BetSharpr
Updated Nov 14, 8:40 PM ET
PAY-PER-VIEW CARD: GANE VS. HOKIT · SAT NOV 14 · 13 PICKS
OUR RECORD every graded pick, wins and losses
Last card, all picks
5-2
71.4% wins
Last card, top picks
2-1
66.7% wins
All time, all picks
39-25-1
60.9% wins
All time, top picks
15-7
68.2% wins
Pay-per-view cards · top picks
5-2
71.4% wins
Weekly cards · top picks
10-5
66.7% wins
THIS CARD'S TOP PICKS 4 picks · record 5-2 (71.4%) · Pay-per-view cards top picks
🇮🇩 Bilal Hasan vs Luis Gurule 🇺🇸
Sat Nov 14
Bilal Hasan to winMONEYLINE
Longer reach, better striker, better grappler.
Weight class
Flyweight
Rounds
3
Confidence82%
🇺🇸 Donte Johnson vs Cesar Almeida 🇧🇷
Sat Nov 14
Donte Johnson to winMONEYLINELOSS
Better striker, better grappler, better cardio.
Weight class
Catchweight
Rounds
3
Confidence86%
🇺🇸 Jared Gordon vs Melquizael Costa 🇧🇷
Sat Nov 14
Melquizael Costa to winMONEYLINEWIN
Longer reach, better grappler, younger.
Weight class
Lightweight
Rounds
3
Confidence72%
🇨🇳 Alatengheili vs Juan Diaz 🇵🇪
Sat Nov 14
Juan Diaz to winMONEYLINEWIN
Longer reach, younger, much stronger pro record.
Weight class
Bantamweight
Rounds
3
Confidence79%
PROP PICKS none posted right nowprops record 18-35 (34.0%) · Finish picks
EVERY FIGHT TODAY 13 on the board · our pick for each
Sat Nov 14
Main event · Heavyweight · 5 rounds · ★ Title fight
🇫🇷 CirylGane14-2-0
VS
Josh 🇺🇸Hokit10-0-0
63%
37%
Win chance · our model
Reach gap 8 in
OUR PICKCiryl Gane to win MONEYLINE
Longer reach.
France
From
USA
14-2-0
Pro record
10-0-0
11-2
Top-level record
4-0
36
Age
29
6'4"
Height
6'1"
81"
Reach
73"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Well-rounded
Style
Striker
77
Striking
65
40
Grappling
61
61
Cardio
46
Chance of each result
29%
By KO / TKO
18%
19%
By submission
13%
16%
By decision
6%
Goes the distance 21%Ends inside 1.5 rds 33%
TOP PROPS
  • Ciryl Gane Wins by KO/TKO 29%
Full stats
Ciryl GaneJosh Hokit
Win chance63%37%
Chance to win by KO/TKO29%18%
Chance to win by submission19%13%
Chance to win by decision16%6%
FromFranceUSA
Pro record14-2-010-0-0
Top-level record11-24-0
Pro wins by method7 KO · 3 sub · 4 dec6 KO · 3 sub · 1 dec
Age3629
Height6'4"6'1"
Reach81"73"
StanceOrthodoxOrthodox
StyleWell-roundedStriker
StrikingEliteElite
PowerStrongStrong
ChinStrongElite
GrapplingBelow averageStrong
CardioAverageAverage
Pace in round 3+Speeds up (+27%)–
Sig. strikes landed / min5.410.3
Sig. strikes absorbed / min2.36.1
Striking accuracy62%64%
Takedowns / 15 min0.71.5
Takedown accuracy24%50%
Takedown defense59%69%
Late-round takedown defense43%69%
Held down / 15 min1.2 min1.0 min
Sub attempts / 15 min0.60.5
Top-level fights with stats144
Confidence63%
Sat Nov 14
Co-main · Women's Bantamweight · 5 rounds · ★ Title fight
🇺🇸 KaylaHarrison19-1-0
VS
Amanda 🇧🇷Nunes23-5-0
47%
53%
Win chance · our model
Harrison long layoff; Nunes long layoff
OUR PICKLean: Amanda Nunes LEAN · NOT COUNTED
Too close to call: longer reach. A lean this slim is shown for interest only and does not count in the record.
