BetSharpr
Updated Nov 14, 11:13 PM ET
MON NOV 9
MONDAY NOV 9 graded picks
Went 13-8 on the day
AP Top 25 5 games
Wagner @4UConn41–83FINAL
Mon Nov 9 · 7:00 PM ETNo pick
Wagner41
4UConn83
FINAL · we projected 62 – 89Projected total 151
OVER / UNDEROver 139.573%
9%
91%
Win chance · UConn favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass.
✓ Moneyline✗ Total
  • No. 4 UConn is at home against Wagner.
  • Wagner went 14-17 last season.
  • UConn went 34-6 last season.
RecordsWagner 0-3 · UConn 3-0
Players gradeWagner #362 · UConn #12
Record gradeWagner #233 · UConn #25
OfficialsBrent Hampton, Ed Corliss
Ref watchEd Corliss: unders hit 55% of his 309 games since 2021-22.
Ref notesLow-foul crew: crews like this went under 58% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Wagner returns about 0% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • UConn returns about 56% of its minutes and added 7 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Wagner 0-3, UConn 3-0.
Official profiles: Brent Hampton, Ed Corliss
Brent HamptonOfficial · 84 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureHamptonLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.934.5227 of 284
Technicals per game0.350.35142 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.512.47128 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.110.20259 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games56.4%50.6%76 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 56.4% (181/321)Home covered 45.5% (122/268)Favorite covered 47.8% (153/320)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Ed CorlissOfficial · 137 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureCorlissLeagueRank
Fouls per game31.834.5253 of 284
Technicals per game0.280.35206 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.492.47131 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20125 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games45.0%50.6%390 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 45.0% (139/309)Home covered 47.7% (127/266)Favorite covered 47.9% (146/305)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Grambling @7Texas62–93FINAL
Mon Nov 9 · 7:00 PM ETNo pick
Grambling62
7Texas93
FINAL · we projected 63 – 88Projected total 151
OVER / UNDERUnder 155.561%
10%
90%
Win chance · Texas favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass.
✓ Moneyline✓ Total
  • No. 7 Texas is at home against Grambling.
  • Grambling went 14-19 last season.
  • Texas went 21-15 last season.
RecordsGrambling 1-1 · Texas 3-0
Players gradeGrambling #350 · Texas #14
Record gradeGrambling #120 · Texas #139
OfficialsDon Daily, Vladimir Voyard-Tadal, Chuck McCoy
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Grambling returns about 4% of its minutes and added 4 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Texas returns about 13% of its minutes and added 4 transfers and 6 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Grambling 1-1, Texas 3-0.
Official profiles: Don Daily, Vladimir Voyard-Tadal, Chuck McCoy
Don DailyOfficial · 130 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureDailyLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.534.5150 of 284
Technicals per game0.320.35168 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.372.47163 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20138 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.4%50.6%246 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.4% (186/369)Home covered 51.2% (152/297)Favorite covered 50.1% (184/367)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Vladimir Voyard-TadalOfficial · 162 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureVoyard-TadalLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.934.5128 of 284
Technicals per game0.310.35177 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.832.4765 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.250.2063 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games55.0%50.6%113 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 55.0% (193/351)Home covered 45.7% (139/304)Favorite covered 47.0% (162/345)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Chuck McCoyOfficial · 62 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureMcCoyLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.234.5168 of 284
Technicals per game0.210.35255 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.232.47200 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.230.2091 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games59.8%50.6%31 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 59.8% (55/92)Home covered 61.2% (52/85)Favorite covered 53.7% (51/95)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Mon Nov 9 · 7:00 PM ET
Radford47
11Tennessee70
FINAL · we projected 66 – 87Projected total 153
SPREADRadford +29.566%
OVER / UNDERUnder 153.550%
14%
86%
Win chance · Tennessee favored
OUR PICKRadford +29.5SPREADWIN
0Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Radford at this line.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✓ Total
  • No. 11 Tennessee is at home against Radford.
  • Radford went 16-16 last season.
  • Tennessee went 25-12 last season.
RecordsRadford 0-3 · Tennessee 2-0
Players gradeRadford #259 · Tennessee #49
Record gradeRadford #294 · Tennessee #128
OfficialsJason Baker, Wil Howard, Hunter Allen
Ref watchJason Baker: unders hit 54% of his 329 games since 2021-22.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Radford returns about 8% of its minutes and added 6 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Tennessee returns about 10% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 5 freshmen.
  • Tennessee plays in one of the louder arenas in college basketball.
Loud arena: Thompson-Boling Arena, a tough place for visiting teams
Official profiles: Jason Baker, Wil Howard, Hunter Allen
Jason BakerOfficial · 140 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureBakerLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.734.5134 of 284
Technicals per game0.270.35210 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.732.4780 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.220.2097 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games45.6%50.6%378 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 45.6% (150/329)Home covered 46.6% (130/279)Favorite covered 47.1% (154/327)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Wil HowardOfficial · 154 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureHowardLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.534.549 of 284
Technicals per game0.360.35131 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points3.292.478 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.300.2029 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games55.6%50.6%98 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 55.6% (188/338)Home covered 43.3% (120/277)Favorite covered 45.5% (152/334)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Hunter AllenOfficial · 78 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureAllenLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.234.5215 of 284
Technicals per game0.120.35281 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points3.262.4714 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.350.2011 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games57.2%50.6%60 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 57.2% (99/173)Home covered 55.2% (90/163)Favorite covered 48.0% (83/173)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
North Florida @17Miami51–89FINAL
Mon Nov 9 · 7:00 PM ETNo pick
North Florida51
17Miami89
FINAL · we projected 69 – 91Projected total 160
OVER / UNDERUnder 165.560%
13%
87%
Win chance · Miami favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass.
✓ Moneyline✓ Total
  • No. 17 Miami is at home against North Florida.
  • North Florida went 7-25 last season.
  • Miami went 26-9 last season.
RecordsNorth Florida 1-2 · Miami 2-1
Players gradeNorth Florida #309 · Miami #6
Record gradeNorth Florida #118 · Miami #157
OfficialsRick Crawford, Roger Ayers, A.J. Desai
Ref watchRoger Ayers: unders hit 58% of his 516 games since 2021-22.
Ref notesAyers: Lets them play: 30.2 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (6,623 in 219 games, 2024-26). Low-foul crew: crews like this went under 58% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • North Florida returns about 43% of its minutes and added 3 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Miami returns about 51% of its minutes and added 6 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: North Florida 1-2, Miami 2-1.
Official profiles: Rick Crawford, Roger Ayers, A.J. Desai
Rick CrawfordOfficial · 133 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureCrawfordLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.834.5190 of 284
Technicals per game0.440.3558 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.882.47266 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.140.20228 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games52.4%50.6%171 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 52.4% (183/349)Home covered 50.2% (152/303)Favorite covered 48.6% (170/350)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Roger AyersOfficial · 219 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (low). On the under watch list.
