BetSharpr
Updated Nov 14, 11:13 PM ET
SUN NOV 8
SUNDAY NOV 8 graded picks
Went 7-6 on the day
Top 25 6 games
Iona @13St. John's65–104FINAL
Sun Nov 8 · 12:00 PM ETNo pick
Iona65
13St. John's104
FINAL · we projected 68 – 84Projected total 152
OVER / UNDEROver 150.552%
21%
79%
Win chance · St. John's favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
✓ Moneyline✓ Total
  • No. 13 St. John's is at home against Iona.
  • Iona went 18-14 last season.
  • St. John's went 30-7 last season.
RecordsIona 2-1 · St. John's 2-0
OfficialsTony Chiazza, Nathan Hall, Vasili Mallios
Ref watchTony Chiazza: unders hit 56% of his 436 games since 2021-22; Vasili Mallios: unders hit 57% of his 200 games since 2021-22. Whole crew leans under.
Ref notesHall: Lets them play: 31.5 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (4,282 in 136 games, 2024-26). Mallios: Lets them play: 29.8 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (3,430 in 115 games, 2024-26). Low-foul crew: crews like this went under 58% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Iona returns about 27% of its minutes and added 10 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • St. John's returns about 33% of its minutes and added 10 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Iona 2-1, St. John's 2-0.
Official profiles: Tony Chiazza, Nathan Hall, Vasili Mallios
Tony ChiazzaOfficial · 177 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureChiazzaLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.934.5187 of 284
Technicals per game0.440.3559 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.312.47180 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.160.20213 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games44.5%50.6%398 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 44.5% (194/436)Home covered 47.0% (175/372)Favorite covered 49.0% (213/435)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Nathan HallOfficial · 136 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (low).
  • Lets them play: 31.5 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (4,282 in 136 games, 2024-26)
MeasureHallLeagueRank
Fouls per game31.534.5260 of 284
Technicals per game0.410.3575 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.452.47138 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.180.20176 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games48.3%50.6%316 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 48.3% (159/329)Home covered 46.3% (142/307)Favorite covered 50.6% (168/332)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Vasili MalliosOfficial · 115 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (low). On the under watch list.
  • Lets them play: 29.8 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (3,430 in 115 games, 2024-26)
MeasureMalliosLeagueRank
Fouls per game29.834.5281 of 284
Technicals per game0.430.3566 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.812.4769 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.230.2090 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games43.0%50.6%423 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 43.0% (86/200)Home covered 44.6% (86/193)Favorite covered 40.2% (80/199)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sun Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET
12Arkansas72
9Virginia91
FINAL · we projected 77 – 78Projected total 155
SPREADArkansas +3.554%
OVER / UNDERUnder 162.567%
47%
53%
Win chance · Virginia favored
OUR PICKArkansas +3.5SPREADLOSS
0Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Arkansas at this line; neutral floor.
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✗ Total
  • No. 9 Virginia and No. 12 Arkansas meet on a neutral floor.
  • Arkansas went 28-9 last season.
  • Virginia went 30-6 last season.
RecordsArkansas 1-1 · Virginia 3-0
WhereCapital One Arena (neutral floor)
OfficialsJohn Gaffney, Byron Jarrett, Joe Lindsay
Ref watchJohn Gaffney: unders hit 56% of his 419 games since 2021-22.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Arkansas returns about 13% of its minutes and added 10 transfers and 8 freshmen.
  • Virginia returns about 65% of its minutes and added 9 transfers and 1 freshman.
  • Records coming in: Arkansas 1-1, Virginia 3-0.
Official profiles: John Gaffney, Byron Jarrett, Joe Lindsay
John GaffneyOfficial · 164 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureGaffneyLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.534.5241 of 284
Technicals per game0.310.35175 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.982.47254 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.160.20211 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games43.9%50.6%408 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 43.9% (184/419)Home covered 45.5% (158/347)Favorite covered 48.9% (205/419)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Byron JarrettOfficial · 164 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureJarrettLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.534.598 of 284
Technicals per game0.360.35127 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.272.47186 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.210.20119 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games52.6%50.6%165 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 52.6% (209/397)Home covered 50.3% (163/324)Favorite covered 53.7% (213/397)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Joe LindsayOfficial · 161 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureLindsayLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.534.548 of 284
Technicals per game0.190.35268 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.302.47182 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.170.20193 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.4%50.6%247 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.4% (191/379)Home covered 49.2% (154/313)Favorite covered 46.9% (177/377)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
10Houston @California75–66proj
Sun Nov 8 · 8:30 PM ETNo pick
10Houston75
California66
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 141
OVER / UNDERUnder 142.554%
66%
34%
Win chance · Houston favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our number is 11 points off the line, too far to trust this early in the season.
  • California and No. 10 Houston meet on a neutral floor.
  • Houston went 30-7 last season.
  • California went 22-12 last season.
RecordsHouston 1-0 · California 2-0
WhereTahoe Blue Event Center (neutral floor)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Houston returns about 38% of its minutes and added 9 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • California returns about 37% of its minutes and added 5 transfers and 5 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Houston 1-0, California 2-0.
Sun Nov 8 · 8:30 PM ET
California68
10Houston86
FINAL · we projected 66 – 75Projected total 141
SPREADCalifornia +19.572%
OVER / UNDERUnder 143.556%
34%
66%
Win chance · Houston favored
OUR PICKCalifornia +19.5SPREADWIN
0Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like California at this line; neutral floor.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✗ Total
  • No. 10 Houston and California meet on a neutral floor.
  • California went 22-12 last season.
  • Houston went 30-7 last season.
RecordsCalifornia 2-1 · Houston 2-0
WhereTahoe Blue Event Center (neutral floor)
OfficialsLee Cassell, Deron White, Kipp Kissinger
Ref watchDeron White: unders hit 60% of his 273 games since 2021-22. Whole crew leans under.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • California returns about 35% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Houston returns about 38% of its minutes and added 10 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: California 2-1, Houston 2-0.
