BetSharpr
Updated Nov 14, 11:13 PM ET
SAT NOV 7
SATURDAY NOV 7 graded picks
Went 16-6 on the day
Top 25 2 games
Morehead State @11Louisville57–107FINAL
Sat Nov 7 · 12:00 PM ETNo pick
Morehead State57
11Louisville107
FINAL · we projected 64 – 88Projected total 152
OVER / UNDERUnder 152.551%
11%
89%
Win chance · Louisville favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
✓ Moneyline✗ Total
  • No. 11 Louisville is at home against Morehead State.
  • Morehead State went 20-13 last season.
  • Louisville went 24-11 last season.
RecordsMorehead State 1-2 · Louisville 2-0
OfficialsBrent Hampton, Adam Flore
Ref notesLow-foul crew: crews like this went under 58% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Morehead State returns about 43% of its minutes and added 9 transfers.
  • Louisville returns about 13% of its minutes and added 9 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Morehead State 1-2, Louisville 2-0.
Official profiles: Brent Hampton, Adam Flore
Brent HamptonOfficial · 84 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureHamptonLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.934.5227 of 284
Technicals per game0.350.35142 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.512.47128 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.110.20259 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games56.4%50.6%76 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 56.4% (181/321)Home covered 45.5% (122/268)Favorite covered 47.8% (153/320)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Adam FloreOfficial · 88 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureFloreLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.734.5193 of 284
Technicals per game0.240.35236 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.282.47184 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.260.2056 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.8%50.6%233 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.8% (96/189)Home covered 52.0% (89/171)Favorite covered 44.2% (84/190)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sat Nov 7 · 5:00 PM ET
New Mexico State68
15Gonzaga109
FINAL · we projected 66 – 87Projected total 153
SPREADNew Mexico State +27.564%
OVER / UNDEROver 151.553%
15%
85%
Win chance · Gonzaga favored
OUR PICKNew Mexico State +27.5SPREADLOSS
0Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like New Mexico State at this line.
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✓ Total
  • No. 15 Gonzaga is at home against New Mexico State.
  • New Mexico State went 16-16 last season.
  • Gonzaga went 31-4 last season.
RecordsNew Mexico State 1-1 · Gonzaga 2-0
OfficialsBret Smith, Kipp Kissinger, Matt Rafferty
Ref notesRafferty: Quick with technicals: 0.65 a game vs 0.35 average (28 in 43 games).
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • New Mexico State returns about 27% of its minutes and added 11 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Gonzaga returns about 32% of its minutes and added 11 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Gonzaga plays in one of the louder arenas in college basketball.
Loud arena: the McCarthey Athletic Center, a tough place for visiting teams
Official profiles: Bret Smith, Kipp Kissinger, Matt Rafferty
Bret SmithOfficial · 171 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureSmithLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.234.5216 of 284
Technicals per game0.490.3538 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.372.47161 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.260.2059 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games48.9%50.6%300 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 48.9% (182/372)Home covered 52.1% (162/311)Favorite covered 48.5% (180/371)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Kipp KissingerOfficial · 234 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureKissingerLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.534.5239 of 284
Technicals per game0.500.3532 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.972.47256 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.180.20182 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games44.9%50.6%393 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 44.9% (237/528)Home covered 53.0% (229/432)Favorite covered 51.9% (273/526)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Matt RaffertyOfficial · 43 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: technicals per game.
  • Quick with technicals: 0.65 a game vs 0.35 average (28 in 43 games)
MeasureRaffertyLeagueRank
Fouls per game37.034.533 of 284
Technicals per game0.650.355 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.332.47176 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.160.20202 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games65.3%50.6%6 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 65.3% (47/72)Home covered 49.2% (32/65)Favorite covered 56.9% (41/72)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
More games 46 games
North Dakota @Winthrop75–83proj
Sat Nov 7 · 12:00 PM ETNo pick
North Dakota75
Winthrop83
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 158
OVER / UNDERUnder 160.556%
34%
66%
Win chance · Winthrop favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
  • Winthrop is at home against North Dakota.
  • North Dakota went 18-17 last season.
  • Winthrop went 23-11 last season.
RecordsNorth Dakota 0-1 · Winthrop 0-1
OfficialsJon Riggsbee, Bobby Lineberger, Nick Agress
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • North Dakota returns about 21% of its minutes and added 11 transfers.
  • Winthrop returns about 14% of its minutes and added 8 transfers.
  • Records coming in: North Dakota 0-1, Winthrop 0-1.
Sat Nov 7 · 1:00 PM ET
North Carolina A&T77
Ohio84
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 161
SPREADNorth Carolina A&T +12.561%
OVER / UNDERUnder 161.551%
37%
63%
Win chance · Ohio favored
OUR PICKNorth Carolina A&T +12.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like North Carolina A&T at this line.
  • Ohio is at home against North Carolina A&T.
  • North Carolina A&T went 11-19 last season.
  • Ohio went 15-17 last season.
RecordsNorth Carolina A&T 1-0 · Ohio 1-0
OfficialsKevin Brill, Nader Nuru
Ref watchKevin Brill: unders hit 53% of his 294 games since 2021-22.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • North Carolina A&T returns about 0% of its minutes and added 3 freshmen.
  • Ohio returns about 40% of its minutes and added 6 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: North Carolina A&T 1-0, Ohio 1-0.
Official profile: Kevin Brill
Kevin BrillOfficial · 108 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureBrillLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.434.5207 of 284
Technicals per game0.310.35170 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.562.47281 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.090.20271 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games46.6%50.6%360 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 46.6% (137/294)Home covered 47.3% (116/245)Favorite covered 48.1% (140/291)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sat Nov 7 · 2:00 PM ET
Colgate69
Drexel70
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 139
SPREADDrexel +1.556%
OVER / UNDERUnder 140.554%
47%
53%
Win chance · Drexel favored
OUR PICKDrexel +1.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Drexel at this line; home court.
  • Drexel is at home against Colgate.
  • Colgate went 18-15 last season.
  • Drexel went 17-16 last season.
RecordsColgate 0-1 · Drexel 0-1
OfficialsGreg Evans, Steven Perry Jr.
Ref notesLow-foul crew: crews like this went under 58% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Colgate returns about 53% of its minutes and added 4 transfers and 1 freshman.
  • Drexel returns about 24% of its minutes and added 9 transfers and 1 freshman.
  • Records coming in: Colgate 0-1, Drexel 0-1.
Official profiles: Greg Evans, Steven Perry Jr.
Greg EvansOfficial · 167 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureEvansLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.734.5234 of 284
Technicals per game0.330.35156 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.722.4781 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20155 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games54.8%50.6%118 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 54.8% (206/376)Home covered 48.7% (155/318)Favorite covered 46.0% (174/378)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Steven Perry Jr.Official · 42 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureJr.LeagueRank
Fouls per game31.334.5265 of 284
Technicals per game0.380.35108 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.102.47230 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.170.20195 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.0%50.6%266 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.0% (21/42)Home covered 53.8% (21/39)Favorite covered 57.1% (24/42)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sat Nov 7 · 2:00 PM ET
UNC Wilmington74
East Carolina75
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 149
SPREADEast Carolina +3.559%
OVER / UNDERUnder 150.554%
48%
52%
Win chance · East Carolina favored
OUR PICKEast Carolina +3.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like East Carolina at this line; home court.
  • East Carolina is at home against UNC Wilmington.
  • UNC Wilmington went 27-7 last season.
  • East Carolina went 11-20 last season.
RecordsUNC Wilmington 1-0 · East Carolina 1-0
OfficialsJerry Heater, Wil Howard, Owen Shortt
Ref notesHeater: Calls it tight: 37.8 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (4,804 in 127 games, 2024-26). High-foul crew: crews like this went over 55% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • UNC Wilmington returns about 0% of its minutes and added 5 freshmen.
  • East Carolina returns about 6% of its minutes and added 9 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: UNC Wilmington 1-0, East Carolina 1-0.
Official profiles: Jerry Heater, Wil Howard, Owen Shortt
Jerry HeaterOfficial · 127 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (high).
  • Calls it tight: 37.8 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (4,804 in 127 games, 2024-26)
MeasureHeaterLeagueRank
Fouls per game37.834.516 of 284
Technicals per game0.400.3585 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.452.47137 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.170.20191 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games57.7%50.6%51 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 57.7% (168/291)Home covered 50.6% (126/249)Favorite covered 50.3% (146/290)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Wil HowardOfficial · 154 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureHowardLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.534.549 of 284
Technicals per game0.360.35131 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points3.292.478 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.300.2029 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games55.6%50.6%98 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 55.6% (188/338)Home covered 43.3% (120/277)Favorite covered 45.5% (152/334)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Owen ShorttOfficial · 173 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureShorttLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.434.5102 of 284
Technicals per game0.240.35232 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.412.47148 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.140.20226 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games53.4%50.6%148 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 53.4% (206/386)Home covered 50.8% (162/319)Favorite covered 49.6% (192/387)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sat Nov 7 · 2:00 PM ET
Toledo77
Marshall77
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 154
SPREADToledo +2.555%
OVER / UNDERUnder 158.560%
50%
50%
Win chance · Marshall favored
OUR PICKToledo +2.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Toledo at this line.
  • Marshall is at home against Toledo.
  • Toledo went 19-15 last season.
  • Marshall went 19-13 last season.
RecordsToledo 0-2 · Marshall 1-0
OfficialsTodd Von Sossan, Jim Bruno
Ref watchTodd Von Sossan: unders hit 53% of his 178 games since 2021-22.