  • Lets them play: 30.2 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (6,623 in 219 games, 2024-26)
MeasureAyersLeagueRank
Fouls per game30.234.5278 of 284
Technicals per game0.280.35204 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.012.47249 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.140.20234 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games41.5%50.6%439 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 41.5% (214/516)Home covered 50.0% (219/438)Favorite covered 48.6% (251/516)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
A.J. DesaiOfficial · 182 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureDesaiLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.234.5169 of 284
Technicals per game0.390.35101 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.402.47151 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20150 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.6%50.6%273 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.6% (201/405)Home covered 42.7% (141/330)Favorite covered 47.9% (193/403)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Oakland @18Alabama68–109FINAL
Mon Nov 9 · 7:30 PM ETNo pick
Oakland68
18Alabama109
FINAL · we projected 73 – 92Projected total 165
OVER / UNDERUnder 170.561%
16%
84%
Win chance · Alabama favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass.
✓ Moneyline✗ Total
  • No. 18 Alabama is at home against Oakland.
  • Oakland went 16-16 last season.
  • Alabama went 25-10 last season.
RecordsOakland 0-4 · Alabama 3-0
Players gradeOakland #215 · Alabama #10
Record gradeOakland #250 · Alabama #40
OfficialsDoug Shows, Tony Chiazza, Landon Brandes
Ref watchTony Chiazza: unders hit 56% of his 436 games since 2021-22. Whole crew leans under.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Oakland returns about 9% of its minutes and added 4 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Alabama returns about 34% of its minutes and added 3 transfers and 6 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Oakland 0-4, Alabama 3-0.
Official profiles: Doug Shows, Tony Chiazza, Landon Brandes
Doug ShowsOfficial · 168 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureShowsLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.534.599 of 284
Technicals per game0.360.35129 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.882.4755 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.240.2076 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games48.5%50.6%314 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 48.5% (196/404)Home covered 50.9% (169/332)Favorite covered 49.8% (200/402)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Tony ChiazzaOfficial · 177 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureChiazzaLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.934.5187 of 284
Technicals per game0.440.3559 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.312.47180 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.160.20213 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games44.5%50.6%398 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 44.5% (194/436)Home covered 47.0% (175/372)Favorite covered 49.0% (213/435)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Landon BrandesOfficial · 103 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureBrandesLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.734.5194 of 284
Technicals per game0.190.35266 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points3.292.479 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.300.2026 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games54.5%50.6%124 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 54.5% (122/224)Home covered 45.2% (85/188)Favorite covered 48.4% (107/221)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
More games 29 games
Mon Nov 9 · 6:00 PM ET
Marshall69
Ohio State87
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 156
SPREADMarshall +25.564%
OVER / UNDERUnder 162.564%
17%
83%
Win chance · Ohio State favored
OUR PICKMarshall +25.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Marshall at this line.
  • Ohio State is at home against Marshall.
  • Marshall went 19-13 last season.
  • Ohio State went 21-13 last season.
RecordsMarshall 1-1 · Ohio State 1-1
OfficialsMichael Irving, Earl Walton, Nate Harris
Ref watchEarl Walton: unders hit 51% of his 399 games since 2021-22.
Ref notesHigh-foul crew: crews like this went over 55% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Marshall returns about 41% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Ohio State returns about 33% of its minutes and added 10 transfers and 5 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Marshall 1-1, Ohio State 1-1.
Official profiles: Michael Irving, Earl Walton, Nate Harris
Michael IrvingOfficial · 146 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureIrvingLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.534.592 of 284
Technicals per game0.290.35189 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.102.47228 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.120.20248 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.3%50.6%249 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.3% (186/370)Home covered 52.2% (157/301)Favorite covered 49.9% (184/369)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Earl WaltonOfficial · 155 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureWaltonLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.134.562 of 284
Technicals per game0.150.35278 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.262.47193 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.120.20256 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.4%50.6%287 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.4% (197/399)Home covered 45.8% (154/336)Favorite covered 48.4% (193/399)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Nate HarrisOfficial · 141 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureHarrisLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.634.542 of 284
Technicals per game0.320.35165 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.172.47216 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.110.20260 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games55.2%50.6%106 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 55.2% (169/306)Home covered 48.0% (122/254)Favorite covered 55.9% (170/304)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Mon Nov 9 · 6:30 PM ET
Syracuse72
Indiana76
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 148
SPREADSyracuse +5.554%
OVER / UNDEROver 146.553%
43%
57%
Win chance · Indiana favored
OUR PICKSyracuse +5.5SPREADWIN
70Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Syracuse at this line; Indiana without P. Moody; neutral floor.
  • Indiana and Syracuse meet on a neutral floor.
  • Syracuse went 15-17 last season.
  • Indiana went 18-14 last season.
Out: SyracuseA. Tobiason
Out: IndianaP. Moody
RecordsSyracuse 2-0 · Indiana 2-0
WhereGainbridge Fieldhouse (neutral floor)
OfficialsKeith Kimble, Mike Reed, Tony Henderson
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Syracuse returns about 23% of its minutes and added 11 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Indiana returns about 20% of its minutes and added 10 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Syracuse is without A. Tobiason.
Official profiles: Keith Kimble, Mike Reed, Tony Henderson
Keith KimbleOfficial · 202 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureKimbleLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.634.5140 of 284
Technicals per game0.300.35188 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.322.47178 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.230.2087 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games51.1%50.6%223 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 51.1% (256/501)Home covered 52.5% (214/408)Favorite covered 48.5% (243/501)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Mike ReedOfficial · 143 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureReedLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.534.5149 of 284
Technicals per game0.370.35114 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.222.47205 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20133 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games48.6%50.6%308 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 48.6% (180/370)Home covered 49.8% (153/307)Favorite covered 50.0% (185/370)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Tony HendersonOfficial · 161 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureHendersonLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.634.5139 of 284
Technicals per game0.480.3540 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.852.47268 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.120.20252 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games48.6%50.6%311 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 48.6% (172/354)Home covered 49.5% (145/293)Favorite covered 48.5% (172/355)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Howard @Pennsylvania75–81proj
Mon Nov 9 · 6:30 PM ETNo pick
Howard75
Pennsylvania81
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 156
OVER / UNDEROver 155.552%
39%
61%
Win chance · Pennsylvania favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
  • Pennsylvania is at home against Howard.
  • Howard went 24-11 last season.
  • Pennsylvania went 18-12 last season.
RecordsHoward 1-1 · Pennsylvania 0-1
OfficialsEvon Burroughs
Ref watchEvon Burroughs: unders hit 52% of his 377 games since 2021-22.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Howard returns about 54% of its minutes and added 4 transfers.
  • Pennsylvania returns about 69% of its minutes and added 7 transfers.
  • Records coming in: Howard 1-1, Pennsylvania 0-1.
Official profile: Evon Burroughs
Evon BurroughsOfficial · 154 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureBurroughsLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.934.5229 of 284
Technicals per game0.360.35130 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.362.47166 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20162 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games47.5%50.6%339 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 47.5% (179/377)Home covered 44.8% (151/337)Favorite covered 49.2% (186/378)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Mon Nov 9 · 7:00 PM ET
Eastern Illinois62
Notre Dame81
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 143
SPREADEastern Illinois +27.566%
OVER / UNDEROver 140.554%
16%
84%
Win chance · Notre Dame favored
OUR PICKEastern Illinois +27.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Eastern Illinois at this line.