Official profiles: Lee Cassell, Deron White, Kipp Kissinger
Lee CassellOfficial · 197 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureCassellLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.234.5113 of 284
Technicals per game0.390.3597 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.062.47237 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.140.20233 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.8%50.6%234 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.8% (233/459)Home covered 50.1% (195/389)Favorite covered 50.8% (234/461)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Deron WhiteOfficial · 121 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureWhiteLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.334.5212 of 284
Technicals per game0.400.3589 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.262.47189 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.210.20121 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games40.3%50.6%447 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 40.3% (110/273)Home covered 47.4% (109/230)Favorite covered 51.1% (139/272)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Kipp KissingerOfficial · 234 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureKissingerLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.534.5239 of 284
Technicals per game0.500.3532 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.972.47256 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.180.20182 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games44.9%50.6%393 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 44.9% (237/528)Home covered 53.0% (229/432)Favorite covered 51.9% (273/526)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sun Nov 8 · 11:00 PM ET
21USC78
Wichita State74
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 152
SPREADWichita State +6.556%
OVER / UNDERUnder 155.559%
57%
43%
Win chance · USC favored
OUR PICKWichita State +6.5SPREAD
62Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Wichita State at this line; USC without E. Reibe, Onyeka Joe Agu; neutral floor.
  • Wichita State and No. 21 USC meet on a neutral floor.
  • USC went 18-14 last season.
  • Wichita State went 24-12 last season.
Out: USCE. Reibe, Onyeka Joe Agu
Out: Wichita StateN. Hill
RecordsUSC 1-0 · Wichita State 1-0
WhereTahoe Blue Event Center (neutral floor)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • USC returns about 35% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Wichita State returns about 46% of its minutes and added 5 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • USC is without E. Reibe, Onyeka Joe Agu.
Sun Nov 8 · 11:00 PM ET
Wichita State86
21USC93
FINAL · we projected 74 – 78Projected total 152
SPREADWichita State +6.556%
OVER / UNDERUnder 155.559%
43%
57%
Win chance · USC favored
OUR PICKWichita State +6.5SPREADLOSS
0Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Wichita State at this line; neutral floor.
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✗ Total
  • No. 21 USC and Wichita State meet on a neutral floor.
  • Wichita State went 24-12 last season.
  • USC went 18-14 last season.
RecordsWichita State 1-1 · USC 2-0
WhereTahoe Blue Event Center (neutral floor)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Wichita State returns about 54% of its minutes and added 5 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • USC returns about 41% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Wichita State 1-1, USC 2-0.
More games 25 games
Sun Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET
Southeast Missouri State67
South Carolina78
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 145
SPREADSoutheast Missouri State +17.562%
OVER / UNDEROver 144.551%
28%
72%
Win chance · South Carolina favored
OUR PICKSoutheast Missouri State +17.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Southeast Missouri State at this line; South Carolina without G. Polk, M. Alessanco.
  • South Carolina is at home against Southeast Missouri State.
  • Southeast Missouri State went 20-13 last season.
  • South Carolina went 13-19 last season.
Out: South CarolinaG. Polk, M. Alessanco
RecordsSoutheast Missouri State 2-0 · South Carolina 1-0
OfficialsPatrick Evans, Shaun Seales, Owen Shortt
Ref watchPatrick Evans: unders hit 52% of his 271 games since 2021-22; Shaun Seales: unders hit 54% of his 212 games since 2021-22. Whole crew leans under.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Southeast Missouri State returns about 33% of its minutes and added 7 transfers and 1 freshman.
  • South Carolina returns about 9% of its minutes and added 9 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • South Carolina is without G. Polk, M. Alessanco.
Official profiles: Patrick Evans, Shaun Seales, Owen Shortt
Patrick EvansOfficial · 109 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureEvansLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.034.564 of 284
Technicals per game0.510.3524 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.622.4798 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.130.20244 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games48.0%50.6%326 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 48.0% (130/271)Home covered 48.5% (111/229)Favorite covered 49.1% (133/271)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Shaun SealesOfficial · 106 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureSealesLeagueRank
Fouls per game31.634.5259 of 284
Technicals per game0.150.35276 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.262.47190 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.230.2089 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games46.2%50.6%369 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 46.2% (98/212)Home covered 50.8% (95/187)Favorite covered 48.4% (103/213)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Owen ShorttOfficial · 173 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureShorttLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.434.5102 of 284
Technicals per game0.240.35232 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.412.47148 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.140.20226 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games53.4%50.6%148 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 53.4% (206/386)Home covered 50.8% (162/319)Favorite covered 49.6% (192/387)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sun Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET
Sacred Heart72
New Hampshire77
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 149
SPREADNew Hampshire -2.556%
OVER / UNDEROver 145.557%
39%
61%
Win chance · New Hampshire favored
OUR PICKNew Hampshire -2.5SPREADLOSS
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like New Hampshire at this line; home court.
  • New Hampshire is at home against Sacred Heart.
  • Sacred Heart went 14-19 last season.
  • New Hampshire went 9-21 last season.
RecordsSacred Heart 1-1 · New Hampshire 2-0
OfficialsMike Evans
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Sacred Heart returns about 17% of its minutes and added 7 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • New Hampshire returns about 49% of its minutes and added 6 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Sacred Heart 1-1, New Hampshire 2-0.
Official profile: Mike Evans
Mike EvansOfficial · 120 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureEvansLeagueRank
Fouls per game31.734.5255 of 284
Technicals per game0.340.35146 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points3.012.4734 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20137 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games44.1%50.6%406 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 44.1% (93/211)Home covered 44.6% (83/186)Favorite covered 41.2% (87/211)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sun Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET
Manhattan67
Maine73
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 140
SPREADMaine -2.556%
OVER / UNDEROver 136.557%
39%
61%
Win chance · Maine favored
OUR PICKMaine -2.5SPREADLOSS
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Maine at this line; home court.
  • Maine is at home against Manhattan.
  • Manhattan went 12-20 last season.
  • Maine went 8-24 last season.
RecordsManhattan 0-2 · Maine 1-1
OfficialsJason Bradwell, Randall Wells
Ref notesLow-foul crew: crews like this went under 58% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Manhattan returns about 12% of its minutes and added 12 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Maine returns about 44% of its minutes and added 7 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Manhattan 0-2, Maine 1-1.
Official profiles: Jason Bradwell, Randall Wells
Jason BradwellOfficial · 86 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureBradwellLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.234.5248 of 284
Technicals per game0.350.35136 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.792.4772 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.300.2024 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.1%50.6%293 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.1% (85/173)Home covered 42.8% (68/159)Favorite covered 45.1% (79/175)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Randall WellsOfficial · 48 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureWellsLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.434.5153 of 284
Technicals per game0.270.35211 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.732.4779 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20164 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games39.3%50.6%451 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 39.3% (22/56)Home covered 45.8% (22/48)Favorite covered 41.1% (23/56)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Princeton @Siena86–85proj
Sun Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ETNo pick
Princeton86
Siena85
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 171
OVER / UNDEROver 154.581%
54%
46%
Win chance · Princeton favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
  • Siena is at home against Princeton.
