BetSharpr
Updated Nov 14, 11:13 PM ET
FRI NOV 13
FRIDAY NOV 13 graded picks
Went 27-20 on the day
AP Top 25 13 games
Fri Nov 13 · 5:00 PM ET
North Alabama52
17Miami94
FINAL · we projected 58 – 90Projected total 148
SPREADNorth Alabama +35.558%
OVER / UNDERUnder 152.561%
4%
96%
Win chance · Miami favored
OUR PICKNorth Alabama +35.5SPREADLOSS
0Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like North Alabama at this line.
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✓ Total
  • No. 17 Miami is at home against North Alabama.
  • North Alabama went 9-21 last season.
  • Miami went 26-9 last season.
RecordsNorth Alabama 2-2 · Miami 3-1
Players gradeNorth Alabama #311 · Miami #14
Record gradeNorth Alabama #118 · Miami #130
OfficialsJeff Clark, Tim Clougherty, Tim Smith
Ref notesLow-foul crew: crews like this went under 58% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • North Alabama returns about 14% of its minutes and added 6 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Miami returns about 42% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: North Alabama 2-2, Miami 3-1.
Official profiles: Jeff Clark, Tim Clougherty, Tim Smith
Jeff ClarkOfficial · 143 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureClarkLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.534.5238 of 284
Technicals per game0.240.35228 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.442.47140 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.180.20178 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games47.7%50.6%333 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 47.7% (184/386)Home covered 50.2% (167/333)Favorite covered 43.6% (168/385)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Tim CloughertyOfficial · 151 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureCloughertyLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.334.5244 of 284
Technicals per game0.400.3582 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.052.47242 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.170.20196 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.0%50.6%258 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.0% (176/352)Home covered 48.8% (148/303)Favorite covered 51.3% (181/353)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Tim SmithOfficial · 138 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureSmithLeagueRank
Fouls per game31.834.5252 of 284
Technicals per game0.250.35225 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.352.47170 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20161 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.7%50.6%271 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.7% (162/326)Home covered 49.5% (144/291)Favorite covered 49.7% (162/326)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 7:00 PM ET
Merrimack54
1Florida83
FINAL · we projected 51 – 93Projected total 144
SPREADFlorida -37.560%
OVER / UNDEROver 139.558%
2%
98%
Win chance · Florida favored
OUR PICKFlorida -37.5SPREADLOSS
0Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Florida at this line; home court.
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✗ Total
  • No. 1 Florida is at home against Merrimack.
  • Merrimack went 23-11 last season.
  • Florida went 27-8 last season.
RecordsMerrimack 1-3 · Florida 4-0
Players gradeMerrimack #242 · Florida #1
Record gradeMerrimack #334 · Florida #2
OfficialsPatrick Evans, Joe Lindsay, Landon Brandes
Ref watchPatrick Evans: unders hit 52% of his 271 games since 2021-22.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Merrimack returns about 36% of its minutes and added 4 transfers and 7 freshmen.
  • Florida returns about 79% of its minutes and added 2 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Merrimack 1-3, Florida 4-0.
Official profiles: Patrick Evans, Joe Lindsay, Landon Brandes
Patrick EvansOfficial · 109 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureEvansLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.034.564 of 284
Technicals per game0.510.3524 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.622.4798 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.130.20244 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games48.0%50.6%326 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 48.0% (130/271)Home covered 48.5% (111/229)Favorite covered 49.1% (133/271)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Joe LindsayOfficial · 161 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureLindsayLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.534.548 of 284
Technicals per game0.190.35268 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.302.47182 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.170.20193 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.4%50.6%247 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.4% (191/379)Home covered 49.2% (154/313)Favorite covered 46.9% (177/377)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Landon BrandesOfficial · 103 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureBrandesLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.734.5194 of 284
Technicals per game0.190.35266 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points3.292.479 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.300.2026 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games54.5%50.6%124 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 54.5% (122/224)Home covered 45.2% (85/188)Favorite covered 48.4% (107/221)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 7:00 PM ET
Sam Houston86
3Illinois108
FINAL · we projected 66 – 95Projected total 161
SPREADSam Houston +36.565%
OVER / UNDERUnder 170.570%
5%
95%
Win chance · Illinois favored
OUR PICKSam Houston +36.5SPREADWIN
0Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Sam Houston at this line.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✗ Total
  • No. 3 Illinois is at home against Sam Houston.
  • Sam Houston went 22-12 last season.
  • Illinois went 28-9 last season.
RecordsSam Houston 2-2 · Illinois 3-1
Players gradeSam Houston #157 · Illinois #5
Record gradeSam Houston #140 · Illinois #57
OfficialsKevin Brill, Rob Kueneman, Kelly Pfeifer
Ref watchKevin Brill: unders hit 53% of his 294 games since 2021-22.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Sam Houston returns about 24% of its minutes and added 4 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Illinois returns about 57% of its minutes and added 2 transfers and 6 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Sam Houston 2-2, Illinois 3-1.
Official profiles: Kevin Brill, Rob Kueneman, Kelly Pfeifer
Kevin BrillOfficial · 108 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureBrillLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.434.5207 of 284
Technicals per game0.310.35170 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.562.47281 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.090.20271 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games46.6%50.6%360 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 46.6% (137/294)Home covered 47.3% (116/245)Favorite covered 48.1% (140/291)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Rob KuenemanOfficial · 90 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureKuenemanLeagueRank
Fouls per game37.334.523 of 284
Technicals per game0.420.3568 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.202.47208 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.230.2079 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games57.0%50.6%67 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 57.0% (135/237)Home covered 53.8% (113/210)Favorite covered 53.4% (126/236)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Kelly PfeiferOfficial · 157 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasurePfeiferLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.734.580 of 284
Technicals per game0.290.35199 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.552.47120 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.250.2068 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.3%50.6%250 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.3% (198/394)Home covered 52.1% (172/330)Favorite covered 51.1% (201/393)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 7:00 PM ET
Northern Iowa72
5Michigan State106
FINAL · we projected 56 – 84Projected total 140
SPREADMichigan State -27.552%
OVER / UNDERUnder 154.578%
6%
94%
Win chance · Michigan State favored
OUR PICKMichigan State -27.5SPREADWIN
0Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Michigan State at this line; home court in a loud arena.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✗ Total
  • No. 5 Michigan State is at home against Northern Iowa.
  • Northern Iowa went 23-13 last season.
  • Michigan State went 27-8 last season.
RecordsNorthern Iowa 2-2 · Michigan State 4-0
Players gradeNorthern Iowa #144 · Michigan State #7
Record gradeNorthern Iowa #259 · Michigan State #3
OfficialsTim Comer, Chad Barlow, Andy O'Brien
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Northern Iowa returns about 12% of its minutes and added 5 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Michigan State returns about 60% of its minutes and added 2 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Michigan State plays in one of the louder arenas in college basketball.
Loud arena: the Breslin Center, one of the toughest home courts in college basketball
Official profiles: Tim Comer, Chad Barlow, Andy O'Brien
Tim ComerOfficial · 136 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureComerLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.734.5135 of 284
Technicals per game0.290.35190 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.012.47248 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.180.20175 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games54.4%50.6%127 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 54.4% (161/296)Home covered 54.6% (142/260)Favorite covered 54.7% (162/296)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Chad BarlowOfficial · 114 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureBarlowLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.434.5158 of 284
Technicals per game0.450.3553 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.582.47280 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.080.20279 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.5%50.6%278 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.5% (146/295)Home covered 51.6% (129/250)Favorite covered 47.6% (140/294)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Andy O'BrienOfficial · 119 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureO'BrienLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.634.540 of 284
Technicals per game0.490.3536 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.602.47103 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.240.2069 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games52.0%50.6%182 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 52.0% (127/244)Home covered 46.2% (103/223)Favorite covered 48.4% (118/244)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 7:00 PM ET
Tennessee State78
11Tennessee83
FINAL · we projected 60 – 90Projected total 150
SPREADTennessee -29.552%
OVER / UNDERUnder 156.565%
5%
95%
Win chance · Tennessee favored
OUR PICKTennessee -29.5SPREADLOSS
0Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Tennessee at this line; home court in a loud arena.
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✗ Total
  • No. 11 Tennessee is at home against Tennessee State.
  • Tennessee State went 23-10 last season.
  • Tennessee went 25-12 last season.
RecordsTennessee State 2-2 · Tennessee 3-0
Players gradeTennessee State #199 · Tennessee #26
Record gradeTennessee State #220 · Tennessee #72
OfficialsChris Ford, Bharat Ramnanan, Owen Shortt
Ref watchBharat Ramnanan: unders hit 54% of his 230 games since 2021-22.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Tennessee State returns about 10% of its minutes and added 7 transfers and 1 freshman.
  • Tennessee returns about 10% of its minutes and added 9 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Tennessee plays in one of the louder arenas in college basketball.
Loud arena: Thompson-Boling Arena, a tough place for visiting teams
Official profiles: Chris Ford, Bharat Ramnanan, Owen Shortt
Chris FordOfficial · 77 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureFordLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.034.5180 of 284
Technicals per game0.290.35200 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.822.4767 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.180.20177 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games57.1%50.6%65 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 57.1% (93/163)Home covered 51.7% (78/151)Favorite covered 52.4% (86/164)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Bharat RamnananOfficial · 117 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureRamnananLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.934.5225 of 284
Technicals per game0.210.35261 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.402.47149 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.240.2073 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games46.5%50.6%365 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 46.5% (107/230)Home covered 48.2% (92/191)Favorite covered 50.9% (117/230)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Owen ShorttOfficial · 173 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureShorttLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.434.5102 of 284
Technicals per game0.240.35232 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.412.47148 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.140.20226 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games53.4%50.6%148 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 53.4% (206/386)Home covered 50.8% (162/319)Favorite covered 49.6% (192/387)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 7:00 PM ET
Northern Arizona77
24Kentucky78
FINAL · we projected 60 – 89Projected total 149
SPREADNorthern Arizona +34.563%
OVER / UNDERUnder 152.557%
6%
94%
Win chance · Kentucky favored
OUR PICKNorthern Arizona +34.5SPREADWIN
0Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Northern Arizona at this line.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✗ Total
  • No. 24 Kentucky is at home against Northern Arizona.
  • Northern Arizona went 10-22 last season.
  • Kentucky went 22-14 last season.
RecordsNorthern Arizona 0-4 · Kentucky 3-1
Players gradeNorthern Arizona #253 · Kentucky #36
Record gradeNorthern Arizona #225 · Kentucky #78
OfficialsJason Baker, Byron Jarrett, Todd Austin
Ref watchJason Baker: unders hit 54% of his 329 games since 2021-22.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Northern Arizona returns about 38% of its minutes and added 3 transfers and 5 freshmen.
  • Kentucky returns about 21% of its minutes and added 7 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Kentucky plays in one of the louder arenas in college basketball.
Loud arena: Rupp Arena, one of the toughest home courts in college basketball
Official profiles: Jason Baker, Byron Jarrett, Todd Austin
Jason BakerOfficial · 140 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureBakerLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.734.5134 of 284
Technicals per game0.270.35210 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.732.4780 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.220.2097 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games45.6%50.6%378 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 45.6% (150/329)Home covered 46.6% (130/279)Favorite covered 47.1% (154/327)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Byron JarrettOfficial · 164 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureJarrettLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.534.598 of 284
Technicals per game0.360.35127 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.272.47186 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.210.20119 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games52.6%50.6%165 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 52.6% (209/397)Home covered 50.3% (163/324)Favorite covered 53.7% (213/397)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Todd AustinOfficial · 141 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureAustinLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.934.5127 of 284
Technicals per game0.390.35102 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.702.4785 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.260.2060 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games55.0%50.6%109 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 55.0% (186/338)Home covered 54.2% (155/286)Favorite covered 52.7% (177/336)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 7:00 PM ET
Prairie View A&M62
22Vanderbilt89
FINAL · we projected 59 – 96Projected total 155
SPREADPrairie View A&M +37.553%
OVER / UNDEROver 154.551%
3%
97%
Win chance · Vanderbilt favored
OUR PICKPrairie View A&M +37.5SPREADWIN
0Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Prairie View A&M at this line.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✗ Total
  • No. 22 Vanderbilt is at home against Prairie View A&M.
  • Prairie View A&M went 19-18 last season.
  • Vanderbilt went 27-9 last season.
RecordsPrairie View A&M 2-3 · Vanderbilt 4-0
Players gradePrairie View A&M #293 · Vanderbilt #20
Record gradePrairie View A&M #274 · Vanderbilt #12
OfficialsVladimir Voyard-Tadal, Josue Nieves, Devyn Page
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Prairie View A&M returns about 5% of its minutes and added 8 transfers.
  • Vanderbilt returns about 26% of its minutes and added 5 transfers and 7 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Prairie View A&M 2-3, Vanderbilt 4-0.