Ref notesHigh-foul crew: crews like this went over 55% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Toledo returns about 55% of its minutes and added 7 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Marshall returns about 41% of its minutes and added 7 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Toledo 0-2, Marshall 1-0.
Official profiles: Todd Von Sossan, Jim Bruno
Todd Von SossanOfficial · 79 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureSossanLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.434.5159 of 284
Technicals per game0.350.35133 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.922.4744 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.340.2013 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games47.2%50.6%346 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 47.2% (84/178)Home covered 47.7% (73/153)Favorite covered 46.1% (83/180)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Jim BrunoOfficial · 72 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureBrunoLeagueRank
Fouls per game37.134.532 of 284
Technicals per game0.360.35126 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.882.4754 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20148 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games54.6%50.6%121 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 54.6% (59/108)Home covered 48.0% (49/102)Favorite covered 45.8% (49/107)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Cal State Fullerton @South Dakota82–83proj
Sat Nov 7 · 2:00 PM ETNo pick
Cal State Fullerton82
South Dakota83
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 165
OVER / UNDERUnder 175.572%
47%
53%
Win chance · South Dakota favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
  • South Dakota is at home against Cal State Fullerton.
  • Cal State Fullerton went 18-16 last season.
  • South Dakota went 16-16 last season.
RecordsCal State Fullerton 0-1 · South Dakota 1-1
OfficialsIsaiah Conrad, Kevin Raher, Drew Spooner
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Cal State Fullerton returns about 39% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 1 freshman.
  • South Dakota returns about 27% of its minutes and added 6 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Records coming in: Cal State Fullerton 0-1, South Dakota 1-1.
Official profile: Kevin Raher
Kevin RaherOfficial · 60 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureRaherLeagueRank
Fouls per game37.034.535 of 284
Technicals per game0.300.35185 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.972.4740 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.170.20194 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games54.3%50.6%131 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 54.3% (70/129)Home covered 40.7% (50/123)Favorite covered 44.1% (56/127)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Lamar @Abilene Christian72–71proj
Sat Nov 7 · 2:00 PM ETNo pick
Lamar72
Abilene Christian71
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 143
OVER / UNDERUnder 165.588%
52%
48%
Win chance · Lamar favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
  • Abilene Christian is at home against Lamar.
  • Lamar went 12-19 last season.
  • Abilene Christian went 14-19 last season.
RecordsLamar 1-0 · Abilene Christian 0-1
OfficialsVladimir Voyard-Tadal, Lucas Santos, Chuck McCoy
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Lamar returns about 0% of its minutes and added 1 freshman.
  • Abilene Christian returns about 31% of its minutes and added 9 transfers.
  • Records coming in: Lamar 1-0, Abilene Christian 0-1.
Official profiles: Vladimir Voyard-Tadal, Lucas Santos, Chuck McCoy
Vladimir Voyard-TadalOfficial · 162 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureVoyard-TadalLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.934.5128 of 284
Technicals per game0.310.35177 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.832.4765 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.250.2063 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games55.0%50.6%113 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 55.0% (193/351)Home covered 45.7% (139/304)Favorite covered 47.0% (162/345)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Lucas SantosOfficial · 146 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureSantosLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.834.5189 of 284
Technicals per game0.420.3567 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.572.47113 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.140.20227 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games46.9%50.6%352 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 46.9% (130/277)Home covered 49.4% (116/235)Favorite covered 46.5% (128/275)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Chuck McCoyOfficial · 62 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureMcCoyLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.234.5168 of 284
Technicals per game0.210.35255 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.232.47200 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.230.2091 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games59.8%50.6%31 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 59.8% (55/92)Home covered 61.2% (52/85)Favorite covered 53.7% (51/95)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
VCU @Memphis81–81proj
Sat Nov 7 · 3:00 PM ETNo pick
VCU81
Memphis81
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 162
OVER / UNDEROver 159.555%
51%
49%
Win chance · VCU favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
  • Memphis is at home against VCU.
  • This is a conference game.
  • VCU went 28-8 last season.
Out: VCUJ. Tillery
RecordsVCU 1-0 · Memphis 1-0
GameConference game
OfficialsBert Smith, Bart Lenox
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Memphis went 13-19 last season.
  • VCU returns about 66% of its minutes and added 4 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Memphis returns about 0% of its minutes and added 10 transfers and 4 freshmen.
Official profiles: Bert Smith, Bart Lenox
Bert SmithOfficial · 191 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureSmithLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.534.5201 of 284
Technicals per game0.280.35205 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.012.47250 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.140.20237 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games51.6%50.6%200 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 51.6% (252/488)Home covered 50.4% (204/405)Favorite covered 53.4% (258/483)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Bart LenoxOfficial · 175 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureLenoxLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.434.553 of 284
Technicals per game0.260.35220 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.592.47104 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.210.20112 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games53.2%50.6%153 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 53.2% (216/406)Home covered 53.9% (180/334)Favorite covered 54.2% (220/406)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Long Beach State @Montana State70–79proj
Sat Nov 7 · 3:00 PM ETNo pick
Long Beach State70
Montana State79
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 149
OVER / UNDEROver 145.557%
33%
67%
Win chance · Montana State favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
  • Montana State is at home against Long Beach State.
  • Long Beach State went 10-22 last season.
  • Montana State went 18-14 last season.
RecordsLong Beach State 0-1 · Montana State 0-1
OfficialsShawn Lehigh, Matthew Rukasin, Justin Shamion
Ref notesRukasin: Quick with technicals: 0.63 a game vs 0.35 average (55 in 87 games). Shamion: Quick with technicals: 0.61 a game vs 0.35 average (57 in 94 games). High-foul crew: crews like this went over 55% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Long Beach State returns about 7% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 1 freshman.
  • Montana State returns about 77% of its minutes and added 3 transfers and 1 freshman.
  • Records coming in: Long Beach State 0-1, Montana State 0-1.
Official profiles: Shawn Lehigh, Matthew Rukasin, Justin Shamion
Shawn LehighOfficial · 41 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureLehighLeagueRank
Fouls per game38.534.53 of 284
Technicals per game0.390.35100 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points3.022.4733 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.410.203 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games53.6%50.6%143 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 53.6% (81/151)Home covered 48.0% (61/127)Favorite covered 52.0% (78/150)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Matthew RukasinOfficial · 87 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: technicals per game.
  • Quick with technicals: 0.63 a game vs 0.35 average (55 in 87 games)
MeasureRukasinLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.734.539 of 284
Technicals per game0.630.3510 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.332.47174 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.110.20257 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games54.5%50.6%122 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 54.5% (96/176)Home covered 46.8% (72/154)Favorite covered 55.1% (97/176)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Justin ShamionOfficial · 94 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: technicals per game.
  • Quick with technicals: 0.61 a game vs 0.35 average (57 in 94 games)
MeasureShamionLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.334.5162 of 284
Technicals per game0.610.3512 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.182.47213 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.160.20208 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.8%50.6%270 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.8% (100/201)Home covered 51.4% (92/179)Favorite covered 54.7% (111/203)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
North Carolina Central @Longwood68–79proj
Sat Nov 7 · 3:00 PM ETNo pick
North Carolina Central68
Longwood79
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 147
OVER / UNDERUnder 149.557%
29%
71%
Win chance · Longwood favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
  • Longwood is at home against North Carolina Central.
  • This is a conference game.
  • North Carolina Central went 14-18 last season.
RecordsNorth Carolina Central 0-1 · Longwood 1-1
GameConference game
OfficialsAndrew Barksdale, Scott Bennett, Garrett Nestor
Ref notesBennett: Quick with technicals: 0.72 a game vs 0.35 average (34 in 47 games).
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Longwood went 16-16 last season.
  • North Carolina Central returns about 5% of its minutes and added 11 transfers.
  • Longwood returns about 47% of its minutes and added 9 transfers.
Official profiles: Andrew Barksdale, Scott Bennett
Andrew BarksdaleOfficial · 38 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Only 38 games of 2024-26 play-by-play on record: too few to judge.
MeasureBarksdaleLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.334.5
Technicals per game0.370.35
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.552.47
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.290.20
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games44.7%50.6%395 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 44.7% (34/76)Home covered 38.8% (26/67)Favorite covered 52.6% (41/78)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Scott BennettOfficial · 47 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: technicals per game.
  • Quick with technicals: 0.72 a game vs 0.35 average (34 in 47 games)
MeasureBennettLeagueRank
Fouls per game37.234.527 of 284
Technicals per game0.720.352 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.662.4792 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.210.20109 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games51.0%50.6%225 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 51.0% (52/102)Home covered 42.9% (39/91)Favorite covered 40.2% (41/102)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Long Island University @La Salle70–77proj
Sat Nov 7 · 3:30 PM ETNo pick
Long Island University70
La Salle77
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 147
OVER / UNDERUnder 150.558%
37%
63%
Win chance · La Salle favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
  • La Salle is at home against Long Island University.
  • This is a conference game.
  • Long Island University went 24-11 last season.
RecordsLong Island University 0-2 · La Salle 0-1
GameConference game
OfficialsSean Hull, Ryan Sassano
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • La Salle went 9-23 last season.
  • Long Island University returns about 6% of its minutes and added 11 transfers and 1 freshman.
  • La Salle returns about 30% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 3 freshmen.