  • Notre Dame is at home against Eastern Illinois.
  • Eastern Illinois went 13-20 last season.
  • Notre Dame went 13-18 last season.
RecordsEastern Illinois 0-2 · Notre Dame 2-0
OfficialsBert Smith, Bill Covington Jr., Tommy Morrissey
Ref watchTommy Morrissey: unders hit 51% of his 410 games since 2021-22.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Eastern Illinois returns about 26% of its minutes and added 11 transfers and 1 freshman.
  • Notre Dame returns about 35% of its minutes and added 12 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Eastern Illinois 0-2, Notre Dame 2-0.
Official profiles: Bert Smith, Bill Covington Jr., Tommy Morrissey
Bert SmithOfficial · 191 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureSmithLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.534.5201 of 284
Technicals per game0.280.35205 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.012.47250 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.140.20237 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games51.6%50.6%200 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 51.6% (252/488)Home covered 50.4% (204/405)Favorite covered 53.4% (258/483)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Bill Covington Jr.Official · 156 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureJr.LeagueRank
Fouls per game35.034.5119 of 284
Technicals per game0.500.3529 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.102.47229 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.130.20245 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games53.4%50.6%147 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 53.4% (190/356)Home covered 53.1% (163/307)Favorite covered 52.3% (185/354)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Tommy MorrisseyOfficial · 172 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureMorrisseyLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.234.5170 of 284
Technicals per game0.350.35137 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.042.47244 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20142 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games48.8%50.6%306 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 48.8% (200/410)Home covered 44.2% (153/346)Favorite covered 48.3% (197/408)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Mon Nov 9 · 7:00 PM ET
North Dakota65
Clemson84
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 149
SPREADNorth Dakota +21.555%
OVER / UNDERUnder 154.563%
17%
83%
Win chance · Clemson favored
OUR PICKNorth Dakota +21.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like North Dakota at this line; Clemson without C. Welling, Z. Foster.
  • Clemson is at home against North Dakota.
  • North Dakota went 18-17 last season.
  • Clemson went 24-11 last season.
Out: ClemsonC. Welling, Z. Foster
RecordsNorth Dakota 1-1 · Clemson 2-0
OfficialsRon Groover, Mark Schnur, Isaac Barnett
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • North Dakota returns about 20% of its minutes and added 11 transfers.
  • Clemson returns about 41% of its minutes and added 5 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Clemson is without C. Welling, Z. Foster.
Official profiles: Ron Groover, Mark Schnur, Isaac Barnett
Ron GrooverOfficial · 215 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureGrooverLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.934.5224 of 284
Technicals per game0.400.3591 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.202.47210 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.120.20250 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.9%50.6%229 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.9% (264/519)Home covered 51.0% (223/437)Favorite covered 50.9% (262/515)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Mark SchnurOfficial · 121 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureSchnurLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.034.5122 of 284
Technicals per game0.350.35140 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.212.47206 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.170.20197 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games47.0%50.6%350 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 47.0% (132/281)Home covered 54.4% (130/239)Favorite covered 56.4% (159/282)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Isaac BarnettOfficial · 111 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureBarnettLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.034.5117 of 284
Technicals per game0.300.35187 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.972.47255 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20141 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games51.2%50.6%218 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 51.2% (86/168)Home covered 55.2% (80/145)Favorite covered 57.5% (96/167)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Mon Nov 9 · 7:00 PM ET
UNC Greensboro67
UIC82
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 149
SPREADUNC Greensboro +18.556%
OVER / UNDEROver 148.551%
21%
79%
Win chance · UIC favored
OUR PICKUNC Greensboro +18.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like UNC Greensboro at this line.
  • UIC is at home against UNC Greensboro.
  • UNC Greensboro went 15-19 last season.
  • UIC went 19-16 last season.
RecordsUNC Greensboro 1-1 · UIC 2-0
OfficialsClarence Armstrong, Ed Crenshaw Jr.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • UNC Greensboro returns about 0% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • UIC returns about 52% of its minutes and added 7 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: UNC Greensboro 1-1, UIC 2-0.
Official profiles: Clarence Armstrong, Ed Crenshaw Jr.
Clarence ArmstrongOfficial · 197 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureArmstrongLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.234.5164 of 284
Technicals per game0.390.3596 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.572.47112 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.180.20185 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.1%50.6%252 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.1% (227/453)Home covered 50.5% (198/392)Favorite covered 47.3% (215/455)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Ed Crenshaw Jr.Official · 51 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureJr.LeagueRank
Fouls per game36.234.557 of 284
Technicals per game0.430.3562 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.182.47214 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20145 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games51.9%50.6%190 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 51.9% (28/54)Home covered 59.6% (28/47)Favorite covered 55.6% (30/54)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Mon Nov 9 · 7:00 PM ET
Cleveland State74
Bowling Green84
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 158
SPREADCleveland State +13.556%
OVER / UNDEROver 154.557%
29%
71%
Win chance · Bowling Green favored
OUR PICKCleveland State +13.5SPREADLOSS
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Cleveland State at this line.
  • Bowling Green is at home against Cleveland State.
  • Cleveland State went 11-22 last season.
  • Bowling Green went 18-14 last season.
RecordsCleveland State 1-1 · Bowling Green 1-0
OfficialsRandy Heimerman, Derek Henry, Bill McClatchy
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Cleveland State returns about 0% of its minutes and added 12 transfers and 1 freshman.
  • Bowling Green returns about 51% of its minutes and added 6 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Cleveland State 1-1, Bowling Green 1-0.
Official profile: Randy Heimerman
Randy HeimermanOfficial · 59 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureHeimermanLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.534.5146 of 284
Technicals per game0.360.35132 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.372.47162 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.220.2099 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games48.8%50.6%304 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 48.8% (84/172)Home covered 49.7% (73/147)Favorite covered 50.9% (87/171)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Mon Nov 9 · 7:00 PM ET
South Carolina Upstate70
Coastal Carolina78
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 148
SPREADSouth Carolina Upstate +10.555%
OVER / UNDERUnder 149.552%
34%
66%
Win chance · Coastal Carolina favored
OUR PICKSouth Carolina Upstate +10.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like South Carolina Upstate at this line.
  • Coastal Carolina is at home against South Carolina Upstate.
  • South Carolina Upstate went 13-19 last season.
  • Coastal Carolina went 19-13 last season.
RecordsSouth Carolina Upstate 0-2 · Coastal Carolina 0-2
OfficialsPatrick Evans, Allen Sutton, Kyle Bowen
Ref watchPatrick Evans: unders hit 52% of his 271 games since 2021-22.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • South Carolina Upstate returns about 8% of its minutes and added 9 transfers and 1 freshman.
  • Coastal Carolina returns about 27% of its minutes and added 11 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: South Carolina Upstate 0-2, Coastal Carolina 0-2.