  • Princeton went 9-20 last season.
  • Siena went 23-12 last season.
Out: SienaY. Steger
RecordsPrinceton 2-0 · Siena 0-1
OfficialsNathan Farrell, John Cahill Jr., Jawaan Williams
Ref watchNathan Farrell: unders hit 55% of his 382 games since 2021-22.
Ref notesFarrell: Lets them play: 30.9 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (4,782 in 155 games, 2024-26). Williams: Lets them play: 30.1 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (1,747 in 58 games, 2024-26). Low-foul crew: crews like this went under 58% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Princeton returns about 77% of its minutes and added 3 transfers and 1 freshman.
  • Siena returns about 12% of its minutes and added 7 transfers and 6 freshmen.
  • Siena is without Y. Steger.
Official profiles: Nathan Farrell, John Cahill Jr., Jawaan Williams
Nathan FarrellOfficial · 155 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (low). On the under watch list.
  • Lets them play: 30.9 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (4,782 in 155 games, 2024-26)
MeasureFarrellLeagueRank
Fouls per game30.934.5271 of 284
Technicals per game0.320.35161 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.232.47199 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.100.20265 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games45.0%50.6%388 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 45.0% (172/382)Home covered 53.5% (175/327)Favorite covered 50.7% (194/383)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
John Cahill Jr.Official · 123 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureJr.LeagueRank
Fouls per game31.834.5254 of 284
Technicals per game0.370.35110 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points3.182.4719 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20129 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games48.6%50.6%309 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 48.6% (105/216)Home covered 48.3% (99/205)Favorite covered 48.1% (103/214)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Jawaan WilliamsOfficial · 58 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (low).
  • Lets them play: 30.1 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (1,747 in 58 games, 2024-26)
MeasureWilliamsLeagueRank
Fouls per game30.134.5279 of 284
Technicals per game0.290.35191 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.052.47240 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.100.20264 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.0%50.6%262 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.0% (45/90)Home covered 48.1% (38/79)Favorite covered 51.1% (47/92)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Marist @UMass Lowell71–72proj
Sun Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ETNo pick
Marist71
UMass Lowell72
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 143
OVER / UNDEROver 142.550%
49%
51%
Win chance · UMass Lowell favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
  • UMass Lowell is at home against Marist.
  • Marist went 19-12 last season.
  • UMass Lowell went 15-18 last season.
RecordsMarist 1-1 · UMass Lowell 2-0
OfficialsJosean Vega, Ed Corliss, Mamadou Ba
Ref watchJosean Vega: unders hit 56% of his 121 games since 2021-22; Ed Corliss: unders hit 55% of his 309 games since 2021-22.
Ref notesVega: Lets them play: 28.6 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (1,229 in 43 games, 2024-26). Low-foul crew: crews like this went under 58% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Marist returns about 44% of its minutes and added 7 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • UMass Lowell returns about 35% of its minutes and added 5 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Marist 1-1, UMass Lowell 2-0.
Official profiles: Josean Vega, Ed Corliss, Mamadou Ba
Josean VegaOfficial · 43 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (low). On the under watch list.
  • Lets them play: 28.6 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (1,229 in 43 games, 2024-26)
MeasureVegaLeagueRank
Fouls per game28.634.5284 of 284
Technicals per game0.330.35158 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.882.4751 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.160.20203 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games43.8%50.6%412 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 43.8% (53/121)Home covered 50.4% (57/113)Favorite covered 49.6% (60/121)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Ed CorlissOfficial · 137 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureCorlissLeagueRank
Fouls per game31.834.5253 of 284
Technicals per game0.280.35206 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.492.47131 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20125 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games45.0%50.6%390 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 45.0% (139/309)Home covered 47.7% (127/266)Favorite covered 47.9% (146/305)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Mamadou BaOfficial · 38 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Only 38 games of 2024-26 play-by-play on record: too few to judge.
MeasureBaLeagueRank
Fouls per game31.634.5
Technicals per game0.180.35
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.742.47
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.080.20
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games48.6%50.6%310 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 48.6% (35/72)Home covered 45.3% (29/64)Favorite covered 40.3% (29/72)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Fairfield @Bryant70–70proj
Sun Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ETNo pick
Fairfield70
Bryant70
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 140
OVER / UNDERUnder 146.563%
51%
49%
Win chance · Fairfield favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
  • Bryant is at home against Fairfield.
  • Fairfield went 21-13 last season.
  • Bryant went 9-22 last season.
RecordsFairfield 0-1 · Bryant 1-1
OfficialsBrian Zink, Adam Vandenburgh, Tyler Sandmann
Ref watchBrian Zink: unders hit 56% of his 193 games since 2021-22; Adam Vandenburgh: unders hit 58% of his 259 games since 2021-22. Whole crew leans under.
Ref notesZink: Lets them play: 30.3 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (2,365 in 78 games, 2024-26). Sandmann: Lets them play: 30.8 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (2,433 in 79 games, 2024-26). Low-foul crew: crews like this went under 58% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Fairfield returns about 53% of its minutes and added 5 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Bryant returns about 31% of its minutes and added 7 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Fairfield 0-1, Bryant 1-1.
Official profiles: Brian Zink, Adam Vandenburgh, Tyler Sandmann
Brian ZinkOfficial · 78 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (low). On the under watch list.
  • Lets them play: 30.3 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (2,365 in 78 games, 2024-26)
MeasureZinkLeagueRank
Fouls per game30.334.5277 of 284
Technicals per game0.210.35260 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.282.47185 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.090.20272 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games44.0%50.6%407 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 44.0% (85/193)Home covered 48.9% (85/174)Favorite covered 49.7% (96/193)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Adam VandenburghOfficial · 110 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureVandenburghLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.034.5251 of 284
Technicals per game0.260.35217 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.922.4747 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.160.20199 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games42.5%50.6%431 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 42.5% (110/259)Home covered 49.6% (119/240)Favorite covered 49.2% (127/258)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Tyler SandmannOfficial · 79 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (low).
