OUR RECORD every graded pick, wins and losses
Yesterday
0-1
0.0% wins
Last 7 days
4-5
44.4% wins
Season top picks
23-15
60.5% wins
Season all picks
97-88
52.4% wins
Season over/unders
92-93
49.7% wins
TODAY'S TOP PICKS 1 pick · record 23-15 (60.5%) · Season top picks
Sat Nov 14 · 7:30 PM ET
BACK-TO-BACK · Cleveland
Dallas117
Cleveland127
FINAL · we projected 116 – 115Projected total 231
Cleveland +5.5
SPREADWIN
69%ConfidenceCleveland has a slight edge on paper and home court; Cleveland played the night before and is without Evan Mobley but still gets the edge.
Officials: Tyler Ford, Eric Lewis, Jenna Schroeder Ref note: Schroeder calls more flagrants: 0.19 a game vs 0.15 league (40 in 215 games).
✗ Moneyline✓ Spread✓ Total
PLAYER OVER/UNDERS 20 todayrecord 34-20 (63.0%)
Cam Spencer Memphis
Brooklyn @ Memphis · 8:00 PM ET
Under 2.5 threes madeLOSS
Our chance65%
Meleek Thomas Cleveland
Dallas @ Cleveland · 7:30 PM ET
Under 3.5 reboundsLOSS
Our chance64%
Klay Thompson Miami
Detroit @ Miami · 8:00 PM ET
Under 2.5 assistsLOSS
Our chance62%
Egor Demin Brooklyn
Brooklyn @ Memphis · 8:00 PM ET
Under 10.5 pointsLOSS
Our chance60%
Kyrie Irving Dallas
Dallas @ Cleveland · 7:30 PM ET
Under 3.5 threes madeLOSS
Our chance64%
Jaden McDaniels Minnesota
Chicago @ Minnesota · 8:00 PM ET
Under 3.5 assistsLOSS
Our chance62%
Nolan Traore Brooklyn
Brooklyn @ Memphis · 8:00 PM ET
Under 2.5 reboundsWIN
Our chance62%
Matas Buzelis Chicago
Chicago @ Minnesota · 8:00 PM ET
Under 16.5 pointsLOSS
Our chance60%
Show 12 more
Bam Adebayo Miami
Detroit @ Miami · 8:00 PM ET
Over 0.5 threes madeWIN
Our chance64%
Cameron Johnson Denver
Denver @ New Orleans · 7:00 PM ET
Over 1.5 assistsWIN
Our chance62%
John Collins Detroit
Detroit @ Miami · 8:00 PM ET
Under 6.5 reboundsLOSS
Our chance60%
Cooper Flagg Dallas
Dallas @ Cleveland · 7:30 PM ET
Under 24.5 pointsWIN
Our chance59%
Terrence Shannon Jr. Minnesota
Chicago @ Minnesota · 8:00 PM ET
Under 1.5 threes madeWIN
Our chance63%
Zach Edey Memphis
Brooklyn @ Memphis · 8:00 PM ET
Over 0.5 assists
Our chance61%
Karlo Matkovic New Orleans
Denver @ New Orleans · 7:00 PM ET
Over 3.5 reboundsLOSS
Our chance60%
Bobby Portis Miami
Detroit @ Miami · 8:00 PM ET
Over 6.5 pointsWIN
Our chance59%
Herbert Jones New Orleans
Denver @ New Orleans · 7:00 PM ET
Under 1.5 threes madeLOSS
Our chance62%
Donovan Mitchell Cleveland
Dallas @ Cleveland · 7:30 PM ET
Under 5.5 assists
Our chance60%
DeMar DeRozan Denver
Denver @ New Orleans · 7:00 PM ET
Over 10.5 pointsLOSS
Our chance59%
Rudy Gobert Minnesota
Chicago @ Minnesota · 8:00 PM ET
Under 10.5 reboundsWIN
Our chance58%
EVERY GAME TODAY 5 on the board · our pick for eachprops record 581-334-4 (63.5%) · Pro basketball props 2026-27
7:00 PM ET 2 games
Sat Nov 14 · 7:00 PM ET
BACK-TO-BACK · New Orleans
Denver116
New Orleans108
FINAL · we projected 124 – 113Projected total 237
SPREADNew Orleans +12.556%
OUR TOTAL PICKOver 235.552%LOSS
Win chance · Denver favored
OUR PICKNew Orleans +12.5SPREADWIN
56%ConfidenceWe expect a closer game than the line says; New Orleans has home court; New Orleans played the night before and is without Trey Murphy III and Dejounte Murray but still gets the edge.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✗ Total
- Denver has a big edge in roster quality over New Orleans
- New Orleans gets home court
- New Orleans is on the second night of a back-to-back
OutDenver: Julian Strawther (G); New Orleans: Trey Murphy III (F), Dejounte Murray (G), Bennedict Mathurin (G), Trendon Watford (F), Bryce McGowens (G)
OfficialsJames Capers, Brent Barnaky, CJ Washington
Ref noteCapers calls defensive 3 seconds less often: 0.17 a game vs 0.32 league (49 in 288 games). Capers calls traveling less often: 1.15 a game vs 1.44 league (330 in 288 games). Washington calls fewer flagrants: 0.10 a game vs 0.15 league (24 in 244 games).