Official profiles: Vladimir Voyard-Tadal, Josue Nieves, Devyn Page
Vladimir Voyard-TadalOfficial · 162 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureVoyard-TadalLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.934.5128 of 284
Technicals per game0.310.35177 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.832.4765 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.250.2063 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games55.0%50.6%113 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 55.0% (193/351)Home covered 45.7% (139/304)Favorite covered 47.0% (162/345)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Josue NievesOfficial · 103 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureNievesLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.034.565 of 284
Technicals per game0.240.35233 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.572.47110 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.160.20217 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games56.1%50.6%82 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 56.1% (124/221)Home covered 49.7% (94/189)Favorite covered 52.1% (114/219)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Devyn PageOfficial · 64 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasurePageLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.534.5143 of 284
Technicals per game0.140.35279 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.522.47127 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.140.20229 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games45.4%50.6%381 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 45.4% (54/119)Home covered 52.3% (57/109)Favorite covered 50.4% (61/121)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 7:30 PM ET
Ohio State68
4UConn84
FINAL · we projected 70 – 76Projected total 146
SPREADOhio State +10.561%
OVER / UNDERUnder 147.554%
39%
61%
Win chance · UConn favored
OUR PICKOhio State +10.5SPREADLOSS
0Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Ohio State at this line.
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✗ Total
  • No. 4 UConn is at home against Ohio State.
  • Ohio State went 21-13 last season.
  • UConn went 34-6 last season.
RecordsOhio State 2-2 · UConn 4-0
Players gradeOhio State #27 · UConn #16
Record gradeOhio State #101 · UConn #4
OfficialsMike Roberts, Brian O'Connell, Brian Dorsey
Ref watchBrian O'Connell: unders hit 57% of his 422 games since 2021-22.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Ohio State returns about 34% of its minutes and added 5 transfers and 5 freshmen.
  • UConn returns about 47% of its minutes and added 7 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Ohio State 2-2, UConn 4-0.
Official profiles: Mike Roberts, Brian O'Connell, Brian Dorsey
Mike RobertsOfficial · 128 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureRobertsLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.834.5230 of 284
Technicals per game0.390.3598 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.552.47117 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20163 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.8%50.6%267 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.8% (161/323)Home covered 48.1% (138/287)Favorite covered 47.1% (153/325)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Brian O'ConnellOfficial · 164 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureO'ConnellLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.634.5236 of 284
Technicals per game0.340.35150 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.872.47267 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.160.20212 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games42.7%50.6%428 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 42.7% (180/422)Home covered 52.6% (192/365)Favorite covered 47.3% (200/423)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Brian DorseyOfficial · 190 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureDorseyLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.334.5108 of 284
Technicals per game0.390.3593 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.132.47222 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20139 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games53.1%50.6%157 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 53.1% (230/433)Home covered 49.9% (182/365)Favorite covered 46.3% (201/434)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 8:00 PM ET
SIU Edwardsville47
2Duke90
FINAL · we projected 48 – 92Projected total 140
SPREADDuke -42.552%
OVER / UNDERUnder 148.568%
2%
98%
Win chance · Duke favored
OUR PICKDuke -42.5SPREADWIN
0Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Duke at this line; home court in a loud arena.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✓ Total
  • No. 2 Duke is at home against SIU Edwardsville.
  • SIU Edwardsville went 19-13 last season.
  • Duke went 35-3 last season.
RecordsSIU Edwardsville 2-3 · Duke 3-1
Players gradeSIU Edwardsville #288 · Duke #2
Record gradeSIU Edwardsville #252 · Duke #105
OfficialsBrent Hampton, Tommy Morrissey, Anthony Eades
Ref watchTommy Morrissey: unders hit 51% of his 410 games since 2021-22.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • SIU Edwardsville returns about 35% of its minutes and added 2 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Duke returns about 43% of its minutes and added 3 transfers and 6 freshmen.
  • Duke plays in one of the louder arenas in college basketball.
Loud arena: Cameron Indoor Stadium, a tough place for visiting teams
Official profiles: Brent Hampton, Tommy Morrissey, Anthony Eades
Brent HamptonOfficial · 84 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureHamptonLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.934.5227 of 284
Technicals per game0.350.35142 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.512.47128 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.110.20259 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games56.4%50.6%76 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 56.4% (181/321)Home covered 45.5% (122/268)Favorite covered 47.8% (153/320)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Tommy MorrisseyOfficial · 172 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureMorrisseyLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.234.5170 of 284
Technicals per game0.350.35137 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.042.47244 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20142 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games48.8%50.6%306 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 48.8% (200/410)Home covered 44.2% (153/346)Favorite covered 48.3% (197/408)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Anthony EadesOfficial · 112 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureEadesLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.334.554 of 284
Technicals per game0.310.35171 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.962.47257 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.130.20241 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games57.7%50.6%54 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 57.7% (158/274)Home covered 48.7% (111/228)Favorite covered 46.0% (126/274)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 8:00 PM ET
6Virginia87
Maryland83
FINAL · we projected 79 – 71Projected total 150
SPREADVirginia -5.555%
OVER / UNDERUnder 153.556%
66%
34%
Win chance · Virginia favored
OUR PICKVirginia -5.5SPREADLOSS
0Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Virginia at this line.
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✗ Total
  • Maryland is at home against No. 6 Virginia.
  • Virginia went 30-6 last season.
  • Maryland went 12-21 last season.
RecordsVirginia 5-0 · Maryland 1-2
Players gradeVirginia #24 · Maryland #48
Record gradeVirginia #1 · Maryland #199
OfficialsMike Reed, Paul Szelc, Randy Richardson
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Virginia returns about 51% of its minutes and added 4 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Maryland returns about 25% of its minutes and added 6 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Maryland plays in one of the louder arenas in college basketball.
Loud arena: the Xfinity Center, a tough place for visiting teams
Official profiles: Mike Reed, Paul Szelc, Randy Richardson
Mike ReedOfficial · 143 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureReedLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.534.5149 of 284
Technicals per game0.370.35114 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.222.47205 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20133 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games48.6%50.6%308 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 48.6% (180/370)Home covered 49.8% (153/307)Favorite covered 50.0% (185/370)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Paul SzelcOfficial · 171 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureSzelcLeagueRank
Fouls per game37.134.530 of 284
Technicals per game0.400.3584 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.492.47130 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20166 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.0%50.6%297 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.0% (203/414)Home covered 55.4% (181/327)Favorite covered 49.2% (203/413)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Randy RichardsonOfficial · 157 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureRichardsonLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.334.5160 of 284
Technicals per game0.370.35116 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.432.47141 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.210.20115 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games55.9%50.6%90 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 55.9% (193/345)Home covered 47.4% (135/285)Favorite covered 46.0% (159/346)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 8:00 PM ET
Central Arkansas66
19Arkansas79
FINAL · we projected 68 – 96Projected total 164
SPREADArkansas -25.555%
OVER / UNDEROver 162.552%
7%
93%
Win chance · Arkansas favored
OUR PICKArkansas -25.5SPREADLOSS
0Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Arkansas at this line; home court in a loud arena.
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✗ Total
  • No. 19 Arkansas is at home against Central Arkansas.
  • Central Arkansas went 22-12 last season.
  • Arkansas went 28-9 last season.
RecordsCentral Arkansas 2-2 · Arkansas 3-1
Players gradeCentral Arkansas #159 · Arkansas #10
Record gradeCentral Arkansas #176 · Arkansas #66
OfficialsDon Daily, Garrick Shannon, K.B. Burdett Jr.
Ref watchGarrick Shannon: unders hit 53% of his 217 games since 2021-22. Whole crew leans under.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Central Arkansas returns about 57% of its minutes and added 2 transfers and 5 freshmen.
  • Arkansas returns about 16% of its minutes and added 2 transfers and 8 freshmen.
  • Arkansas plays in one of the louder arenas in college basketball.
Loud arena: Bud Walton Arena, one of the toughest home courts in college basketball
Official profiles: Don Daily, Garrick Shannon, K.B. Burdett Jr.
Don DailyOfficial · 130 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureDailyLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.534.5150 of 284
Technicals per game0.320.35168 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.372.47163 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20138 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.4%50.6%246 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.4% (186/369)Home covered 51.2% (152/297)Favorite covered 50.1% (184/367)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Garrick ShannonOfficial · 112 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureShannonLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.934.5186 of 284
Technicals per game0.310.35172 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.532.47123 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.220.2094 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games47.0%50.6%349 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 47.0% (102/217)Home covered 39.7% (77/194)Favorite covered 47.9% (105/219)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
K.B. Burdett Jr.Official · 110 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureJr.LeagueRank
Fouls per game36.734.536 of 284
Technicals per game0.450.3548 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.832.4764 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20157 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games55.4%50.6%101 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 55.4% (118/213)Home covered 45.1% (88/195)Favorite covered 52.1% (110/211)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 9:00 PM ET
12Arizona80
Auburn69
FINAL · we projected 82 – 79Projected total 161
SPREADArizona -2.551%
OVER / UNDEROver 159.551%
56%
44%
Win chance · Arizona favored
OUR PICKArizona -2.5SPREADWIN
0Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Arizona at this line.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✗ Total
  • Auburn is at home against No. 12 Arizona.
  • Arizona went 36-3 last season.
  • Auburn went 22-16 last season.
RecordsArizona 3-1 · Auburn 2-1
Players gradeArizona #12 · Auburn #39
Record gradeArizona #17 · Auburn #116
OfficialsTony Padilla, Pat Adams, Courtney Green
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Arizona returns about 28% of its minutes and added 5 transfers and 5 freshmen.
  • Auburn returns about 34% of its minutes and added 6 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Auburn plays in one of the louder arenas in college basketball.
Loud arena: Neville Arena, a tough place for visiting teams
Official profiles: Tony Padilla, Pat Adams, Courtney Green
Tony PadillaOfficial · 202 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasurePadillaLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.334.5109 of 284
Technicals per game0.490.3534 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.382.47159 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20132 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.5%50.6%280 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.5% (239/483)Home covered 44.2% (170/385)Favorite covered 45.8% (220/480)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Pat AdamsOfficial · 137 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureAdamsLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.434.5100 of 284
Technicals per game0.340.35144 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.152.47219 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20143 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games51.2%50.6%216 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 51.2% (185/361)Home covered 48.6% (135/278)Favorite covered 48.3% (174/360)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Courtney GreenOfficial · 171 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureGreenLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.334.5111 of 284
Technicals per game0.320.35162 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.472.47135 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.180.20179 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games51.7%50.6%198 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 51.7% (217/420)Home covered 50.6% (174/344)Favorite covered 49.8% (208/418)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 9:00 PM ET
Seton Hall76
18Alabama82
FINAL · we projected 69 – 86Projected total 155
SPREADSeton Hall +18.553%
OVER / UNDERUnder 156.554%
18%
82%
Win chance · Alabama favored
OUR PICKSeton Hall +18.5SPREADWIN
0Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Seton Hall at this line.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✗ Total
  • No. 18 Alabama is at home against Seton Hall.
  • Seton Hall went 21-12 last season.
  • Alabama went 25-10 last season.
RecordsSeton Hall 3-1 · Alabama 4-0
Players gradeSeton Hall #94 · Alabama #21
Record gradeSeton Hall #61 · Alabama #13
OfficialsChuck Jones, Matt Potter, Bart Lenox
Ref notesJones: Calls it tight: 37.6 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (4,740 in 126 games, 2024-26). High-foul crew: crews like this went over 55% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Seton Hall returns about 18% of its minutes and added 10 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Alabama returns about 34% of its minutes and added 3 transfers and 6 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Seton Hall 3-1, Alabama 4-0.
Official profiles: Chuck Jones, Matt Potter, Bart Lenox
Chuck JonesOfficial · 126 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (high).
  • Calls it tight: 37.6 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (4,740 in 126 games, 2024-26)
MeasureJonesLeagueRank
Fouls per game37.634.521 of 284
Technicals per game0.430.3564 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.942.4742 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.220.2095 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games52.1%50.6%180 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 52.1% (174/334)Home covered 49.6% (137/276)Favorite covered 45.9% (152/331)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Matt PotterOfficial · 191 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasurePotterLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.834.5233 of 284
Technicals per game0.190.35267 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points3.262.4713 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.260.2055 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games44.4%50.6%399 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 44.4% (188/423)Home covered 46.2% (166/359)Favorite covered 47.8% (202/423)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Bart LenoxOfficial · 175 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureLenoxLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.434.553 of 284
Technicals per game0.260.35220 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.592.47104 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.210.20112 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games53.2%50.6%153 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 53.2% (216/406)Home covered 53.9% (180/334)Favorite covered 54.2% (220/406)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
More games 42 games
Fri Nov 13 · 3:00 PM ET
West Florida84
Cleveland State80
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 164
SPREADWest Florida +3.565%
OVER / UNDEROver 150.575%
58%
42%
Win chance · West Florida favored
OUR PICKWest Florida +3.5SPREADWIN
70Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like West Florida at this line; neutral floor.
  • Cleveland State and West Florida meet on a neutral floor.
  • Cleveland State went 11-22 last season.
  • West Florida returns about 0% of its minutes and added 3 transfers and 3 freshmen.
RecordsWest Florida 2-2 · Cleveland State 1-2
Players gradeWest Florida #271 · Cleveland State #260
Record gradeWest Florida #340 · Cleveland State #265
WhereEvent Center (neutral floor)
OfficialsByron Evans, James Hicks, Kelly Davis
Ref watchJames Hicks: unders hit 53% of his 116 games since 2021-22.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Cleveland State returns about 0% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: West Florida 2-2, Cleveland State 1-2.