  • Lets them play: 30.8 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (2,433 in 79 games, 2024-26)
MeasureSandmannLeagueRank
Fouls per game30.834.5272 of 284
Technicals per game0.240.35234 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.752.4777 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.130.20246 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games46.9%50.6%354 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 46.9% (67/143)Home covered 46.3% (63/136)Favorite covered 48.6% (69/142)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sun Nov 8 · 2:00 PM ET
Campbell79
Western Michigan86
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 165
SPREADWestern Michigan -4.555%
OVER / UNDEROver 151.578%
36%
64%
Win chance · Western Michigan favored
OUR PICKWestern Michigan -4.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Western Michigan at this line; home court.
  • Western Michigan is at home against Campbell.
  • Campbell went 16-18 last season.
  • Western Michigan went 10-21 last season.
RecordsCampbell 0-1 · Western Michigan 1-1
OfficialsRob Kueneman, Mike O'Neill, Nate Gamet
Ref watchMike O'Neill: unders hit 50% of his 113 games since 2021-22.
Ref notesO'Neill: Calls it tight: 38.5 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (1,925 in 50 games, 2024-26). High-foul crew: crews like this went over 55% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Campbell returns about 0% of its minutes and added 10 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Western Michigan returns about 0% of its minutes and added 10 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Campbell 0-1, Western Michigan 1-1.
Official profiles: Rob Kueneman, Mike O'Neill
Rob KuenemanOfficial · 90 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureKuenemanLeagueRank
Fouls per game37.334.523 of 284
Technicals per game0.420.3568 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.202.47208 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.230.2079 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games57.0%50.6%67 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 57.0% (135/237)Home covered 53.8% (113/210)Favorite covered 53.4% (126/236)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Mike O'NeillOfficial · 50 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (high). On the under watch list.
  • Calls it tight: 38.5 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (1,925 in 50 games, 2024-26)
MeasureO'NeillLeagueRank
Fouls per game38.534.54 of 284
Technicals per game0.340.35147 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.922.4745 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.320.2017 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.4%50.6%244 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.4% (57/113)Home covered 52.3% (58/111)Favorite covered 53.5% (61/114)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sun Nov 8 · 2:00 PM ET
Merrimack67
UAlbany68
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 135
SPREADUAlbany +2.557%
OVER / UNDEROver 134.552%
48%
52%
Win chance · UAlbany favored
OUR PICKUAlbany +2.5SPREADLOSS
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like UAlbany at this line; home court.
  • UAlbany is at home against Merrimack.
  • Merrimack went 23-11 last season.
  • UAlbany went 11-21 last season.
RecordsMerrimack 0-2 · UAlbany 2-0
OfficialsRyan Corbett, Michael Kitts
Ref watchRyan Corbett: unders hit 56% of his 172 games since 2021-22; Michael Kitts: unders hit 50% of his 283 games since 2021-22.
Ref notesLow-foul crew: crews like this went under 58% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Merrimack returns about 18% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • UAlbany returns about 23% of its minutes and added 6 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Merrimack 0-2, UAlbany 2-0.
Official profiles: Ryan Corbett, Michael Kitts
Ryan CorbettOfficial · 70 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureCorbettLeagueRank
Fouls per game31.734.5257 of 284
Technicals per game0.300.35186 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.872.4756 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.300.2027 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games44.2%50.6%404 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 44.2% (76/172)Home covered 46.5% (74/159)Favorite covered 39.9% (69/173)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Michael KittsOfficial · 108 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureKittsLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.534.5148 of 284
Technicals per game0.290.35198 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.682.4789 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.210.20107 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.8%50.6%268 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.8% (141/283)Home covered 46.6% (115/247)Favorite covered 51.4% (145/282)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sun Nov 8 · 2:00 PM ET
Brown67
Lehigh71
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 138
SPREADBrown +5.554%
OVER / UNDERUnder 138.552%
43%
57%
Win chance · Lehigh favored
OUR PICKBrown +5.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Brown at this line.
  • Lehigh is at home against Brown.
  • Brown went 9-18 last season.
  • Lehigh went 18-17 last season.
RecordsBrown 0-2 · Lehigh 1-1
OfficialsBrian O'Connell, Sean Campbell, Ryan Adams
Ref watchBrian O'Connell: unders hit 57% of his 422 games since 2021-22.
Ref notesLow-foul crew: crews like this went under 58% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Brown returns about 63% of its minutes and added 5 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Lehigh returns about 77% of its minutes and added 6 transfers and 1 freshman.
  • Records coming in: Brown 0-2, Lehigh 1-1.
Official profiles: Brian O'Connell, Sean Campbell
Brian O'ConnellOfficial · 164 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureO'ConnellLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.634.5236 of 284
Technicals per game0.340.35150 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.872.47267 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.160.20212 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games42.7%50.6%428 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 42.7% (180/422)Home covered 52.6% (192/365)Favorite covered 47.3% (200/423)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sean CampbellOfficial · 49 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureCampbellLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.234.5218 of 284
Technicals per game0.160.35273 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points3.292.4711 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20128 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.6%50.6%272 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.6% (68/137)Home covered 47.8% (65/136)Favorite covered 55.5% (76/137)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Green Bay @St. Thomas72–77proj
Sun Nov 8 · 2:00 PM ETNo pick
Green Bay72
St. Thomas77
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 149
OVER / UNDERUnder 149.551%
39%
61%
Win chance · St. Thomas favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
  • St. Thomas is at home against Green Bay.
  • Green Bay went 18-15 last season.
  • St. Thomas went 24-10 last season.
Out: Green BayJ. Edwards, J. Overway
RecordsGreen Bay 1-1 · St. Thomas 1-1
OfficialsMark Riggs, Anthony Burris, Sutton Simon
Ref notesHigh-foul crew: crews like this went over 55% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Green Bay returns about 34% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 1 freshman.
  • St. Thomas returns about 54% of its minutes and added 6 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Green Bay is without J. Edwards, J. Overway.