Official profile: Patrick Evans
Patrick EvansOfficial · 109 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureEvansLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.034.564 of 284
Technicals per game0.510.3524 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.622.4798 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.130.20244 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games48.0%50.6%326 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 48.0% (130/271)Home covered 48.5% (111/229)Favorite covered 49.1% (133/271)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Mon Nov 9 · 7:00 PM ET
Stonehill68
Columbia77
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 145
SPREADStonehill +13.558%
OVER / UNDEROver 143.553%
31%
69%
Win chance · Columbia favored
OUR PICKStonehill +13.5SPREADLOSS
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Stonehill at this line.
  • Columbia is at home against Stonehill.
  • Stonehill went 12-21 last season.
  • Columbia went 16-12 last season.
RecordsStonehill 1-1 · Columbia 1-1
OfficialsNathan Hall, Tim Smith, Mike Evans
Ref notesHall: Lets them play: 31.5 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (4,282 in 136 games, 2024-26). Low-foul crew: crews like this went under 58% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Stonehill returns about 33% of its minutes and added 7 transfers and 1 freshman.
  • Columbia returns about 64% of its minutes and added 4 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Stonehill 1-1, Columbia 1-1.
Official profiles: Nathan Hall, Tim Smith, Mike Evans
Nathan HallOfficial · 136 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (low).
  • Lets them play: 31.5 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (4,282 in 136 games, 2024-26)
MeasureHallLeagueRank
Fouls per game31.534.5260 of 284
Technicals per game0.410.3575 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.452.47138 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.180.20176 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games48.3%50.6%316 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 48.3% (159/329)Home covered 46.3% (142/307)Favorite covered 50.6% (168/332)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Tim SmithOfficial · 138 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureSmithLeagueRank
Fouls per game31.834.5252 of 284
Technicals per game0.250.35225 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.352.47170 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20161 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.7%50.6%271 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.7% (162/326)Home covered 49.5% (144/291)Favorite covered 49.7% (162/326)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Mike EvansOfficial · 120 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureEvansLeagueRank
Fouls per game31.734.5255 of 284
Technicals per game0.340.35146 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points3.012.4734 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20137 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games44.1%50.6%406 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 44.1% (93/211)Home covered 44.6% (83/186)Favorite covered 41.2% (87/211)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Mon Nov 9 · 7:00 PM ET
Long Island University66
Towson72
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 138
SPREADLong Island University +7.554%
OVER / UNDERUnder 140.556%
39%
61%
Win chance · Towson favored
OUR PICKLong Island University +7.5SPREADLOSS
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Long Island University at this line.
  • Towson is at home against Long Island University.
  • Long Island University went 24-11 last season.
  • Towson went 19-15 last season.
RecordsLong Island University 0-3 · Towson 0-2
OfficialsMatt Oblas, Tony Crisp, Steven Perry Jr.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Long Island University returns about 7% of its minutes and added 11 transfers and 1 freshman.
  • Towson returns about 36% of its minutes and added 10 transfers and 5 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Long Island University 0-3, Towson 0-2.
Official profiles: Tony Crisp, Steven Perry Jr.
Tony CrispOfficial · 104 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureCrispLeagueRank
Fouls per game37.134.528 of 284
Technicals per game0.390.3594 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.622.47100 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.160.20201 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games54.2%50.6%133 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 54.2% (130/240)Home covered 48.1% (99/206)Favorite covered 44.8% (107/239)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Steven Perry Jr.Official · 42 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureJr.LeagueRank
Fouls per game31.334.5265 of 284
Technicals per game0.380.35108 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.102.47230 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.170.20195 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.0%50.6%266 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.0% (21/42)Home covered 53.8% (21/39)Favorite covered 57.1% (24/42)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Mon Nov 9 · 7:00 PM ET
Florida Gulf Coast69
Georgia86
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 155
SPREADFlorida Gulf Coast +24.565%
OVER / UNDERUnder 163.567%
20%
80%
Win chance · Georgia favored
OUR PICKFlorida Gulf Coast +24.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Florida Gulf Coast at this line.
  • Georgia is at home against Florida Gulf Coast.
  • Florida Gulf Coast went 16-18 last season.
  • Georgia went 22-11 last season.
RecordsFlorida Gulf Coast 1-1 · Georgia 2-0
OfficialsCourtney Green, Owen Shortt, Anthony Eades
Ref notesHigh-foul crew: crews like this went over 55% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Florida Gulf Coast returns about 24% of its minutes and added 6 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Georgia returns about 48% of its minutes and added 7 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Florida Gulf Coast 1-1, Georgia 2-0.
Official profiles: Courtney Green, Owen Shortt, Anthony Eades
Courtney GreenOfficial · 171 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureGreenLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.334.5111 of 284
Technicals per game0.320.35162 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.472.47135 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.180.20179 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games51.7%50.6%198 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 51.7% (217/420)Home covered 50.6% (174/344)Favorite covered 49.8% (208/418)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Owen ShorttOfficial · 173 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureShorttLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.434.5102 of 284
Technicals per game0.240.35232 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.412.47148 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.140.20226 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games53.4%50.6%148 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 53.4% (206/386)Home covered 50.8% (162/319)Favorite covered 49.6% (192/387)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Anthony EadesOfficial · 112 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureEadesLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.334.554 of 284
Technicals per game0.310.35171 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.962.47257 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.130.20241 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games57.7%50.6%54 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 57.7% (158/274)Home covered 48.7% (111/228)Favorite covered 46.0% (126/274)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Minnesota @Cincinnati67–74proj
Mon Nov 9 · 7:00 PM ETNo pick
Minnesota67
Cincinnati74
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 141
OVER / UNDERUnder 144.558%
37%
63%
Win chance · Cincinnati favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
  • Cincinnati is at home against Minnesota.
  • Minnesota went 15-18 last season.
  • Cincinnati went 18-15 last season.
Out: CincinnatiJ. Hastings
RecordsMinnesota 2-0 · Cincinnati 2-0
OfficialsKipp Kissinger, Paul Szelc, Justin Shamion
Ref watchCrew leans under in our referee study.
Ref notesShamion: Quick with technicals: 0.61 a game vs 0.35 average (57 in 94 games).
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Minnesota returns about 60% of its minutes and added 6 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Cincinnati returns about 0% of its minutes and added 14 transfers.
  • Cincinnati is without J. Hastings.
Official profiles: Kipp Kissinger, Paul Szelc, Justin Shamion
Kipp KissingerOfficial · 234 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureKissingerLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.534.5239 of 284
Technicals per game0.500.3532 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.972.47256 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.180.20182 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games44.9%50.6%393 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 44.9% (237/528)Home covered 53.0% (229/432)Favorite covered 51.9% (273/526)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Paul SzelcOfficial · 171 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureSzelcLeagueRank
Fouls per game37.134.530 of 284
Technicals per game0.400.3584 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.492.47130 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20166 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.0%50.6%297 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.0% (203/414)Home covered 55.4% (181/327)Favorite covered 49.2% (203/413)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Justin ShamionOfficial · 94 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: technicals per game.