Official profiles: Byron Evans, James Hicks, Kelly Davis
Byron EvansOfficial · 34 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Only 34 games of 2024-26 play-by-play on record: too few to judge.
MeasureEvansLeagueRank
Fouls per game37.634.5
Technicals per game0.530.35
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.682.47
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.320.20
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games37.7%50.6%457 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 37.7% (26/69)Home covered 45.2% (28/62)Favorite covered 40.0% (28/70)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
James HicksOfficial · 48 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureHicksLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.734.538 of 284
Technicals per game0.290.35193 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points3.232.4717 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.330.2015 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games46.6%50.6%362 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 46.6% (54/116)Home covered 57.4% (58/101)Favorite covered 48.7% (57/117)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Kelly DavisOfficial · 19 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Only 19 games of 2024-26 play-by-play on record: too few to judge.
MeasureDavisLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.134.5
Technicals per game0.320.35
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.262.47
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.110.20
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games44.7%50.6%396 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 44.7% (34/76)Home covered 50.7% (36/71)Favorite covered 46.1% (35/76)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 5:00 PM ET
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi64
Florida State86
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 150
SPREADTexas A&M-Corpus Christi +22.552%
OVER / UNDEROver 148.552%
13%
87%
Win chance · Florida State favored
OUR PICKTexas A&M-Corpus Christi +22.5SPREADLOSS
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Texas A&M-Corpus Christi at this line; Florida State without A. Swinton.
  • Florida State is at home against Texas A&M-Corpus Christi.
  • Texas A&M-Corpus Christi went 18-15 last season.
  • Florida State went 18-15 last season.
Out: Florida StateA. Swinton
RecordsTexas A&M-Corpus Christi 2-1 · Florida State 2-1
Players gradeTexas A&M-Corpus Christi #234 · Florida State #63
Record gradeTexas A&M-Corpus Christi #195 · Florida State #99
OfficialsJerry Heater, Chase Shaw, Leslie Jones
Ref watchLeslie Jones: unders hit 52% of his 161 games since 2021-22.
Ref notesHeater: Calls it tight: 37.8 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (4,804 in 127 games, 2024-26).
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Texas A&M-Corpus Christi returns about 15% of its minutes and added 4 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Florida State returns about 16% of its minutes and added 5 transfers and 8 freshmen.
  • Florida State is without A. Swinton.
Official profiles: Jerry Heater, Chase Shaw, Leslie Jones
Jerry HeaterOfficial · 127 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (high).
  • Calls it tight: 37.8 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (4,804 in 127 games, 2024-26)
MeasureHeaterLeagueRank
Fouls per game37.834.516 of 284
Technicals per game0.400.3585 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.452.47137 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.170.20191 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games57.7%50.6%51 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 57.7% (168/291)Home covered 50.6% (126/249)Favorite covered 50.3% (146/290)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Chase ShawOfficial · 121 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureShawLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.834.5129 of 284
Technicals per game0.430.3563 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.832.4763 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.210.20122 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games56.7%50.6%71 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 56.7% (166/293)Home covered 47.2% (116/246)Favorite covered 47.8% (139/291)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Leslie JonesOfficial · 63 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureJonesLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.734.5192 of 284
Technicals per game0.300.35184 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.172.47215 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.100.20268 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games47.8%50.6%328 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 47.8% (77/161)Home covered 56.8% (88/155)Favorite covered 56.2% (90/160)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 6:00 PM ET
Georgetown68
Clemson77
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 145
SPREADClemson -4.559%
OVER / UNDERUnder 147.554%
33%
67%
Win chance · Clemson favored
OUR PICKClemson -4.5SPREADLOSS
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Clemson at this line; Georgetown without V. Miller; home court.
  • Clemson is at home against Georgetown.
  • Georgetown went 16-18 last season.
  • Clemson went 24-11 last season.
Out: GeorgetownV. Miller
Out: ClemsonC. Welling, Z. Foster
RecordsGeorgetown 3-0 · Clemson 3-0
Players gradeGeorgetown #74 · Clemson #28
Record gradeGeorgetown #39 · Clemson #62
OfficialsPat Driscoll, Roger Ayers, Nathan Farrell
Ref watchPat Driscoll: unders hit 53% of his 388 games since 2021-22; Roger Ayers: unders hit 58% of his 516 games since 2021-22; Nathan Farrell: unders hit 55% of his 382 games since 2021-22. Whole crew leans under.
Ref notesAyers: Lets them play: 30.2 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (6,623 in 219 games, 2024-26). Farrell: Lets them play: 30.9 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (4,782 in 155 games, 2024-26). Low-foul crew: crews like this went under 58% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Georgetown returns about 31% of its minutes and added 5 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Clemson returns about 28% of its minutes and added 4 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Georgetown is without V. Miller.
Official profiles: Pat Driscoll, Roger Ayers, Nathan Farrell
Pat DriscollOfficial · 154 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureDriscollLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.934.5226 of 284
Technicals per game0.410.3577 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.482.47134 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.180.20189 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games46.9%50.6%353 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 46.9% (182/388)Home covered 40.2% (135/336)Favorite covered 49.7% (194/390)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Roger AyersOfficial · 219 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (low). On the under watch list.
  • Lets them play: 30.2 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (6,623 in 219 games, 2024-26)
MeasureAyersLeagueRank
Fouls per game30.234.5278 of 284
Technicals per game0.280.35204 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.012.47249 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.140.20234 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games41.5%50.6%439 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 41.5% (214/516)Home covered 50.0% (219/438)Favorite covered 48.6% (251/516)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Nathan FarrellOfficial · 155 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (low). On the under watch list.
  • Lets them play: 30.9 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (4,782 in 155 games, 2024-26)
MeasureFarrellLeagueRank
Fouls per game30.934.5271 of 284
Technicals per game0.320.35161 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.232.47199 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.100.20265 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games45.0%50.6%388 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 45.0% (172/382)Home covered 53.5% (175/327)Favorite covered 50.7% (194/383)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 6:00 PM ET
Bryant60
Rutgers83
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 143
SPREADRutgers -22.551%
OVER / UNDERUnder 148.563%
12%
88%
Win chance · Rutgers favored
OUR PICKRutgers -22.5SPREADLOSS
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Rutgers at this line; home court.
  • Rutgers is at home against Bryant.
  • Bryant went 9-22 last season.
  • Rutgers went 14-20 last season.
Out: RutgersD. Buca
RecordsBryant 1-3 · Rutgers 2-0
Players gradeBryant #300 · Rutgers #79
Record gradeBryant #340 · Rutgers #155
OfficialsLarry Scirotto, Jim Bruno, Kevin Raher
Ref notesHigh-foul crew: crews like this went over 55% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Bryant returns about 27% of its minutes and added 4 transfers and 7 freshmen.
  • Rutgers returns about 53% of its minutes and added 5 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Rutgers is without D. Buca.
Official profiles: Larry Scirotto, Jim Bruno, Kevin Raher
Larry ScirottoOfficial · 142 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureScirottoLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.134.5116 of 284
Technicals per game0.370.35118 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.202.47209 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20127 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games58.2%50.6%47 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 58.2% (145/249)Home covered 55.5% (116/209)Favorite covered 52.8% (130/246)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Jim BrunoOfficial · 72 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureBrunoLeagueRank
Fouls per game37.134.532 of 284
Technicals per game0.360.35126 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.882.4754 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20148 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games54.6%50.6%121 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 54.6% (59/108)Home covered 48.0% (49/102)Favorite covered 45.8% (49/107)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Kevin RaherOfficial · 60 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureRaherLeagueRank
Fouls per game37.034.535 of 284
Technicals per game0.300.35185 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.972.4740 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.170.20194 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games54.3%50.6%131 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 54.3% (70/129)Home covered 40.7% (50/123)Favorite covered 44.1% (56/127)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 6:30 PM ET
Pittsburgh75
Butler78
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 153
SPREADPittsburgh +3.551%
OVER / UNDERUnder 157.558%
44%
56%
Win chance · Butler favored
OUR PICKPittsburgh +3.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Pittsburgh at this line.
  • Butler is at home against Pittsburgh.
  • Pittsburgh went 13-20 last season.
  • Butler went 16-16 last season.
RecordsPittsburgh 3-0 · Butler 2-1
Players gradePittsburgh #81 · Butler #83
Record gradePittsburgh #42 · Butler #182
OfficialsLamar Simpson, Tony Henderson, Connor Mooney
Ref watchLamar Simpson: unders hit 56% of his 327 games since 2021-22; Connor Mooney: unders hit 57% of his 130 games since 2021-22. Whole crew leans under.
Ref notesSimpson: Lets them play: 30.6 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (3,028 in 99 games, 2024-26). Low-foul crew: crews like this went under 58% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Pittsburgh returns about 2% of its minutes and added 10 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Butler returns about 12% of its minutes and added 5 transfers and 6 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Pittsburgh 3-0, Butler 2-1.
Official profiles: Lamar Simpson, Tony Henderson, Connor Mooney
Lamar SimpsonOfficial · 99 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (low). On the under watch list.
  • Lets them play: 30.6 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (3,028 in 99 games, 2024-26)
MeasureSimpsonLeagueRank
Fouls per game30.634.5274 of 284
Technicals per game0.170.35272 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.422.47143 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.080.20278 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games43.7%50.6%414 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 43.7% (143/327)Home covered 43.7% (122/279)Favorite covered 48.6% (158/325)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Tony HendersonOfficial · 161 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureHendersonLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.634.5139 of 284
Technicals per game0.480.3540 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.852.47268 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.120.20252 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games48.6%50.6%311 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 48.6% (172/354)Home covered 49.5% (145/293)Favorite covered 48.5% (172/355)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Connor MooneyOfficial · 68 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureMooneyLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.934.5228 of 284
Technicals per game0.220.35248 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.942.47260 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.180.20187 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games43.1%50.6%420 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 43.1% (56/130)Home covered 50.0% (59/118)Favorite covered 51.9% (67/129)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 7:00 PM ET
Georgia78
North Carolina85
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 163
SPREADNorth Carolina -4.554%
OVER / UNDERUnder 164.553%
37%
63%
Win chance · North Carolina favored
OUR PICKNorth Carolina -4.5SPREAD
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like North Carolina at this line; home court in a loud arena.
  • North Carolina is at home against Georgia.
  • Georgia went 22-11 last season.
  • North Carolina went 24-9 last season.
Out: North CarolinaM. Smith
RecordsGeorgia 3-0 · North Carolina 3-0
Players gradeGeorgia #51 · North Carolina #40
Record gradeGeorgia #75 · North Carolina #27
OfficialsLee Cassell, Jeb Hartness, A.J. Desai
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Georgia returns about 44% of its minutes and added 4 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • North Carolina returns about 17% of its minutes and added 5 transfers and 5 freshmen.
  • North Carolina is without M. Smith.
Loud arena: the Dean E. Smith Center, a tough place for visiting teams
Official profiles: Lee Cassell, Jeb Hartness, A.J. Desai
Lee CassellOfficial · 197 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureCassellLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.234.5113 of 284
Technicals per game0.390.3597 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.062.47237 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.140.20233 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.8%50.6%234 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.8% (233/459)Home covered 50.1% (195/389)Favorite covered 50.8% (234/461)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Jeb HartnessOfficial · 164 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureHartnessLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.034.5118 of 284
Technicals per game0.300.35182 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.262.47192 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.150.20224 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.0%50.6%298 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.0% (199/406)Home covered 53.3% (178/334)Favorite covered 49.5% (200/404)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
A.J. DesaiOfficial · 182 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureDesaiLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.234.5169 of 284
Technicals per game0.390.35101 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.402.47151 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20150 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.6%50.6%273 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.6% (201/405)Home covered 42.7% (141/330)Favorite covered 47.9% (193/403)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 7:00 PM ET
Ohio69
Purdue86
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 155
SPREADOhio +19.554%
OVER / UNDEROver 149.561%
18%
82%
Win chance · Purdue favored
OUR PICKOhio +19.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Ohio at this line.
  • Purdue is at home against Ohio.
  • Ohio went 15-17 last season.
  • Purdue went 30-9 last season.
RecordsOhio 2-0 · Purdue 1-2
Players gradeOhio #111 · Purdue #56
Record gradeOhio #52 · Purdue #178
OfficialsJohn Floyd, Edwin Young
Ref notesHigh-foul crew: crews like this went over 55% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Ohio returns about 39% of its minutes and added 2 transfers and 6 freshmen.
  • Purdue returns about 44% of its minutes and added 1 transfer and 6 freshmen.
  • Purdue plays in one of the louder arenas in college basketball.