Official profiles: Mark Riggs, Anthony Burris, Sutton Simon
Mark RiggsOfficial · 66 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureRiggsLeagueRank
Fouls per game37.334.524 of 284
Technicals per game0.440.3557 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.272.47187 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.270.2048 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games55.8%50.6%94 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 55.8% (86/154)Home covered 47.8% (64/134)Favorite covered 49.1% (78/159)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Anthony BurrisOfficial · 88 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureBurrisLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.834.577 of 284
Technicals per game0.230.35247 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.512.47129 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.260.2057 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games51.1%50.6%222 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 51.1% (69/135)Home covered 48.3% (57/118)Favorite covered 51.1% (68/133)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sutton SimonOfficial · 42 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureSimonLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.534.547 of 284
Technicals per game0.240.35237 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points3.262.4712 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.450.201 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games55.4%50.6%104 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 55.4% (31/56)Home covered 50.9% (28/55)Favorite covered 44.6% (25/56)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Butler @Boise State76–77proj
Sun Nov 8 · 2:00 PM ETNo pick
Butler76
Boise State77
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 153
OVER / UNDERUnder 159.562%
48%
52%
Win chance · Boise State favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
  • Boise State is at home against Butler.
  • Butler went 16-16 last season.
  • Boise State went 20-12 last season.
RecordsButler 2-0 · Boise State 1-0
OfficialsBret Smith, Doug Sirmons, Greg Evans
Ref watchDoug Sirmons: unders hit 57% of his 466 games since 2021-22.
Ref notesLow-foul crew: crews like this went under 58% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Butler returns about 25% of its minutes and added 10 transfers and 6 freshmen.
  • Boise State returns about 0% of its minutes and added 3 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Butler 2-0, Boise State 1-0.
Official profiles: Bret Smith, Doug Sirmons, Greg Evans
Bret SmithOfficial · 171 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureSmithLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.234.5216 of 284
Technicals per game0.490.3538 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.372.47161 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.260.2059 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games48.9%50.6%300 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 48.9% (182/372)Home covered 52.1% (162/311)Favorite covered 48.5% (180/371)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Doug SirmonsOfficial · 212 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureSirmonsLeagueRank
Fouls per game31.734.5256 of 284
Technicals per game0.370.35117 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.002.47251 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.180.20174 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games42.7%50.6%426 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 42.7% (199/466)Home covered 54.2% (211/389)Favorite covered 53.0% (246/464)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Greg EvansOfficial · 167 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureEvansLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.734.5234 of 284
Technicals per game0.330.35156 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.722.4781 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20155 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games54.8%50.6%118 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 54.8% (206/376)Home covered 48.7% (155/318)Favorite covered 46.0% (174/378)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Quinnipiac @Vermont67–75proj
Sun Nov 8 · 2:00 PM ETNo pick
Quinnipiac67
Vermont75
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 142
OVER / UNDEROver 139.555%
36%
64%
Win chance · Vermont favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
  • Vermont is at home against Quinnipiac.
  • Quinnipiac went 19-13 last season.
  • Vermont went 22-12 last season.
RecordsQuinnipiac 1-1 · Vermont 1-1
OfficialsEvon Burroughs, David Powell, Mike Fleury
Ref watchEvon Burroughs: unders hit 52% of his 377 games since 2021-22.
Ref notesLow-foul crew: crews like this went under 58% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Quinnipiac returns about 32% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 1 freshman.
  • Vermont returns about 35% of its minutes and added 6 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Quinnipiac 1-1, Vermont 1-1.
Official profiles: Evon Burroughs, David Powell
Evon BurroughsOfficial · 154 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureBurroughsLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.934.5229 of 284
Technicals per game0.360.35130 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.362.47166 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20162 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games47.5%50.6%339 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 47.5% (179/377)Home covered 44.8% (151/337)Favorite covered 49.2% (186/378)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
David PowellOfficial · 62 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasurePowellLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.634.5235 of 284
Technicals per game0.210.35256 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.822.47270 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.100.20266 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games48.9%50.6%303 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 48.9% (64/131)Home covered 47.1% (56/119)Favorite covered 54.5% (73/134)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Central Connecticut @Dartmouth65–73proj
Sun Nov 8 · 2:00 PM ETNo pick
Central Connecticut65
Dartmouth73
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 138
OVER / UNDERUnder 140.556%
35%
65%
Win chance · Dartmouth favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
  • Dartmouth is at home against Central Connecticut.
  • Central Connecticut went 18-12 last season.
  • Dartmouth went 11-16 last season.
RecordsCentral Connecticut 0-2 · Dartmouth 2-0
OfficialsJosh Burton, Riley McGraw
Ref notesBurton: Lets them play: 31.3 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (1,379 in 44 games, 2024-26).
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Central Connecticut returns about 52% of its minutes and added 7 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Dartmouth returns about 65% of its minutes and added 4 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Central Connecticut 0-2, Dartmouth 2-0.
Official profiles: Josh Burton, Riley McGraw
Josh BurtonOfficial · 44 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (low).
  • Lets them play: 31.3 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (1,379 in 44 games, 2024-26)
MeasureBurtonLeagueRank
Fouls per game31.334.5263 of 284
Technicals per game0.180.35270 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.362.47164 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.140.20236 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games61.1%50.6%23 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 61.1% (55/90)Home covered 42.4% (36/85)Favorite covered 41.8% (38/91)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Riley McGrawOfficial · 24 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Only 24 games of 2024-26 play-by-play on record: too few to judge.
MeasureMcGrawLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.434.5
Technicals per game0.250.35
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points3.922.47
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.250.20
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games65.0%50.6%7 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 65.0% (39/60)Home covered 56.7% (34/60)Favorite covered 50.0% (30/60)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sun Nov 8 · 3:00 PM ET
Southern71
Drake81
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 152
SPREADSouthern +12.555%
OVER / UNDEROver 151.552%
31%
69%
Win chance · Drake favored
OUR PICKSouthern +12.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Southern at this line.
  • Drake is at home against Southern.
  • Southern went 17-17 last season.
  • Drake went 14-20 last season.
RecordsSouthern 0-2 · Drake 1-0
OfficialsDarron George, Justin Shamion, Chris Pacsi
Ref notesShamion: Quick with technicals: 0.61 a game vs 0.35 average (57 in 94 games). Pacsi: Quick with technicals: 0.61 a game vs 0.35 average (54 in 89 games).
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Southern returns about 8% of its minutes and added 14 transfers.
  • Drake returns about 0% of its minutes and added 7 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Southern 0-2, Drake 1-0.
Official profiles: Darron George, Justin Shamion, Chris Pacsi
Darron GeorgeOfficial · 124 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureGeorgeLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.234.555 of 284
Technicals per game0.370.35113 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.382.47158 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.230.2092 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games54.1%50.6%137 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 54.1% (166/307)Home covered 50.0% (122/244)Favorite covered 46.9% (144/307)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Justin ShamionOfficial · 94 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: technicals per game.
