Cremascoli has made 10 of 11 field goals this season (91%), with a long of 52 yards.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Air Force has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 28 and allowing 26 a game.
  • San José State is playing without its starting quarterback (Luke Weaver).
  • Air Force is playing without its starting quarterback (Liam Szarka).
  • Air Force is in a letdown spot after an upset win.
Records
San José State 5-5 · Air Force 7-2
Florida Atlantic30
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Tulsa41
SpreadTulsa -5.562%
TotalUnder 72.554%
Sat Nov 14 · 7:15 PM ET
Florida Atlantic@Tulsa
26%
74%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKTulsa -5.5SPREAD
We like Tulsa at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 51°F, cloudy, 36% chance of rain.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Tulsa (5-4) is at home against Florida Atlantic (6-3).
  • Florida Atlantic has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 44 and allowing 46 a game.
Records
Florida Atlantic 6-3 · Tulsa 5-4
STATS All 6 stats →
  • RoadFlorida Atlantic is 7-27 on the road since 2021.
  • ReceivingKelby Valsin has 6+ catches in all 9 games this season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Tulsa has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 40 and allowing 25 a game.
  • Florida Atlantic is in a letdown spot after an upset win.
  • Their games this season have averaged about 66 combined points; the posted total is 72.5.
Stanford22
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Virginia Tech38
TotalOver 57.558%
Sat Nov 14 · 7:30 PM ET
Stanford@Virginia Tech
16%
84%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKNo pick
Our numbers and the betting line agree on this one, so there is no side to take.
Game-time forecast: 38°F, partly cloudy, wind up to 13 mph.
Loud stadium: Lane Stadium, #16 on our list of toughest road crowds
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Virginia Tech (6-3) is at home against Stanford (4-5).
  • Stanford has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 24 and allowing 36 a game.
Records
Stanford 4-5 · Virginia Tech 6-3
STATS All 4 stats →
  • StreakStanford has lost 15 straight road games.
  • ReceivingQue'Sean Brown has 6+ catches in 8 of his last 10 games (1 of them at Duke last season).
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Virginia Tech has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 26 and allowing 29 a game.
  • Stanford comes in rested off a bye week.
  • Virginia Tech may be looking ahead to a ranked opponent next week.
  • Stanford faces one of the tougher road crowds in the country.
North Texas40
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
UTSA34
SpreadNorth Texas -2.557%
TotalUnder 76.555%
Sat Nov 14 · 9:00 PM ET
North Texas@UTSA
63%
37%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKNorth Texas -2.5SPREAD
We like North Texas at this line.
Trust score · High 80
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • UTSA (7-2) is at home against North Texas (7-2).
  • North Texas has won its last 4, scoring 50 and allowing 28 a game.
Out: North Texas
C. Ditta (QB), J. Martin (WR)
STATS All 6 stats →
  • ScoringNorth Texas has scored 30+ points in 9 of its last 10 games.
  • RushingJahiem White has scored a rushing TD in all 9 games this season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • UTSA has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 35 and allowing 34 a game.
  • North Texas is missing C. Ditta (QB), J. Martin (WR).
  • Their games this season have averaged about 69 combined points; the posted total is 76.5.
Records
North Texas 7-2 · UTSA 7-2
Utah State18
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
San Diego State22
SpreadSan Diego State +2.567%
TotalUnder 43.559%
Sat Nov 14 · 9:30 PM ET
Utah State@San Diego State
39%
61%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKSan Diego State +2.5SPREAD
We like San Diego State at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 66°F, mostly cloudy.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • San Diego State (4-5) is at home against Utah State (4-5).
  • Utah State has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 20 and allowing 15 a game.
Out: Utah State
E. Wood (WR), J. Nelson (TE), N. Boncore (WR)
STATS
  • KickerCooper DiLeva has made 8 of 8 field goals this season (100%), with a long of 47 yards.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • San Diego State has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 29 and allowing 41 a game.
  • Utah State is playing without its starting quarterback (Grady Brosterhous).
  • San Diego State is missing J. Bostick (WR).
  • Utah State is in a letdown spot after an upset win.
Out: San Diego State
J. Bostick (WR)
Records
Utah State 4-5 · San Diego State 4-5
Wyoming25
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
UTEP21
SpreadUTEP +8.560%
TotalOver 40.562%
Sat Nov 14 · 10:00 PM ET
Wyoming@UTEP
61%
39%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKUTEP +8.5SPREAD
We like UTEP at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 57°F, partly cloudy, wind up to 9 mph.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • UTEP (1-8) is at home against Wyoming (6-3).