PLAYER PROPS
- Nikola JokicUnder 1.5 blocks67%WIN
- Zion WilliamsonOver 0.5 steals64%LOSS
- Herbert JonesUnder 1.5 threes made62%LOSS
2 more props
- Saddiq BeyUnder 2.5 threes made60%WIN
- Karlo MatkovicOver 3.5 rebounds60%LOSS
STATS All 5 stats →
- Head to headDenver has won 9 of the last 10 meetings with New Orleans (since Jan 2024).
- StreakNikola Jokić had 8+ assists in 16 straight games in 2025-26 (through Apr 2026).
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- New Orleans is without Trey Murphy III and Dejounte Murray
- Recent games: Denver 3-2, New Orleans 0-5 over their last five
- Denver is led by Nikola Jokic
Official profiles: James Capers, Brent Barnaky, CJ Washington
James CapersOfficial · 288 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Stands out on: calls defensive 3 seconds less often, calls traveling less often.
- Calls defensive 3 seconds less often: 0.17 a game vs 0.32 league (49 in 288 games).
- Calls traveling less often: 1.15 a game vs 1.44 league (330 in 288 games).
| Measure | Capers | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Calls per game | 44.2 | 44.0 | 32 of 73 |
| Shooting fouls per game | 19.5 | 20.0 | 64 of 73 |
| Free throws per game attempts, both teams | 44.6 | 45.0 | 49 of 73 |
| Offensive fouls per game incl. charges | 3.38 | 3.23 | 22 of 73 |
| Technicals per game | 0.83 | 0.81 | 36 of 73 |
| Traveling per game | 1.15 | 1.44 | 69 of 73 |
| Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 5 | 1.29 | 1.33 | 49 of 73 |
| Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant | 1.40 | 1.43 | 44 of 73 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 48.4% (139/287)Home covered 51.8% (147/284)Favorite covered 49.1% (139/283)Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
Brent BarnakyOfficial · 341 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
| Measure | Barnaky | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Calls per game | 43.3 | 44.0 | 53 of 73 |
| Shooting fouls per game | 19.9 | 20.0 | 42 of 73 |
| Free throws per game attempts, both teams | 44.6 | 45.0 | 50 of 73 |
| Offensive fouls per game incl. charges | 3.17 | 3.23 | 41 of 73 |
| Technicals per game | 0.79 | 0.81 | 44 of 73 |
| Traveling per game | 1.30 | 1.44 | 62 of 73 |
| Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 5 | 1.12 | 1.33 | 69 of 73 |
| Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant | 1.31 | 1.43 | 62 of 73 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.0% (170/340)Home covered 51.0% (173/339)Favorite covered 49.7% (168/338)Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
CJ WashingtonOfficial · 244 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Stands out on: calls fewer flagrants.
