STAT CORNER pro basketball stats for the games on this page All stats →
- StreakShai Gilgeous-Alexander had 25+ points in 14 straight games in 2025-26 (through Dec 2025).
- StreakNikola Jokić had 8+ assists in 16 straight games in 2025-26 (through Apr 2026).
- ScoringAnthony Edwards had 32 games with 30+ points in 2025-26 (61 games).
- RestMemphis played yesterday. It is 3-11 on the second night of a back-to-back since the start of 2025-26.
OUR RECORD every graded pick, wins and losses
Season top picks
7-6
53.8% wins
Season all picks
22-20
52.4% wins
TODAY'S TOP PICKS 3 picks · record 7-6 (53.8%) · season top picks
Mon Oct 26 · 7:30 PM ET
EARLY LOOK
Dallas112
Miami116.2
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 228.2
Dallas +8.5
SPREAD
62%ConfidenceWe expect a closer game than the line says; Dallas still gets the edge without Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall and Santi Aldama.
Mon Oct 26 · 8:00 PM ET
EARLY LOOKBACK-TO-BACK · Indiana
Indiana116
Milwaukee115.8
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 231.8
Milwaukee +4.5
SPREAD
62%ConfidenceWe expect a closer game than the line says; Milwaukee has home court; Indiana played the night before.
Mon Oct 26 · 8:00 PM ET
EARLY LOOKBACK-TO-BACK · Oklahoma City
Phoenix106.4
Oklahoma City119.5
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 225.9
Oklahoma City to win
MONEYLINE
82%ConfidenceOklahoma City has the stronger roster on paper and home court; Oklahoma City played the night before but still gets the edge.
TOP PROP BETS 2 propsprops record 120-91-1 (56.9%) · Pro basketball props 2026-27
Ausar Thompson Detroit
Detroit @ Philadelphia
Under 0.5 threes made
Our projection is below the line; listed day-to-day, so check he plays.
Confidence83%
Kawhi Leonard Toronto
Toronto @ Minnesota
Under 0.5 blocks
Our projection is below the line.
Confidence73%
EVERY GAME TODAY 9 on the board · our pick for each
Mon Oct 26 · 7:00 PM ET
EARLY LOOK
Washington111.9
Charlotte116.6
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 228.5
SPREADCharlotte -2.556%
OVER / UNDERUnder 228.550%
The % is our chance that read is right.
Win chance · Charlotte favored
OUR PICKCharlotte -2.5SPREAD
56%ConfidenceCharlotte has the stronger roster on paper and home court; Charlotte still gets the edge without Kon Knueppel and Coby White.
- Charlotte has a clear edge in roster quality over Washington
- Charlotte gets home court
- Washington has 3 players out
OutWashington: AJ Dybantsa (F), Jamir Watkins (G), Tristan Vukcevic (F); Charlotte: Kon Knueppel (G), Coby White (G), Grant Williams (F), Kylan Boswell (G)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Charlotte is without Kon Knueppel and Coby White
- Recent games: Washington 2-3, Charlotte 2-3 over their last five
- Charlotte is led by Brandon Miller
Mon Oct 26 · 7:00 PM ET
EARLY LOOKBACK-TO-BACK · Minnesota
Minnesota115.7
Cleveland119.4
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 235.1
SPREADCleveland -3.550%
OVER / UNDEROver 232.556%
The % is our chance that read is right.
Win chance · Cleveland favored
OUR PICKCleveland -3.5SPREAD
50%ConfidenceCleveland has the stronger roster on paper and home court; Minnesota is without Donte DiVincenzo; Minnesota played the night before.
- Cleveland and Minnesota are closely matched on paper
- Cleveland gets home court
- Minnesota is on the second night of a back-to-back
OutMinnesota: Donte DiVincenzo (G)
STATS All 6 stats →
- RestMinnesota played yesterday. It is 8-6 on the second night of a back-to-back since the start of 2025-26.
- ScoringDonovan Mitchell had 34 games with 30+ points in 2025-26 (70 games).
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Minnesota is without Donte DiVincenzo
- Recent games: Minnesota 3-2, Cleveland 2-3 over their last five
- Cleveland is led by Donovan Mitchell
Mon Oct 26 · 7:30 PM ET
EARLY LOOK
Chicago109.2
Boston120.2
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 229.4
SPREADChicago +13.557%
OVER / UNDERUnder 233.559%
The % is our chance that read is right.