USA
From
Brazil
19-1-0
Pro record
23-5-0
3-0
Top-level record
16-2
36
Age
38
5'8"
Height
5'8"
66"
Reach
69"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Well-rounded
Style
Well-rounded
63
Striking
73
70
Grappling
72
25
Cardio
18
Chance of each result
13%
By KO / TKO
23%
17%
By submission
13%
17%
By decision
18%
Goes the distance 40%Ends inside 1.5 rds 25%
Full stats
Kayla HarrisonAmanda Nunes
Win chance47%53%
Chance to win by KO/TKO13%23%
Chance to win by submission17%13%
Chance to win by decision17%18%
FromUSABrazil
Pro record19-1-023-5-0
Top-level record3-016-2
Pro wins by method6 KO · 8 sub · 5 dec13 KO · 4 sub · 6 dec
Age3638
Height5'8"5'8"
Reach66"69"
StanceSouthpawOrthodox
StyleWell-roundedWell-rounded
StrikingEliteElite
PowerBelow averageElite
ChinStrongStrong
GrapplingEliteElite
CardioBelow averageBelow average
Pace in round 3+–Fades (-15%)
Sig. strikes landed / min4.34.5
Sig. strikes absorbed / min1.12.4
Striking accuracy62%52%
Takedowns / 15 min2.82.8
Takedown accuracy38%57%
Takedown defense66%73%
Late-round takedown defense63%77%
Held down / 15 min0.1 min1.0 min
Sub attempts / 15 min0.90.7
Top-level fights with stats318
Sat Nov 14
Main card · Middleweight · 3 rounds
🇧🇷 CaioBorralho18-2-0
VS
Yousri 🇳🇱Belgaroui11-3-0
44%
56%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKYousri Belgaroui to win MONEYLINE
Longer reach, real knockout threat.
Brazil
From
Netherlands
18-2-0
Pro record
11-3-0
8-1
Top-level record
3-0
33
Age
34
6'1"
Height
6'5"
75"
Reach
79"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Well-rounded
Style
–
73
Striking
76
68
Grappling
49
64
Cardio
35
Chance of each result
13%
By KO / TKO
30%
12%
By submission
7%
18%
By decision
19%
Goes the distance 42%Ends inside 1.5 rds 34%
TOP PROPS
  • Yousri Belgaroui Wins by KO/TKO 30%
Full stats
Caio BorralhoYousri Belgaroui
Win chance44%56%
Chance to win by KO/TKO13%30%
Chance to win by submission12%7%
Chance to win by decision18%19%
FromBrazilNetherlands
Pro record18-2-011-3-0
Top-level record8-13-0
Pro wins by method5 KO · 4 sub · 9 dec9 KO · 0 sub · 2 dec
Age3334
Height6'1"6'5"
Reach75"79"
StanceSouthpawOrthodox
StyleWell-rounded–
StrikingEliteElite
PowerStrongStrong
ChinEliteElite
GrapplingEliteAverage
CardioStrongAverage
Pace in round 3+Speeds up (+78%)–
Sig. strikes landed / min3.38.3
Sig. strikes absorbed / min2.61.9
Striking accuracy55%65%
Takedowns / 15 min1.10.5
Takedown accuracy45%100%
Takedown defense65%61%
Late-round takedown defense59%71%
Held down / 15 min1.1 min2.8 min
Sub attempts / 15 min0.40.0
Top-level fights with stats93
Confidence56%
Sat Nov 14
Main card · Welterweight · 3 rounds
🇷🇸 UrosMedic14-3-0
VS
Kevin 🇺🇸Holland29-15-0
54%
46%
Win chance · our model
Reach gap 10 in
OUR PICKLean: Uros Medic LEAN · NOT COUNTED
Too close to call: better striker, Holland fades late, real knockout threat. A lean this slim is shown for interest only and does not count in the record.