Loud arena: Mackey Arena, a tough place for visiting teams
Official profiles: John Floyd, Edwin Young
John FloydOfficial · 125 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureFloydLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.534.5147 of 284
Technicals per game0.420.3573 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.382.47160 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.280.2037 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.2%50.6%251 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.2% (147/293)Home covered 52.3% (134/256)Favorite covered 47.1% (139/295)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Edwin YoungOfficial · 133 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureYoungLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.534.545 of 284
Technicals per game0.230.35243 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.272.47188 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.210.20113 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.8%50.6%231 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.8% (152/299)Home covered 51.9% (137/264)Favorite covered 49.7% (146/294)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 7:00 PM ET
App State61
Charlotte74
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 135
SPREADCharlotte -7.560%
OVER / UNDEROver 131.558%
26%
74%
Win chance · Charlotte favored
OUR PICKCharlotte -7.5SPREADLOSS
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Charlotte at this line; home court.
  • Charlotte is at home against App State.
  • App State went 19-13 last season.
  • Charlotte went 17-17 last season.
RecordsApp State 2-1 · Charlotte 2-1
Players gradeApp State #292 · Charlotte #101
Record gradeApp State #136 · Charlotte #101
OfficialsArt Vaulk, Shaun Seales, Matt Jarman
Ref watchArt Vaulk: unders hit 49% of his 115 games since 2021-22; Shaun Seales: unders hit 54% of his 212 games since 2021-22. Whole crew leans under.
Ref notesLow-foul crew: crews like this went under 58% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • App State returns about 23% of its minutes and added 3 transfers and 7 freshmen.
  • Charlotte returns about 9% of its minutes and added 9 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: App State 2-1, Charlotte 2-1.
Official profiles: Art Vaulk, Shaun Seales, Matt Jarman
Art VaulkOfficial · 40 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureVaulkLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.134.5174 of 284
Technicals per game0.200.35265 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.552.47118 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.070.20280 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games51.3%50.6%213 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 51.3% (59/115)Home covered 48.1% (52/108)Favorite covered 53.4% (63/118)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Shaun SealesOfficial · 106 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureSealesLeagueRank
Fouls per game31.634.5259 of 284
Technicals per game0.150.35276 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.262.47190 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.230.2089 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games46.2%50.6%369 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 46.2% (98/212)Home covered 50.8% (95/187)Favorite covered 48.4% (103/213)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Matt JarmanOfficial · 67 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureJarmanLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.234.5249 of 284
Technicals per game0.180.35271 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.522.47125 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20149 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games46.4%50.6%367 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 46.4% (65/140)Home covered 47.2% (60/127)Favorite covered 50.0% (70/140)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 7:00 PM ET
Iona69
Hofstra75
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 144
SPREADIona +7.555%
OVER / UNDEROver 134.570%
39%
61%
Win chance · Hofstra favored
OUR PICKIona +7.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Iona at this line.
  • Hofstra is at home against Iona.
  • Iona went 18-14 last season.
  • Hofstra went 24-11 last season.
RecordsIona 2-2 · Hofstra 1-2
Players gradeIona #218 · Hofstra #224
Record gradeIona #182 · Hofstra #285
OfficialsMikerlange Fleury, Michael Palau, Ed Corliss
Ref watchMikerlange Fleury: unders hit 58% of his 237 games since 2021-22; Michael Palau: unders hit 59% of his 322 games since 2021-22; Ed Corliss: unders hit 55% of his 309 games since 2021-22. Whole crew leans under.
Ref notesFleury: Lets them play: 31.1 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (3,423 in 110 games, 2024-26). Palau: Lets them play: 31.3 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (3,823 in 122 games, 2024-26). Low-foul crew: crews like this went under 58% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Iona returns about 27% of its minutes and added 5 transfers and 8 freshmen.
  • Hofstra returns about 11% of its minutes and added 5 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Iona 2-2, Hofstra 1-2.
Official profiles: Mikerlange Fleury, Michael Palau, Ed Corliss
Mikerlange FleuryOfficial · 110 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (low). On the under watch list.
  • Lets them play: 31.1 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (3,423 in 110 games, 2024-26)
MeasureFleuryLeagueRank
Fouls per game31.134.5267 of 284
Technicals per game0.240.35239 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.592.47105 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20156 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games42.2%50.6%433 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 42.2% (100/237)Home covered 45.8% (104/227)Favorite covered 44.9% (106/236)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Michael PalauOfficial · 122 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (low). On the under watch list.
  • Lets them play: 31.3 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (3,823 in 122 games, 2024-26)
MeasurePalauLeagueRank
Fouls per game31.334.5264 of 284
Technicals per game0.210.35253 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.622.4799 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.080.20277 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games41.0%50.6%443 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 41.0% (132/322)Home covered 47.7% (134/281)Favorite covered 48.6% (156/321)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Ed CorlissOfficial · 137 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureCorlissLeagueRank
Fouls per game31.834.5253 of 284
Technicals per game0.280.35206 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.492.47131 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20125 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games45.0%50.6%390 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 45.0% (139/309)Home covered 47.7% (127/266)Favorite covered 47.9% (146/305)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 7:00 PM ET
Chattanooga74
Elon79
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 153
SPREADElon -3.552%
OVER / UNDEROver 151.553%
41%
59%
Win chance · Elon favored
OUR PICKElon -3.5SPREAD
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Elon at this line; home court.
  • Elon is at home against Chattanooga.
  • Chattanooga went 13-19 last season.
  • Elon went 14-18 last season.
RecordsChattanooga 1-2 · Elon 2-1
Players gradeChattanooga #255 · Elon #230
Record gradeChattanooga #235 · Elon #69
OfficialsJ.W. Lucas, Andrew Barksdale, Matthew LaGanke
Ref notesLucas: Calls it tight: 38.4 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (2,613 in 68 games, 2024-26).
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Chattanooga returns about 23% of its minutes and added 2 transfers and 7 freshmen.
  • Elon returns about 28% of its minutes and added 6 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Chattanooga 1-2, Elon 2-1.
Official profiles: J.W. Lucas, Andrew Barksdale
J.W. LucasOfficial · 68 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (high).
  • Calls it tight: 38.4 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (2,613 in 68 games, 2024-26)
MeasureLucasLeagueRank
Fouls per game38.434.55 of 284
Technicals per game0.470.3543 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.492.47132 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.220.2098 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games51.6%50.6%206 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 51.6% (83/161)Home covered 47.8% (66/138)Favorite covered 45.1% (73/162)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Andrew BarksdaleOfficial · 38 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Only 38 games of 2024-26 play-by-play on record: too few to judge.
MeasureBarksdaleLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.334.5
Technicals per game0.370.35
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.552.47
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.290.20
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games44.7%50.6%395 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 44.7% (34/76)Home covered 38.8% (26/67)Favorite covered 52.6% (41/78)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 7:00 PM ET
Yale82
Northeastern75
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 157
SPREADYale -2.559%
OVER / UNDEROver 154.556%
64%
36%
Win chance · Yale favored
OUR PICKYale -2.5SPREADLOSS
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Yale at this line.
  • Northeastern is at home against Yale.
  • Yale went 24-7 last season.
  • Northeastern went 7-24 last season.
RecordsYale 1-2 · Northeastern 1-2
Players gradeYale #116 · Northeastern #233
Record gradeYale #151 · Northeastern #231
OfficialsJohn Cahill Jr., Evon Burroughs, Tyler Sandmann
Ref watchEvon Burroughs: unders hit 52% of his 377 games since 2021-22. Whole crew leans under.
Ref notesSandmann: Lets them play: 30.8 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (2,433 in 79 games, 2024-26). Low-foul crew: crews like this went under 58% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Yale returns about 37% of its minutes and added 5 freshmen.
  • Northeastern returns about 34% of its minutes and added 3 transfers and 6 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Yale 1-2, Northeastern 1-2.
Official profiles: John Cahill Jr., Evon Burroughs, Tyler Sandmann
John Cahill Jr.Official · 123 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureJr.LeagueRank
Fouls per game31.834.5254 of 284
Technicals per game0.370.35110 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points3.182.4719 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20129 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games48.6%50.6%309 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 48.6% (105/216)Home covered 48.3% (99/205)Favorite covered 48.1% (103/214)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Evon BurroughsOfficial · 154 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureBurroughsLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.934.5229 of 284
Technicals per game0.360.35130 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.362.47166 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20162 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games47.5%50.6%339 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 47.5% (179/377)Home covered 44.8% (151/337)Favorite covered 49.2% (186/378)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Tyler SandmannOfficial · 79 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (low).
  • Lets them play: 30.8 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (2,433 in 79 games, 2024-26)
MeasureSandmannLeagueRank
Fouls per game30.834.5272 of 284
Technicals per game0.240.35234 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.752.4777 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.130.20246 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games46.9%50.6%354 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 46.9% (67/143)Home covered 46.3% (63/136)Favorite covered 48.6% (69/142)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 7:00 PM ET
Troy66
NC State89
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 155
SPREADNC State -22.552%
OVER / UNDEROver 148.563%
11%
89%
Win chance · NC State favored
OUR PICKNC State -22.5SPREAD
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like NC State at this line; home court.
  • NC State is at home against Troy.
  • Troy went 22-12 last season.
  • NC State went 20-14 last season.
RecordsTroy 1-2 · NC State 3-0
Players gradeTroy #154 · NC State #32
Record gradeTroy #257 · NC State #46
OfficialsRon Groover, Jemel Spearman, Adam Flore
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Troy returns about 9% of its minutes and added 6 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • NC State returns about 28% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Troy 1-2, NC State 3-0.
Official profiles: Ron Groover, Jemel Spearman, Adam Flore
Ron GrooverOfficial · 215 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureGrooverLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.934.5224 of 284
Technicals per game0.400.3591 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.202.47210 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.120.20250 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.9%50.6%229 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.9% (264/519)Home covered 51.0% (223/437)Favorite covered 50.9% (262/515)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Jemel SpearmanOfficial · 111 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureSpearmanLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.934.569 of 284
Technicals per game0.450.3551 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.552.47119 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.160.20205 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games57.4%50.6%58 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 57.4% (144/251)Home covered 47.9% (101/211)Favorite covered 49.8% (124/249)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Adam FloreOfficial · 88 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureFloreLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.734.5193 of 284
Technicals per game0.240.35236 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.282.47184 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.260.2056 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.8%50.6%233 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.8% (96/189)Home covered 52.0% (89/171)Favorite covered 44.2% (84/190)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 7:00 PM ET
Harvard67
George Washington77
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 144
SPREADHarvard +13.558%
OVER / UNDEROver 133.570%
31%
69%
Win chance · George Washington favored
OUR PICKHarvard +13.5SPREADLOSS
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Harvard at this line.
  • George Washington is at home against Harvard.
  • Harvard went 17-12 last season.
  • George Washington went 19-16 last season.
RecordsHarvard 2-1 · George Washington 3-0
Players gradeHarvard #131 · George Washington #123
Record gradeHarvard #279 · George Washington #57
OfficialsSteven Anderson, Michael Luckie, Ryan Sassano
Ref notesHigh-foul crew: crews like this went over 55% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Harvard returns about 83% of its minutes and added 5 freshmen.
  • George Washington returns about 12% of its minutes and added 9 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Harvard 2-1, George Washington 3-0.
Official profiles: Steven Anderson, Michael Luckie, Ryan Sassano
Steven AndersonOfficial · 167 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureAndersonLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.534.595 of 284
Technicals per game0.290.35197 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.112.47224 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20154 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games51.9%50.6%188 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 51.9% (195/376)Home covered 51.1% (161/315)Favorite covered 50.5% (189/374)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Michael LuckieOfficial · 103 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureLuckieLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.634.586 of 284
Technicals per game0.210.35252 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.752.4776 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.210.20105 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games57.6%50.6%55 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 57.6% (141/245)Home covered 46.4% (102/220)Favorite covered 49.0% (121/247)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Ryan SassanoOfficial · 116 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureSassanoLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.534.597 of 284
Technicals per game0.340.35143 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.342.47171 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.130.20242 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games53.1%50.6%158 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 53.1% (111/209)Home covered 53.1% (102/192)Favorite covered 46.6% (97/208)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 7:00 PM ET
Marist69
Lehigh70
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 139
SPREADMarist +1.551%
OVER / UNDEROver 133.561%
48%
52%
Win chance · Lehigh favored
OUR PICKMarist +1.5SPREADLOSS
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Marist at this line.
  • Lehigh is at home against Marist.
  • Marist went 19-12 last season.
  • Lehigh went 18-17 last season.
RecordsMarist 1-2 · Lehigh 1-2
Players gradeMarist #246 · Lehigh #272
Record gradeMarist #342 · Lehigh #296
OfficialsNathan Hall, Mike Evans, Edward Corbett, Jr
Ref notesHall: Lets them play: 31.5 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (4,282 in 136 games, 2024-26). Low-foul crew: crews like this went under 58% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Marist returns about 27% of its minutes and added 1 transfer and 7 freshmen.
  • Lehigh returns about 81% of its minutes and added 4 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Marist 1-2, Lehigh 1-2.
Official profiles: Nathan Hall, Mike Evans
Nathan HallOfficial · 136 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (low).