Win chance · Boston favored
OUR PICKChicago +13.5SPREAD
57%ConfidenceWe expect a closer game than the line says; Chicago still gets the edge without Nic Claxton.
- Boston has a big edge in roster quality over Chicago
- Boston gets home court
- Chicago is without Nic Claxton
OutChicago: Nic Claxton (C); Boston: Devin Carter (G)
STATS All 3 stats →
- Head to headBoston has won 8 of the last 10 meetings with Chicago (since Nov 2023).
- PlayerJosh Giddey had 28 double-doubles in 54 games in 2025-26.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Recent games: Chicago 3-2, Boston 4-1 over their last five
- Boston is led by Jayson Tatum
- We like Chicago getting the points: we expect a closer game than the line says
TOP PICKMon Oct 26 · 7:30 PM ET
EARLY LOOK
Dallas112
Miami116.2
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 228.2
SPREADDallas +8.562%
OVER / UNDERUnder 236.567%
The % is our chance that read is right.
Win chance · Miami favored
OUR PICKDallas +8.5SPREAD
62%ConfidenceWe expect a closer game than the line says; Dallas still gets the edge without Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall and Santi Aldama.
- Miami has a clear edge in roster quality over Dallas
- Miami gets home court
- Dallas is without Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall and Santi Aldama
OutDallas: Cooper Flagg (F), Naji Marshall (F), Santi Aldama (F), Dereck Lively II (C), Caleb Martin (F), Tarik Biberovic (F)
STATS All 4 stats →
- ScoringGiannis Antetokounmpo had 25+ points in 24 of his 36 games in 2025-26.
- Head to headKyrie Irving has scored 20+ points in all of his last 5 games against Miami (since Jan 2023).
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Recent games: Dallas 1-4, Miami 1-4 over their last five
- Miami is led by Giannis Antetokounmpo
- We like Dallas getting the points: we expect a closer game than the line says
TOP PICKMon Oct 26 · 8:00 PM ET
EARLY LOOKBACK-TO-BACK · Indiana
Indiana116
Milwaukee115.8
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 231.8
SPREADMilwaukee +4.562%
OVER / UNDERUnder 239.566%
The % is our chance that read is right.
Win chance · Indiana favored
OUR PICKMilwaukee +4.5SPREAD
62%ConfidenceWe expect a closer game than the line says; Milwaukee has home court; Indiana played the night before.
- Indiana has a clear edge in roster quality over Milwaukee
- Milwaukee gets home court
- Indiana is on the second night of a back-to-back
OutIndiana: Ben Sheppard (G), Johnny Furphy (G), T.J. McConnell (G)
STATS
- RestIndiana played yesterday. It is 3-10 on the second night of a back-to-back since the start of 2025-26.
- PlayerPascal Siakam averaged 24.0 points, 6.6 rebounds and 3.8 assists in 2025-26 (62 games).
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Indiana has 3 players out
- Recent games: Indiana 2-3, Milwaukee 1-4 over their last five
- Indiana is led by Tyrese Haliburton
TOP PICKMon Oct 26 · 8:00 PM ET
EARLY LOOKBACK-TO-BACK · Oklahoma City
Phoenix106.4
Oklahoma City119.5
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 225.9
OVER / UNDEROver 218.566%
The % is our chance that read is right.
Win chance · Oklahoma City favored
OUR PICKOklahoma City to winMONEYLINE
82%ConfidenceOklahoma City has the stronger roster on paper and home court; Oklahoma City played the night before but still gets the edge.
- Oklahoma City has a big edge in roster quality over Phoenix
- Oklahoma City gets home court
- Oklahoma City is on the second night of a back-to-back
OutPhoenix: Mark Williams (C); Oklahoma City: Nikola Topic (G), Thomas Sorber (C), Otega Oweh (G)
STATS All 4 stats →
- Head to headOklahoma City has won 8 of the last 10 meetings with Phoenix (since Apr 2025).
- StreakShai Gilgeous-Alexander had 25+ points in 14 straight games in 2025-26 (through Dec 2025).