Serbia
From
USA
14-3-0
Pro record
29-15-0
8-3
Top-level record
16-12
33
Age
34
6'1"
Height
6'3"
71"
Reach
81"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Power striker
Style
Well-rounded
66
Striking
61
37
Grappling
44
8
Cardio
28
Chance of each result
32%
By KO / TKO
19%
11%
By submission
15%
12%
By decision
11%
Goes the distance 31%Ends inside 1.5 rds 39%
Full stats
Uros MedicKevin Holland
Win chance54%46%
Chance to win by KO/TKO32%19%
Chance to win by submission11%15%
Chance to win by decision12%11%
FromSerbiaUSA
Pro record14-3-029-15-0
Top-level record8-316-12
Pro wins by method12 KO · 2 sub · 0 dec13 KO · 10 sub · 6 dec
Age3334
Height6'1"6'3"
Reach71"81"
StanceSouthpawOrthodox
StylePower strikerWell-rounded
StrikingEliteStrong
PowerEliteStrong
ChinAverageStrong
GrapplingWeakBelow average
CardioWeakBelow average
Pace in round 3+–Fades (-42%)
Sig. strikes landed / min5.34.2
Sig. strikes absorbed / min3.53.3
Striking accuracy58%50%
Takedowns / 15 min0.40.8
Takedown accuracy50%40%
Takedown defense64%60%
Late-round takedown defense69%53%
Held down / 15 min4.5 min4.9 min
Sub attempts / 15 min0.00.6
Top-level fights with stats1129
TOP PICKSat Nov 14
Main card · Flyweight · 3 rounds
🇮🇩 BilalHasan10-0-0
VS
Luis 🇺🇸Gurule11-4-0
82%
18%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKBilal Hasan to win MONEYLINE
Longer reach, better striker, better grappler.
Indonesia
From
USA
10-0-0
Pro record
11-4-0
1-0
Top-level record
1-4
25
Age
32
5'7"
Height
5'5"
70"
Reach
64"
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
–
Style
Striker
53
Striking
42
51
Grappling
41
50
Cardio
97
Chance of each result
40%
By KO / TKO
5%
15%
By submission
3%
27%
By decision
10%
Goes the distance 52%Ends inside 1.5 rds 28%
TOP PROPS
  • Bilal Hasan Wins by KO/TKO 40%
Full stats
Bilal HasanLuis Gurule
Win chance82%18%
Chance to win by KO/TKO40%5%
Chance to win by submission15%3%
Chance to win by decision27%10%
FromIndonesiaUSA
Pro record10-0-011-4-0
Top-level record1-01-4
Pro wins by method8 KO · 1 sub · 1 dec5 KO · 1 sub · 5 dec
Age2532
Height5'7"5'5"
Reach70"64"
StanceSwitchOrthodox
Style–Striker
StrikingAverage (few top-level fights)Below average
PowerAverage (few top-level fights)Weak
ChinStrong (few top-level fights)Average
GrapplingAverage (few top-level fights)Below average
CardioAverage (few top-level fights)Elite
Pace in round 3+–Speeds up (+103%)
Sig. strikes landed / min7.15.0
Sig. strikes absorbed / min4.45.7
Striking accuracy41%41%
Takedowns / 15 min2.00.8
Takedown accuracy100%18%
Takedown defense63%66%
Late-round takedown defense–64%
Held down / 15 min0.1 min1.5 min
Sub attempts / 15 min0.00.3
Top-level fights with stats15
Confidence82%
Sat Nov 14
Prelim · Welterweight · 3 rounds
🇺🇸 StephenThompson17-9-1
VS
Charles 🇺🇸Radtke12-5-0
35%
65%
Win chance · our model
Thompson long layoff
OUR PICKCharles Radtke to win MONEYLINE
Better grappler, younger.