  • Quick with technicals: 0.61 a game vs 0.35 average (57 in 94 games)
MeasureShamionLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.334.5162 of 284
Technicals per game0.610.3512 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.182.47213 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.160.20208 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.8%50.6%270 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.8% (100/201)Home covered 51.4% (92/179)Favorite covered 54.7% (111/203)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
South Carolina State @Chicago State72–74proj
Mon Nov 9 · 7:00 PM ETNo pick
South Carolina State72
Chicago State74
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 146
OVER / UNDEROver 144.553%
46%
54%
Win chance · Chicago State favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
  • Chicago State is at home against South Carolina State.
  • South Carolina State went 10-22 last season.
  • Chicago State went 7-25 last season.
RecordsSouth Carolina State 2-0 · Chicago State 1-1
OfficialsMike Terry, Jimmy Jarrett III, Olivia Lewis
Ref watchMike Terry: unders hit 55% of his 128 games since 2021-22.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • South Carolina State returns about 35% of its minutes and added 10 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Chicago State returns about 11% of its minutes and added 13 transfers.
  • Records coming in: South Carolina State 2-0, Chicago State 1-1.
Official profile: Mike Terry
Mike TerryOfficial · 54 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureTerryLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.934.5185 of 284
Technicals per game0.330.35153 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.632.4796 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.240.2071 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games45.3%50.6%384 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 45.3% (58/128)Home covered 50.0% (55/110)Favorite covered 50.0% (64/128)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Kansas City @Jacksonville72–77proj
Mon Nov 9 · 7:00 PM ETNo pick
Kansas City72
Jacksonville77
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 149
OVER / UNDEROver 146.556%
40%
60%
Win chance · Jacksonville favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
  • Jacksonville is at home against Kansas City.
  • Kansas City went 4-27 last season.
  • Jacksonville went 12-20 last season.
RecordsKansas City 1-1 · Jacksonville 1-1
OfficialsShane Land, Marvin Harris Jr., Charles Howell Jr
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Kansas City returns about 0% of its minutes and added 14 transfers and 1 freshman.
  • Jacksonville returns about 24% of its minutes and added 11 transfers.
  • Records coming in: Kansas City 1-1, Jacksonville 1-1.
Official profile: Shane Land
Shane LandOfficial · 92 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureLandLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.834.5231 of 284
Technicals per game0.220.35250 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.842.4762 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.210.20123 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.4%50.6%286 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.4% (79/160)Home covered 50.0% (73/146)Favorite covered 41.9% (67/160)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Mon Nov 9 · 7:30 PM ET
Florida A&M70
UAB83
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 153
SPREADFlorida A&M +15.555%
OVER / UNDERUnder 154.553%
26%
74%
Win chance · UAB favored
OUR PICKFlorida A&M +15.5SPREADLOSS
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Florida A&M at this line.
  • UAB is at home against Florida A&M.
  • Florida A&M went 15-16 last season.
  • UAB went 20-12 last season.
RecordsFlorida A&M 0-2 · UAB 1-1
OfficialsChuck Jones, Matt Potter, Michael Swoboda
Ref watchMichael Swoboda: unders hit 58% of his 170 games since 2021-22. Whole crew leans under.
Ref notesJones: Calls it tight: 37.6 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (4,740 in 126 games, 2024-26).
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Florida A&M returns about 23% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • UAB returns about 13% of its minutes and added 11 transfers and 1 freshman.
  • Records coming in: Florida A&M 0-2, UAB 1-1.
Official profiles: Chuck Jones, Matt Potter, Michael Swoboda
Chuck JonesOfficial · 126 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (high).
  • Calls it tight: 37.6 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (4,740 in 126 games, 2024-26)
MeasureJonesLeagueRank
Fouls per game37.634.521 of 284
Technicals per game0.430.3564 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.942.4742 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.220.2095 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games52.1%50.6%180 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 52.1% (174/334)Home covered 49.6% (137/276)Favorite covered 45.9% (152/331)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Matt PotterOfficial · 191 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasurePotterLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.834.5233 of 284
Technicals per game0.190.35267 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points3.262.4713 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.260.2055 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games44.4%50.6%399 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 44.4% (188/423)Home covered 46.2% (166/359)Favorite covered 47.8% (202/423)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Michael SwobodaOfficial · 76 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureSwobodaLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.634.5197 of 284
Technicals per game0.410.3578 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.142.47220 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.180.20172 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games41.8%50.6%437 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 41.8% (71/170)Home covered 52.2% (84/161)Favorite covered 51.5% (88/171)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Mon Nov 9 · 7:30 PM ET
Jackson State74
Mississippi State92
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 166
SPREADJackson State +22.559%
OVER / UNDEROver 153.576%
18%
82%
Win chance · Mississippi State favored
OUR PICKJackson State +22.5SPREADLOSS
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Jackson State at this line.
  • Mississippi State is at home against Jackson State.
  • Jackson State went 12-21 last season.
  • Mississippi State went 13-19 last season.
RecordsJackson State 1-1 · Mississippi State 2-0
OfficialsGarrick Shannon, Bart Lenox, Erroll Lewis
Ref watchGarrick Shannon: unders hit 53% of his 217 games since 2021-22; Erroll Lewis: unders hit 57% of his 178 games since 2021-22. Whole crew leans under.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Jackson State returns about 66% of its minutes and added 6 transfers.
  • Mississippi State returns about 22% of its minutes and added 12 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Jackson State 1-1, Mississippi State 2-0.
Official profiles: Garrick Shannon, Bart Lenox, Erroll Lewis
Garrick ShannonOfficial · 112 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureShannonLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.934.5186 of 284
Technicals per game0.310.35172 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.532.47123 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.220.2094 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games47.0%50.6%349 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 47.0% (102/217)Home covered 39.7% (77/194)Favorite covered 47.9% (105/219)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Bart LenoxOfficial · 175 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureLenoxLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.434.553 of 284
Technicals per game0.260.35220 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.592.47104 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.210.20112 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games53.2%50.6%153 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 53.2% (216/406)Home covered 53.9% (180/334)Favorite covered 54.2% (220/406)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Erroll LewisOfficial · 95 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureLewisLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.134.5220 of 284
Technicals per game0.310.35179 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.592.47106 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20160 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games42.7%50.6%427 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 42.7% (76/178)Home covered 44.0% (70/159)Favorite covered 44.4% (80/180)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Mon Nov 9 · 8:00 PM ET
North Alabama72
Oklahoma81
FINAL · we projected 66 – 85Projected total 151
SPREADNorth Alabama +26.564%
OVER / UNDEROver 147.556%
16%
84%
Win chance · Oklahoma favored
OUR PICKNorth Alabama +26.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like North Alabama at this line.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✓ Total
  • Oklahoma is at home against North Alabama.
  • North Alabama went 9-21 last season.
  • Oklahoma went 21-16 last season.
RecordsNorth Alabama 2-0 · Oklahoma 1-1
OfficialsTodd Austin, Josue Nieves, Bharat Ramnanan
Ref watchBharat Ramnanan: unders hit 54% of his 230 games since 2021-22.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • North Alabama returns about 10% of its minutes and added 9 transfers and 1 freshman.
  • Oklahoma returns about 39% of its minutes and added 9 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: North Alabama 2-0, Oklahoma 1-1.