- Calls fewer flagrants: 0.10 a game vs 0.15 league (24 in 244 games).
| Measure | Washington | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Calls per game | 44.7 | 44.0 | 19 of 73 |
| Shooting fouls per game | 20.5 | 20.0 | 12 of 73 |
| Free throws per game attempts, both teams | 45.8 | 45.0 | 16 of 73 |
| Offensive fouls per game incl. charges | 3.22 | 3.23 | 37 of 73 |
| Technicals per game | 0.83 | 0.81 | 32 of 73 |
| Traveling per game | 1.56 | 1.44 | 19 of 73 |
| Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 5 | 1.47 | 1.33 | 12 of 73 |
| Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant | 1.50 | 1.43 | 23 of 73 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 56.0% (136/243)Home covered 42.8% (104/243)Favorite covered 45.7% (111/243)Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
TOP PICKSat Nov 14 · 7:30 PM ET
BACK-TO-BACK · Cleveland
Dallas117
Cleveland127
FINAL · we projected 116 – 115Projected total 231
SPREADCleveland +5.569%
OUR TOTAL PICKOver 227.555%WIN
Win chance · Dallas favored
OUR PICKCleveland +5.5SPREADWIN
69%ConfidenceCleveland has a slight edge on paper and home court; Cleveland played the night before and is without Evan Mobley but still gets the edge.
✗ Moneyline✓ Spread✓ Total
- Dallas has a clear edge in roster quality over Cleveland
- Cleveland gets home court
- Cleveland is on the second night of a back-to-back
OutDallas: Dereck Lively II (C), Daniel Gafford (F), Max Christie (G), Tarik Biberovic (F), Sergio de Larrea (F); Cleveland: James Harden (G), Donovan Mitchell (G), Evan Mobley (C), Peyton Watson (G), Sam Merrill (G), Jarrett Allen (C), Nae'Qwan Tomlin (F)
OfficialsTyler Ford, Eric Lewis, Jenna Schroeder
Ref noteSchroeder calls more flagrants: 0.19 a game vs 0.15 league (40 in 215 games).
PLAYER PROPS
- Kyrie IrvingUnder 3.5 threes made64%LOSS
- Meleek ThomasUnder 3.5 rebounds64%LOSS
- James HardenUnder 1.5 steals62%
2 more props
- Peyton WatsonUnder 1.5 blocks61%
- Daniel GaffordOver 0.5 blocks61%LOSS
STATS All 6 stats →
- Head to headCleveland has won 8 of the last 10 meetings with Dallas (since Nov 2021).
- DefenseDaniel Gafford has 2+ blocks in 8 of his last 10 games.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Dallas has 3 players out
- Cleveland is without James Harden, Donovan Mitchell and Evan Mobley
- Recent games: Dallas 3-2, Cleveland 2-3 over their last five
Official profiles: Tyler Ford, Eric Lewis, Jenna Schroeder
Tyler FordOfficial · 343 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
| Measure | Ford | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Calls per game | 45.4 | 44.0 | 4 of 73 |
| Shooting fouls per game | 20.9 | 20.0 | 1 of 73 |
| Free throws per game attempts, both teams | 46.8 | 45.0 | 2 of 73 |
| Offensive fouls per game incl. charges | 3.40 | 3.23 | 18 of 73 |
| Technicals per game | 0.77 | 0.81 | 50 of 73 |
| Traveling per game | 1.64 | 1.44 | 8 of 73 |
| Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 5 | 1.40 | 1.33 | 26 of 73 |
| Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant | 1.50 | 1.43 | 24 of 73 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 52.9% (181/342)Home covered 47.4% (161/340)Favorite covered 52.6% (179/340)Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
Eric LewisOfficial · 153 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
| Measure | Lewis | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Calls per game | 47.4 | 44.0 | 1 of 73 |
| Shooting fouls per game | 20.5 | 20.0 | 11 of 73 |
| Free throws per game attempts, both teams | 47.7 | 45.0 | 1 of 73 |
| Offensive fouls per game incl. charges | 3.68 | 3.23 | 2 of 73 |
| Technicals per game | 0.84 | 0.81 | 30 of 73 |
| Traveling per game | 1.53 | 1.44 | 24 of 73 |
| Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 5 | 1.62 | 1.33 | 3 of 73 |
| Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant | 1.69 | 1.43 | 4 of 73 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 53.0% (79/149)Home covered 51.3% (78/152)Favorite covered 46.1% (70/152)Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
Jenna SchroederOfficial · 215 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Stands out on: calls more flagrants.