Official profiles: Sean Hull, Ryan Sassano
Sean HullOfficial · 117 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureHullLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.634.5137 of 284
Technicals per game0.260.35222 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.392.47155 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.140.20235 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games53.7%50.6%142 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 53.7% (154/287)Home covered 50.2% (119/237)Favorite covered 49.8% (142/285)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Ryan SassanoOfficial · 116 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureSassanoLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.534.597 of 284
Technicals per game0.340.35143 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.342.47171 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.130.20242 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games53.1%50.6%158 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 53.1% (111/209)Home covered 53.1% (102/192)Favorite covered 46.6% (97/208)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
San Diego State @Colorado77–75proj
Sat Nov 7 · 3:30 PM ETNo pick
San Diego State77
Colorado75
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 152
OVER / UNDEROver 151.551%
55%
45%
Win chance · San Diego State favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
  • Colorado and San Diego State meet on a neutral floor.
  • This is a conference game.
  • San Diego State went 22-11 last season.
Out: San Diego StateN. Anderson
RecordsSan Diego State 1-0 · Colorado 1-0
WherePechanga Arena (neutral floor)
GameConference game
OfficialsMarques Pettigrew, Eric Curry, Jason Garretson
Ref notesCurry: Calls it tight: 38.0 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (4,868 in 128 games, 2024-26). Curry: Quick with technicals: 0.55 a game vs 0.35 average (70 in 128 games).
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Colorado went 17-16 last season.
  • San Diego State returns about 24% of its minutes and added 7 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Colorado returns about 50% of its minutes and added 9 transfers and 7 freshmen.
Official profiles: Marques Pettigrew, Eric Curry, Jason Garretson
Marques PettigrewOfficial · 193 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasurePettigrewLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.134.5171 of 284
Technicals per game0.390.35104 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.892.47265 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20167 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games47.7%50.6%332 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 47.7% (200/419)Home covered 47.4% (152/321)Favorite covered 47.5% (200/421)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Eric CurryOfficial · 128 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (high), technicals per game.
  • Calls it tight: 38.0 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (4,868 in 128 games, 2024-26)
  • Quick with technicals: 0.55 a game vs 0.35 average (70 in 128 games)
MeasureCurryLeagueRank
Fouls per game38.034.59 of 284
Technicals per game0.550.3520 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.672.4791 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.230.2088 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games55.4%50.6%102 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 55.4% (195/352)Home covered 53.1% (153/288)Favorite covered 53.3% (187/351)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Jason GarretsonOfficial · 103 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureGarretsonLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.934.5184 of 284
Technicals per game0.380.35109 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.162.47218 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.170.20190 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games43.9%50.6%409 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 43.9% (61/139)Home covered 50.0% (56/112)Favorite covered 50.7% (70/138)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sat Nov 7 · 4:00 PM ET
Oakland69
UC Santa Barbara78
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 147
SPREADOakland +12.557%
OVER / UNDERUnder 148.554%
32%
68%
Win chance · UC Santa Barbara favored
OUR PICKOakland +12.5SPREADLOSS
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Oakland at this line.
  • UC Santa Barbara is at home against Oakland.
  • This is a conference game.
  • Oakland went 16-16 last season.
RecordsOakland 0-2 · UC Santa Barbara 1-0
GameConference game
OfficialsJohn St. Clair, Doug Sturdivan, Ed Crenshaw Jr.
Ref watchJohn St. Clair: unders hit 51% of his 166 games since 2021-22.
Ref notesHigh-foul crew: crews like this went over 55% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • UC Santa Barbara went 18-14 last season.
  • Oakland returns about 26% of its minutes and added 12 transfers.
  • UC Santa Barbara returns about 0% of its minutes and added 2 freshmen.
Official profiles: John St. Clair, Doug Sturdivan, Ed Crenshaw Jr.
John St. ClairOfficial · 61 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureClairLeagueRank
Fouls per game37.134.531 of 284
Technicals per game0.410.3576 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.802.4770 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.380.206 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games48.8%50.6%305 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 48.8% (81/166)Home covered 52.6% (80/152)Favorite covered 50.9% (85/167)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Doug SturdivanOfficial · 33 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Only 33 games of 2024-26 play-by-play on record: too few to judge.
MeasureSturdivanLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.434.5
Technicals per game0.520.35
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.392.47
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.210.20
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games55.9%50.6%92 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 55.9% (52/93)Home covered 45.9% (39/85)Favorite covered 46.7% (43/92)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Ed Crenshaw Jr.Official · 51 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureJr.LeagueRank
Fouls per game36.234.557 of 284
Technicals per game0.430.3562 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.182.47214 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20145 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games51.9%50.6%190 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 51.9% (28/54)Home covered 59.6% (28/47)Favorite covered 55.6% (30/54)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sat Nov 7 · 4:00 PM ET
Lafayette63
Saint Joseph's77
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 140
SPREADLafayette +17.557%
OVER / UNDERUnder 147.566%
24%
76%
Win chance · Saint Joseph's favored
OUR PICKLafayette +17.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Lafayette at this line.
  • Saint Joseph's is at home against Lafayette.
  • This is a conference game.
  • Lafayette went 11-21 last season.
RecordsLafayette 1-1 · Saint Joseph's 1-0
GameConference game
OfficialsRon Tyburski, Bill Covington Jr., A.J. Desai
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Saint Joseph's went 24-12 last season.
  • Lafayette returns about 32% of its minutes and added 7 transfers.
  • Saint Joseph's returns about 50% of its minutes and added 6 transfers and 1 freshman.
Official profiles: Ron Tyburski, Bill Covington Jr., A.J. Desai
Ron TyburskiOfficial · 59 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureTyburskiLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.434.5243 of 284
Technicals per game0.440.3556 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points3.102.4725 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.250.2062 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.6%50.6%239 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.6% (80/158)Home covered 50.8% (65/128)Favorite covered 50.0% (78/156)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Bill Covington Jr.Official · 156 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureJr.LeagueRank
Fouls per game35.034.5119 of 284
Technicals per game0.500.3529 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.102.47229 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.130.20245 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games53.4%50.6%147 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 53.4% (190/356)Home covered 53.1% (163/307)Favorite covered 52.3% (185/354)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
A.J. DesaiOfficial · 182 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureDesaiLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.234.5169 of 284
Technicals per game0.390.35101 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.402.47151 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20150 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.6%50.6%273 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.6% (201/405)Home covered 42.7% (141/330)Favorite covered 47.9% (193/403)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sat Nov 7 · 4:00 PM ET
Monmouth72
Rhode Island76
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 148
SPREADMonmouth +6.555%
OVER / UNDEROver 144.557%
42%
58%
Win chance · Rhode Island favored
OUR PICKMonmouth +6.5SPREADLOSS
70Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Monmouth at this line; neutral floor.
  • Rhode Island and Monmouth meet on a neutral floor.
  • This is a conference game.
  • Monmouth went 19-15 last season.
RecordsMonmouth 0-1 · Rhode Island 1-0
WhereMohegan Sun Arena (neutral floor)
GameConference game
OfficialsMark Schnur, Garrick Shannon, Jason Bradwell
Ref watchGarrick Shannon: unders hit 53% of his 217 games since 2021-22. Whole crew leans under.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Rhode Island went 16-16 last season.
  • Monmouth returns about 46% of its minutes and added 6 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Rhode Island returns about 42% of its minutes and added 9 transfers and 2 freshmen.
Official profiles: Mark Schnur, Garrick Shannon, Jason Bradwell
Mark SchnurOfficial · 121 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureSchnurLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.034.5122 of 284
Technicals per game0.350.35140 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.212.47206 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.170.20197 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games47.0%50.6%350 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 47.0% (132/281)Home covered 54.4% (130/239)Favorite covered 56.4% (159/282)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Garrick ShannonOfficial · 112 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureShannonLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.934.5186 of 284
Technicals per game0.310.35172 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.532.47123 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.220.2094 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games47.0%50.6%349 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 47.0% (102/217)Home covered 39.7% (77/194)Favorite covered 47.9% (105/219)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Jason BradwellOfficial · 86 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureBradwellLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.234.5248 of 284
Technicals per game0.350.35136 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.792.4772 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.300.2024 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.1%50.6%293 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.1% (85/173)Home covered 42.8% (68/159)Favorite covered 45.1% (79/175)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Omaha @Utah State63–82proj
Sat Nov 7 · 4:00 PM ETNo pick
Omaha63
Utah State82
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 145
OVER / UNDERUnder 153.569%
17%
83%
Win chance · Utah State favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our number is 10 points off the line, too far to trust this early in the season.
  • Utah State is at home against Omaha.
  • This is a conference game.
  • Omaha went 16-17 last season.
Out: Utah StateC. Turnbull
RecordsOmaha 1-1 · Utah State 1-0
GameConference game
OfficialsTony Padilla, Deldre Carr, Doug Sirmons
Ref watchDeldre Carr: unders hit 56% of his 277 games since 2021-22; Doug Sirmons: unders hit 57% of his 466 games since 2021-22. Whole crew leans under.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Utah State went 29-7 last season.
  • Omaha returns about 19% of its minutes and added 12 transfers and 1 freshman.
  • Utah State returns about 21% of its minutes and added 9 transfers and 1 freshman.
Loud arena: the Dee Glen Smith Spectrum, one of the toughest home courts in college basketball
Official profiles: Tony Padilla, Deldre Carr, Doug Sirmons
Tony PadillaOfficial · 202 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasurePadillaLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.334.5109 of 284
Technicals per game0.490.3534 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.382.47159 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20132 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.5%50.6%280 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.5% (239/483)Home covered 44.2% (170/385)Favorite covered 45.8% (220/480)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Deldre CarrOfficial · 97 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureCarrLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.334.5161 of 284
Technicals per game0.330.35155 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.072.47234 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20170 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games44.4%50.6%401 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 44.4% (123/277)Home covered 47.4% (108/228)Favorite covered 46.4% (129/278)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Doug SirmonsOfficial · 212 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureSirmonsLeagueRank
Fouls per game31.734.5256 of 284
Technicals per game0.370.35117 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.002.47251 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.180.20174 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games42.7%50.6%426 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 42.7% (199/466)Home covered 54.2% (211/389)Favorite covered 53.0% (246/464)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Samford @UNLV72–84proj
Sat Nov 7 · 4:00 PM ETNo pick
Samford72
UNLV84
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 156
OVER / UNDERUnder 158.555%
28%
72%
Win chance · UNLV favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
  • UNLV is at home against Samford.