  • Lets them play: 31.5 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (4,282 in 136 games, 2024-26)
MeasureHallLeagueRank
Fouls per game31.534.5260 of 284
Technicals per game0.410.3575 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.452.47138 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.180.20176 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games48.3%50.6%316 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 48.3% (159/329)Home covered 46.3% (142/307)Favorite covered 50.6% (168/332)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Mike EvansOfficial · 120 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureEvansLeagueRank
Fouls per game31.734.5255 of 284
Technicals per game0.340.35146 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points3.012.4734 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20137 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games44.1%50.6%406 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 44.1% (93/211)Home covered 44.6% (83/186)Favorite covered 41.2% (87/211)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 7:00 PM ET
Columbia77
Bucknell71
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 148
SPREADColumbia -5.552%
OVER / UNDEROver 146.553%
63%
37%
Win chance · Columbia favored
OUR PICKColumbia -5.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Columbia at this line.
  • Bucknell is at home against Columbia.
  • Columbia went 16-12 last season.
  • Bucknell went 10-23 last season.
RecordsColumbia 2-1 · Bucknell 0-3
Players gradeColumbia #225 · Bucknell #356
Record gradeColumbia #295 · Bucknell #315
OfficialsMike Millione, Jack Loughran, Steven Perry Jr.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Columbia returns about 60% of its minutes and added 1 transfer and 6 freshmen.
  • Bucknell returns about 35% of its minutes and added 2 transfers and 7 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Columbia 2-1, Bucknell 0-3.
Official profiles: Mike Millione, Jack Loughran, Steven Perry Jr.
Mike MillioneOfficial · 89 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureMillioneLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.034.5121 of 284
Technicals per game0.240.35241 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.582.47107 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.210.20106 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games51.8%50.6%193 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 51.8% (102/197)Home covered 48.8% (84/172)Favorite covered 48.2% (96/199)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Jack LoughranOfficial · 47 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureLoughranLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.534.5145 of 284
Technicals per game0.230.35242 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.322.47179 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.060.20282 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games53.2%50.6%154 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 53.2% (50/94)Home covered 38.5% (35/91)Favorite covered 45.7% (43/94)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Steven Perry Jr.Official · 42 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureJr.LeagueRank
Fouls per game31.334.5265 of 284
Technicals per game0.380.35108 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.102.47230 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.170.20195 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.0%50.6%266 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.0% (21/42)Home covered 53.8% (21/39)Favorite covered 57.1% (24/42)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 7:00 PM ET
Florida International80
Florida Gulf Coast80
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 160
SPREADFlorida International +3.558%
OVER / UNDERUnder 160.551%
50%
50%
Win chance · Florida International favored
OUR PICKFlorida International +3.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Florida International at this line.
  • Florida Gulf Coast is at home against Florida International.
  • Florida International went 15-17 last season.
  • Florida Gulf Coast went 16-18 last season.
RecordsFlorida International 2-0 · Florida Gulf Coast 1-2
Players gradeFlorida International #156 · Florida Gulf Coast #263
Record gradeFlorida International #158 · Florida Gulf Coast #222
OfficialsJon Broska, Nick Nadeau
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Florida International returns about 0% of its minutes and added 7 transfers and 6 freshmen.
  • Florida Gulf Coast returns about 20% of its minutes and added 3 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Florida International 2-0, Florida Gulf Coast 1-2.
Official profile: Nick Nadeau
Nick NadeauOfficial · 50 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureNadeauLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.634.5138 of 284
Technicals per game0.280.35202 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.642.47278 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.020.20284 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games56.4%50.6%75 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 56.4% (44/78)Home covered 53.7% (36/67)Favorite covered 51.9% (41/79)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 7:00 PM ET
Mount St. Mary's59
Virginia Tech89
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 148
SPREADVirginia Tech -28.552%
OVER / UNDEROver 147.551%
6%
94%
Win chance · Virginia Tech favored
OUR PICKVirginia Tech -28.5SPREAD
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Virginia Tech at this line; home court.
  • Virginia Tech is at home against Mount St. Mary's.
  • Mount St. Mary's went 15-17 last season.
  • Virginia Tech went 19-13 last season.
RecordsMount St. Mary's 1-1 · Virginia Tech 3-0
Players gradeMount St. Mary's #315 · Virginia Tech #57
Record gradeMount St. Mary's #183 · Virginia Tech #17
OfficialsSean Hull, Bert Smith, Isaac Barnett, Kellen Miliner
Ref watchKellen Miliner: unders hit 51% of his 180 games since 2021-22.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Mount St. Mary's returns about 33% of its minutes and added 3 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Virginia Tech returns about 37% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Mount St. Mary's 1-1, Virginia Tech 3-0.
Official profiles: Sean Hull, Bert Smith, Isaac Barnett, Kellen Miliner
Sean HullOfficial · 117 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureHullLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.634.5137 of 284
Technicals per game0.260.35222 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.392.47155 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.140.20235 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games53.7%50.6%142 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 53.7% (154/287)Home covered 50.2% (119/237)Favorite covered 49.8% (142/285)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Bert SmithOfficial · 191 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureSmithLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.534.5201 of 284
Technicals per game0.280.35205 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.012.47250 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.140.20237 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games51.6%50.6%200 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 51.6% (252/488)Home covered 50.4% (204/405)Favorite covered 53.4% (258/483)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Isaac BarnettOfficial · 111 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureBarnettLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.034.5117 of 284
Technicals per game0.300.35187 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.972.47255 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20141 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games51.2%50.6%218 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 51.2% (86/168)Home covered 55.2% (80/145)Favorite covered 57.5% (96/167)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Kellen MilinerOfficial · 100 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureMilinerLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.334.5213 of 284
Technicals per game0.290.35195 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.362.47165 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.180.20180 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games48.9%50.6%301 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 48.9% (88/180)Home covered 50.7% (75/148)Favorite covered 48.9% (87/178)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 7:00 PM ET
Long Island University64
Fordham77
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 141
SPREADFordham -12.552%
OVER / UNDERUnder 145.559%
25%
75%
Win chance · Fordham favored
OUR PICKFordham -12.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Fordham at this line; home court.
  • Fordham is at home against Long Island University.
  • Long Island University went 24-11 last season.
  • Fordham went 17-15 last season.
RecordsLong Island University 0-4 · Fordham 2-1
Players gradeLong Island University #283 · Fordham #112
Record gradeLong Island University #348 · Fordham #126
OfficialsGreg Evans, Michael Kitts, Joe Switzer
Ref watchMichael Kitts: unders hit 50% of his 283 games since 2021-22.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Long Island University returns about 1% of its minutes and added 7 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Fordham returns about 49% of its minutes and added 4 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Long Island University 0-4, Fordham 2-1.
Official profiles: Greg Evans, Michael Kitts, Joe Switzer
Greg EvansOfficial · 167 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureEvansLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.734.5234 of 284
Technicals per game0.330.35156 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.722.4781 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20155 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games54.8%50.6%118 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 54.8% (206/376)Home covered 48.7% (155/318)Favorite covered 46.0% (174/378)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Michael KittsOfficial · 108 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureKittsLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.534.5148 of 284
Technicals per game0.290.35198 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.682.4789 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.210.20107 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.8%50.6%268 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.8% (141/283)Home covered 46.6% (115/247)Favorite covered 51.4% (145/282)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Joe SwitzerOfficial · 93 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureSwitzerLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.434.5156 of 284
Technicals per game0.310.35174 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.522.47126 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20126 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games60.6%50.6%26 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 60.6% (86/142)Home covered 47.3% (61/129)Favorite covered 48.3% (69/143)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 7:30 PM ET
South Dakota74
Drake86
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 160
SPREADSouth Dakota +13.554%
OVER / UNDEROver 158.552%
28%
72%
Win chance · Drake favored
OUR PICKSouth Dakota +13.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like South Dakota at this line.
  • Drake is at home against South Dakota.
  • South Dakota went 16-16 last season.
  • Drake went 14-20 last season.
RecordsSouth Dakota 1-3 · Drake 2-0
Players gradeSouth Dakota #311 · Drake #172
Record gradeSouth Dakota #364 · Drake #173
OfficialsJeff Campbell, Jeff Malham, Antinio Petty
Ref notesMalham: Calls it tight: 37.7 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (2,414 in 64 games, 2024-26). High-foul crew: crews like this went over 55% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • South Dakota returns about 21% of its minutes and added 7 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Drake returns about 46% of its minutes and added 3 transfers and 7 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: South Dakota 1-3, Drake 2-0.
Official profiles: Jeff Campbell, Jeff Malham, Antinio Petty
Jeff CampbellOfficial · 73 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureCampbellLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.934.571 of 284
Technicals per game0.590.3515 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.772.4773 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20153 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games56.5%50.6%73 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 56.5% (70/124)Home covered 54.9% (62/113)Favorite covered 50.4% (62/123)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Jeff MalhamOfficial · 64 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (high).
  • Calls it tight: 37.7 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (2,414 in 64 games, 2024-26)
MeasureMalhamLeagueRank
Fouls per game37.734.519 of 284
Technicals per game0.390.3599 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.342.47172 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20165 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games56.1%50.6%85 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 56.1% (97/173)Home covered 54.2% (83/153)Favorite covered 45.1% (79/175)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Antinio PettyOfficial · 133 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasurePettyLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.434.5157 of 284
Technicals per game0.340.35149 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.082.47233 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20131 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.9%50.6%230 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.9% (178/350)Home covered 57.7% (168/291)Favorite covered 51.9% (181/349)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 7:30 PM ET
Southeast Missouri State73
Middle Tennessee75
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 148
SPREADSoutheast Missouri State +5.557%
OVER / UNDERUnder 148.551%
46%
54%
Win chance · Middle Tennessee favored
OUR PICKSoutheast Missouri State +5.5SPREADLOSS
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Southeast Missouri State at this line.
  • Middle Tennessee is at home against Southeast Missouri State.
  • Southeast Missouri State went 20-13 last season.
  • Middle Tennessee went 17-15 last season.
RecordsSoutheast Missouri State 2-1 · Middle Tennessee 2-1
Players gradeSoutheast Missouri State #179 · Middle Tennessee #202
Record gradeSoutheast Missouri State #163 · Middle Tennessee #160
OfficialsBlake Harris, Michael Wallace, Michael Swoboda
Ref watchMichael Swoboda: unders hit 58% of his 170 games since 2021-22.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Southeast Missouri State returns about 25% of its minutes and added 2 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Middle Tennessee returns about 25% of its minutes and added 3 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Southeast Missouri State 2-1, Middle Tennessee 2-1.
Official profiles: Blake Harris, Michael Wallace, Michael Swoboda
Blake HarrisOfficial · 81 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureHarrisLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.034.5178 of 284
Technicals per game0.320.35163 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points3.162.4722 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.300.2032 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games56.0%50.6%88 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 56.0% (93/166)Home covered 47.7% (63/132)Favorite covered 48.2% (80/166)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Michael WallaceOfficial · 109 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureWallaceLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.434.5155 of 284
Technicals per game0.390.35106 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points3.212.4718 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.360.207 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games51.3%50.6%214 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 51.3% (120/234)Home covered 41.1% (83/202)Favorite covered 42.7% (99/232)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Michael SwobodaOfficial · 76 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureSwobodaLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.634.5197 of 284
Technicals per game0.410.3578 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.142.47220 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.180.20172 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games41.8%50.6%437 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 41.8% (71/170)Home covered 52.2% (84/161)Favorite covered 51.5% (88/171)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 7:30 PM ET
North Carolina Central64
Liberty79
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 143
SPREADNorth Carolina Central +17.556%
OVER / UNDEROver 136.564%
22%
78%
Win chance · Liberty favored
OUR PICKNorth Carolina Central +17.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like North Carolina Central at this line; Liberty without D. Claussen.
  • Liberty is at home against North Carolina Central.
  • North Carolina Central went 14-18 last season.
  • Liberty went 26-8 last season.
Out: LibertyD. Claussen
RecordsNorth Carolina Central 0-3 · Liberty 1-1
Players gradeNorth Carolina Central #352 · Liberty #180
Record gradeNorth Carolina Central #346 · Liberty #220
OfficialsMichael Husted, Shane Land, R.B. Clyburn
Ref notesLow-foul crew: crews like this went under 58% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • North Carolina Central returns about 3% of its minutes and added 4 transfers and 1 freshman.
  • Liberty returns about 10% of its minutes and added 2 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Liberty is without D. Claussen.
Official profiles: Michael Husted, Shane Land, R.B. Clyburn
Michael HustedOfficial · 59 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureHustedLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.034.5222 of 284
Technicals per game0.310.35181 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points3.002.4735 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.220.20100 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games51.8%50.6%191 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 51.8% (72/139)Home covered 56.3% (71/126)Favorite covered 52.2% (72/138)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Shane LandOfficial · 92 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureLandLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.834.5231 of 284
Technicals per game0.220.35250 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.842.4762 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.210.20123 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.4%50.6%286 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.4% (79/160)Home covered 50.0% (73/146)Favorite covered 41.9% (67/160)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
R.B. ClyburnOfficial · 70 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureClyburnLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.034.5179 of 284
Technicals per game0.230.35246 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.842.4758 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.160.20215 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games56.1%50.6%87 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 56.1% (88/157)Home covered 54.2% (78/144)Favorite covered 48.4% (77/159)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 8:00 PM ET
Wright State81
Samford74
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 155
SPREADWright State -1.562%
OVER / UNDERUnder 157.554%
65%
35%
Win chance · Wright State favored
OUR PICKWright State -1.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Wright State at this line.