  • Quick with technicals: 0.61 a game vs 0.35 average (57 in 94 games)
MeasureShamionLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.334.5162 of 284
Technicals per game0.610.3512 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.182.47213 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.160.20208 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.8%50.6%270 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.8% (100/201)Home covered 51.4% (92/179)Favorite covered 54.7% (111/203)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Chris PacsiOfficial · 89 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: technicals per game.
  • Quick with technicals: 0.61 a game vs 0.35 average (54 in 89 games)
MeasurePacsiLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.534.591 of 284
Technicals per game0.610.3511 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.392.47284 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.130.20239 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.1%50.6%292 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.1% (85/173)Home covered 55.0% (83/151)Favorite covered 55.5% (96/173)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Western Kentucky @Tennessee Tech80–78proj
Sun Nov 8 · 3:00 PM ETNo pick
Western Kentucky80
Tennessee Tech78
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 158
OVER / UNDERUnder 164.563%
54%
46%
Win chance · Western Kentucky favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
  • Tennessee Tech is at home against Western Kentucky.
  • Western Kentucky went 18-14 last season.
  • Tennessee Tech went 13-18 last season.
RecordsWestern Kentucky 2-0 · Tennessee Tech 1-1
OfficialsJason Baker, Steve Divine
Ref watchJason Baker: unders hit 54% of his 329 games since 2021-22.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Western Kentucky returns about 35% of its minutes and added 10 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Tennessee Tech returns about 15% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Western Kentucky 2-0, Tennessee Tech 1-1.
Official profiles: Jason Baker, Steve Divine
Jason BakerOfficial · 140 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureBakerLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.734.5134 of 284
Technicals per game0.270.35210 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.732.4780 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.220.2097 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games45.6%50.6%378 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 45.6% (150/329)Home covered 46.6% (130/279)Favorite covered 47.1% (154/327)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Steve DivineOfficial · 55 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureDivineLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.634.585 of 284
Technicals per game0.490.3533 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.652.4793 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.220.20102 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.9%50.6%227 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.9% (28/55)Home covered 42.2% (19/45)Favorite covered 45.5% (25/55)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Idaho State @Air Force75–81proj
Sun Nov 8 · 3:00 PM ETNo pick
Idaho State75
Air Force81
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 156
OVER / UNDERUnder 161.562%
37%
63%
Win chance · Air Force favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
  • Air Force is at home against Idaho State.
  • Idaho State went 13-20 last season.
  • Air Force went 3-29 last season.
RecordsIdaho State 0-2 · Air Force 1-1
OfficialsMike Littlewood, Keith Kimble, Luke Schumer
Ref notesSchumer: Calls it tight: 38.4 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (3,799 in 99 games, 2024-26). High-foul crew: crews like this went over 55% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Idaho State returns about 11% of its minutes and added 13 transfers.
  • Air Force returns about 84% of its minutes and added 1 transfer and 5 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Idaho State 0-2, Air Force 1-1.
Official profiles: Mike Littlewood, Keith Kimble, Luke Schumer
Mike LittlewoodOfficial · 140 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureLittlewoodLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.134.561 of 284
Technicals per game0.290.35192 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.572.47111 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.180.20183 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games54.2%50.6%135 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 54.2% (137/253)Home covered 52.1% (112/215)Favorite covered 48.6% (123/253)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Keith KimbleOfficial · 202 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureKimbleLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.634.5140 of 284
Technicals per game0.300.35188 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.322.47178 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.230.2087 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games51.1%50.6%223 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 51.1% (256/501)Home covered 52.5% (214/408)Favorite covered 48.5% (243/501)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Luke SchumerOfficial · 99 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (high).
  • Calls it tight: 38.4 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (3,799 in 99 games, 2024-26)
MeasureSchumerLeagueRank
Fouls per game38.434.56 of 284
Technicals per game0.250.35226 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.562.47116 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20151 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games56.4%50.6%78 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 56.4% (93/165)Home covered 41.6% (64/154)Favorite covered 43.5% (73/168)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sun Nov 8 · 4:00 PM ET
Saint Peter's66
NJIT68
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 134
SPREADNJIT +1.556%
OVER / UNDEROver 133.550%
47%
53%
Win chance · NJIT favored
OUR PICKNJIT +1.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like NJIT at this line; home court.
  • NJIT is at home against Saint Peter's.
  • Saint Peter's went 17-12 last season.
  • NJIT went 16-17 last season.
RecordsSaint Peter's 0-2 · NJIT 0-2
OfficialsTim Smith
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Saint Peter's returns about 35% of its minutes and added 8 transfers.
  • NJIT returns about 38% of its minutes and added 8 transfers.
  • Records coming in: Saint Peter's 0-2, NJIT 0-2.
Official profile: Tim Smith
Tim SmithOfficial · 138 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureSmithLeagueRank
Fouls per game31.834.5252 of 284
Technicals per game0.250.35225 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.352.47170 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20161 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.7%50.6%271 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.7% (162/326)Home covered 49.5% (144/291)Favorite covered 49.7% (162/326)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Rider @Binghamton67–75proj
Sun Nov 8 · 4:00 PM ETNo pick
Rider67
Binghamton75
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 142
OVER / UNDEROver 138.556%
34%
66%
Win chance · Binghamton favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
  • Binghamton is at home against Rider.
  • Rider went 4-25 last season.
  • Binghamton went 8-23 last season.
RecordsRider 0-2 · Binghamton 1-1
OfficialsBrandon Cruz, Carl Luciano
Ref watchBrandon Cruz: unders hit 58% of his 208 games since 2021-22.
Ref notesCruz: Lets them play: 31.1 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (2,554 in 82 games, 2024-26). Luciano: Lets them play: 29.9 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (1,703 in 57 games, 2024-26). Low-foul crew: crews like this went under 58% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Rider returns about 0% of its minutes and added 14 transfers.
  • Binghamton returns about 59% of its minutes and added 7 transfers.
  • Records coming in: Rider 0-2, Binghamton 1-1.
Official profiles: Brandon Cruz, Carl Luciano
Brandon CruzOfficial · 82 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (low). On the under watch list.