- Calls more flagrants: 0.19 a game vs 0.15 league (40 in 215 games).
| Measure | Schroeder | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Calls per game | 43.0 | 44.0 | 65 of 73 |
| Shooting fouls per game | 20.1 | 20.0 | 29 of 73 |
| Free throws per game attempts, both teams | 44.8 | 45.0 | 44 of 73 |
| Offensive fouls per game incl. charges | 2.98 | 3.23 | 66 of 73 |
| Technicals per game | 0.82 | 0.81 | 39 of 73 |
| Traveling per game | 1.38 | 1.44 | 54 of 73 |
| Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 5 | 1.33 | 1.33 | 40 of 73 |
| Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant | 1.57 | 1.43 | 12 of 73 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 46.0% (99/215)Home covered 49.8% (107/215)Favorite covered 47.9% (103/215)Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
8:00 PM ET 3 games
Sat Nov 14 · 8:00 PM ET
BACK-TO-BACK · Miami
Detroit117
Miami137
FINAL · we projected 118 – 113Projected total 231
SPREADDetroit -4.553%
OUR TOTAL PICKOver 228.554%WIN
Win chance · Detroit favored
OUR PICKDetroit -4.5SPREAD
53%ConfidenceDetroit has the stronger roster on paper; Miami played the night before; Detroit is without Jalen Duren but still gets the edge.
✗ Moneyline✗ Spread✓ Total
- Detroit has a big edge in roster quality over Miami
- Miami gets home court
- Miami is on the second night of a back-to-back
OutDetroit: Jalen Duren (C), Isaiah Joe (G); Miami: Pelle Larsson (G)
OfficialsMitchell Ervin, Jonathan Sterling, Suyash Mehta
PLAYER PROPS
- Bam AdebayoOver 0.5 threes made64%WIN
- John CollinsOver 0.5 threes made62%WIN
- Cade CunninghamUnder 2.5 threes made60%LOSS
2 more props
- Daniss JenkinsOver 0.5 steals59%WIN
- Kevin HuerterOver 0.5 steals58%WIN
STATS All 6 stats →
- RestMiami played yesterday. It is 13-6 on the second night of a back-to-back since the start of 2025-26.
- PlayerGiannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 26.4 points, 12.0 rebounds and 5.0 assists this season (11 games).
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Detroit is without Jalen Duren
- Miami is without Pelle Larsson
- Recent games: Detroit 3-2, Miami 4-1 over their last five
Official profiles: Mitchell Ervin, Jonathan Sterling, Suyash Mehta
Mitchell ErvinOfficial · 343 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
| Measure | Ervin | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Calls per game | 45.8 | 44.0 | 3 of 73 |
| Shooting fouls per game | 20.5 | 20.0 | 15 of 73 |
| Free throws per game attempts, both teams | 46.7 | 45.0 | 5 of 73 |
| Offensive fouls per game incl. charges | 3.38 | 3.23 | 20 of 73 |
| Technicals per game | 0.81 | 0.81 | 42 of 73 |
| Traveling per game | 1.59 | 1.44 | 16 of 73 |
| Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 5 | 1.79 | 1.33 | 1 of 73 |
| Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant | 1.87 | 1.43 | 1 of 73 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 55.1% (188/341)Home covered 49.6% (169/341)Favorite covered 48.1% (163/339)Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
Jonathan SterlingOfficial · 231 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
| Measure | Sterling | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Calls per game | 45.1 | 44.0 | 10 of 73 |
| Shooting fouls per game | 19.8 | 20.0 | 47 of 73 |
| Free throws per game attempts, both teams | 45.1 | 45.0 | 35 of 73 |
| Offensive fouls per game incl. charges | 3.48 | 3.23 | 11 of 73 |
| Technicals per game | 0.92 | 0.81 | 8 of 73 |
| Traveling per game | 1.65 | 1.44 | 7 of 73 |
| Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 5 | 1.39 | 1.33 | 28 of 73 |
| Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant | 1.47 | 1.43 | 30 of 73 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 53.7% (124/231)Home covered 56.5% (130/230)Favorite covered 53.0% (122/230)Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
Suyash MehtaOfficial · 214 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
| Measure | Mehta | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Calls per game | 44.1 | 44.0 | 35 of 73 |