  • Samford is at home against Wright State.
  • Wright State went 23-12 last season.
  • Samford went 18-14 last season.
RecordsWright State 3-0 · Samford 1-1
Players gradeWright State #124 · Samford #237
Record gradeWright State #23 · Samford #226
OfficialsRyan Christian, Chuck McCoy, Jake Keller
Ref notesLow-foul crew: crews like this went under 58% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Wright State returns about 32% of its minutes and added 4 transfers and 6 freshmen.
  • Samford returns about 36% of its minutes and added 5 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Wright State 3-0, Samford 1-1.
Official profiles: Ryan Christian, Chuck McCoy
Ryan ChristianOfficial · 65 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureChristianLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.634.5237 of 284
Technicals per game0.200.35264 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.942.4743 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.280.2041 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games45.6%50.6%377 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 45.6% (73/160)Home covered 52.5% (74/141)Favorite covered 49.7% (80/161)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Chuck McCoyOfficial · 62 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureMcCoyLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.234.5168 of 284
Technicals per game0.210.35255 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.232.47200 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.230.2091 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games59.8%50.6%31 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 59.8% (55/92)Home covered 61.2% (52/85)Favorite covered 53.7% (51/95)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 8:00 PM ET
Southern Miss65
Texas State85
FINAL · we projected 69 – 77Projected total 146
SPREADSouthern Miss +11.558%
OVER / UNDEROver 138.566%
35%
65%
Win chance · Texas State favored
OUR PICKSouthern Miss +11.5SPREADLOSS
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Southern Miss at this line.
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✓ Total
  • Texas State is at home against Southern Miss.
  • Southern Miss went 19-16 last season.
  • Texas State went 19-13 last season.
RecordsSouthern Miss 2-1 · Texas State 3-0
Players gradeSouthern Miss #165 · Texas State #114
Record gradeSouthern Miss #174 · Texas State #56
OfficialsNomi Kidwai, Chris Pacsi, Jason Garretson
Ref notesKidwai: Quick with technicals: 0.73 a game vs 0.35 average (40 in 55 games). Kidwai: Calls it tight: 37.9 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (2,083 in 55 games, 2024-26). Pacsi: Quick with technicals: 0.61 a game vs 0.35 average (54 in 89 games). High-foul crew: crews like this went over 55% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Southern Miss returns about 15% of its minutes and added 4 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Texas State returns about 54% of its minutes and added 5 transfers and 5 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Southern Miss 2-1, Texas State 3-0.
Official profiles: Nomi Kidwai, Chris Pacsi, Jason Garretson
Nomi KidwaiOfficial · 55 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: technicals per game, fouls per game (high).
  • Quick with technicals: 0.73 a game vs 0.35 average (40 in 55 games)
  • Calls it tight: 37.9 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (2,083 in 55 games, 2024-26)
MeasureKidwaiLeagueRank
Fouls per game37.934.513 of 284
Technicals per game0.730.351 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.422.47147 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20135 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games62.8%50.6%14 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 62.8% (76/121)Home covered 45.0% (49/109)Favorite covered 39.3% (48/122)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Chris PacsiOfficial · 89 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: technicals per game.
  • Quick with technicals: 0.61 a game vs 0.35 average (54 in 89 games)
MeasurePacsiLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.534.591 of 284
Technicals per game0.610.3511 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.392.47284 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.130.20239 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.1%50.6%292 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.1% (85/173)Home covered 55.0% (83/151)Favorite covered 55.5% (96/173)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Jason GarretsonOfficial · 103 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureGarretsonLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.934.5184 of 284
Technicals per game0.380.35109 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.162.47218 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.170.20190 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games43.9%50.6%409 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 43.9% (61/139)Home covered 50.0% (56/112)Favorite covered 50.7% (70/138)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 8:00 PM ET
Illinois State81
North Dakota State82
FINAL · we projected 79 – 70Projected total 149
SPREADIllinois State -2.563%
OVER / UNDEROver 144.558%
68%
32%
Win chance · Illinois State favored
OUR PICKIllinois State -2.5SPREADLOSS
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Illinois State at this line.
✗ Moneyline✗ Spread✓ Total
  • North Dakota State is at home against Illinois State.
  • Illinois State went 23-13 last season.
  • North Dakota State went 27-8 last season.
RecordsIllinois State 1-2 · North Dakota State 1-3
Players gradeIllinois State #120 · North Dakota State #267
Record gradeIllinois State #213 · North Dakota State #335
OfficialsSteve McJunkins, Steve Honacki, Derek Anganes
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Illinois State returns about 34% of its minutes and added 5 transfers and 5 freshmen.
  • North Dakota State returns about 23% of its minutes and added 5 transfers and 5 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Illinois State 1-2, North Dakota State 1-3.
Official profiles: Steve McJunkins, Steve Honacki
Steve McJunkinsOfficial · 113 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureMcJunkinsLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.534.5151 of 284
Technicals per game0.260.35221 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.342.47173 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20169 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.7%50.6%237 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.7% (146/288)Home covered 46.8% (116/248)Favorite covered 49.0% (142/290)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Steve HonackiOfficial · 60 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureHonackiLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.234.558 of 284
Technicals per game0.420.3572 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.982.4739 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.270.2050 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games56.0%50.6%89 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 56.0% (98/175)Home covered 51.8% (85/164)Favorite covered 53.7% (94/175)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 8:00 PM ET
Georgia Southern70
UCF84
FINAL · we projected 72 – 95Projected total 167
SPREADGeorgia Southern +23.551%
OVER / UNDEROver 164.554%
12%
88%
Win chance · UCF favored
OUR PICKGeorgia Southern +23.5SPREAD
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Georgia Southern at this line.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✗ Total
  • UCF is at home against Georgia Southern.
  • Georgia Southern went 21-16 last season.
  • UCF went 21-12 last season.
RecordsGeorgia Southern 1-2 · UCF 3-0
Players gradeGeorgia Southern #323 · UCF #67
Record gradeGeorgia Southern #303 · UCF #28
OfficialsChris Merlo, De Selle Dean
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Georgia Southern returns about 13% of its minutes and added 3 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • UCF returns about 31% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Georgia Southern 1-2, UCF 3-0.
Official profiles: Chris Merlo, De Selle Dean
Chris MerloOfficial · 81 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureMerloLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.434.5209 of 284
Technicals per game0.520.3523 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.742.47276 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.140.20238 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games54.9%50.6%115 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 54.9% (84/153)Home covered 55.8% (72/129)Favorite covered 49.0% (76/155)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
De Selle DeanOfficial · 81 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureDeanLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.434.5154 of 284
Technicals per game0.350.35141 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.162.47217 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.090.20273 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games41.0%50.6%444 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 41.0% (43/105)Home covered 59.1% (55/93)Favorite covered 52.8% (56/106)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 8:00 PM ET
Milwaukee64
TCU76
FINAL · we projected 64 – 90Projected total 154
SPREADTCU -23.554%
OVER / UNDERUnder 155.553%
9%
91%
Win chance · TCU favored
OUR PICKTCU -23.5SPREADLOSS
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like TCU at this line; home court.
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✓ Total
  • TCU is at home against Milwaukee.
  • Milwaukee went 12-20 last season.
  • TCU went 23-12 last season.
Out: TCUL. Bamgboye
RecordsMilwaukee 2-2 · TCU 3-0
Players gradeMilwaukee #234 · TCU #41
Record gradeMilwaukee #140 · TCU #115
OfficialsBret Smith, Doug Sirmons, Keith Patterson
Ref watchDoug Sirmons: unders hit 57% of his 466 games since 2021-22; Keith Patterson: unders hit 53% of his 174 games since 2021-22. Whole crew leans under.
Ref notesLow-foul crew: crews like this went under 58% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Milwaukee returns about 36% of its minutes and added 3 transfers and 5 freshmen.
  • TCU returns about 51% of its minutes and added 3 transfers and 6 freshmen.
  • TCU is without L. Bamgboye.
Official profiles: Bret Smith, Doug Sirmons, Keith Patterson
Bret SmithOfficial · 171 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureSmithLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.234.5216 of 284
Technicals per game0.490.3538 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.372.47161 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.260.2059 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games48.9%50.6%300 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 48.9% (182/372)Home covered 52.1% (162/311)Favorite covered 48.5% (180/371)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Doug SirmonsOfficial · 212 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureSirmonsLeagueRank
Fouls per game31.734.5256 of 284
Technicals per game0.370.35117 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.002.47251 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.180.20174 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games42.7%50.6%426 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 42.7% (199/466)Home covered 54.2% (211/389)Favorite covered 53.0% (246/464)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Keith PattersonOfficial · 76 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasurePattersonLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.434.5205 of 284
Technicals per game0.530.3521 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.462.47282 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.180.20173 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games46.6%50.6%361 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 46.6% (81/174)Home covered 55.0% (77/140)Favorite covered 52.6% (92/175)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 8:00 PM ET
Texas Southern78
Murray State99
FINAL · we projected 70 – 94Projected total 164
SPREADTexas Southern +27.557%
OVER / UNDEROver 162.554%
10%
90%
Win chance · Murray State favored
OUR PICKTexas Southern +27.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Texas Southern at this line.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✓ Total
  • Murray State is at home against Texas Southern.
  • Texas Southern went 12-18 last season.
  • Murray State went 20-13 last season.
RecordsTexas Southern 1-2 · Murray State 3-0
Players gradeTexas Southern #338 · Murray State #92
Record gradeTexas Southern #209 · Murray State #76
OfficialsRick Crawford, Ervin Wilson, Robert Felder
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Texas Southern returns about 35% of its minutes and added 4 transfers.
  • Murray State returns about 28% of its minutes and added 5 transfers and 7 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Texas Southern 1-2, Murray State 3-0.
Official profiles: Rick Crawford, Ervin Wilson, Robert Felder
Rick CrawfordOfficial · 133 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureCrawfordLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.834.5190 of 284
Technicals per game0.440.3558 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.882.47266 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.140.20228 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games52.4%50.6%171 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 52.4% (183/349)Home covered 50.2% (152/303)Favorite covered 48.6% (170/350)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Ervin WilsonOfficial · 75 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureWilsonLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.934.572 of 284
Technicals per game0.400.3587 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.682.4788 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.280.2038 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games51.6%50.6%202 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 51.6% (65/126)Home covered 51.3% (60/117)Favorite covered 51.2% (65/127)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Robert FelderOfficial · 67 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureFelderLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.234.5217 of 284
Technicals per game0.430.3560 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.222.47201 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.130.20240 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games51.6%50.6%199 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 51.6% (94/182)Home covered 41.2% (63/153)Favorite covered 45.6% (83/182)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 8:00 PM ET
Alcorn State69
Tarleton State73
FINAL · we projected 70 – 83Projected total 153
SPREADAlcorn State +14.552%
OVER / UNDEROver 151.554%
24%
76%
Win chance · Tarleton State favored
OUR PICKAlcorn State +14.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Alcorn State at this line.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✗ Total
  • Tarleton State is at home against Alcorn State.
  • Alcorn State went 9-23 last season.
  • Tarleton State went 14-18 last season.
RecordsAlcorn State 0-3 · Tarleton State 2-1
Players gradeAlcorn State #339 · Tarleton State #224
Record gradeAlcorn State #322 · Tarleton State #254
OfficialsMatthew Martinez, Erroll Lewis
Ref watchErroll Lewis: unders hit 57% of his 178 games since 2021-22.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Alcorn State returns about 0% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 5 freshmen.
  • Tarleton State returns about 16% of its minutes and added 7 transfers and 1 freshman.
  • Records coming in: Alcorn State 0-3, Tarleton State 2-1.
Official profile: Erroll Lewis
Erroll LewisOfficial · 95 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureLewisLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.134.5220 of 284
Technicals per game0.310.35179 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.592.47106 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20160 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games42.7%50.6%427 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 42.7% (76/178)Home covered 44.0% (70/159)Favorite covered 44.4% (80/180)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 8:00 PM ET
Fairleigh Dickinson58
Oklahoma74
FINAL · we projected 58 – 92Projected total 150
SPREADOklahoma -31.554%
OVER / UNDEROver 146.558%
4%
96%
Win chance · Oklahoma favored
OUR PICKOklahoma -31.5SPREADLOSS
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Oklahoma at this line; home court.
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✗ Total
  • Oklahoma is at home against Fairleigh Dickinson.
  • Fairleigh Dickinson went 11-21 last season.
  • Oklahoma went 21-16 last season.
RecordsFairleigh Dickinson 2-2 · Oklahoma 2-1
Players gradeFairleigh Dickinson #364 · Oklahoma #34
Record gradeFairleigh Dickinson #148 · Oklahoma #280
OfficialsRob Rorke, Hunter Allen, Lucas Santos
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Fairleigh Dickinson returns about 25% of its minutes and added 4 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Oklahoma returns about 38% of its minutes and added 6 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Fairleigh Dickinson 2-2, Oklahoma 2-1.