Official profiles: Todd Austin, Josue Nieves, Bharat Ramnanan
Todd AustinOfficial · 141 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureAustinLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.934.5127 of 284
Technicals per game0.390.35102 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.702.4785 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.260.2060 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games55.0%50.6%109 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 55.0% (186/338)Home covered 54.2% (155/286)Favorite covered 52.7% (177/336)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Josue NievesOfficial · 103 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureNievesLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.034.565 of 284
Technicals per game0.240.35233 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.572.47110 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.160.20217 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games56.1%50.6%82 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 56.1% (124/221)Home covered 49.7% (94/189)Favorite covered 52.1% (114/219)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Bharat RamnananOfficial · 117 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureRamnananLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.934.5225 of 284
Technicals per game0.210.35261 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.402.47149 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.240.2073 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games46.5%50.6%365 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 46.5% (107/230)Home covered 48.2% (92/191)Favorite covered 50.9% (117/230)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Louisiana Tech @LSU63–78proj
Mon Nov 9 · 8:00 PM ETNo pick
Louisiana Tech63
LSU78
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 141
OVER / UNDERUnder 148.566%
22%
78%
Win chance · LSU favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our number is 14 points off the line, too far to trust this early in the season.
  • LSU is at home against Louisiana Tech.
  • Louisiana Tech went 20-14 last season.
  • LSU went 15-17 last season.
RecordsLouisiana Tech 2-0 · LSU 2-0
OfficialsJoe Lindsay, Rob Rorke, Matt Jarman
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Louisiana Tech returns about 16% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • LSU returns about 0% of its minutes and added 12 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Louisiana Tech 2-0, LSU 2-0.
Official profiles: Joe Lindsay, Rob Rorke, Matt Jarman
Joe LindsayOfficial · 161 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureLindsayLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.534.548 of 284
Technicals per game0.190.35268 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.302.47182 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.170.20193 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.4%50.6%247 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.4% (191/379)Home covered 49.2% (154/313)Favorite covered 46.9% (177/377)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Rob RorkeOfficial · 112 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureRorkeLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.834.5130 of 284
Technicals per game0.270.35215 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points3.432.475 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.280.2042 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games52.4%50.6%172 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 52.4% (152/290)Home covered 44.8% (111/248)Favorite covered 43.8% (128/292)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Matt JarmanOfficial · 67 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureJarmanLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.234.5249 of 284
Technicals per game0.180.35271 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.522.47125 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20149 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games46.4%50.6%367 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 46.4% (65/140)Home covered 47.2% (60/127)Favorite covered 50.0% (70/140)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
UL Monroe @Texas A&M67–108FINAL
Mon Nov 9 · 8:00 PM ETNo pick
UL Monroe67
Texas A&M108
FINAL · we projected 70 – 94Projected total 164
OVER / UNDERUnder 169.560%
11%
89%
Win chance · Texas A&M favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our number is 13 points off the line, too far to trust this early in the season.
✓ Moneyline✗ Total
  • Texas A&M is at home against UL Monroe.
  • UL Monroe went 4-28 last season.
  • Texas A&M went 22-12 last season.
RecordsUL Monroe 1-1 · Texas A&M 2-0
OfficialsJeb Hartness, Steven Anderson, Devyn Page
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • UL Monroe returns about 0% of its minutes and added 9 transfers and 1 freshman.
  • Texas A&M returns about 29% of its minutes and added 10 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: UL Monroe 1-1, Texas A&M 2-0.
Official profiles: Jeb Hartness, Steven Anderson, Devyn Page
Jeb HartnessOfficial · 164 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureHartnessLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.034.5118 of 284
Technicals per game0.300.35182 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.262.47192 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.150.20224 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.0%50.6%298 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.0% (199/406)Home covered 53.3% (178/334)Favorite covered 49.5% (200/404)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Steven AndersonOfficial · 167 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureAndersonLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.534.595 of 284
Technicals per game0.290.35197 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.112.47224 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20154 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games51.9%50.6%188 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 51.9% (195/376)Home covered 51.1% (161/315)Favorite covered 50.5% (189/374)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Devyn PageOfficial · 64 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasurePageLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.534.5143 of 284
Technicals per game0.140.35279 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.522.47127 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.140.20229 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games45.4%50.6%381 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 45.4% (54/119)Home covered 52.3% (57/109)Favorite covered 50.4% (61/121)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
SIU Edwardsville @Missouri58–96FINAL
Mon Nov 9 · 8:00 PM ETNo pick
SIU Edwardsville58
Missouri96
FINAL · we projected 64 – 81Projected total 145
OVER / UNDERUnder 149.560%
19%
81%
Win chance · Missouri favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our number is 12 points off the line, too far to trust this early in the season.
✓ Moneyline✗ Total
  • Missouri is at home against SIU Edwardsville.
  • SIU Edwardsville went 19-13 last season.
  • Missouri went 20-13 last season.
Out: MissouriA. Chronister, A. Boateng, J. Carey
RecordsSIU Edwardsville 2-1 · Missouri 1-1
OfficialsAnthony Jordan, Pat Adams, Chase Shaw
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • SIU Edwardsville returns about 36% of its minutes and added 7 transfers and 1 freshman.
  • Missouri returns about 30% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Missouri is without A. Chronister, A. Boateng.
Official profiles: Anthony Jordan, Pat Adams, Chase Shaw
Anthony JordanOfficial · 94 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureJordanLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.434.5104 of 284
Technicals per game0.310.35178 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.842.4761 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.350.209 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games52.0%50.6%186 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 52.0% (146/281)Home covered 52.2% (129/247)Favorite covered 49.3% (137/278)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Pat AdamsOfficial · 137 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureAdamsLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.434.5100 of 284
Technicals per game0.340.35144 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.152.47219 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20143 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games51.2%50.6%216 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 51.2% (185/361)Home covered 48.6% (135/278)Favorite covered 48.3% (174/360)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Chase ShawOfficial · 121 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureShawLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.834.5129 of 284
Technicals per game0.430.3563 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.832.4763 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.210.20122 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games56.7%50.6%71 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 56.7% (166/293)Home covered 47.2% (116/246)Favorite covered 47.8% (139/291)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Boston University @Northwestern63–78proj
Mon Nov 9 · 8:00 PM ETNo pick
Boston University63
Northwestern78
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 141
OVER / UNDERUnder 143.556%
24%
76%
Win chance · Northwestern favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
  • Northwestern is at home against Boston University.
  • Boston University went 17-17 last season.
  • Northwestern went 15-19 last season.
Out: NorthwesternJ. Karasinski, L. McEldon
RecordsBoston University 2-0 · Northwestern 2-0
OfficialsKevin Brill, Brian Dorsey, Randy Richardson
Ref watchKevin Brill: unders hit 53% of his 294 games since 2021-22.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Boston University returns about 57% of its minutes and added 5 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Northwestern returns about 44% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Northwestern is without J. Karasinski, L. McEldon.