| Shooting fouls per game | 20.5 | 20.0 | 13 of 73 |
| Free throws per game attempts, both teams | 45.9 | 45.0 | 14 of 73 |
| Offensive fouls per game incl. charges | 3.26 | 3.23 | 29 of 73 |
| Technicals per game | 0.87 | 0.81 | 20 of 73 |
| Traveling per game | 1.42 | 1.44 | 49 of 73 |
| Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 5 | 1.22 | 1.33 | 59 of 73 |
| Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant | 1.37 | 1.43 | 51 of 73 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 51.4% (110/214)Home covered 54.5% (116/213)Favorite covered 54.9% (117/213)Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
Sat Nov 14 · 8:00 PM ET
BACK-TO-BACK · Memphis
Brooklyn110
Memphis129
FINAL · we projected 112 – 117Projected total 229
SPREADMemphis -3.555%
OUR TOTAL PICKOver 223.558%WIN
Win chance · Memphis favored
OUR PICKMemphis -3.5SPREAD
55%ConfidenceMemphis has the stronger roster on paper and home court; Memphis played the night before and is without Ty Jerome but still gets the edge.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✓ Total
- Memphis has a clear edge in roster quality over Brooklyn
- Memphis gets home court
- Memphis is on the second night of a back-to-back
OutBrooklyn: Michael Porter Jr. (F); Memphis: Ty Jerome (G), Jerami Grant (F), Zach Edey (C), Scotty Pippen Jr. (G), GG Jackson (F), Quinten Post (C), Richie Saunders (G)
OfficialsJosh Tiven, Nate Green, Michael Smith
Ref noteSmith calls defensive 3 seconds often: 0.59 a game vs 0.32 league (145 in 246 games).
PLAYER PROPS
- Nolan TraoreUnder 1.5 steals66%WIN
- Cam SpencerUnder 2.5 threes made65%LOSS
- Michael Porter Jr.Under 3.5 threes made62%
2 more props
- Zach EdeyUnder 1.5 blocks61%
- Julius RandleUnder 1.5 threes made61%LOSS
STATS All 5 stats →
- RestMemphis played yesterday. It is 4-11 on the second night of a back-to-back since the start of 2025-26.
- ScoringMichael Porter Jr. has 3+ threes in 8 of his 10 games this season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Memphis is without Ty Jerome
- Recent games: Brooklyn 2-3, Memphis 2-3 over their last five
- Memphis is led by Cam Spencer
Official profiles: Josh Tiven, Nate Green, Michael Smith
Josh TivenOfficial · 381 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
| Measure | Tiven | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Calls per game | 42.7 | 44.0 | 69 of 73 |
| Shooting fouls per game | 19.7 | 20.0 | 51 of 73 |
| Free throws per game attempts, both teams | 44.3 | 45.0 | 55 of 73 |
| Offensive fouls per game incl. charges | 3.09 | 3.23 | 51 of 73 |
| Technicals per game | 0.79 | 0.81 | 45 of 73 |
| Traveling per game | 1.31 | 1.44 | 58 of 73 |
| Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 5 | 1.37 | 1.33 | 35 of 73 |
| Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant | 1.55 | 1.43 | 14 of 73 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 48.8% (185/379)Home covered 49.1% (187/381)Favorite covered 52.8% (201/381)Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
Nate GreenOfficial · 219 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
| Measure | Green | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Calls per game | 43.7 | 44.0 | 44 of 73 |
| Shooting fouls per game | 19.9 | 20.0 | 40 of 73 |
| Free throws per game attempts, both teams | 44.9 | 45.0 | 42 of 73 |
| Offensive fouls per game incl. charges | 3.00 | 3.23 | 64 of 73 |
| Technicals per game | 0.89 | 0.81 | 16 of 73 |
| Traveling per game | 1.31 | 1.44 | 59 of 73 |
| Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 5 | 1.47 | 1.33 | 15 of 73 |
| Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant | 1.31 | 1.43 | 63 of 73 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 45.9% (100/218)Home covered 46.6% (102/219)Favorite covered 43.4% (95/219)Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
Michael SmithOfficial · 246 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Stands out on: calls defensive 3 seconds often.