Official profiles: Rob Rorke, Hunter Allen, Lucas Santos
Rob RorkeOfficial · 112 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureRorkeLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.834.5130 of 284
Technicals per game0.270.35215 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points3.432.475 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.280.2042 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games52.4%50.6%172 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 52.4% (152/290)Home covered 44.8% (111/248)Favorite covered 43.8% (128/292)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Hunter AllenOfficial · 78 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureAllenLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.234.5215 of 284
Technicals per game0.120.35281 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points3.262.4714 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.350.2011 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games57.2%50.6%60 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 57.2% (99/173)Home covered 55.2% (90/163)Favorite covered 48.0% (83/173)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Lucas SantosOfficial · 146 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureSantosLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.834.5189 of 284
Technicals per game0.420.3567 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.572.47113 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.140.20227 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games46.9%50.6%352 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 46.9% (130/277)Home covered 49.4% (116/235)Favorite covered 46.5% (128/275)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 8:45 PM ET
Lindenwood56
Omaha67
FINAL · we projected 75 – 79Projected total 154
SPREADLindenwood +4.550%
OVER / UNDEROver 153.551%
41%
59%
Win chance · Omaha favored
OUR PICKLindenwood +4.5SPREAD
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Lindenwood at this line.
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✗ Total
  • Omaha is at home against Lindenwood.
  • Lindenwood went 18-15 last season.
  • Omaha went 16-17 last season.
RecordsLindenwood 2-2 · Omaha 2-2
Players gradeLindenwood #321 · Omaha #281
Record gradeLindenwood #195 · Omaha #194
OfficialsAlfred Smith, Ben Syroka, King Whetstone
Ref notesWhetstone: Calls it tight: 37.6 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (1,769 in 47 games, 2024-26). High-foul crew: crews like this went over 55% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Lindenwood returns about 0% of its minutes and added 6 transfers and 5 freshmen.
  • Omaha returns about 28% of its minutes and added 5 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Lindenwood 2-2, Omaha 2-2.
Official profiles: Alfred Smith, King Whetstone
Alfred SmithOfficial · 111 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureSmithLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.134.560 of 284
Technicals per game0.400.3590 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.762.47275 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.230.2093 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.0%50.6%299 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.0% (123/251)Home covered 50.5% (106/210)Favorite covered 55.4% (138/249)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
King WhetstoneOfficial · 47 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (high).
  • Calls it tight: 37.6 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (1,769 in 47 games, 2024-26)
MeasureWhetstoneLeagueRank
Fouls per game37.634.520 of 284
Technicals per game0.490.3535 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.772.4774 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.170.20192 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games58.9%50.6%36 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 58.9% (83/141)Home covered 52.5% (74/141)Favorite covered 49.3% (71/144)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 9:00 PM ET
DePaul69
Northwestern71
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 140
SPREADNorthwestern +1.558%
OVER / UNDEROver 139.551%
45%
55%
Win chance · Northwestern favored
OUR PICKNorthwestern +1.5SPREAD
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Northwestern at this line; DePaul without A. Delalic; home court.
  • Northwestern is at home against DePaul.
  • DePaul went 16-16 last season.
  • Northwestern went 15-19 last season.
Out: DePaulA. Delalic
Out: NorthwesternL. McEldon
RecordsDePaul 3-0 · Northwestern 3-0
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • DePaul returns about 38% of its minutes and added 9 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Northwestern returns about 44% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • DePaul is without A. Delalic.
Fri Nov 13 · 9:00 PM ET
Stanford68
UNLV76
FINAL · we projected 79 – 77Projected total 156
SPREADStanford -1.552%
OVER / UNDEROver 152.557%
55%
45%
Win chance · Stanford favored
OUR PICKStanford -1.5SPREADLOSS
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Stanford at this line.
✗ Moneyline✗ Spread✗ Total
  • UNLV is at home against Stanford.
  • Stanford went 20-13 last season.
  • UNLV went 18-17 last season.
RecordsStanford 3-0 · UNLV 2-0
Players gradeStanford #70 · UNLV #87
Record gradeStanford #47 · UNLV #102
OfficialsMichael Irving, Mike Littlewood, Jason Phillips
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Stanford returns about 18% of its minutes and added 3 transfers and 5 freshmen.
  • UNLV returns about 23% of its minutes and added 9 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Stanford 3-0, UNLV 2-0.
Official profiles: Michael Irving, Mike Littlewood, Jason Phillips
Michael IrvingOfficial · 146 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureIrvingLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.534.592 of 284
Technicals per game0.290.35189 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.102.47228 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.120.20248 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.3%50.6%249 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.3% (186/370)Home covered 52.2% (157/301)Favorite covered 49.9% (184/369)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Mike LittlewoodOfficial · 140 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureLittlewoodLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.134.561 of 284
Technicals per game0.290.35192 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.572.47111 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.180.20183 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games54.2%50.6%135 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 54.2% (137/253)Home covered 52.1% (112/215)Favorite covered 48.6% (123/253)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Jason PhillipsOfficial · 124 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasurePhillipsLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.134.5173 of 284
Technicals per game0.360.35125 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.632.47279 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.100.20262 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games51.6%50.6%203 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 51.6% (65/126)Home covered 53.0% (61/115)Favorite covered 51.6% (65/126)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 9:00 PM ET
Cal Poly83
Idaho74
FINAL · we projected 81 – 82Projected total 163
SPREADIdaho -1.550%
OVER / UNDERUnder 167.559%
46%
54%
Win chance · Idaho favored
OUR PICKIdaho -1.5SPREAD
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Idaho at this line; home court.
✗ Moneyline✗ Spread✓ Total
  • Idaho is at home against Cal Poly.
  • Cal Poly went 14-19 last season.
  • Idaho went 21-15 last season.
RecordsCal Poly 1-2 · Idaho 2-1
Players gradeCal Poly #155 · Idaho #229
Record gradeCal Poly #201 · Idaho #217
OfficialsDeldre Carr, Chris Hudson, James Ford
Ref watchDeldre Carr: unders hit 56% of his 277 games since 2021-22. Whole crew leans under.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Cal Poly returns about 82% of its minutes and added 1 freshman.
  • Idaho returns about 14% of its minutes and added 3 transfers and 6 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Cal Poly 1-2, Idaho 2-1.
Official profiles: Deldre Carr, Chris Hudson, James Ford
Deldre CarrOfficial · 97 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureCarrLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.334.5161 of 284
Technicals per game0.330.35155 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.072.47234 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20170 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games44.4%50.6%401 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 44.4% (123/277)Home covered 47.4% (108/228)Favorite covered 46.4% (129/278)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Chris HudsonOfficial · 64 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureHudsonLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.534.5144 of 284
Technicals per game0.480.3541 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.422.47144 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.090.20269 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games45.0%50.6%391 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 45.0% (76/169)Home covered 57.4% (85/148)Favorite covered 50.6% (86/170)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
James FordOfficial · 89 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureFordLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.834.575 of 284
Technicals per game0.270.35212 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.392.47154 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20134 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games47.8%50.6%330 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 47.8% (75/157)Home covered 53.9% (76/141)Favorite covered 52.9% (82/155)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 9:00 PM ET
UL Monroe62
Arizona State92
FINAL · we projected 68 – 94Projected total 162
SPREADUL Monroe +31.562%
OVER / UNDEROver 148.575%
9%
91%
Win chance · Arizona State favored
OUR PICKUL Monroe +31.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like UL Monroe at this line; Arizona State without J. Griman.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✓ Total
  • Arizona State is at home against UL Monroe.
  • UL Monroe went 4-28 last season.
  • Arizona State went 17-16 last season.
Out: Arizona StateJ. Griman
RecordsUL Monroe 1-3 · Arizona State 3-0
Players gradeUL Monroe #278 · Arizona State #54
Record gradeUL Monroe #323 · Arizona State #39
OfficialsKipp Kissinger, D.G. Nelson, Eric Curry
Ref notesNelson: Calls it tight: 37.9 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (2,958 in 78 games, 2024-26). Curry: Calls it tight: 38.0 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (4,868 in 128 games, 2024-26). Curry: Quick with technicals: 0.55 a game vs 0.35 average (70 in 128 games). High-foul crew: crews like this went over 55% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • UL Monroe returns about 0% of its minutes and added 6 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Arizona State returns about 9% of its minutes and added 7 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Arizona State is without J. Griman.
Official profiles: Kipp Kissinger, D.G. Nelson, Eric Curry
Kipp KissingerOfficial · 234 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureKissingerLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.534.5239 of 284
Technicals per game0.500.3532 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.972.47256 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.180.20182 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games44.9%50.6%393 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 44.9% (237/528)Home covered 53.0% (229/432)Favorite covered 51.9% (273/526)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
D.G. NelsonOfficial · 78 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (high).
  • Calls it tight: 37.9 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (2,958 in 78 games, 2024-26)
MeasureNelsonLeagueRank
Fouls per game37.934.512 of 284
Technicals per game0.510.3525 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.232.47197 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.230.2083 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games56.4%50.6%77 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 56.4% (137/243)Home covered 51.2% (107/209)Favorite covered 51.2% (124/242)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Eric CurryOfficial · 128 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (high), technicals per game.
  • Calls it tight: 38.0 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (4,868 in 128 games, 2024-26)
  • Quick with technicals: 0.55 a game vs 0.35 average (70 in 128 games)
MeasureCurryLeagueRank
Fouls per game38.034.59 of 284
Technicals per game0.550.3520 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.672.4791 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.230.2088 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games55.4%50.6%102 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 55.4% (195/352)Home covered 53.1% (153/288)Favorite covered 53.3% (187/351)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 9:00 PM ET
Ball State65
SMU90
FINAL · we projected 62 – 85Projected total 147
SPREADSMU -22.552%
OVER / UNDERUnder 150.557%
11%
89%
Win chance · SMU favored
OUR PICKSMU -22.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like SMU at this line; home court.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✗ Total
  • SMU is at home against Ball State.
  • Ball State went 12-19 last season.
  • SMU went 20-14 last season.
RecordsBall State 1-2 · SMU 3-0
Players gradeBall State #217 · SMU #72
Record gradeBall State #346 · SMU #113
OfficialsBill Covington Jr., Jeff Pon, Trey Styons
Ref watchTrey Styons: unders hit 53% of his 218 games since 2021-22.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Ball State returns about 17% of its minutes and added 9 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • SMU returns about 16% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Ball State 1-2, SMU 3-0.
Official profiles: Bill Covington Jr., Jeff Pon, Trey Styons
Bill Covington Jr.Official · 156 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureJr.LeagueRank
Fouls per game35.034.5119 of 284
Technicals per game0.500.3529 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.102.47229 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.130.20245 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games53.4%50.6%147 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 53.4% (190/356)Home covered 53.1% (163/307)Favorite covered 52.3% (185/354)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Jeff PonOfficial · 91 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasurePonLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.934.5124 of 284
Technicals per game0.450.3550 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.812.4768 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.270.2045 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games55.3%50.6%105 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 55.3% (121/219)Home covered 50.3% (93/185)Favorite covered 43.5% (94/216)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Trey StyonsOfficial · 99 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureStyonsLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.234.5115 of 284
Technicals per game0.360.35122 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.892.4749 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.270.2046 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games46.8%50.6%356 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 46.8% (102/218)Home covered 56.5% (104/184)Favorite covered 47.0% (102/217)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 9:00 PM ET
Xavier81
Mississippi State63
FINAL · we projected 83 – 79Projected total 162
SPREADXavier -3.553%
OVER / UNDEROver 161.551%
60%
40%
Win chance · Xavier favored
OUR PICKXavier -3.5SPREADWIN
70Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Xavier at this line; neutral floor.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✗ Total
  • Mississippi State and Xavier meet on a neutral floor.
  • Xavier went 15-18 last season.
  • Mississippi State went 13-19 last season.
Out: XavierB. Appelhans
RecordsXavier 3-0 · Mississippi State 3-0
Players gradeXavier #35 · Mississippi State #66
Record gradeXavier #78 · Mississippi State #99
WhereColonial Hall (neutral floor)
OfficialsMark Schnur, Tony Chiazza, Wil Howard
Ref watchTony Chiazza: unders hit 56% of his 436 games since 2021-22. Whole crew leans under.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Xavier returns about 29% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 5 freshmen.
  • Mississippi State returns about 22% of its minutes and added 7 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Xavier is without B. Appelhans.
Official profiles: Mark Schnur, Tony Chiazza, Wil Howard
Mark SchnurOfficial · 121 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureSchnurLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.034.5122 of 284
Technicals per game0.350.35140 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.212.47206 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.170.20197 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games47.0%50.6%350 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 47.0% (132/281)Home covered 54.4% (130/239)Favorite covered 56.4% (159/282)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Tony ChiazzaOfficial · 177 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureChiazzaLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.934.5187 of 284
Technicals per game0.440.3559 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.312.47180 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.160.20213 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games44.5%50.6%398 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 44.5% (194/436)Home covered 47.0% (175/372)Favorite covered 49.0% (213/435)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Wil HowardOfficial · 154 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureHowardLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.534.549 of 284
Technicals per game0.360.35131 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points3.292.478 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.300.2029 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games55.6%50.6%98 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 55.6% (188/338)Home covered 43.3% (120/277)Favorite covered 45.5% (152/334)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 9:30 PM ET
Mississippi Valley State65
Oregon State81
FINAL · we projected 61 – 88Projected total 149
SPREADMississippi Valley State +33.564%
OVER / UNDERUnder 157.568%
8%
92%
Win chance · Oregon State favored
OUR PICKMississippi Valley State +33.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Mississippi Valley State at this line.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✓ Total
  • Oregon State is at home against Mississippi Valley State.
