Tonight's NHL games with our model's pick to win each one. The two games the model is surest about are locked at noon as our top picks, and only those count toward the record.
OUR RECORD every graded pick, wins and losses
Yesterday
2-0
100.0% wins
Season top picks
8-5
61.5% wins
Season all picks
21-18
53.8% wins
TODAY'S TOP PICKS 2 picks · record 8-5 (61.5%) · Season top picks
San Jose @ Dallas
Mon Oct 5 · 8:00 PM ET
Dallas to winMONEYLINE
Dallas has the stronger goalie in net (Jake Oettinger); home ice.
- Out
- San Jose: Adam Gaudette, Alex Barre-Boulet, Quentin Musty, Cam Lund, Kyle Keyser · Dallas: Matt Duchene, Harrison Scott, Luke Krys, Cameron Hughes
- Lately
- San Jose: won 2 in a row (2 wins, 0 losses this season) · Dallas: no win in 2 games (0 wins, 2 losses this season)
Confidence64%
Philadelphia @ Tampa Bay
Mon Oct 5 · 7:00 PM ET
Tampa Bay to winMONEYLINE
Philadelphia has gone 3 games without a win; home ice.
- Out
- Philadelphia: Nikita Grebenkin, Helge Grans · Tampa Bay: Emil Lilleberg, Yanni Gourde, Dominic James
- Lately
- Philadelphia: no win in 3 games (0 wins, 1 loss, 2 overtime losses this season) · Tampa Bay: won last game (1 win, 1 loss this season)
Confidence62%
EVERY GAME 4 on the board · our pick for each
TOP PICKMon Oct 5 · 8:00 PM ET
AWAYHOME
San Jose
@
Dallas
Goalie: Yaroslav Askarov (confirmed)Goalie: Jake Oettinger (confirmed)
OUR PICKDallas to win
MONEYLINE
Dallas has the stronger goalie in net (Jake Oettinger); home ice.
- Out
- San Jose: Adam Gaudette, Alex Barre-Boulet, Quentin Musty, Cam Lund, Kyle Keyser · Dallas: Matt Duchene, Harrison Scott, Luke Krys, Cameron Hughes
- Lately
- San Jose: won 2 in a row (2 wins, 0 losses this season) · Dallas: no win in 2 games (0 wins, 2 losses this season)
Confidence64%
TOP PICKMon Oct 5 · 7:00 PM ET
AWAYHOME
Philadelphia
@
Tampa Bay
Goalie: Dan Vladar (confirmed)Goalie: Andrei Vasilevskiy (expected)
OUR PICKTampa Bay to win
MONEYLINE
Philadelphia has gone 3 games without a win; home ice.
- Out
- Philadelphia: Nikita Grebenkin, Helge Grans · Tampa Bay: Emil Lilleberg, Yanni Gourde, Dominic James
- Lately
- Philadelphia: no win in 3 games (0 wins, 1 loss, 2 overtime losses this season) · Tampa Bay: won last game (1 win, 1 loss this season)
Confidence62%
Mon Oct 5 · 7:30 PM ET
AWAYHOME
Winnipeg
@
Pittsburgh
Goalie: Clay Stevenson (confirmed)Goalie: Sergei Murashov (confirmed)
OUR PICKPittsburgh to win
MONEYLINE
Winnipeg is on the second night of a back-to-back; home ice.
- Out
- Winnipeg: Connor Hellebuyck, Garrett Brown, Walker Duehr, Elias Salomonsson · Pittsburgh: Bryan Rust, Justin Brazeau, Ryan Graves
- Lately
- Winnipeg: won last game (1 win, 0 losses, 1 overtime loss this season) · Pittsburgh: won 2 in a row (2 wins, 0 losses this season)
Confidence54%
Mon Oct 5 · 7:30 PM ET
AWAYHOME
Ottawa
@
Boston
Goalie: Linus Ullmark (confirmed)Goalie: Jeremy Swayman (confirmed)
OUR PICKOttawa to win
MONEYLINE
The model rates Ottawa as the stronger team.
- Out
- Ottawa: Jake Sanderson, Andre Burakovsky, Blake Montgomery, Kurtis MacDermid, Artem Zub · Boston: Charlie McAvoy
- Lately
- Ottawa: won last game (1 win, 0 losses this season) · Boston: lost last game (2 wins, 1 loss this season)
Confidence50%
HOT TEAMS early season, 4 games or fewer each
| Team | Right now | Record so far |
|---|---|---|
| New York (R) | Won 3 in a row | 3 wins, 1 loss |
| Edmonton | Won 2 in a row | 2 wins, 0 losses, 1 overtime loss |
| Pittsburgh | Won 2 in a row | 2 wins, 0 losses |
| Colorado | Won 2 in a row | 2 wins, 0 losses |
| Minnesota | Won 2 in a row | 2 wins, 0 losses |
COLD TEAMS early season, 4 games or fewer each
| Team | Right now | Record so far |
|---|---|---|
| Chicago | No win in 3 games | 0 wins, 3 losses |
| Calgary | No win in 3 games | 0 wins, 3 losses |
| Philadelphia | No win in 3 games | 0 wins, 1 loss, 2 overtime losses |
| Detroit | No win in 2 games | 0 wins, 2 losses |
| Dallas | No win in 2 games | 0 wins, 2 losses |
RECENT RESULTS our latest graded top picks
| Oct 4 | Vegas @ Vancouver | Vegas to win | WIN |
| Oct 4 | Calgary @ Seattle | Seattle to win | WIN |
| Oct 3 | St. Louis @ Colorado | Colorado to win | WIN |
| Oct 3 | Chicago @ Buffalo | Buffalo to win | WIN |
| Oct 2 | Anaheim @ Vegas | Vegas to win | LOSS |
| Oct 2 | St. Louis @ Dallas | Dallas to win | LOSS |
| Oct 2 | New York (R) @ Detroit | Detroit to win | LOSS |
| Oct 1 | Chicago @ Utah | Utah to win | WIN |
| Oct 1 | Buffalo @ Columbus | Columbus to win | WIN |
| Sep 30 | Los Angeles @ Colorado | Colorado to win | WIN |
| Sep 30 | Pittsburgh @ Philadelphia | Philadelphia to win | LOSS |
| Sep 29 | Vancouver @ Edmonton | Edmonton to win | LOSS |
| Sep 29 | Chicago @ Vegas | Vegas to win | WIN |
Confidence is the model's own chance that the side we picked wins. It weighs each team's roster, the starting goalies, injuries, rest and travel, and home ice. Each day the 2 games the model is surest about are locked at noon as top picks, and only those count toward the record.