- Calls defensive 3 seconds often: 0.59 a game vs 0.32 league (145 in 246 games).
| Measure | Smith | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Calls per game | 45.9 | 44.0 | 2 of 73 |
| Shooting fouls per game | 19.9 | 20.0 | 43 of 73 |
| Free throws per game attempts, both teams | 45.5 | 45.0 | 25 of 73 |
| Offensive fouls per game incl. charges | 3.65 | 3.23 | 3 of 73 |
| Technicals per game | 0.84 | 0.81 | 27 of 73 |
| Traveling per game | 1.61 | 1.44 | 12 of 73 |
| Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 5 | 1.33 | 1.33 | 41 of 73 |
| Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant | 1.41 | 1.43 | 42 of 73 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.6% (121/244)Home covered 54.1% (133/246)Favorite covered 52.0% (127/244)Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
Sat Nov 14 · 8:00 PM ET
BACK-TO-BACK · Chicago
Chicago117
Minnesota106
FINAL · we projected 112 – 125Projected total 237
SPREADChicago +15.556%
OUR TOTAL PICKUnder 237.551%WIN
Win chance · Minnesota favored
OUR PICKChicago +15.5SPREAD
56%ConfidenceWe expect a closer game than the line says; Minnesota is without Anthony Edwards and Donte DiVincenzo; Chicago played the night before and is without Caleb Wilson but still gets the edge.
✗ Moneyline✓ Spread✓ Total
- Minnesota has a big edge in roster quality over Chicago
- Minnesota gets home court
- Chicago is on the second night of a back-to-back
OutChicago: Caleb Wilson (F), Jalen Smith (F), Nic Claxton (C), Tobe Awaka (F); Minnesota: Anthony Edwards (G), Donte DiVincenzo (G), Jaylen Clark (G)
OfficialsNick Buchert, Brian Forte, Scott Twardoski
Ref noteBuchert calls traveling often: 1.74 a game vs 1.44 league (574 in 330 games). Buchert calls more flagrants: 0.20 a game vs 0.15 league (65 in 330 games). Forte calls traveling less often: 1.12 a game vs 1.44 league (382 in 340 games).
PLAYER PROPS
- Ayo DosunmuUnder 1.5 steals63%LOSS
- Terrence Shannon Jr.Under 1.5 threes made63%WIN
- Matas BuzelisUnder 2.5 threes made62%WIN
2 more props
- Rudy GobertUnder 1.5 blocks61%WIN
- LaMelo BallUnder 1.5 steals60%LOSS
STATS All 7 stats →
- RestChicago played yesterday. It is 3-12 on the second night of a back-to-back since the start of 2025-26.
- PlayerJosh Giddey had 28 double-doubles in 54 games in 2025-26.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Chicago is without Caleb Wilson and Jalen Smith
- Minnesota is without Anthony Edwards and Donte DiVincenzo
- Recent games: Chicago 1-4, Minnesota 5-0 over their last five
Official profiles: Nick Buchert, Brian Forte, Scott Twardoski
Nick BuchertOfficial · 330 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Stands out on: calls traveling often, calls more flagrants.
- Calls traveling often: 1.74 a game vs 1.44 league (574 in 330 games).
- Calls more flagrants: 0.20 a game vs 0.15 league (65 in 330 games).
| Measure | Buchert | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Calls per game | 44.9 | 44.0 | 14 of 73 |
| Shooting fouls per game | 19.8 | 20.0 | 46 of 73 |
| Free throws per game attempts, both teams | 45.2 | 45.0 | 31 of 73 |
| Offensive fouls per game incl. charges | 3.13 | 3.23 | 48 of 73 |
| Technicals per game | 0.90 | 0.81 | 14 of 73 |
| Traveling per game | 1.74 | 1.44 | 3 of 73 |
| Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 5 | 1.58 | 1.33 | 4 of 73 |
| Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant | 1.60 | 1.43 | 8 of 73 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.0% (164/328)Home covered 44.3% (145/327)Favorite covered 46.2% (151/327)Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
Brian ForteOfficial · 340 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Stands out on: calls traveling less often.