USA
From
USA
17-9-1
Pro record
12-5-0
12-9-1
Top-level record
5-2
43
Age
36
6'0"
Height
5'9"
75"
Reach
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Power striker
Style
Well-rounded
55
Striking
56
40
Grappling
75
83
Cardio
22
Chance of each result
17%
By KO / TKO
28%
3%
By submission
19%
15%
By decision
18%
Goes the distance 29%Ends inside 1.5 rds 41%
TOP PROPS
  • Charles Radtke Wins by KO/TKO 28%
Full stats
Stephen ThompsonCharles Radtke
Win chance35%65%
Chance to win by KO/TKO17%28%
Chance to win by submission3%19%
Chance to win by decision15%18%
FromUSAUSA
Pro record17-9-112-5-0
Top-level record12-9-15-2
Pro wins by method6 KO · 0 sub · 6 dec5 KO · 3 sub · 4 dec
Age4336
Height6'0"5'9"
Reach75"72"
StanceOrthodoxOrthodox
StylePower strikerWell-rounded
StrikingStrongStrong
PowerStrongStrong
ChinBelow averageAverage
GrapplingBelow averageElite
CardioStrongBelow average
Pace in round 3+Speeds up (+36%)Fades (-16%)
Sig. strikes landed / min4.02.5
Sig. strikes absorbed / min3.02.5
Striking accuracy46%54%
Takedowns / 15 min0.22.0
Takedown accuracy36%44%
Takedown defense65%68%
Late-round takedown defense67%69%
Held down / 15 min2.8 min0.6 min
Sub attempts / 15 min0.00.5
Top-level fights with stats227
Confidence65%
Sat Nov 14
Prelim · Lightweight · 3 rounds
🇺🇸 DrewDober29-15-0
VS
Chris 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿Duncan15-3-0
34%
66%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKChris Duncan to win MONEYLINE
Better grappler, better cardio, younger.
USA
From
Scotland
29-15-0
Pro record
15-3-0
15-12
Top-level record
7-2
38
Age
33
5'8"
Height
5'10"
70"
Reach
71"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Power striker
Style
Well-rounded
55
Striking
61
37
Grappling
56
24
Cardio
53
Chance of each result
15%
By KO / TKO
26%
8%
By submission
21%
11%
By decision
19%
Goes the distance 32%Ends inside 1.5 rds 39%
TOP PROPS
  • Chris Duncan Wins by KO/TKO 26%
Full stats
Drew DoberChris Duncan
Win chance34%66%
Chance to win by KO/TKO15%26%
Chance to win by submission8%21%
Chance to win by decision11%19%
FromUSAScotland
Pro record29-15-015-3-0
Top-level record15-127-2
Pro wins by method17 KO · 5 sub · 7 dec7 KO · 4 sub · 4 dec
Age3833
Height5'8"5'10"
Reach70"71"
StanceSouthpawOrthodox
StylePower strikerWell-rounded
StrikingStrongStrong
PowerEliteStrong
ChinAverageStrong
GrapplingWeakAverage
CardioBelow averageAverage
Pace in round 3+Speeds up (+13%)Speeds up (+62%)
Sig. strikes landed / min4.54.6
Sig. strikes absorbed / min4.34.2
Striking accuracy41%46%
Takedowns / 15 min0.62.8
Takedown accuracy17%41%
Takedown defense60%61%
Late-round takedown defense70%68%
Held down / 15 min3.3 min1.5 min
Sub attempts / 15 min0.10.6
Top-level fights with stats278
Confidence66%
Sat Nov 14
Prelim · Lightweight · 3 rounds
🇺🇸 JimMiller39-20-0
VS
Terrance 🇺🇸McKinney19-9-0
34%
66%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKTerrance McKinney to win MONEYLINE
Better grappler, younger, live submission threat.