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Oklahoma City has 3 players out
- Recent games: Phoenix 2-3, Oklahoma City 4-1 over their last five
- Oklahoma City is led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Mon Oct 26 · 8:30 PM ET
EARLY LOOK
Atlanta111.7
Houston115.6
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 227.3
SPREADAtlanta +5.555%
OVER / UNDERUnder 229.555%
The % is our chance that read is right.
Win chance · Houston favored
OUR PICKAtlanta +5.5SPREAD
55%ConfidenceWe expect a closer game than the line says.
- Houston and Atlanta are closely matched on paper
- Houston gets home court
- Recent games: Atlanta 4-1, Houston 4-1 over their last five
OutAtlanta: Mouhamed Gueye (F), Henri Veesaar (C); Houston: Steven Adams (C)
STATS All 4 stats →
- HomeHouston went 30-11 at home in 2025-26.
- PlayerJalen Johnson had 13 triple-doubles in 72 games in 2025-26.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Houston is led by Alperen Sengun
- We like Atlanta getting the points: we expect a closer game than the line says
Mon Oct 26 · 9:00 PM ET
EARLY LOOK
Memphis116.8
Utah115.5
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 232.3
OVER / UNDERUnder 237.561%
The % is our chance that read is right.
Win chance · Memphis favored
OUR PICKMemphis to winMONEYLINE
54%ConfidenceMemphis has the stronger roster on paper; Utah is without Jusuf Nurkic.
- Memphis has a clear edge in roster quality over Utah
- Utah gets home court
- Both teams played last night
OutMemphis: Zach Edey (C), Karim Lopez (F); Utah: Jusuf Nurkic (C), Trey Alexander (G)
STATS All 4 stats →
- RestMemphis played yesterday. It is 3-11 on the second night of a back-to-back since the start of 2025-26.
- ScoringLauri Markkanen had 13 games with 30+ points in 2025-26 (42 games).
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Utah is without Jusuf Nurkic
- Recent games: Memphis 4-0, Utah 3-2 over their last five
- Memphis is led by Ty Jerome
Mon Oct 26 · 10:00 PM ET
EARLY LOOK
Golden State113.1
Denver123.7
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 236.8
SPREADDenver -7.558%
OVER / UNDEROver 234.555%
The % is our chance that read is right.
Win chance · Denver favored
OUR PICKDenver -7.5SPREAD
58%ConfidenceDenver has the stronger roster on paper and home court; Golden State is without Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody and Kristaps Porzingis.
- Denver has a big edge in roster quality over Golden State
- Denver gets home court
- Golden State is without Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody and Kristaps Porzingis
OutGolden State: Jimmy Butler III (F), Moses Moody (G), Kristaps Porzingis (C); Denver: Spencer Jones (F), Julian Strawther (G)
STATS All 6 stats →
- Head to headDenver has won 7 of the last 10 meetings with Golden State (since Dec 2023).
- StreakNikola Jokić had 8+ assists in 16 straight games in 2025-26 (through Apr 2026).
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Recent games: Golden State 2-3, Denver 3-2 over their last five
- Denver is led by Nikola Jokic
- We like Denver to win by more than the line
RECENT RESULTS our latest graded top picks
| Oct 25 | Indiana @ Brooklyn | Brooklyn +6.5 | LOSS |
| Oct 24 | Miami @ Charlotte | Charlotte +3.5 | WIN |
| Oct 24 | San Antonio @ Dallas | Dallas +14.5 | LOSS |
| Oct 23 | New York @ Boston | Boston -2.5 | WIN |
| Oct 23 | Atlanta @ Charlotte | Charlotte +2.5 | LOSS |
| Oct 23 | Dallas @ Indiana | Dallas +7.5 | WIN |
| Oct 23 | Memphis @ Golden State | Memphis +4.5 | WIN |
| Oct 22 | Cleveland @ Philadelphia | Cleveland +2.5 | LOSS |
| Oct 21 | Milwaukee @ Washington | Milwaukee +4.5 | LOSS |
| Oct 21 | Indiana @ New Orleans | New Orleans +3.5 | WIN |