- Calls traveling less often: 1.12 a game vs 1.44 league (382 in 340 games).
| Measure | Forte | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Calls per game | 42.9 | 44.0 | 66 of 73 |
| Shooting fouls per game | 19.7 | 20.0 | 52 of 73 |
| Free throws per game attempts, both teams | 44.1 | 45.0 | 57 of 73 |
| Offensive fouls per game incl. charges | 3.29 | 3.23 | 26 of 73 |
| Technicals per game | 0.89 | 0.81 | 15 of 73 |
| Traveling per game | 1.12 | 1.44 | 71 of 73 |
| Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 5 | 1.26 | 1.33 | 56 of 73 |
| Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant | 1.40 | 1.43 | 43 of 73 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 43.3% (146/337)Home covered 53.0% (179/338)Favorite covered 50.0% (169/338)Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
Scott TwardoskiOfficial · 274 games · 2021-22 to 2026-27
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
| Measure | Twardoski | League | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Calls per game | 44.2 | 44.0 | 30 of 73 |
| Shooting fouls per game | 19.9 | 20.0 | 37 of 73 |
| Free throws per game attempts, both teams | 44.9 | 45.0 | 43 of 73 |
| Offensive fouls per game incl. charges | 3.44 | 3.23 | 15 of 73 |
| Technicals per game | 0.69 | 0.81 | 66 of 73 |
| Traveling per game | 1.40 | 1.44 | 53 of 73 |
| Late calls in close games final 5:00 of the 4th/OT, score within 5 | 1.45 | 1.33 | 16 of 73 |
| Pivotal calls per game: 10+ pt win-prob swing, or a late-close technical/flagrant | 1.70 | 1.43 | 3 of 73 |
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 52.0% (142/273)Home covered 47.6% (129/271)Favorite covered 51.3% (139/271)Every call is credited to all three officials on the crew (ESPN does not say who blew the whistle), so these are the games this official works, shared with the crew-mates.
STAT CORNER pro basketball stats for the games on this page All stats →
- Head to headJerami Grant has averaged 20.6 points in his last 5 games against Brooklyn (since Nov 2022).
- ScoringNorman Powell had 20+ points in 39 of his 58 games in 2025-26.
- Head to headDonovan Mitchell has scored 20+ points in 5 of his last 7 games against Dallas (since Dec 2022).
- ScoringJamal Murray had 5 games with 40+ points in 2025-26 (75 games).
Power rankings
POWER RANKINGS Nov 14
| # | Team | Record | Streak |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Houston | 10-3 | W3 |
| 2 | San Antonio | 11-2 | W11 |
| 3 | Boston | 10-2 | W5 |
| 4 | Los Angeles (L) | 11-2 | W7 |
| 5 | Portland | 9-3 | W3 |
| 6 | Minnesota | 9-3 | W5 |
| 7 | Detroit | 8-3 | |
| 8 | Denver | 7-4 | |
| 9 | Philadelphia | 10-3 | |
| 10 | New York | 6-6 | |
| 11 | Miami | 6-6 | W3 |
| 12 | Atlanta | 7-6 | |
| 13 | Oklahoma City | 8-5 | L3 |
| 14 | Memphis | 8-4 | |
| 15 | Golden State | 8-5 | |
| 16 | Orlando | 5-7 | W3 |
| 17 | Dallas | 7-6 | |
| 18 | Toronto | 5-7 | L3 |
| 19 | Phoenix | 5-6 | |
| 20 | Cleveland | 7-7 | |
| 21 | Brooklyn | 3-8 | |
| 22 | Indiana | 5-8 | |
| 23 | Charlotte | 4-8 | |
| 24 | Los Angeles (C) | 3-8 | |
| 25 | Washington | 4-9 | L6 |
| 26 | Chicago | 2-9 | |
| 27 | New Orleans | 4-10 | L6 |
| 28 | Milwaukee | 1-12 | L9 |
| 29 | Sacramento | 1-11 | L5 |
| 30 | Utah | 1-12 | L11 |