  • This is a conference game.
  • Samford went 18-14 last season.
Out: UNLVT. Harris
RecordsSamford 1-0 · UNLV 1-0
GameConference game
OfficialsVerne Harris, Brian McNutt, John Floyd
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • UNLV went 18-17 last season.
  • Samford returns about 0% of its minutes and added 2 freshmen.
  • UNLV returns about 17% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 2 freshmen.
Official profiles: Verne Harris, Brian McNutt, John Floyd
Verne HarrisOfficial · 131 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureHarrisLeagueRank
Fouls per game37.334.526 of 284
Technicals per game0.240.35230 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.962.47258 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.120.20249 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games54.9%50.6%114 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 54.9% (207/377)Home covered 53.6% (172/321)Favorite covered 53.9% (201/373)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Brian McNuttOfficial · 94 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureMcNuttLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.434.5204 of 284
Technicals per game0.240.35229 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.832.47269 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.210.20108 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games48.1%50.6%324 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 48.1% (114/237)Home covered 51.4% (109/212)Favorite covered 50.2% (119/237)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
John FloydOfficial · 125 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureFloydLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.534.5147 of 284
Technicals per game0.420.3573 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.382.47160 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.280.2037 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.2%50.6%251 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.2% (147/293)Home covered 52.3% (134/256)Favorite covered 47.1% (139/295)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sat Nov 7 · 5:00 PM ET
VMI76
UTSA84
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 160
SPREADUTSA -4.557%
OVER / UNDERUnder 163.557%
34%
66%
Win chance · UTSA favored
OUR PICKUTSA -4.5SPREADLOSS
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like UTSA at this line; home court.
  • UTSA is at home against VMI.
  • This is a conference game.
  • VMI went 6-26 last season.
RecordsVMI 1-1 · UTSA 0-1
GameConference game
OfficialsJeb Hartness, Josue Nieves, John Johnson
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • UTSA went 5-25 last season.
  • VMI returns about 39% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • UTSA returns about 3% of its minutes and added 11 transfers and 2 freshmen.
Official profiles: Jeb Hartness, Josue Nieves, John Johnson
Jeb HartnessOfficial · 164 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureHartnessLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.034.5118 of 284
Technicals per game0.300.35182 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.262.47192 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.150.20224 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.0%50.6%298 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.0% (199/406)Home covered 53.3% (178/334)Favorite covered 49.5% (200/404)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Josue NievesOfficial · 103 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureNievesLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.034.565 of 284
Technicals per game0.240.35233 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.572.47110 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.160.20217 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games56.1%50.6%82 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 56.1% (124/221)Home covered 49.7% (94/189)Favorite covered 52.1% (114/219)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
John JohnsonOfficial · 68 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureJohnsonLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.134.5219 of 284
Technicals per game0.280.35203 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.402.47153 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.150.20223 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games44.2%50.6%405 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 44.2% (38/86)Home covered 49.3% (35/71)Favorite covered 40.7% (35/86)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sat Nov 7 · 5:00 PM ET
UT Martin73
IU Indianapolis78
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 151
SPREADIU Indianapolis +2.564%
OVER / UNDERUnder 171.586%
40%
60%
Win chance · IU Indianapolis favored
OUR PICKIU Indianapolis +2.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like IU Indianapolis at this line; home court.
  • IU Indianapolis is at home against UT Martin.
  • This is a conference game.
  • UT Martin went 22-11 last season.
RecordsUT Martin 0-1 · IU Indianapolis 1-0
GameConference game
OfficialsSteve McJunkins, John Hendricks, Darren Budahn
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • IU Indianapolis went 7-25 last season.
  • UT Martin returns about 17% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • IU Indianapolis returns about 0% of its minutes and added 4 freshmen.
Official profile: Steve McJunkins
Steve McJunkinsOfficial · 113 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureMcJunkinsLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.534.5151 of 284
Technicals per game0.260.35221 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.342.47173 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20169 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.7%50.6%237 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.7% (146/288)Home covered 46.8% (116/248)Favorite covered 49.0% (142/290)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sat Nov 7 · 5:00 PM ET
SIU Edwardsville69
Lipscomb74
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 143
SPREADSIU Edwardsville +7.555%
OVER / UNDERUnder 144.555%
40%
60%
Win chance · Lipscomb favored
OUR PICKSIU Edwardsville +7.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like SIU Edwardsville at this line.
  • Lipscomb is at home against SIU Edwardsville.
  • This is a conference game.
  • SIU Edwardsville went 19-13 last season.
RecordsSIU Edwardsville 2-0 · Lipscomb 0-2
GameConference game
OfficialsCraig Murley, Kyle Bottoms, James Gibson
Ref notesMurley: Lets them play: 30.7 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (1,228 in 40 games, 2024-26). Low-foul crew: crews like this went under 58% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Lipscomb went 19-13 last season.
  • SIU Edwardsville returns about 0% of its minutes and added 4 freshmen.
  • Lipscomb returns about 37% of its minutes and added 10 transfers and 2 freshmen.
Official profiles: Craig Murley, Kyle Bottoms, James Gibson
Craig MurleyOfficial · 40 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (low).
  • Lets them play: 30.7 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (1,228 in 40 games, 2024-26)
MeasureMurleyLeagueRank
Fouls per game30.734.5273 of 284
Technicals per game0.400.3588 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.522.47124 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.280.2044 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games51.3%50.6%215 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 51.3% (80/156)Home covered 51.9% (68/131)Favorite covered 57.7% (90/156)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Kyle BottomsOfficial · 43 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureBottomsLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.634.5198 of 284
Technicals per game0.470.3544 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.672.4790 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.210.20118 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games56.4%50.6%74 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 56.4% (44/78)Home covered 50.7% (37/73)Favorite covered 51.9% (41/79)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
James GibsonOfficial · 53 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureGibsonLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.234.5214 of 284
Technicals per game0.340.35148 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points3.092.4726 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.300.2025 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games51.8%50.6%196 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 51.8% (44/85)Home covered 47.2% (34/72)Favorite covered 38.8% (33/85)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sat Nov 7 · 5:00 PM ET
Bellarmine70
Miami (OH)87
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 157
SPREADBellarmine +20.558%
OVER / UNDERUnder 159.555%
20%
80%
Win chance · Miami (OH) favored
OUR PICKBellarmine +20.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Bellarmine at this line.
  • Miami (OH) is at home against Bellarmine.
  • This is a conference game.
  • Bellarmine went 13-19 last season.
RecordsBellarmine 0-2 · Miami (OH) 1-0
GameConference game
OfficialsJourdan Love, Kelly Anlauf, Sutton Simon
Ref watchJourdan Love: unders hit 54% of his 162 games since 2021-22.
Ref notesHigh-foul crew: crews like this went over 55% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Miami (OH) went 32-2 last season.
  • Bellarmine returns about 74% of its minutes and added 6 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Miami (OH) returns about 86% of its minutes and added 3 transfers and 2 freshmen.
Official profiles: Jourdan Love, Sutton Simon
Jourdan LoveOfficial · 74 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureLoveLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.834.578 of 284
Technicals per game0.490.3537 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.572.47114 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.280.2035 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games45.7%50.6%374 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 45.7% (74/162)Home covered 48.6% (72/148)Favorite covered 42.6% (69/162)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sutton SimonOfficial · 42 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureSimonLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.534.547 of 284
Technicals per game0.240.35237 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points3.262.4712 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.450.201 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games55.4%50.6%104 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 55.4% (31/56)Home covered 50.9% (28/55)Favorite covered 44.6% (25/56)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Old Dominion @Bucknell75–70proj
Sat Nov 7 · 5:00 PM ETNo pick
Old Dominion75
Bucknell70
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 145
OVER / UNDEROver 140.560%
60%
40%
Win chance · Old Dominion favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
  • Bucknell is at home against Old Dominion.
  • This is a conference game.
  • Old Dominion went 12-21 last season.
RecordsOld Dominion 2-0 · Bucknell 0-1
GameConference game
OfficialsTyler Jones
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Bucknell went 10-23 last season.
  • Old Dominion returns about 43% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Bucknell returns about 42% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 3 freshmen.
Washington State @High Point71–83proj
Sat Nov 7 · 5:00 PM ETNo pick
Washington State71
High Point83
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 154
OVER / UNDERUnder 156.556%
26%
74%
Win chance · High Point favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
  • High Point is at home against Washington State.
  • This is a conference game.
  • Washington State went 12-20 last season.
RecordsWashington State 0-1 · High Point 2-0
GameConference game
OfficialsTrey Styons, Chase Shaw
Ref watchTrey Styons: unders hit 53% of his 218 games since 2021-22.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • High Point went 31-5 last season.
  • Washington State returns about 0% of its minutes and added 11 transfers and 5 freshmen.
  • High Point returns about 32% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 2 freshmen.