Official profiles: Kevin Brill, Brian Dorsey, Randy Richardson
Kevin BrillOfficial · 108 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureBrillLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.434.5207 of 284
Technicals per game0.310.35170 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.562.47281 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.090.20271 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games46.6%50.6%360 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 46.6% (137/294)Home covered 47.3% (116/245)Favorite covered 48.1% (140/291)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Brian DorseyOfficial · 190 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureDorseyLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.334.5108 of 284
Technicals per game0.390.3593 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.132.47222 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20139 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games53.1%50.6%157 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 53.1% (230/433)Home covered 49.9% (182/365)Favorite covered 46.3% (201/434)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Randy RichardsonOfficial · 157 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureRichardsonLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.334.5160 of 284
Technicals per game0.370.35116 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.432.47141 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.210.20115 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games55.9%50.6%90 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 55.9% (193/345)Home covered 47.4% (135/285)Favorite covered 46.0% (159/346)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Mon Nov 9 · 8:30 PM ET
Illinois State59
Purdue76
FINAL · we projected 67 – 75Projected total 142
SPREADIllinois State +15.564%
OVER / UNDERUnder 143.554%
33%
67%
Win chance · Purdue favored
OUR PICKIllinois State +15.5SPREADLOSS
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Illinois State at this line.
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✓ Total
  • Purdue is at home against Illinois State.
  • Illinois State went 23-13 last season.
  • Purdue went 30-9 last season.
RecordsIllinois State 1-1 · Purdue 0-2
OfficialsTim Comer, Kelly Pfeifer, Jeffrey Anderson
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Illinois State returns about 41% of its minutes and added 7 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Purdue returns about 65% of its minutes and added 5 transfers and 5 freshmen.
  • Purdue plays in one of the louder arenas in college basketball.
Loud arena: Mackey Arena, a tough place for visiting teams
Official profiles: Tim Comer, Kelly Pfeifer, Jeffrey Anderson
Tim ComerOfficial · 136 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureComerLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.734.5135 of 284
Technicals per game0.290.35190 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.012.47248 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.180.20175 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games54.4%50.6%127 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 54.4% (161/296)Home covered 54.6% (142/260)Favorite covered 54.7% (162/296)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Kelly PfeiferOfficial · 157 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasurePfeiferLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.734.580 of 284
Technicals per game0.290.35199 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.552.47120 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.250.2068 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.3%50.6%250 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.3% (198/394)Home covered 52.1% (172/330)Favorite covered 51.1% (201/393)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Jeffrey AndersonOfficial · 167 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureAndersonLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.234.5112 of 284
Technicals per game0.280.35207 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.572.47108 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.220.2096 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games52.4%50.6%174 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 52.4% (174/332)Home covered 47.5% (140/295)Favorite covered 47.7% (159/333)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Mon Nov 9 · 9:00 PM ET
App State53
Auburn75
FINAL · we projected 63 – 78Projected total 141
SPREADApp State +24.567%
OVER / UNDERUnder 143.555%
21%
79%
Win chance · Auburn favored
OUR PICKApp State +24.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like App State at this line.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✓ Total
  • Auburn is at home against App State.
  • App State went 19-13 last season.
  • Auburn went 22-16 last season.
RecordsApp State 2-0 · Auburn 1-0
OfficialsByron Jarrett, Lucas Santos, K.B. Burdett Jr.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • App State returns about 29% of its minutes and added 7 transfers and 6 freshmen.
  • Auburn returns about 25% of its minutes and added 9 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Auburn plays in one of the louder arenas in college basketball.
Loud arena: Neville Arena, a tough place for visiting teams
Official profiles: Byron Jarrett, Lucas Santos, K.B. Burdett Jr.
Byron JarrettOfficial · 164 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureJarrettLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.534.598 of 284
Technicals per game0.360.35127 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.272.47186 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.210.20119 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games52.6%50.6%165 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 52.6% (209/397)Home covered 50.3% (163/324)Favorite covered 53.7% (213/397)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Lucas SantosOfficial · 146 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureSantosLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.834.5189 of 284
Technicals per game0.420.3567 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.572.47113 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.140.20227 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games46.9%50.6%352 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 46.9% (130/277)Home covered 49.4% (116/235)Favorite covered 46.5% (128/275)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
K.B. Burdett Jr.Official · 110 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureJr.LeagueRank
Fouls per game36.734.536 of 284
Technicals per game0.450.3548 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.832.4764 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20157 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games55.4%50.6%101 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 55.4% (118/213)Home covered 45.1% (88/195)Favorite covered 52.1% (110/211)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Mon Nov 9 · 9:00 PM ET
Alabama A&M47
DePaul84
FINAL · we projected 67 – 78Projected total 145
SPREADAlabama A&M +23.573%
OVER / UNDEROver 139.560%
28%
72%
Win chance · DePaul favored
OUR PICKAlabama A&M +23.5SPREAD
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Alabama A&M at this line; DePaul without N. Meeusen, A. Delalic.
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✗ Total
  • DePaul is at home against Alabama A&M.
  • Alabama A&M went 18-15 last season.
  • DePaul went 16-16 last season.
Out: DePaulN. Meeusen, A. Delalic, T. Pierre-Justin
RecordsAlabama A&M 2-0 · DePaul 2-0
OfficialsConnor Mooney
Ref watchConnor Mooney: unders hit 57% of his 130 games since 2021-22.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Alabama A&M returns about 0% of its minutes and added 2 freshmen.
  • DePaul returns about 35% of its minutes and added 7 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • DePaul is without N. Meeusen, A. Delalic.
Official profile: Connor Mooney
Connor MooneyOfficial · 68 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureMooneyLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.934.5228 of 284
Technicals per game0.220.35248 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.942.47260 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.180.20187 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games43.1%50.6%420 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 43.1% (56/130)Home covered 50.0% (59/118)Favorite covered 51.9% (67/129)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Mon Nov 9 · 9:00 PM ET
Seton Hall68
Charlotte62
FINAL · we projected 71 – 69Projected total 140
SPREADCharlotte +4.554%
OVER / UNDEROver 130.570%
55%
45%
Win chance · Seton Hall favored
OUR PICKCharlotte +4.5SPREADLOSS
70Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Charlotte at this line; neutral floor.
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✗ Total
  • Charlotte and Seton Hall meet on a neutral floor.
  • Seton Hall went 21-12 last season.
  • Charlotte went 17-17 last season.
RecordsSeton Hall 2-0 · Charlotte 2-0
WhereThe Palestra (neutral floor)
OfficialsLamar Simpson, Nathan Ferrell
Ref watchLamar Simpson: unders hit 56% of his 327 games since 2021-22.
Ref notesSimpson: Lets them play: 30.6 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (3,028 in 99 games, 2024-26).
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Seton Hall returns about 23% of its minutes and added 13 transfers and 1 freshman.
  • Charlotte returns about 4% of its minutes and added 12 transfers and 1 freshman.
  • Records coming in: Seton Hall 2-0, Charlotte 2-0.
Official profile: Lamar Simpson
Lamar SimpsonOfficial · 99 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (low). On the under watch list.