| Oct 21 | Dallas @ Houston | Dallas +9.5 | LOSS |
| Oct 21 | Golden State @ Los Angeles (L) | Los Angeles (L) -6.5 | WIN |
| Oct 20 | Philadelphia @ New York | Philadelphia +4.5 | WIN |
POWER RANKINGS our own ratings; change vs a week ago · Oct 26
| # | Team | Record | Week | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma City | 3-0 | – | Built around Shai Gilgeous-Alexander |
| 2 | San Antonio | 1-2 | – | Built around Victor Wembanyama |
| 3 | Los Angeles (L) | 3-0 | ▲ 4 | Up 4 spots; built around Luka Doncic |
| 4 | Denver | 1-1 | ▲ 2 | Built around Nikola Jokic |
| 5 | Boston | 1-1 | ▼ 1 | Built around Jayson Tatum |
| 6 | Cleveland | 1-1 | ▼ 3 | Down 3 spots; built around Donovan Mitchell |
| 7 | Minnesota | 3-0 | ▲ 7 | Up 7 spots; missing Donte DiVincenzo |
| 8 | Portland | 2-0 | ▲ 4 | Up 4 spots; built around Deni Avdija |
| 9 | Houston | 3-0 | – | Built around Alperen Sengun |
| 10 | Toronto | 2-1 | ▼ 2 | Missing Kawhi Leonard |
| 11 | Atlanta | 2-1 | ▲ 5 | Up 5 spots; built around Jalen Johnson |
| 12 | Detroit | 3-0 | ▼ 7 | Down 7 spots; missing Jalen Duren and Ausar Thompson |
| 13 | New York | 0-3 | – | Built around Jalen Brunson |
| 14 | Philadelphia | 3-1 | ▼ 4 | Down 4 spots; missing Joel Embiid and VJ Edgecombe |
| 15 | Orlando | 1-2 | ▼ 4 | Down 4 spots; missing Paolo Banchero |
| 16 | Memphis | 2-0 | ▲ 5 | Up 5 spots; built around Ty Jerome |
| 17 | Indiana | 2-1 | ▲ 2 | Built around Tyrese Haliburton |
| 18 | Phoenix | 1-1 | ▼ 1 | Missing Mark Williams |
| 19 | Miami | 0-3 | ▼ 4 | Down 4 spots; built around Giannis Antetokounmpo |
| 20 | Charlotte | 2-1 | ▼ 2 | Missing Kon Knueppel |
| 21 | New Orleans | 0-3 | ▲ 3 | Up 3 spots; missing Yves Missi |
| 22 | Golden State | 0-3 | ▲ 3 | Up 3 spots; missing Jimmy Butler III and Kristaps Porzingis |
| 23 | Los Angeles (C) | 1-2 | ▲ 4 | Up 4 spots; missing Brandon Ingram and Max Strus |
| 24 | Utah | 1-2 | ▼ 1 | Built around Lauri Markkanen |
| 25 | Chicago | 1-2 | ▼ 3 | Down 3 spots; missing Nic Claxton |
| 26 | Dallas | 1-2 | ▼ 6 | Down 6 spots; missing Cooper Flagg and Santi Aldama |
| 27 | Milwaukee | 0-3 | ▼ 1 | Built around Tyler Herro |
| 28 | Washington | 2-1 | – | Missing AJ Dybantsa |
| 29 | Brooklyn | 0-3 | – | Built around Michael Porter Jr. |
| 30 | Sacramento | 0-2 | – | Missing Dylan Cardwell |
The model rates each team from its current roster and who is out injured, then adds home court and rest. When a spread is posted we pick the side the model likes against it, and Confidence is the model's chance that side covers; with no spread yet, it is the model's chance that team wins. Each game's pick locks about 2 hours before its own tip-off, after the latest injury report, and only locked picks count. A game is a top pick only when the model's confidence reaches 60% — a real lean, not just the best of a quiet slate — up to 4 a day; some days there are none. Win and cover chances come from how far games have landed from our projection (preseason: measured on this preseason's games; regular season: the same curve until enough regular-season games are in to re-measure it). Each game has up to three separate reads from one projected score - the winner, the spread and the total - the last two compared with the posted number and locked with the game's read at tip-off. All three chances come off that one curve, so they always agree with each other; neither the spread nor the total read has beaten the posted numbers in our history, and the record on this page is the judge of that. Player props come from our separate player model: up to 5 per game, only the ones it rates most likely to hit, locked before tip-off. Confidence on a prop is the model's chance it hits.