Official profiles: Trey Styons, Chase Shaw
Trey StyonsOfficial · 99 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureStyonsLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.234.5115 of 284
Technicals per game0.360.35122 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.892.4749 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.270.2046 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games46.8%50.6%356 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 46.8% (102/218)Home covered 56.5% (104/184)Favorite covered 47.0% (102/217)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Chase ShawOfficial · 121 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureShawLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.834.5129 of 284
Technicals per game0.430.3563 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.832.4763 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.210.20122 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games56.7%50.6%71 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 56.7% (166/293)Home covered 47.2% (116/246)Favorite covered 47.8% (139/291)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Northern Iowa @Furman69–73proj
Sat Nov 7 · 5:00 PM ETNo pick
Northern Iowa69
Furman73
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 142
OVER / UNDERUnder 149.566%
41%
59%
Win chance · Furman favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
  • Furman is at home against Northern Iowa.
  • This is a conference game.
  • Northern Iowa went 23-13 last season.
RecordsNorthern Iowa 1-0 · Furman 2-0
GameConference game
OfficialsRob Rorke, Todd Austin, Anthony Eades
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Furman went 22-13 last season.
  • Northern Iowa returns about 0% of its minutes and added 2 freshmen.
  • Furman returns about 57% of its minutes and added 5 transfers and 4 freshmen.
Official profiles: Rob Rorke, Todd Austin, Anthony Eades
Rob RorkeOfficial · 112 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureRorkeLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.834.5130 of 284
Technicals per game0.270.35215 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points3.432.475 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.280.2042 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games52.4%50.6%172 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 52.4% (152/290)Home covered 44.8% (111/248)Favorite covered 43.8% (128/292)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Todd AustinOfficial · 141 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureAustinLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.934.5127 of 284
Technicals per game0.390.35102 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.702.4785 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.260.2060 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games55.0%50.6%109 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 55.0% (186/338)Home covered 54.2% (155/286)Favorite covered 52.7% (177/336)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Anthony EadesOfficial · 112 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureEadesLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.334.554 of 284
Technicals per game0.310.35171 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.962.47257 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.130.20241 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games57.7%50.6%54 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 57.7% (158/274)Home covered 48.7% (111/228)Favorite covered 46.0% (126/274)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sat Nov 7 · 5:30 PM ET
Prairie View A&M72
UT Rio Grande Valley77
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 149
SPREADPrairie View A&M +8.556%
OVER / UNDERUnder 149.550%
39%
61%
Win chance · UT Rio Grande Valley favored
OUR PICKPrairie View A&M +8.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Prairie View A&M at this line.
  • UT Rio Grande Valley is at home against Prairie View A&M.
  • This is a conference game.
  • Prairie View A&M went 19-18 last season.
RecordsPrairie View A&M 2-0 · UT Rio Grande Valley 1-0
GameConference game
OfficialsDerek Schulte, Ralph Turner, Bobby Bissant III
Ref watchDerek Schulte: unders hit 67% of his 110 games since 2021-22.
Ref notesSchulte: Lets them play: 30.6 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (1,590 in 52 games, 2024-26).
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • UT Rio Grande Valley went 19-14 last season.
  • Prairie View A&M returns about 0% of its minutes and added no transfers or freshmen.
  • UT Rio Grande Valley returns about 0% of its minutes and added 2 freshmen.
Official profile: Derek Schulte
Derek SchulteOfficial · 52 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (low). On the under watch list.
  • Lets them play: 30.6 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (1,590 in 52 games, 2024-26)
MeasureSchulteLeagueRank
Fouls per game30.634.5275 of 284
Technicals per game0.270.35213 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points3.172.4720 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.310.2022 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games32.7%50.6%460 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 32.7% (36/110)Home covered 55.1% (54/98)Favorite covered 50.0% (56/112)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Western Carolina @UNC Asheville76–75proj
Sat Nov 7 · 5:30 PM ETNo pick
Western Carolina76
UNC Asheville75
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 151
OVER / UNDERUnder 152.553%
53%
47%
Win chance · Western Carolina favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
  • UNC Asheville is at home against Western Carolina.
  • This is a conference game.
  • Western Carolina went 15-16 last season.
RecordsWestern Carolina 0-1 · UNC Asheville 1-1
GameConference game
OfficialsJeremy Mosier, Kellen Miliner
Ref watchKellen Miliner: unders hit 51% of his 180 games since 2021-22.
Ref notesMosier: Calls it tight: 37.8 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (1,967 in 52 games, 2024-26). High-foul crew: crews like this went over 55% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • UNC Asheville went 15-17 last season.
  • Western Carolina returns about 16% of its minutes and added 9 transfers and 1 freshman.
  • UNC Asheville returns about 24% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 3 freshmen.
Official profiles: Jeremy Mosier, Kellen Miliner
Jeremy MosierOfficial · 52 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (high).
  • Calls it tight: 37.8 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (1,967 in 52 games, 2024-26)
MeasureMosierLeagueRank
Fouls per game37.834.515 of 284
Technicals per game0.370.35120 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.212.47207 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.250.2066 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games55.1%50.6%108 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 55.1% (75/136)Home covered 51.7% (61/118)Favorite covered 48.9% (66/135)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Kellen MilinerOfficial · 100 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureMilinerLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.334.5213 of 284
Technicals per game0.290.35195 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.362.47165 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.180.20180 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games48.9%50.6%301 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 48.9% (88/180)Home covered 50.7% (75/148)Favorite covered 48.9% (87/178)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sat Nov 7 · 6:00 PM ET
Hampton68
George Washington82
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 150
SPREADHampton +18.559%
OVER / UNDEROver 147.554%
24%
76%
Win chance · George Washington favored
OUR PICKHampton +18.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Hampton at this line.
  • George Washington is at home against Hampton.
  • This is a conference game.
  • Hampton went 13-19 last season.
RecordsHampton 0-1 · George Washington 1-0
GameConference game
OfficialsRon Groover, Mike Millione, Tim Smith
Ref notesLow-foul crew: crews like this went under 58% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • George Washington went 19-16 last season.
  • Hampton returns about 11% of its minutes and added 11 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • George Washington returns about 11% of its minutes and added 11 transfers and 1 freshman.
Official profiles: Ron Groover, Mike Millione, Tim Smith
Ron GrooverOfficial · 215 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureGrooverLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.934.5224 of 284
Technicals per game0.400.3591 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.202.47210 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.120.20250 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.9%50.6%229 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.9% (264/519)Home covered 51.0% (223/437)Favorite covered 50.9% (262/515)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Mike MillioneOfficial · 89 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureMillioneLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.034.5121 of 284
Technicals per game0.240.35241 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.582.47107 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.210.20106 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games51.8%50.6%193 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 51.8% (102/197)Home covered 48.8% (84/172)Favorite covered 48.2% (96/199)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Tim SmithOfficial · 138 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureSmithLeagueRank
Fouls per game31.834.5252 of 284
Technicals per game0.250.35225 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.352.47170 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20161 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.7%50.6%271 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.7% (162/326)Home covered 49.5% (144/291)Favorite covered 49.7% (162/326)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sat Nov 7 · 6:00 PM ET
Northern Arizona66
New Mexico85
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 151
SPREADNorthern Arizona +26.565%
OVER / UNDERUnder 157.565%
17%
83%
Win chance · New Mexico favored
OUR PICKNorthern Arizona +26.5SPREADLOSS
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Northern Arizona at this line.
  • New Mexico is at home against Northern Arizona.
  • This is a conference game.
  • Northern Arizona went 10-22 last season.
RecordsNorthern Arizona 0-1 · New Mexico 1-0
GameConference game
OfficialsJeffrey Anderson, Scott Brown, Alex Landis
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • New Mexico went 26-11 last season.
  • Northern Arizona returns about 27% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • New Mexico returns about 40% of its minutes and added 6 transfers and 2 freshmen.
Loud arena: The Pit, one of the toughest home courts in college basketball
Official profiles: Jeffrey Anderson, Scott Brown, Alex Landis
Jeffrey AndersonOfficial · 167 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureAndersonLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.234.5112 of 284
Technicals per game0.280.35207 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.572.47108 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.220.2096 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games52.4%50.6%174 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 52.4% (174/332)Home covered 47.5% (140/295)Favorite covered 47.7% (159/333)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Scott BrownOfficial · 80 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureBrownLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.834.576 of 284
Technicals per game0.330.35159 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.262.47191 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.210.20110 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games51.2%50.6%221 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 51.2% (111/217)Home covered 49.7% (92/185)Favorite covered 46.5% (100/215)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Alex LandisOfficial · 47 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureLandisLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.334.5107 of 284
Technicals per game0.400.3581 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.062.47235 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.090.20274 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games46.6%50.6%364 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 46.6% (27/58)Home covered 48.3% (28/58)Favorite covered 51.7% (30/58)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Morgan State @Niagara74–79proj
Sat Nov 7 · 6:30 PM ETNo pick
Morgan State74
Niagara79
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 153
OVER / UNDEROver 148.559%
40%
60%
Win chance · Niagara favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
  • Niagara is at home against Morgan State.
  • This is a conference game.
  • Morgan State went 14-16 last season.
RecordsMorgan State 2-0 · Niagara 0-1
GameConference game
OfficialsPat Driscoll, Michael Kitts, Josh Anderson
Ref watchPat Driscoll: unders hit 53% of his 388 games since 2021-22; Michael Kitts: unders hit 50% of his 283 games since 2021-22.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Niagara went 8-22 last season.
  • Morgan State returns about 0% of its minutes and added 1 freshman.
  • Niagara returns about 10% of its minutes and added 10 transfers.