  • Mississippi Valley State went 3-30 last season.
  • Oregon State went 17-16 last season.
RecordsMississippi Valley State 0-3 · Oregon State 3-0
Players gradeMississippi Valley State #302 · Oregon State #68
Record gradeMississippi Valley State #227 · Oregon State #55
OfficialsRandy McCall, Gregory Nixon, Grant Jeffres
Ref notesJeffres: Quick with technicals: 0.70 a game vs 0.35 average (45 in 64 games).
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Mississippi Valley State returns about 5% of its minutes and added 2 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Oregon State returns about 17% of its minutes and added 9 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Mississippi Valley State 0-3, Oregon State 3-0.
Official profiles: Randy McCall, Gregory Nixon, Grant Jeffres
Randy McCallOfficial · 160 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureMcCallLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.134.5176 of 284
Technicals per game0.460.3547 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.312.47181 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.160.20216 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games53.8%50.6%140 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 53.8% (191/355)Home covered 46.0% (139/302)Favorite covered 49.0% (174/355)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Gregory NixonOfficial · 173 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureNixonLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.634.583 of 284
Technicals per game0.350.35134 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.122.47223 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20158 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.8%50.6%235 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.8% (201/396)Home covered 48.6% (157/323)Favorite covered 48.1% (192/399)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Grant JeffresOfficial · 64 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: technicals per game.
  • Quick with technicals: 0.70 a game vs 0.35 average (45 in 64 games)
MeasureJeffresLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.934.5126 of 284
Technicals per game0.700.353 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.222.47204 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20130 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games52.8%50.6%161 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 52.8% (47/89)Home covered 49.4% (43/87)Favorite covered 43.8% (39/89)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 9:30 PM ET
Chicago State67
San Diego87
FINAL · we projected 68 – 83Projected total 151
SPREADChicago State +15.551%
OVER / UNDEROver 141.569%
22%
78%
Win chance · San Diego favored
OUR PICKChicago State +15.5SPREADLOSS
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Chicago State at this line.
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✓ Total
  • San Diego is at home against Chicago State.
  • Chicago State went 7-25 last season.
  • San Diego went 12-21 last season.
RecordsChicago State 2-2 · San Diego 2-1
Players gradeChicago State #352 · San Diego #134
Record gradeChicago State #250 · San Diego #167
OfficialsDeron White, Tyler Kumpf, Ray Ames
Ref watchDeron White: unders hit 60% of his 273 games since 2021-22.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Chicago State returns about 8% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • San Diego returns about 4% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Chicago State 2-2, San Diego 2-1.
Official profiles: Deron White, Tyler Kumpf, Ray Ames
Deron WhiteOfficial · 121 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureWhiteLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.334.5212 of 284
Technicals per game0.400.3589 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.262.47189 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.210.20121 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games40.3%50.6%447 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 40.3% (110/273)Home covered 47.4% (109/230)Favorite covered 51.1% (139/272)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Tyler KumpfOfficial · 124 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureKumpfLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.234.5114 of 284
Technicals per game0.400.3592 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.322.47177 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.210.20116 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.5%50.6%243 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.5% (143/283)Home covered 51.6% (116/225)Favorite covered 49.1% (139/283)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Ray AmesOfficial · 58 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureAmesLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.634.582 of 284
Technicals per game0.450.3552 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.482.47133 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.140.20232 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.0%50.6%264 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.0% (51/102)Home covered 52.3% (46/88)Favorite covered 51.9% (54/104)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 10:00 PM ET
UC San Diego82
Utah State120
FINAL · we projected 67 – 83Projected total 150
SPREADUtah State -13.556%
OVER / UNDERUnder 158.568%
20%
80%
Win chance · Utah State favored
OUR PICKUtah State -13.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Utah State at this line; home court in a loud arena.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✗ Total
  • Utah State is at home against UC San Diego.
  • UC San Diego went 23-11 last season.
  • Utah State went 29-7 last season.
Out: Utah StateC. Turnbull
RecordsUC San Diego 2-0 · Utah State 3-0
Players gradeUC San Diego #121 · Utah State #47
Record gradeUC San Diego #118 · Utah State #88
OfficialsJohn St. Clair, Clarence Armstrong, Marques Pettigrew
Ref watchJohn St. Clair: unders hit 51% of his 166 games since 2021-22.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • UC San Diego returns about 65% of its minutes and added 5 transfers and 1 freshman.
  • Utah State returns about 26% of its minutes and added 6 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Utah State is without C. Turnbull.
Loud arena: the Dee Glen Smith Spectrum, one of the toughest home courts in college basketball
Official profiles: John St. Clair, Clarence Armstrong, Marques Pettigrew
John St. ClairOfficial · 61 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureClairLeagueRank
Fouls per game37.134.531 of 284
Technicals per game0.410.3576 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.802.4770 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.380.206 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games48.8%50.6%305 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 48.8% (81/166)Home covered 52.6% (80/152)Favorite covered 50.9% (85/167)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Clarence ArmstrongOfficial · 197 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureArmstrongLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.234.5164 of 284
Technicals per game0.390.3596 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.572.47112 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.180.20185 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.1%50.6%252 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.1% (227/453)Home covered 50.5% (198/392)Favorite covered 47.3% (215/455)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Marques PettigrewOfficial · 193 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasurePettigrewLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.134.5171 of 284
Technicals per game0.390.35104 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.892.47265 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20167 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games47.7%50.6%332 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 47.7% (200/419)Home covered 47.4% (152/321)Favorite covered 47.5% (200/421)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 10:00 PM ET
UIC61
Saint Mary's84
FINAL · we projected 70 – 78Projected total 148
SPREADSaint Mary's -5.555%
OVER / UNDERUnder 151.558%
34%
66%
Win chance · Saint Mary's favored
OUR PICKSaint Mary's -5.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Saint Mary's at this line; home court.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✓ Total
  • Saint Mary's is at home against UIC.
  • UIC went 19-16 last season.
  • Saint Mary's went 27-6 last season.
RecordsUIC 3-0 · Saint Mary's 2-1
Players gradeUIC #85 · Saint Mary's #81
Record gradeUIC #81 · Saint Mary's #72
OfficialsMichael Greenstein, Chance Moore, Tommy Johnson
Ref watchChance Moore: unders hit 56% of his 349 games since 2021-22.
Ref notesMoore: Lets them play: 31.5 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (5,193 in 165 games, 2024-26).
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • UIC returns about 59% of its minutes and added 4 transfers and 5 freshmen.
  • Saint Mary's returns about 27% of its minutes and added 6 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: UIC 3-0, Saint Mary's 2-1.
Official profiles: Michael Greenstein, Chance Moore, Tommy Johnson
Michael GreensteinOfficial · 170 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureGreensteinLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.534.594 of 284
Technicals per game0.470.3542 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.452.47139 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.320.2018 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games52.0%50.6%184 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 52.0% (208/400)Home covered 52.5% (166/316)Favorite covered 50.1% (200/399)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Chance MooreOfficial · 165 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (low). On the under watch list.
  • Lets them play: 31.5 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (5,193 in 165 games, 2024-26)
MeasureMooreLeagueRank
Fouls per game31.534.5261 of 284
Technicals per game0.420.3570 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.902.47263 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.150.20225 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games43.8%50.6%410 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 43.8% (153/349)Home covered 54.2% (163/301)Favorite covered 57.1% (200/350)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Tommy JohnsonOfficial · 140 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureJohnsonLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.034.5177 of 284
Technicals per game0.370.35112 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.802.4771 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.260.2052 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.4%50.6%245 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.4% (122/242)Home covered 48.5% (97/200)Favorite covered 42.5% (102/240)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 10:00 PM ET
East Texas A&M94
Portland88
FINAL · we projected 72 – 78Projected total 150
SPREADEast Texas A&M +7.553%
OVER / UNDERUnder 151.555%
37%
63%
Win chance · Portland favored
OUR PICKEast Texas A&M +7.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like East Texas A&M at this line.
✗ Moneyline✓ Spread✗ Total
  • Portland is at home against East Texas A&M.
  • East Texas A&M went 11-21 last season.
  • Portland went 15-19 last season.
RecordsEast Texas A&M 2-1 · Portland 3-1
Players gradeEast Texas A&M #237 · Portland #198
Record gradeEast Texas A&M #110 · Portland #190
OfficialsRyan Holmes, Justin Shamion, Michael Mojica
Ref notesHolmes: Quick with technicals: 0.57 a game vs 0.35 average (35 in 61 games). Holmes: Calls it tight: 38.0 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (2,317 in 61 games, 2024-26). Shamion: Quick with technicals: 0.61 a game vs 0.35 average (57 in 94 games). High-foul crew: crews like this went over 55% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • East Texas A&M returns about 10% of its minutes and added 2 transfers and 9 freshmen.
  • Portland returns about 26% of its minutes and added 5 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: East Texas A&M 2-1, Portland 3-1.
Official profiles: Ryan Holmes, Justin Shamion, Michael Mojica
Ryan HolmesOfficial · 61 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: technicals per game, fouls per game (high).
  • Quick with technicals: 0.57 a game vs 0.35 average (35 in 61 games)
  • Calls it tight: 38.0 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (2,317 in 61 games, 2024-26)
MeasureHolmesLeagueRank
Fouls per game38.034.510 of 284
Technicals per game0.570.3518 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.792.47273 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.150.20222 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games56.9%50.6%68 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 56.9% (99/174)Home covered 49.3% (75/152)Favorite covered 48.3% (83/172)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Justin ShamionOfficial · 94 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: technicals per game.
  • Quick with technicals: 0.61 a game vs 0.35 average (57 in 94 games)
MeasureShamionLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.334.5162 of 284
Technicals per game0.610.3512 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.182.47213 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.160.20208 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.8%50.6%270 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.8% (100/201)Home covered 51.4% (92/179)Favorite covered 54.7% (111/203)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Michael MojicaOfficial · 66 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureMojicaLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.234.5165 of 284
Technicals per game0.350.35139 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.292.47183 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.210.20111 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.5%50.6%277 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.5% (49/99)Home covered 37.9% (33/87)Favorite covered 53.5% (53/99)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fri Nov 13 · 10:30 PM ET
Arkansas-Pine Bluff60
California Baptist74
FINAL · we projected 69 – 80Projected total 149
SPREADArkansas-Pine Bluff +15.559%
OVER / UNDEROver 144.558%
28%
72%
Win chance · California Baptist favored
OUR PICKArkansas-Pine Bluff +15.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Arkansas-Pine Bluff at this line.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✗ Total
  • California Baptist is at home against Arkansas-Pine Bluff.
  • Arkansas-Pine Bluff went 13-19 last season.
  • California Baptist went 25-9 last season.
RecordsArkansas-Pine Bluff 0-3 · California Baptist 0-3
Players gradeArkansas-Pine Bluff #354 · California Baptist #271
Record gradeArkansas-Pine Bluff #191 · California Baptist #357
OfficialsMartin Cichocki, Mark Fulton, John Hampton
Ref notesCichocki: Calls it tight: 38.2 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (1,682 in 44 games, 2024-26). Fulton: Quick with technicals: 0.58 a game vs 0.35 average (35 in 60 games). High-foul crew: crews like this went over 55% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Arkansas-Pine Bluff returns about 3% of its minutes and added 6 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • California Baptist returns about 14% of its minutes and added 3 transfers and 8 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Arkansas-Pine Bluff 0-3, California Baptist 0-3.
Official profiles: Martin Cichocki, Mark Fulton, John Hampton
Martin CichockiOfficial · 44 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (high).
  • Calls it tight: 38.2 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (1,682 in 44 games, 2024-26)
MeasureCichockiLeagueRank
Fouls per game38.234.57 of 284
Technicals per game0.320.35167 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.022.47246 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.160.20209 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.8%50.6%232 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.8% (61/120)Home covered 55.0% (61/111)Favorite covered 55.7% (68/122)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Mark FultonOfficial · 60 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: technicals per game.
  • Quick with technicals: 0.58 a game vs 0.35 average (35 in 60 games)
MeasureFultonLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.534.544 of 284
Technicals per game0.580.3516 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.982.47253 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.120.20255 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games55.6%50.6%99 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 55.6% (65/117)Home covered 42.7% (47/110)Favorite covered 51.7% (60/116)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
John HamptonOfficial · 93 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureHamptonLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.334.5246 of 284
Technicals per game0.290.35194 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.022.47247 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.130.20243 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games52.0%50.6%183 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 52.0% (116/223)Home covered 52.4% (99/189)Favorite covered 44.9% (102/227)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.