USA
From
USA
39-20-0
Pro record
19-9-0
28-19
Top-level record
9-6
43
Age
32
5'8"
Height
5'10"
71"
Reach
73"
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Well-rounded
Style
Well-rounded
47
Striking
53
52
Grappling
63
34
Cardio
50
Chance of each result
10%
By KO / TKO
29%
15%
By submission
27%
9%
By decision
10%
Goes the distance 26%Ends inside 1.5 rds 42%
TOP PROPS
  • Terrance McKinney Wins by KO/TKO 29%
Full stats
Jim MillerTerrance McKinney
Win chance34%66%
Chance to win by KO/TKO10%29%
Chance to win by submission15%27%
Chance to win by decision9%10%
FromUSAUSA
Pro record39-20-019-9-0
Top-level record28-199-6
Pro wins by method7 KO · 22 sub · 10 dec9 KO · 8 sub · 0 dec
Age4332
Height5'8"5'10"
Reach71"73"
StanceSouthpawSwitch
StyleWell-roundedWell-rounded
StrikingAverageAverage
PowerAverageStrong
ChinAverageAverage
GrapplingAverageStrong
CardioAverageAverage
Pace in round 3+Holds pace–
Sig. strikes landed / min2.98.0
Sig. strikes absorbed / min3.44.8
Striking accuracy42%56%
Takedowns / 15 min1.53.0
Takedown accuracy45%47%
Takedown defense50%66%
Late-round takedown defense60%–
Held down / 15 min4.0 min1.6 min
Sub attempts / 15 min1.72.2
Top-level fights with stats4714
Confidence66%
TOP PICKSat Nov 14
Prelim · Catchweight · 3 rounds
🇺🇸 DonteJohnson9-1-0
VS
Cesar 🇧🇷Almeida8-3-0
86%
14%
Win chance · our model
Late change: Cesar Almeida took this fight; Late replacement: Almeida, 19 days' notice; Almeida normally fights at Middleweight; Johnson camp was for a different opponent; Catchweight
OUR PICKDonte Johnson to win MONEYLINELOSS
Better striker, better grappler, better cardio.
USA
From
Brazil
9-1-0
Pro record
8-3-0
3-1
Top-level record
4-3
27
Age
38
5'8"
Height
6'1"
74"
Reach
74"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
–
Style
Striker
62
Striking
54
62
Grappling
39
53
Cardio
23
Chance of each result
47%
By KO / TKO
6%
19%
By submission
2%
20%
By decision
6%
Goes the distance 33%Ends inside 1.5 rds 39%
TOP PROPS
  • Donte Johnson Wins by KO/TKO 47%LOSS
Full stats
Donte JohnsonCesar Almeida
Win chance86%14%
Chance to win by KO/TKO47%6%
Chance to win by submission19%2%
Chance to win by decision20%6%
FromUSABrazil
Pro record9-1-08-3-0
Top-level record3-14-3
Pro wins by method7 KO · 1 sub · 1 dec5 KO · 0 sub · 2 dec
Age2738
Height5'8"6'1"
Reach74"74"
StanceSouthpawOrthodox
Style–Striker
StrikingStrongAverage
PowerAverageStrong
ChinStrongBelow average
GrapplingStrongBelow average
CardioAverageBelow average
Pace in round 3+–Fades (-41%)
Sig. strikes landed / min2.93.5
Sig. strikes absorbed / min1.82.3
Striking accuracy43%60%
Takedowns / 15 min2.00.2
Takedown accuracy100%33%
Takedown defense68%56%
Late-round takedown defense77%47%
Held down / 15 min4.2 min7.6 min
Sub attempts / 15 min0.70.2
Top-level fights with stats36
Confidence86%
TOP PICKSat Nov 14
Early Prelim · Lightweight · 3 rounds
🇺🇸 JaredGordon21-10-0
VS
Melquizael 🇧🇷Costa27-8-0
28%
72%
Win chance · our model
Bout added 19 days out (both on short notice)
OUR PICKMelquizael Costa to win MONEYLINEWIN
Longer reach, better grappler, younger.