Official profiles: Pat Driscoll, Michael Kitts, Josh Anderson
Pat DriscollOfficial · 154 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureDriscollLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.934.5226 of 284
Technicals per game0.410.3577 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.482.47134 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.180.20189 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games46.9%50.6%353 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 46.9% (182/388)Home covered 40.2% (135/336)Favorite covered 49.7% (194/390)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Michael KittsOfficial · 108 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureKittsLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.534.5148 of 284
Technicals per game0.290.35198 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.682.4789 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.210.20107 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.8%50.6%268 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.8% (141/283)Home covered 46.6% (115/247)Favorite covered 51.4% (145/282)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Josh AndersonOfficial · 65 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureAndersonLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.534.5203 of 284
Technicals per game0.220.35251 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points3.712.473 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.400.205 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.6%50.6%275 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.6% (60/121)Home covered 45.2% (52/115)Favorite covered 44.6% (54/121)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sat Nov 7 · 7:00 PM ET
Houston Christian71
Western Illinois67
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 138
SPREADWestern Illinois +9.562%
OVER / UNDEROver 136.553%
57%
43%
Win chance · Houston Christian favored
OUR PICKWestern Illinois +9.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Western Illinois at this line; home court.
  • Western Illinois is at home against Houston Christian.
  • This is a conference game.
  • Houston Christian went 12-20 last season.
RecordsHouston Christian 1-0 · Western Illinois 0-1
GameConference game
OfficialsSteve Honacki, Wesley Harper, Nate Gamet
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Western Illinois went 5-26 last season.
  • Houston Christian returns about 0% of its minutes and added 2 freshmen.
  • Western Illinois returns about 22% of its minutes and added 10 transfers.
Official profile: Steve Honacki
Steve HonackiOfficial · 60 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureHonackiLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.234.558 of 284
Technicals per game0.420.3572 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.982.4739 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.270.2050 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games56.0%50.6%89 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 56.0% (98/175)Home covered 51.8% (85/164)Favorite covered 53.7% (94/175)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sat Nov 7 · 7:00 PM ET
St. Bonaventure79
Canisius73
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 152
SPREADCanisius +8.554%
OVER / UNDEROver 149.556%
63%
37%
Win chance · St. Bonaventure favored
OUR PICKCanisius +8.5SPREAD
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Canisius at this line; St. Bonaventure without J. Grahovac, M. Blackwood; home court.
  • Canisius is at home against St. Bonaventure.
  • This is a conference game.
  • St. Bonaventure went 17-17 last season.
Out: St. BonaventureJ. Grahovac, M. Blackwood
RecordsSt. Bonaventure 0-1 · Canisius 0-1
GameConference game
OfficialsJohn Cahill Jr., Adam Vandenburgh, Connor Mooney
Ref watchAdam Vandenburgh: unders hit 58% of his 259 games since 2021-22; Connor Mooney: unders hit 57% of his 130 games since 2021-22. Whole crew leans under.
Ref notesLow-foul crew: crews like this went under 58% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Canisius went 10-21 last season.
  • St. Bonaventure returns about 13% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 3 freshmen.
  • Canisius returns about 0% of its minutes and added 9 transfers and 1 freshman.
Official profiles: John Cahill Jr., Adam Vandenburgh, Connor Mooney
John Cahill Jr.Official · 123 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureJr.LeagueRank
Fouls per game31.834.5254 of 284
Technicals per game0.370.35110 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points3.182.4719 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20129 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games48.6%50.6%309 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 48.6% (105/216)Home covered 48.3% (99/205)Favorite covered 48.1% (103/214)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Adam VandenburghOfficial · 110 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureVandenburghLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.034.5251 of 284
Technicals per game0.260.35217 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.922.4747 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.160.20199 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games42.5%50.6%431 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 42.5% (110/259)Home covered 49.6% (119/240)Favorite covered 49.2% (127/258)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Connor MooneyOfficial · 68 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureMooneyLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.934.5228 of 284
Technicals per game0.220.35248 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.942.47260 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.180.20187 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games43.1%50.6%420 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 43.1% (56/130)Home covered 50.0% (59/118)Favorite covered 51.9% (67/129)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sat Nov 7 · 7:00 PM ET
Northern Illinois67
Dayton82
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 149
SPREADNorthern Illinois +19.559%
OVER / UNDEROver 147.553%
22%
78%
Win chance · Dayton favored
OUR PICKNorthern Illinois +19.5SPREAD
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Northern Illinois at this line.
  • Dayton is at home against Northern Illinois.
  • This is a conference game.
  • Northern Illinois went 9-21 last season.
RecordsNorthern Illinois 0-2 · Dayton 1-0
GameConference game
OfficialsTony Crisp, Matt Potter, Mike Evans
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Dayton went 25-12 last season.
  • Northern Illinois returns about 0% of its minutes and added 15 transfers.
  • Dayton returns about 28% of its minutes and added 9 transfers and 3 freshmen.
Loud arena: UD Arena, a tough place for visiting teams
Official profiles: Tony Crisp, Matt Potter, Mike Evans
Tony CrispOfficial · 104 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureCrispLeagueRank
Fouls per game37.134.528 of 284
Technicals per game0.390.3594 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.622.47100 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.160.20201 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games54.2%50.6%133 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 54.2% (130/240)Home covered 48.1% (99/206)Favorite covered 44.8% (107/239)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Matt PotterOfficial · 191 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasurePotterLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.834.5233 of 284
Technicals per game0.190.35267 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points3.262.4713 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.260.2055 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games44.4%50.6%399 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 44.4% (188/423)Home covered 46.2% (166/359)Favorite covered 47.8% (202/423)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Mike EvansOfficial · 120 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureEvansLeagueRank
Fouls per game31.734.5255 of 284
Technicals per game0.340.35146 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points3.012.4734 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20137 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games44.1%50.6%406 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 44.1% (93/211)Home covered 44.6% (83/186)Favorite covered 41.2% (87/211)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Mercer @Davidson68–79proj
Sat Nov 7 · 7:00 PM ETNo pick
Mercer68
Davidson79
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 147
OVER / UNDERUnder 148.554%
29%
71%
Win chance · Davidson favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
  • Davidson is at home against Mercer.
  • This is a conference game.
  • Mercer went 19-13 last season.
RecordsMercer 1-1 · Davidson 1-0
GameConference game
OfficialsRoger Ayers, Tommy Morrissey
Ref watchRoger Ayers: unders hit 58% of his 516 games since 2021-22; Tommy Morrissey: unders hit 51% of his 410 games since 2021-22.
Ref notesAyers: Lets them play: 30.2 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (6,623 in 219 games, 2024-26). Low-foul crew: crews like this went under 58% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Davidson went 20-14 last season.
  • Mercer returns about 26% of its minutes and added 9 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Davidson returns about 61% of its minutes and added 5 transfers and 3 freshmen.
Official profiles: Roger Ayers, Tommy Morrissey
Roger AyersOfficial · 219 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (low). On the under watch list.
  • Lets them play: 30.2 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (6,623 in 219 games, 2024-26)
MeasureAyersLeagueRank
Fouls per game30.234.5278 of 284
Technicals per game0.280.35204 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.012.47249 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.140.20234 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games41.5%50.6%439 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 41.5% (214/516)Home covered 50.0% (219/438)Favorite covered 48.6% (251/516)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Tommy MorrisseyOfficial · 172 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureMorrisseyLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.234.5170 of 284
Technicals per game0.350.35137 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.042.47244 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20142 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games48.8%50.6%306 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 48.8% (200/410)Home covered 44.2% (153/346)Favorite covered 48.3% (197/408)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Providence @Nebraska76–79proj
Sat Nov 7 · 7:00 PM ETNo pick
Providence76
Nebraska79
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 155
OVER / UNDERUnder 158.556%
43%
57%
Win chance · Nebraska favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
  • Nebraska and Providence meet on a neutral floor.
  • This is a conference game.
  • Providence went 15-18 last season.
Out: ProvidenceA. Page
RecordsProvidence 1-0 · Nebraska 1-0
WhereMohegan Sun Arena (neutral floor)
GameConference game
OfficialsLamar Simpson, Byron Jarrett
Ref watchLamar Simpson: unders hit 56% of his 327 games since 2021-22.
Ref notesSimpson: Lets them play: 30.6 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (3,028 in 99 games, 2024-26). Low-foul crew: crews like this went under 58% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Nebraska went 28-7 last season.
  • Providence returns about 12% of its minutes and added 10 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Nebraska returns about 45% of its minutes and added 9 transfers and 2 freshmen.
Official profiles: Lamar Simpson, Byron Jarrett
Lamar SimpsonOfficial · 99 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (low). On the under watch list.
  • Lets them play: 30.6 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (3,028 in 99 games, 2024-26)
MeasureSimpsonLeagueRank
Fouls per game30.634.5274 of 284
Technicals per game0.170.35272 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.422.47143 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.080.20278 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games43.7%50.6%414 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 43.7% (143/327)Home covered 43.7% (122/279)Favorite covered 48.6% (158/325)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Byron JarrettOfficial · 164 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureJarrettLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.534.598 of 284
Technicals per game0.360.35127 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.272.47186 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.210.20119 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games52.6%50.6%165 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 52.6% (209/397)Home covered 50.3% (163/324)Favorite covered 53.7% (213/397)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sat Nov 7 · 7:30 PM ET
Maryland74
Georgetown75
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 149
SPREADGeorgetown +2.555%
OVER / UNDEROver 146.555%
50%
50%
Win chance · Georgetown favored
OUR PICKGeorgetown +2.5SPREAD
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Georgetown at this line; home court.
  • Georgetown is at home against Maryland.
  • This is a conference game.
  • Maryland went 12-21 last season.