  • Wyoming has won its last 4, scoring 32 and allowing 21 a game.
Out: Wyoming
J. Williams (WR), T. Hughes (QB)
STATS All 3 stats →
  • After a lossUTEP is 20-67 in the game after a loss since 2016.
  • KickerErik Sandvik has made 12 of 13 field goals this season (92%), with a long of 48 yards.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • UTEP has lost its last 4, scoring 11 and allowing 26 a game.
  • Wyoming is playing without its starting quarterback (Tyler Hughes).
  • UTEP is playing without its starting quarterback (EJ Colson Jr.).
  • Wyoming is in a letdown spot after an upset win.
Out: UTEP
E. Colson (QB), T. Jones (RB)
Records
Wyoming 6-3 · UTEP 1-8
Colorado State33
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Washington State37
SpreadColorado State +9.565%
TotalOver 64.563%
Sat Nov 14 · 10:30 PM ET
Colorado State@Washington State
41%
59%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKColorado State +9.5SPREAD
We like Colorado State at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 43°F, mostly cloudy, wind up to 12 mph.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Washington State (1-8) is at home against Colorado State (3-6).
  • Colorado State has won 1 of its last 4, scoring 34 and allowing 52 a game.
Records
Colorado State 3-6 · Washington State 1-8
STATS
  • RoadColorado State is 6-25 on the road since 2021.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Washington State has lost its last 4, scoring 19 and allowing 30 a game.
  • Washington State is playing without its starting quarterback (Caden Pinnick).
  • Washington State comes in rested off a bye week.
  • Their games this season have averaged about 64 combined points; the posted total is 64.5.
North Dakota State25
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Hawai'i13
SpreadNorth Dakota State -762%
TotalUnder 39.556%
Sat Nov 14 · 11:00 PM ET
North Dakota State@Hawai'i
77%
23%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKNorth Dakota State -7SPREAD
We like North Dakota State at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 79°F, scattered rain showers, wind up to 20 mph, 29% chance of rain.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Hawai'i (3-6) is at home against North Dakota State (7-2).
  • North Dakota State has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 21 and allowing 14 a game.
Out: Hawai'i
P. Ashlock (WR), T. Griffiths (WR)
STATS
  • DefenseMarion Moore has 5 interceptions in 8 games this season, including a pick-six.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Hawai'i has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 24 and allowing 22 a game.
  • Hawai'i is missing P. Ashlock (WR), T. Griffiths (WR).
  • North Dakota State comes in rested off a bye week.
  • Game-time forecast: 79°F, scattered rain showers, wind up to 20 mph, 29% chance of rain.
Records
North Dakota State 7-2 · Hawai'i 3-6
STAT CORNER college football stats for the games on this page All stats →
Week by week
WEEK BY WEEK
Week ofTop picksAll picksWin %
Sep 14–8-373%
Sep 21–7-1139%
Sep 28–10-471%
Oct 54-27-1041%
Oct 121-0-19-9-150%
Oct 191-16-1332%
Oct 261-19-853%
Nov 2–7-944%
Nov 9–1-150%
Power rankings
POWER RANKINGS Nov 14
#TeamRecordStreakRecord gradeBest win
1Notre Dame8-1W3#4Miami
2Georgia8-1W3#5at Alabama
3Miami8-1#3at Wake Forest
4Alabama7-2W3#6at Kentucky
5UCLA10-0W10#1at Oregon
6Utah9-0W9#2BYU
7Wake Forest8-1W7#10at Louisville
8Texas7-2W3#7at Tennessee
9LSU6-3#16Clemson
10Ohio State6-3#17at Indiana
11Indiana8-1W3#11North Texas
12Oregon6-3W3#15Boise State
13Tennessee7-2#9Alabama
14New Mexico8-1W6#19North Dakota State
15Oklahoma State6-3#27Oregon
16BYU7-2#13Notre Dame
17Boise State8-1W8#8Memphis
18Ole Miss6-3#18LSU
19Iowa7-2#20Wisconsin
20South Carolina6-3W4#22Tennessee
21Texas Tech8-1#14Arizona
22Houston7-3#24Oklahoma State
23Duke7-2#34at Illinois
24USC7-2#23Ohio State
25Arizona7-2#21Cincinnati