USA
From
Brazil
21-10-0
Pro record
27-8-0
9-9
Top-level record
8-3
38
Age
30
5'9"
Height
5'10"
68"
Reach
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Well-rounded
Style
Well-rounded
56
Striking
59
45
Grappling
46
69
Cardio
48
Chance of each result
10%
By KO / TKO
27%
5%
By submission
23%
12%
By decision
22%
Goes the distance 33%Ends inside 1.5 rds 39%
TOP PROPS
  • Melquizael Costa Wins by KO/TKO 27%LOSS
Full stats
Jared GordonMelquizael Costa
Win chance28%72%
Chance to win by KO/TKO10%27%
Chance to win by submission5%23%
Chance to win by decision12%22%
FromUSABrazil
Pro record21-10-027-8-0
Top-level record9-98-3
Pro wins by method8 KO · 1 sub · 8 dec9 KO · 8 sub · 9 dec
Age3830
Height5'9"5'10"
Reach68"71"
StanceOrthodoxSouthpaw
StyleWell-roundedWell-rounded
StrikingStrongStrong
PowerAverageAverage
ChinAverageAverage
GrapplingBelow averageAverage
CardioStrongAverage
Pace in round 3+Speeds up (+38%)Holds pace
Sig. strikes landed / min5.64.3
Sig. strikes absorbed / min4.13.2
Striking accuracy54%47%
Takedowns / 15 min1.91.5
Takedown accuracy35%35%
Takedown defense62%55%
Late-round takedown defense70%48%
Held down / 15 min1.8 min4.8 min
Sub attempts / 15 min0.00.8
Top-level fights with stats1810
Confidence72%
Sat Nov 14
Early Prelim · Women's Bantamweight · 3 rounds
🇺🇸 MacyChiasson11-7-0
VS
Bia 🇧🇷Mesquita9-0-0
34%
66%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKBia Mesquita to win MONEYLINEWIN
Better grappler, better cardio, Chiasson fades late.
USA
From
Brazil
11-7-0
Pro record
9-0-0
8-7
Top-level record
4-0
35
Age
35
5'11"
Height
5'4"
72"
Reach
68"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Well-rounded
Style
–
55
Striking
55
55
Grappling
57
11
Cardio
50
Chance of each result
11%
By KO / TKO
14%
9%
By submission
29%
15%
By decision
23%
Goes the distance 49%Ends inside 1.5 rds 30%
TOP PROPS
  • Bia Mesquita Wins by submission 29%WIN
Full stats
Macy ChiassonBia Mesquita
Win chance34%66%
Chance to win by KO/TKO11%14%
Chance to win by submission9%29%
Chance to win by decision15%23%
FromUSABrazil
Pro record11-7-09-0-0
Top-level record8-74-0
Pro wins by method4 KO · 3 sub · 4 dec1 KO · 6 sub · 0 dec
Age3535
Height5'11"5'4"
Reach72"68"
StanceOrthodoxOrthodox
StyleWell-rounded–
StrikingAverageAverage
PowerAverageBelow average
ChinAverageStrong
GrapplingAverageStrong
CardioWeakAverage
Pace in round 3+Fades (-41%)–
Sig. strikes landed / min3.24.5
Sig. strikes absorbed / min2.81.3
Striking accuracy46%57%
Takedowns / 15 min1.93.6
Takedown accuracy36%75%
Takedown defense63%60%
Late-round takedown defense63%–
Held down / 15 min3.7 min1.7 min
Sub attempts / 15 min0.43.6
Top-level fights with stats143
Confidence66%
TOP PICKSat Nov 14
Early Prelim · Bantamweight · 3 rounds
🇨🇳 Alatengheili18-11-2
VS
Juan 🇵🇪Diaz17-1-1
21%
79%
Win chance · our model
Late change: Alatengheili took this fight; Late replacement: Alatengheili, 3 days' notice; Diaz camp was for a different opponent
OUR PICKJuan Diaz to win MONEYLINEWIN
Longer reach, younger, much stronger pro record.