Out: GeorgetownNJ Benson, V. Miller
RecordsMaryland 1-0 · Georgetown 1-0
GameConference game
OfficialsBrian O'Connell, John Gaffney, Paul Szelc
Ref watchBrian O'Connell: unders hit 57% of his 422 games since 2021-22; John Gaffney: unders hit 56% of his 419 games since 2021-22. Whole crew leans under.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Georgetown went 16-18 last season.
  • Maryland returns about 26% of its minutes and added 9 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • Georgetown returns about 40% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 3 freshmen.
Official profiles: Brian O'Connell, John Gaffney, Paul Szelc
Brian O'ConnellOfficial · 164 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureO'ConnellLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.634.5236 of 284
Technicals per game0.340.35150 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.872.47267 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.160.20212 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games42.7%50.6%428 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 42.7% (180/422)Home covered 52.6% (192/365)Favorite covered 47.3% (200/423)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
John GaffneyOfficial · 164 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureGaffneyLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.534.5241 of 284
Technicals per game0.310.35175 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.982.47254 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.160.20211 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games43.9%50.6%408 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 43.9% (184/419)Home covered 45.5% (158/347)Favorite covered 48.9% (205/419)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Paul SzelcOfficial · 171 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureSzelcLeagueRank
Fouls per game37.134.530 of 284
Technicals per game0.400.3584 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.492.47130 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.190.20166 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.0%50.6%297 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.0% (203/414)Home covered 55.4% (181/327)Favorite covered 49.2% (203/413)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Denver @UC Riverside76–80proj
Sat Nov 7 · 7:30 PM ETNo pick
Denver76
UC Riverside80
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 156
OVER / UNDERUnder 156.552%
43%
57%
Win chance · UC Riverside favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
  • UC Riverside is at home against Denver.
  • This is a conference game.
  • Denver went 15-17 last season.
RecordsDenver 0-1 · UC Riverside 1-0
GameConference game
OfficialsRick Crawford, Antinio Petty, Ervin Wilson
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • UC Riverside went 10-22 last season.
  • Denver returns about 32% of its minutes and added 9 transfers and 1 freshman.
  • UC Riverside returns about 0% of its minutes and added 4 freshmen.
Official profiles: Rick Crawford, Antinio Petty, Ervin Wilson
Rick CrawfordOfficial · 133 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureCrawfordLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.834.5190 of 284
Technicals per game0.440.3558 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.882.47266 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.140.20228 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games52.4%50.6%171 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 52.4% (183/349)Home covered 50.2% (152/303)Favorite covered 48.6% (170/350)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Antinio PettyOfficial · 133 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasurePettyLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.434.5157 of 284
Technicals per game0.340.35149 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.082.47233 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.200.20131 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.9%50.6%230 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.9% (178/350)Home covered 57.7% (168/291)Favorite covered 51.9% (181/349)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Ervin WilsonOfficial · 75 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureWilsonLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.934.572 of 284
Technicals per game0.400.3587 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.682.4788 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.280.2038 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games51.6%50.6%202 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 51.6% (65/126)Home covered 51.3% (60/117)Favorite covered 51.2% (65/127)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sat Nov 7 · 8:00 PM ET
Northwestern State71
Murray State93
FINAL · we projected 70 – 85Projected total 155
SPREADNorthwestern State +22.565%
OVER / UNDERUnder 155.553%
22%
78%
Win chance · Murray State favored
OUR PICKNorthwestern State +22.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Northwestern State at this line.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✗ Total
  • Murray State is at home against Northwestern State.
  • This is a conference game.
  • Northwestern State went 10-22 last season.
RecordsNorthwestern State 0-2 · Murray State 1-0
GameConference game
OfficialsTyler Kumpf, Bryan Washer
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Murray State went 20-13 last season.
  • Northwestern State returns about 8% of its minutes and added 11 transfers and 1 freshman.
  • Murray State returns about 30% of its minutes and added 11 transfers and 1 freshman.
Official profiles: Tyler Kumpf, Bryan Washer
Tyler KumpfOfficial · 124 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureKumpfLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.234.5114 of 284
Technicals per game0.400.3592 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.322.47177 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.210.20116 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.5%50.6%243 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.5% (143/283)Home covered 51.6% (116/225)Favorite covered 49.1% (139/283)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Bryan WasherOfficial · 55 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureWasherLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.834.5232 of 284
Technicals per game0.250.35224 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.552.47121 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.240.2078 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.4%50.6%285 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.4% (41/83)Home covered 56.9% (41/72)Favorite covered 47.6% (40/84)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sat Nov 7 · 8:00 PM ET
Southern Indiana76
Evansville78
FINAL · we projected 70 – 74Projected total 144
SPREADSouthern Indiana +9.561%
OVER / UNDEROver 143.552%
42%
58%
Win chance · Evansville favored
OUR PICKSouthern Indiana +9.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Southern Indiana at this line.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✓ Total
  • Evansville is at home against Southern Indiana.
  • This is a conference game.
  • Southern Indiana went 7-23 last season.
RecordsSouthern Indiana 1-1 · Evansville 1-0
GameConference game
OfficialsEric Lowe, Cody Crum, Michael Wallace
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Evansville went 7-25 last season.
  • Southern Indiana returns about 28% of its minutes and added 10 transfers.
  • Evansville returns about 0% of its minutes and added 8 freshmen.
Official profiles: Eric Lowe, Cody Crum, Michael Wallace
Eric LoweOfficial · 66 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureLoweLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.634.5199 of 284
Technicals per game0.350.35138 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points3.082.4729 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.150.20219 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games47.0%50.6%348 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 47.0% (55/117)Home covered 49.5% (54/109)Favorite covered 42.7% (50/117)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Cody CrumOfficial · 49 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureCrumLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.734.5133 of 284
Technicals per game0.390.35105 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.712.4782 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.310.2023 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games49.4%50.6%283 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 49.4% (44/89)Home covered 44.7% (38/85)Favorite covered 50.6% (45/89)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Michael WallaceOfficial · 109 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureWallaceLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.434.5155 of 284
Technicals per game0.390.35106 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points3.212.4718 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.360.207 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games51.3%50.6%214 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 51.3% (120/234)Home covered 41.1% (83/202)Favorite covered 42.7% (99/232)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sat Nov 7 · 8:00 PM ET
SE Louisiana83
Little Rock79
FINAL · we projected 73 – 77Projected total 150
SPREADSE Louisiana +9.561%
OVER / UNDEROver 145.559%
42%
58%
Win chance · Little Rock favored
OUR PICKSE Louisiana +9.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like SE Louisiana at this line.
✗ Moneyline✓ Spread✓ Total
  • Little Rock is at home against SE Louisiana.
  • This is a conference game.
  • SE Louisiana went 9-22 last season.
RecordsSE Louisiana 0-1 · Little Rock 0-1
GameConference game
OfficialsCourtney Green, Luke Chittum, Bharat Ramnanan
Ref watchBharat Ramnanan: unders hit 54% of his 230 games since 2021-22.
Ref notesChittum: Lets them play: 29.8 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (1,700 in 57 games, 2024-26). Low-foul crew: crews like this went under 58% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Little Rock went 12-20 last season.
  • SE Louisiana returns about 10% of its minutes and added 11 transfers and 2 freshmen.
  • Little Rock returns about 0% of its minutes and added 11 transfers and 4 freshmen.
Official profiles: Courtney Green, Luke Chittum, Bharat Ramnanan
Courtney GreenOfficial · 171 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureGreenLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.334.5111 of 284
Technicals per game0.320.35162 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.472.47135 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.180.20179 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games51.7%50.6%198 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 51.7% (217/420)Home covered 50.6% (174/344)Favorite covered 49.8% (208/418)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Luke ChittumOfficial · 57 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (low).
  • Lets them play: 29.8 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (1,700 in 57 games, 2024-26)
MeasureChittumLeagueRank
Fouls per game29.834.5282 of 284
Technicals per game0.110.35283 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.652.4794 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.230.2085 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games45.9%50.6%372 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 45.9% (56/122)Home covered 44.8% (52/116)Favorite covered 47.2% (59/125)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Bharat RamnananOfficial · 117 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureRamnananLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.934.5225 of 284
Technicals per game0.210.35261 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.402.47149 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.240.2073 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games46.5%50.6%365 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 46.5% (107/230)Home covered 48.2% (92/191)Favorite covered 50.9% (117/230)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sat Nov 7 · 8:00 PM ET
Bethune-Cookman81
Grand Canyon99
FINAL · we projected 69 – 84Projected total 153
SPREADBethune-Cookman +21.563%
OVER / UNDERUnder 155.555%
22%
78%
Win chance · Grand Canyon favored
OUR PICKBethune-Cookman +21.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Bethune-Cookman at this line.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✗ Total
  • Grand Canyon is at home against Bethune-Cookman.
  • This is a conference game.
  • Bethune-Cookman went 17-15 last season.
RecordsBethune-Cookman 0-2 · Grand Canyon 1-0
GameConference game
OfficialsJuan Corral, Ian Caldwell
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Grand Canyon went 20-12 last season.
  • Bethune-Cookman returns about 12% of its minutes and added 9 transfers and 1 freshman.
  • Grand Canyon returns about 22% of its minutes and added 9 transfers and 1 freshman.
Official profiles: Juan Corral, Ian Caldwell
Juan CorralOfficial · 28 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Only 28 games of 2024-26 play-by-play on record: too few to judge.