  • Lets them play: 31.1 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (2,554 in 82 games, 2024-26)
MeasureCruzLeagueRank
Fouls per game31.134.5266 of 284
Technicals per game0.370.35119 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.682.4787 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20146 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games42.3%50.6%432 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 42.3% (88/208)Home covered 43.2% (82/190)Favorite covered 53.1% (111/209)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Carl LucianoOfficial · 57 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (low).
  • Lets them play: 29.9 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (1,703 in 57 games, 2024-26)
MeasureLucianoLeagueRank
Fouls per game29.934.5280 of 284
Technicals per game0.260.35218 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.392.47157 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.230.2086 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games44.9%50.6%392 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 44.9% (66/147)Home covered 46.9% (67/143)Favorite covered 46.6% (68/146)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sun Nov 8 · 4:30 PM ET
Saint Mary's72
Nevada70
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 142
SPREADSaint Mary's +1.557%
OVER / UNDERUnder 146.560%
54%
46%
Win chance · Saint Mary's favored
OUR PICKSaint Mary's +1.5SPREADWIN
70Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Saint Mary's at this line; neutral floor.
  • Nevada and Saint Mary's meet on a neutral floor.
  • Saint Mary's went 27-6 last season.
  • Nevada went 24-13 last season.
RecordsSaint Mary's 2-0 · Nevada 1-0
WhereTahoe Blue Event Center (neutral floor)
OfficialsTony Padilla, Marques Pettigrew, Layne Barney
Ref notesBarney: Quick with technicals: 0.56 a game vs 0.35 average (33 in 59 games).
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Saint Mary's returns about 44% of its minutes and added 10 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Nevada returns about 39% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Saint Mary's 2-0, Nevada 1-0.
Official profiles: Tony Padilla, Marques Pettigrew, Layne Barney
Tony PadillaOfficial · 202 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasurePadillaLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.334.5109 of 284
Technicals per game0.490.3534 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.382.47159 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20132 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.5%50.6%280 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.5% (239/483)Home covered 44.2% (170/385)Favorite covered 45.8% (220/480)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Marques PettigrewOfficial · 193 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasurePettigrewLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.134.5171 of 284
Technicals per game0.390.35104 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.892.47265 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20167 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games47.7%50.6%332 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 47.7% (200/419)Home covered 47.4% (152/321)Favorite covered 47.5% (200/421)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Layne BarneyOfficial · 59 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: technicals per game.
  • Quick with technicals: 0.56 a game vs 0.35 average (33 in 59 games)
MeasureBarneyLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.434.5105 of 284
Technicals per game0.560.3519 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.762.4775 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.220.20101 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games46.1%50.6%371 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 46.1% (47/102)Home covered 52.2% (48/92)Favorite covered 51.5% (52/101)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Richmond @Temple76–75proj
Sun Nov 8 · 5:00 PM ETNo pick
Richmond76
Temple75
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 151
OVER / UNDEROver 149.553%
52%
48%
Win chance · Richmond favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
  • Temple and Richmond meet on a neutral floor.
  • Richmond went 15-17 last season.
  • Temple went 16-16 last season.
Out: RichmondJ. McCaffery
RecordsRichmond 2-0 · Temple 1-0
WhereThe Palestra (neutral floor)
OfficialsAnthony Jordan, Jeff Clark, Bill Covington Jr.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Richmond returns about 28% of its minutes and added 6 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Temple returns about 25% of its minutes and added 9 transfers and 1 freshman.
  • Richmond is without J. McCaffery.
Official profiles: Anthony Jordan, Jeff Clark, Bill Covington Jr.
Anthony JordanOfficial · 94 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureJordanLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.434.5104 of 284
Technicals per game0.310.35178 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.842.4761 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.350.209 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games52.0%50.6%186 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 52.0% (146/281)Home covered 52.2% (129/247)Favorite covered 49.3% (137/278)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Jeff ClarkOfficial · 143 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureClarkLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.534.5238 of 284
Technicals per game0.240.35228 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.442.47140 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.180.20178 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games47.7%50.6%333 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 47.7% (184/386)Home covered 50.2% (167/333)Favorite covered 43.6% (168/385)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Bill Covington Jr.Official · 156 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureJr.LeagueRank
Fouls per game35.034.5119 of 284
Technicals per game0.500.3529 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.102.47229 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.130.20245 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games53.4%50.6%147 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 53.4% (190/356)Home covered 53.1% (163/307)Favorite covered 52.3% (185/354)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
North Dakota State @Cal State Bakersfield76–73proj
Sun Nov 8 · 6:00 PM ETNo pick
North Dakota State76
Cal State Bakersfield73
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 149
OVER / UNDERUnder 152.557%
55%
45%
Win chance · North Dakota State favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
  • Cal State Bakersfield is at home against North Dakota State.
  • North Dakota State went 27-8 last season.
  • Cal State Bakersfield went 8-24 last season.
RecordsNorth Dakota State 1-2 · Cal State Bakersfield 1-0
OfficialsRandy McCall, Chance Moore
Ref watchChance Moore: unders hit 56% of his 349 games since 2021-22.
Ref notesMoore: Lets them play: 31.5 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (5,193 in 165 games, 2024-26). Low-foul crew: crews like this went under 58% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • North Dakota State returns about 32% of its minutes and added 9 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Cal State Bakersfield returns about 0% of its minutes and added 3 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: North Dakota State 1-2, Cal State Bakersfield 1-0.
Official profiles: Randy McCall, Chance Moore
Randy McCallOfficial · 160 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureMcCallLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.134.5176 of 284
Technicals per game0.460.3547 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.312.47181 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.160.20216 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games53.8%50.6%140 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 53.8% (191/355)Home covered 46.0% (139/302)Favorite covered 49.0% (174/355)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Chance MooreOfficial · 165 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (low). On the under watch list.
  • Lets them play: 31.5 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (5,193 in 165 games, 2024-26)
MeasureMooreLeagueRank
Fouls per game31.534.5261 of 284
Technicals per game0.420.3570 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.902.47263 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.150.20225 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games43.8%50.6%410 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 43.8% (153/349)Home covered 54.2% (163/301)Favorite covered 57.1% (200/350)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Norfolk State @William & Mary72–80proj
Sun Nov 8 · 6:00 PM ETNo pick
Norfolk State72
William & Mary80
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 152
OVER / UNDERUnder 158.565%
33%
67%
Win chance · William & Mary favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
  • William & Mary is at home against Norfolk State.