China
From
Peru
18-11-2
Pro record
17-1-1
6-4-1
Top-level record
2-0
34
Age
28
5'5"
Height
5'8"
66"
Reach
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mixed
Style
–
50
Striking
52
62
Grappling
56
77
Cardio
50
Chance of each result
6%
By KO / TKO
19%
3%
By submission
15%
12%
By decision
44%
Goes the distance 60%Ends inside 1.5 rds 23%
TOP PROPS
  • Juan Diaz Wins by decision 44%WIN
Full stats
AlatengheiliJuan Diaz
Win chance21%79%
Chance to win by KO/TKO6%19%
Chance to win by submission3%15%
Chance to win by decision12%44%
FromChinaPeru
Pro record18-11-217-1-1
Top-level record6-4-12-0
Pro wins by method5 KO · 3 sub · 10 dec5 KO · 3 sub · 8 dec
Age3428
Height5'5"5'8"
Reach66"70"
StanceOrthodoxOrthodox
StyleMixed–
StrikingAverageAverage (few top-level fights)
PowerAverageAverage (few top-level fights)
ChinEliteStrong (few top-level fights)
GrapplingStrongAverage (few top-level fights)
CardioStrongAverage (few top-level fights)
Pace in round 3+Fades (-14%)–
Sig. strikes landed / min2.71.4
Sig. strikes absorbed / min5.01.6
Striking accuracy32%52%
Takedowns / 15 min1.98.2
Takedown accuracy42%62%
Takedown defense67%63%
Late-round takedown defense70%–
Held down / 15 min0.4 min0.0 min
Sub attempts / 15 min0.01.6
Top-level fights with stats101
Confidence79%
Sat Nov 14
Early Prelim · Lightweight · 3 rounds
🇺🇸 EvanElder11-2-0
VS
Samuel 🇧🇷Sanches11-2-0
41%
59%
Win chance · our model
Elder long layoff; Bout added 17 days out (both on short notice)
OUR PICKSamuel Sanches to win MONEYLINELOSS
Rated the stronger fighter on record and attributes.
USA
From
Brazil
11-2-0
Pro record
11-2-0
4-2
Top-level record
0-1
29
Age
23
5'10"
Height
5'10"
72"
Reach
74"
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Well-rounded
Style
–
56
Striking
50
50
Grappling
50
52
Cardio
50
Chance of each result
14%
By KO / TKO
28%
10%
By submission
9%
17%
By decision
21%
Goes the distance 46%Ends inside 1.5 rds 31%
TOP PROPS
  • Samuel Sanches Wins by KO/TKO 28%LOSS
Full stats
Evan ElderSamuel Sanches
Win chance41%59%
Chance to win by KO/TKO14%28%
Chance to win by submission10%9%
Chance to win by decision17%21%
FromUSABrazil
Pro record11-2-011-2-0
Top-level record4-20-1
Pro wins by method4 KO · 2 sub · 4 dec8 KO · 1 sub · 2 dec
Age2923
Height5'10"5'10"
Reach72"74"
StanceSwitchOrthodox
StyleWell-rounded–
StrikingStrongAverage (few top-level fights)
PowerAverageAverage (few top-level fights)
ChinAverageStrong (few top-level fights)
GrapplingAverageAverage (few top-level fights)
CardioAverageAverage (few top-level fights)
Pace in round 3+Holds pace–
Sig. strikes landed / min5.7–
Sig. strikes absorbed / min4.9–
Striking accuracy51%–
Takedowns / 15 min0.5–
Takedown accuracy15%–
Takedown defense55%–
Late-round takedown defense73%–
Held down / 15 min2.1 min–
Sub attempts / 15 min0.5–
Top-level fights with stats5–
Confidence59%