MeasureCorralLeagueRank
Fouls per game37.334.5
Technicals per game0.500.35
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.142.47
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.140.20
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games60.0%50.6%27 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 60.0% (48/80)Home covered 55.4% (41/74)Favorite covered 58.0% (47/81)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Ian CaldwellOfficial · 46 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureCaldwellLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.734.5136 of 284
Technicals per game0.370.35115 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.802.47272 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.110.20258 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games54.8%50.6%117 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 54.8% (68/124)Home covered 53.0% (61/115)Favorite covered 50.4% (63/125)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Pacific @Bradley71–71proj
Sat Nov 7 · 8:00 PM ETNo pick
Pacific71
Bradley71
OUR PROJECTED SCOREProjected total 142
OVER / UNDEROver 139.555%
51%
49%
Win chance · Pacific favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
  • Bradley is at home against Pacific.
  • This is a conference game.
  • Pacific went 18-15 last season.
RecordsPacific 1-0 · Bradley 1-0
GameConference game
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Bradley went 21-13 last season.
  • Pacific returns about 0% of its minutes and added 4 freshmen.
  • Bradley returns about 0% of its minutes and added 5 freshmen.
Sat Nov 7 · 9:00 PM ET
Utah Valley101
Weber State93
FINAL · we projected 94 – 88Projected total 182
SPREADWeber State +8.555%
OVER / UNDEROver 156.591%
62%
38%
Win chance · Utah Valley favored
OUR PICKWeber State +8.5SPREAD
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Weber State at this line; home court.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✓ Total
  • Weber State is at home against Utah Valley.
  • This is a conference game.
  • Utah Valley went 25-9 last season.
RecordsUtah Valley 1-0 · Weber State 0-1
GameConference game
OfficialsCasey McClellan, Chris Hudson, Tommy Johnson
Ref notesMcClellan: Quick with technicals: 0.64 a game vs 0.35 average (30 in 47 games).
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Weber State went 16-16 last season.
  • Utah Valley returns about 0% of its minutes and added 4 freshmen.
  • Weber State returns about 15% of its minutes and added 11 transfers.
Official profiles: Casey McClellan, Chris Hudson, Tommy Johnson
Casey McClellanOfficial · 47 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: technicals per game.
  • Quick with technicals: 0.64 a game vs 0.35 average (30 in 47 games)
MeasureMcClellanLeagueRank
Fouls per game36.434.551 of 284
Technicals per game0.640.359 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.962.47259 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.110.20261 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games48.3%50.6%318 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 48.3% (69/143)Home covered 42.4% (53/125)Favorite covered 46.5% (67/144)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Chris HudsonOfficial · 64 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureHudsonLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.534.5144 of 284
Technicals per game0.480.3541 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.422.47144 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.090.20269 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games45.0%50.6%391 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 45.0% (76/169)Home covered 57.4% (85/148)Favorite covered 50.6% (86/170)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Tommy JohnsonOfficial · 140 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureJohnsonLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.034.5177 of 284
Technicals per game0.370.35112 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.802.4771 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.260.2052 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.4%50.6%245 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.4% (122/242)Home covered 48.5% (97/200)Favorite covered 42.5% (102/240)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sat Nov 7 · 10:00 PM ET
Fresno State65
UC San Diego81
FINAL · we projected 70 – 77Projected total 147
SPREADFresno State +9.554%
OVER / UNDERUnder 151.559%
35%
65%
Win chance · UC San Diego favored
OUR PICKFresno State +9.5SPREADLOSS
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Fresno State at this line.
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✓ Total
  • UC San Diego is at home against Fresno State.
  • This is a conference game.
  • Fresno State went 13-19 last season.
Out: Fresno StateN. Zulemie
RecordsFresno State 1-0 · UC San Diego 1-0
GameConference game
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • UC San Diego went 23-11 last season.
  • Fresno State returns about 0% of its minutes and added 7 freshmen.
  • UC San Diego returns about 0% of its minutes and added 1 freshman.
Sat Nov 7 · 10:00 PM ET
Sacramento State77
Santa Clara83
FINAL · we projected 77 – 89Projected total 166
SPREADSacramento State +19.566%
OVER / UNDERUnder 170.559%
27%
73%
Win chance · Santa Clara favored
OUR PICKSacramento State +19.5SPREADWIN
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like Sacramento State at this line.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✓ Total
  • Santa Clara is at home against Sacramento State.
  • This is a conference game.
  • Sacramento State went 10-21 last season.
RecordsSacramento State 1-0 · Santa Clara 2-0
GameConference game
OfficialsJohn Hampton
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Santa Clara went 26-9 last season.
  • Sacramento State returns about 0% of its minutes and added 3 freshmen.
  • Santa Clara returns about 51% of its minutes and added 9 transfers.
Official profile: John Hampton
John HamptonOfficial · 93 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureHamptonLeagueRank
Fouls per game32.334.5246 of 284
Technicals per game0.290.35194 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.022.47247 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.130.20243 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games52.0%50.6%183 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 52.0% (116/223)Home covered 52.4% (99/189)Favorite covered 44.9% (102/227)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Sat Nov 7 · 10:00 PM ET
San José State79
UC Irvine91
FINAL · we projected 70 – 77Projected total 147
SPREADSan José State +8.553%
OVER / UNDEROver 145.552%
36%
64%
Win chance · UC Irvine favored
OUR PICKSan José State +8.5SPREAD
75Input quality (not a win chance)
Our power numbers like San José State at this line.
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✓ Total
  • UC Irvine is at home against San José State.
  • This is a conference game.
  • San José State went 9-24 last season.
RecordsSan José State 1-0 · UC Irvine 1-0
GameConference game
OfficialsDeron White, Chance Moore
Ref watchDeron White: unders hit 60% of his 273 games since 2021-22; Chance Moore: unders hit 56% of his 349 games since 2021-22.
Ref notesMoore: Lets them play: 31.5 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (5,193 in 165 games, 2024-26). Low-foul crew: crews like this went under 58% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • UC Irvine went 23-12 last season.
  • San José State returns about 14% of its minutes and added 8 transfers and 4 freshmen.
  • UC Irvine returns about 0% of its minutes and added 3 freshmen.
Official profiles: Deron White, Chance Moore
Deron WhiteOfficial · 121 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note. On the under watch list.
MeasureWhiteLeagueRank
Fouls per game33.334.5212 of 284
Technicals per game0.400.3589 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.262.47189 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.210.20121 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games40.3%50.6%447 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 40.3% (110/273)Home covered 47.4% (109/230)Favorite covered 51.1% (139/272)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Chance MooreOfficial · 165 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: fouls per game (low). On the under watch list.
  • Lets them play: 31.5 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (5,193 in 165 games, 2024-26)
MeasureMooreLeagueRank
Fouls per game31.534.5261 of 284
Technicals per game0.420.3570 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.902.47263 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.150.20225 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games43.8%50.6%410 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 43.8% (153/349)Home covered 54.2% (163/301)Favorite covered 57.1% (200/350)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Portland State @Seattle U60–79FINAL
Sat Nov 7 · 10:00 PM ETNo pick
Portland State60
Seattle U79
FINAL · we projected 68 – 78Projected total 146
OVER / UNDEROver 144.553%
32%
68%
Win chance · Seattle U favored
OUR PICKNo pick
Pass. Our numbers and the betting line are close on this one, so there is no side to take.
✓ Moneyline✗ Total
  • Seattle U is at home against Portland State.
  • This is a conference game.
  • Portland State went 20-11 last season.
RecordsPortland State 1-0 · Seattle U 0-1
GameConference game
OfficialsRandy McCall, Ryan Holmes, Ray Ames
Ref notesHolmes: Quick with technicals: 0.57 a game vs 0.35 average (35 in 61 games). Holmes: Calls it tight: 38.0 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (2,317 in 61 games, 2024-26). High-foul crew: crews like this went over 55% last season.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Seattle U went 21-14 last season.
  • Portland State returns about 0% of its minutes and added 4 freshmen.
  • Seattle U returns about 47% of its minutes and added 6 transfers and 2 freshmen.
Official profiles: Randy McCall, Ryan Holmes, Ray Ames
Randy McCallOfficial · 160 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureMcCallLeagueRank
Fouls per game34.134.5176 of 284
Technicals per game0.460.3547 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.312.47181 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.160.20216 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games53.8%50.6%140 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 53.8% (191/355)Home covered 46.0% (139/302)Favorite covered 49.0% (174/355)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Ryan HolmesOfficial · 61 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Stands out on: technicals per game, fouls per game (high).
  • Quick with technicals: 0.57 a game vs 0.35 average (35 in 61 games)
  • Calls it tight: 38.0 fouls a game vs 34.5 average (2,317 in 61 games, 2024-26)
MeasureHolmesLeagueRank
Fouls per game38.034.510 of 284
Technicals per game0.570.3518 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points1.792.47273 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.150.20222 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games56.9%50.6%68 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 56.9% (99/174)Home covered 49.3% (75/152)Favorite covered 48.3% (83/172)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.
Ray AmesOfficial · 58 games · 2024-26 (betting 2021-26)
Unremarkable on every measure we track: nothing clears the bar for a note.
MeasureAmesLeagueRank
Fouls per game35.634.582 of 284
Technicals per game0.450.3552 of 284
Late calls in close games per game, last 5:00 / OT, within 5 points2.482.47133 of 284
Pivotal calls per game, 10+ pt win-probability swing on the call0.140.20232 of 284
Over % of games worked 2021-26 lined games50.0%50.6%264 of 462
IN THE GAMES WORKED
Over 50.0% (51/102)Home covered 52.3% (46/88)Favorite covered 51.9% (54/104)
Fouls, technicals and late calls are 2024-26 play-by-play only and are credited to all three officials; college officials are only posted at tip-off.