  • Norfolk State went 15-17 last season.
  • William & Mary went 20-12 last season.
RecordsNorfolk State 2-0 · William & Mary 1-0
OfficialsRoger Ayers, Tony Henderson, CJ Middlebrooks
Ref watchRoger Ayers: unders hit 58% of his 516 games since 2021-22.
Ref notesAyers: Lets them play: 30.2 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (6,623 in 219 games, 2024-26). Low-foul crew: crews like this went under 58% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Norfolk State returns about 0% of its minutes and added 5 freshmen.
  • William & Mary returns about 0% of its minutes and added 2 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Norfolk State 2-0, William & Mary 1-0.
Official profiles: Roger Ayers, Tony Henderson
Roger AyersOfficial · 219 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (low). On the under watch list.
  • Lets them play: 30.2 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (6,623 in 219 games, 2024-26)
MeasureAyersLeagueRank
Fouls per game30.234.5278 of 284
Technicals per game0.280.35204 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.012.47249 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.140.20234 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games41.5%50.6%439 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 41.5% (214/516)Home covered 50.0% (219/438)Favorite covered 48.6% (251/516)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Tony HendersonOfficial · 161 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureHendersonLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.634.5139 of 284
Technicals per game0.480.3540 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.852.47268 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.120.20252 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games48.6%50.6%311 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 48.6% (172/354)Home covered 49.5% (145/293)Favorite covered 48.5% (172/355)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sun Nov 8 · 7:00 PM ET
Incarnate Word67
UTEP78
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 145
SPREADIncarnate Word +13.554%
OVER / UNDEROver 142.554%
28%
72%
Win chance · UTEP favored
OUR PICKIncarnate Word +13.5SPREADLOSS
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Incarnate Word at this line.
  • UTEP is at home against Incarnate Word.
  • Incarnate Word went 12-19 last season.
  • UTEP went 11-20 last season.
RecordsIncarnate Word 0-2 · UTEP 0-1
OfficialsJason Phillips, Juan Corral, Alex Landis
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Incarnate Word returns about 0% of its minutes and added 11 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • UTEP returns about 0% of its minutes and added 10 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Incarnate Word 0-2, UTEP 0-1.
Official profiles: Jason Phillips, Juan Corral, Alex Landis
Jason PhillipsOfficial · 124 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasurePhillipsLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.134.5173 of 284
Technicals per game0.360.35125 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.632.47279 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.100.20262 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games51.6%50.6%203 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 51.6% (65/126)Home covered 53.0% (61/115)Favorite covered 51.6% (65/126)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Juan CorralOfficial · 28 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Only 28 games of 2024-26 play-by-play on record: too few to judge.
MeasureCorralLeagueRank
Fouls per game37.334.5
Technicals per game0.500.35
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.142.47
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.140.20
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games60.0%50.6%27 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 60.0% (48/80)Home covered 55.4% (41/74)Favorite covered 58.0% (47/81)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Alex LandisOfficial · 47 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureLandisLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.334.5107 of 284
Technicals per game0.400.3581 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.062.47235 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.090.20274 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games46.6%50.6%364 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 46.6% (27/58)Home covered 48.3% (28/58)Favorite covered 51.7% (30/58)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Pittsburgh @Penn State82–76FINAL
Sun Nov 8 · 8:00 PM ETNo pick
Pittsburgh82
Penn State76
FINAL · we projected 79 – 76Projected total 155
OVER / UNDEROver 153.553%
56%
44%
Win chance · Pittsburgh favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
✓ Moneyline✓ Total
  • Penn State and Pittsburgh meet on a neutral floor.
  • Pittsburgh went 13-20 last season.
  • Penn State went 12-20 last season.
Out: Penn StateR. Blums
RecordsPittsburgh 2-0 · Penn State 2-0
WhereThe Palestra (neutral floor)
OfficialsPaul Szelc, Matt Potter
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Pittsburgh returns about 1% of its minutes and added 13 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Penn State returns about 25% of its minutes and added 12 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Penn State is without R. Blums.
Official profiles: Paul Szelc, Matt Potter
Paul SzelcOfficial · 171 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureSzelcLeagueRank
Fouls per game37.134.530 of 284
Technicals per game0.400.3584 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.492.47130 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20166 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.0%50.6%297 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.0% (203/414)Home covered 55.4% (181/327)Favorite covered 49.2% (203/413)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Matt PotterOfficial · 191 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasurePotterLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.834.5233 of 284
Technicals per game0.190.35267 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points3.262.4713 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.260.2055 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games44.4%50.6%399 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 44.4% (188/423)Home covered 46.2% (166/359)Favorite covered 47.8% (202/423)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
UT Arlington @Hawai'i62–71FINAL
Sun Nov 8 · 11:00 PM ETNo pick
UT Arlington62
Hawai'i71
FINAL · we projected 70 – 78Projected total 148
OVER / UNDEROver 145.555%
33%
67%
Win chance · Hawai'i favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
✓ Moneyline✗ Total
  • Hawai'i is at home against UT Arlington.
  • UT Arlington went 18-14 last season.
  • Hawai'i went 24-9 last season.
RecordsUT Arlington 2-0 · Hawai'i 2-0
OfficialsLarry Scirotto, Daryl Gelinas, Tommy Nunez, Derek Anganes
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • UT Arlington returns about 5% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Hawai'i returns about 0% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: UT Arlington 2-0, Hawai'i 2-0.
Official profiles: Larry Scirotto, Daryl Gelinas, Tommy Nunez
Larry ScirottoOfficial · 142 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureScirottoLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.134.5116 of 284
Technicals per game0.370.35118 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.202.47209 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20127 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games58.2%50.6%47 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 58.2% (145/249)Home covered 55.5% (116/209)Favorite covered 52.8% (130/246)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Daryl GelinasOfficial · 35 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Only 35 games of 2024-26 play-by-play on record: too few to judge.
MeasureGelinasLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.134.5
Technicals per game0.140.35
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.802.47
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.110.20
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games45.8%50.6%373 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 45.8% (54/118)Home covered 47.8% (54/113)Favorite covered 47.5% (57/120)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Tommy NunezOfficial · 74 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureNunezLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.834.573 of 284
Technicals per game0.430.3561 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.922.4746 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.160.20204 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games52.7%50.6%162 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 52.7% (125/237)Home covered 44.8% (87/194)Favorite covered 48.7% (115/236)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.