  • Lets them play: 30.6 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (3,028 in 99 games, 2024-26)
MeasureSimpsonLeagueRank
Fouls per game30.634.5274 of 284
Technicals per game0.170.35272 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.422.47143 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.080.20278 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games43.7%50.6%414 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 43.7% (143/327)Home covered 43.7% (122/279)Favorite covered 48.6% (158/325)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Mon Nov 9 · 9:30 PM ET
Eastern Washington84
Oregon State94
FINAL · we projected 70 – 82Projected total 152
SPREADEastern Washington +15.558%
OVER / UNDERUnder 162.571%
28%
72%
Win chance · Oregon State favored
OUR PICKEastern Washington +15.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Eastern Washington at this line.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✗ Total
  • Oregon State is at home against Eastern Washington.
  • Eastern Washington went 14-19 last season.
  • Oregon State went 17-16 last season.
RecordsEastern Washington 0-2 · Oregon State 2-0
OfficialsTony Padilla, Doug Sirmons, Jason Garretson
Ref watchDoug Sirmons: unders hit 57% of his 466 games since 2021-22.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Eastern Washington returns about 47% of its minutes and added 8 transfers.
  • Oregon State returns about 13% of its minutes and added 12 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Eastern Washington 0-2, Oregon State 2-0.
Official profiles: Tony Padilla, Doug Sirmons, Jason Garretson
Tony PadillaOfficial · 202 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasurePadillaLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.334.5109 of 284
Technicals per game0.490.3534 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.382.47159 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20132 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.5%50.6%280 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.5% (239/483)Home covered 44.2% (170/385)Favorite covered 45.8% (220/480)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Doug SirmonsOfficial · 212 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureSirmonsLeagueRank
Fouls per game31.734.5256 of 284
Technicals per game0.370.35117 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.002.47251 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.180.20174 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games42.7%50.6%426 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 42.7% (199/466)Home covered 54.2% (211/389)Favorite covered 53.0% (246/464)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Jason GarretsonOfficial · 103 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureGarretsonLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.934.5184 of 284
Technicals per game0.380.35109 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.162.47218 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.170.20190 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games43.9%50.6%409 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 43.9% (61/139)Home covered 50.0% (56/112)Favorite covered 50.7% (70/138)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Mon Nov 9 · 10:00 PM ET
Rice73
Stanford91
FINAL · we projected 66 – 78Projected total 144
SPREADRice +17.560%
OVER / UNDERUnder 145.553%
27%
73%
Win chance · Stanford favored
OUR PICKRice +17.5SPREADLOSS
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Rice at this line.
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✗ Total
  • Stanford is at home against Rice.
  • Rice went 13-18 last season.
  • Stanford went 20-13 last season.
RecordsRice 1-1 · Stanford 2-0
OfficialsLee Cassell, Michael Greenstein, Marques Pettigrew
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Rice returns about 40% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 1 freshman.
  • Stanford returns about 16% of its minutes and added 7 transfers and 5 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Rice 1-1, Stanford 2-0.
Official profiles: Lee Cassell, Michael Greenstein, Marques Pettigrew
Lee CassellOfficial · 197 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureCassellLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.234.5113 of 284
Technicals per game0.390.3597 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.062.47237 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.140.20233 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.8%50.6%234 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.8% (233/459)Home covered 50.1% (195/389)Favorite covered 50.8% (234/461)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Michael GreensteinOfficial · 170 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureGreensteinLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.534.594 of 284
Technicals per game0.470.3542 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.452.47139 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.320.2018 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games52.0%50.6%184 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 52.0% (208/400)Home covered 52.5% (166/316)Favorite covered 50.1% (200/399)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Marques PettigrewOfficial · 193 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasurePettigrewLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.134.5171 of 284
Technicals per game0.390.35104 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.892.47265 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20167 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games47.7%50.6%332 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 47.7% (200/419)Home covered 47.4% (152/321)Favorite covered 47.5% (200/421)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Mon Nov 9 · 10:00 PM ET
Mississippi Valley State64
Washington77
FINAL · we projected 61 – 84Projected total 145
SPREADMississippi Valley State +32.568%
OVER / UNDERUnder 153.568%
12%
88%
Win chance · Washington favored
OUR PICKMississippi Valley State +32.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Mississippi Valley State at this line.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✓ Total
  • Washington is at home against Mississippi Valley State.
  • Mississippi Valley State went 3-30 last season.
  • Washington went 16-17 last season.
RecordsMississippi Valley State 0-1 · Washington 1-0
OfficialsMike Littlewood, Amy Bonner, Edwin Young
Ref notesHigh-foul crew: crews like this went over 55% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Mississippi Valley State returns about 0% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Washington returns about 40% of its minutes and added 6 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Mississippi Valley State 0-1, Washington 1-0.
Official profiles: Mike Littlewood, Amy Bonner, Edwin Young
Mike LittlewoodOfficial · 140 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureLittlewoodLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.134.561 of 284
Technicals per game0.290.35192 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.572.47111 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.180.20183 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games54.2%50.6%135 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 54.2% (137/253)Home covered 52.1% (112/215)Favorite covered 48.6% (123/253)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Amy BonnerOfficial · 137 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureBonnerLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.334.5110 of 284
Technicals per game0.360.35128 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.402.47150 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20159 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games51.8%50.6%194 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 51.8% (190/367)Home covered 52.8% (167/316)Favorite covered 47.7% (175/367)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Edwin YoungOfficial · 133 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureYoungLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.534.545 of 284
Technicals per game0.230.35243 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.272.47188 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.210.20113 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.8%50.6%231 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.8% (152/299)Home covered 51.9% (137/264)Favorite covered 49.7% (146/294)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Mon Nov 9 · time TBA
Portland73
Hawai'i66
FINAL · we projected 74 – 80Projected total 154
SPREADPortland +8.554%
OVER / UNDERUnder 156.556%
37%
63%
Win chance · Hawai'i favored
OUR PICKPortland +8.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Portland at this line.
✗ Moneyline✓ Spread✓ Total
  • Hawai'i is at home against Portland.
  • Portland went 15-19 last season.
  • Hawai'i went 24-9 last season.
RecordsPortland 2-1 · Hawai'i 3-0
OfficialsLarry Scirotto, Bryan Anslinger, Derek Anganes
Ref notesAnslinger: Calls it tight: 37.8 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (2,572 in 68 games, 2024-26). High-foul crew: crews like this went over 55% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Portland returns about 48% of its minutes and added 5 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Hawai'i returns about 0% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Portland 2-1, Hawai'i 3-0.
Official profiles: Larry Scirotto, Bryan Anslinger
Larry ScirottoOfficial · 142 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureScirottoLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.134.5116 of 284
Technicals per game0.370.35118 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.202.47209 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20127 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games58.2%50.6%47 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 58.2% (145/249)Home covered 55.5% (116/209)Favorite covered 52.8% (130/246)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Bryan AnslingerOfficial · 68 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (high).
  • Calls it tight: 37.8 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (2,572 in 68 games, 2024-26)
MeasureAnslingerLeagueRank
Fouls per game37.834.518 of 284
Technicals per game0.490.3539 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.042.47243 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.120.20254 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games52.4%50.6%173 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 52.4% (87/166)Home covered 53.9% (82/152)Favorite covered 56.3% (94/167)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.