BetSharpr

Updated Nov 1, 11:50 PM ET
SOCCER

Portugal · Top division BETA

Soccer is in beta. Every number here is BetSharpr's own model, built from past results and lineups. The record starts when the tab went live and counts only reads that were locked before kick-off.

TODAY · Nov 1

Sun 10:30 AM ETFINAL
Arouca
v
C.D. Nacional
1–0
Sun 1:00 PM ETFINAL
Académico de Viseu
v
Rio Ave
2–1
Sun 1:00 PM ETFINAL
Maritimo
v
Santa Clara
0–2
Sun 3:30 PM ETFINAL
Braga
v
FC Famalicao
3–0

TOMORROW · Nov 2

Mon 3:15 PM ETEARLY LOOK
Benfica
v
Alverca
OUR PROJECTIONBenfica 3 – 1 Alverca
79% Benfica13% DrawAlverca 8%
Over 2.5 goals · 62%Both score · 44%
TO SCORE · BenficaVangelis Pavlidis 38% PK A HOTGianluca Prestianni 24% A HOTRafa Silva 17% B
TO SCORE · AlvercaLucas Figueiredo 13% CDawda Camara 10% Vivaldo Semedo 10% B
PLAYERS TO WATCHVangelis Pavlidis Benfica A HOTGianluca Prestianni Benfica A HOTAndreas Schjelderup Benfica A HOTDiogo Spencer Alverca A HOTChiquinho Alverca C HOT
OUTS. Baseya Alverca DEF, susp. (likely)
  • Benfica have won 4 of their last 5
  • Alverca have lost 4 of their last 6 on the road
  • Benfica are 2nd in the table, Alverca 10th
  • Steven Baseya (Alverca) was sent off last game and is likely suspended
Mon 3:15 PM ETEARLY LOOK
Gil Vicente
v
Vitória de Guimaraes
OUR PROJECTIONGil Vicente 1 – 0 Vitória
41% Gil Vicente27% DrawVitória 32%
Under 2.5 goals · 60%Both score · 46%
TO SCORE · Gil VicenteMurilo 20% PK BGil Martins 10% ASanti García 8% C
TO SCORE · Vitória Gustavo da Silva 15% CSamu 14% PK B COLDArnel Jakupovic 14%
PLAYERS TO WATCHGil Martins Gil Vicente A
OUTM. Elimbi Gil Vicente DEF, susp. (likely)
  • Vitória de Guimaraes have lost 6 of their last 6 on the road
  • Gil Vicente are 8th in the table, Vitória de Guimaraes 13th
  • Marvin Elimbi (Gil Vicente) was sent off last game and is likely suspended
RECENT RESULTS

FRIDAY · Oct 30

Fri 4:15 PM ETFINAL
Casa Pia
v
Sporting CP
0–2

SATURDAY · Oct 31

Sat 11:30 AM ETFINAL · CHECKING
Moreirense
v
Estrela
Result pending verification
Sat 4:30 PM ETFINAL
FC Porto
v
Estoril
4–0
(one source)
POWER RANKINGS our own strength ratings, change vs a week ago · Nov 1

Ranked by our team ratings, which weigh recent seasons, not the league table.

#ClubW-D-LMoveWhy
1Sporting CP6-3-1–2 wins in last 5
2FC Porto10-0-0▲ 16 straight wins
3Benfica7-1-1▼ 14 wins in last 5
4Braga4-2-4–1 win in last 5
5Académico de Viseu6-2-2–6 straight wins
6FC Famalicao2-4-4–2 wins in last 5
7Santa Clara6-3-1–3 wins in last 5
8Vitória de Guimaraes2-2-5–1 win in last 5
9Gil Vicente4-2-3–2 wins in last 5
10Arouca6-2-2–3 straight wins
11Alverca3-2-4▲ 13 wins in last 5
12Estoril0-2-8▼ 15 straight losses
13Moreirense4-2-4–3 wins in last 5
14C.D. Nacional2-1-7–1 win in last 5
15Rio Ave2-1-7–1 win in last 5
16Estrela2-4-4–4 straight losses
17Casa Pia2-1-7–2 wins in last 5
18Maritimo2-2-6–3 straight losses
PLAYER GRADES best graded players this season

IN FORM

Vangelis Pavlidis Benfica A HOTLuis Suárez Sporting CP A HOTGianluca Prestianni Benfica A HOTGabri Veiga FC Porto A HOTBorja Sainz FC Porto A HOTVictor Froholdt FC Porto A HOTTiago Andrade Moreirense A HOTIván Fresneda Sporting CP A HOTAndreas Schjelderup Benfica A HOTDiogo Spencer Alverca A HOTAndré Silva FC Porto B HOTSoufiane Messeguem Académico de Viseu B HOT

COLD LATELY

Mathias De Amorim FC Famalicao B COLDSamu Vitória de Guimaraes B COLDLeandro Antonetti Estrela C COLDPepê FC Porto C COLDBrenner Santa Clara C COLDJoão Carvalho Estoril C COLD
Player table top 60 by grade
PlayerClubPosGradeGoalsAssistsMinutesCards Y/R
Vangelis PavlidisBenficaFWDA HOT937211/0
Luis SuárezSporting CPFWDA HOT816644/0
Gianluca PrestianniBenficaMIDA HOT647521/0
Gabri VeigaFC PortoMIDA HOT546481/0
Borja SainzFC PortoFWDA HOT513610/0
Geny CatamoSporting CPMIDA246593/0
Flávio GonçalvesSporting CPMIDA315111/0
Victor FroholdtFC PortoMIDA HOT308100/0
Cihan KahramanAcadémico de ViseuMIDA147043/0
Tiago AndradeMoreirenseMIDA HOT224900/0
Rodrigo ZalazarSporting CPMIDA215140/0
Leandro BarreiroBenficaMIDA215471/0
Iván FresnedaSporting CPDEFA HOT047341/0
Andreas SchjelderupBenficaMIDA HOT123960/0
Gil MartinsGil VicenteMIDA126121/0
Tiago RibeiroSanta ClaraMIDA205653/0
Maxi AraújoSporting CPDEFA127404/0
Pedro SantosFC FamalicaoMIDA113460/0
Jakub KiwiorFC PortoDEFA119001/0
Alexander BahBenficaDEFA115322/0
Diogo SpencerAlvercaDEFA HOT034292/0
Tiago EsgaioAroucaDEFA108980/0
Jan BednarekFC PortoDEFA108371/0
Clément LengletBenficaDEFA106650/1
Ricardo HortaBragaMIDA105191/0
Rafa SoaresEstrelaDEFA017880/0
Emanuel MoreiraSanta ClaraDEFA017974/0
Diogo CostaFC PortoGKA009000/0
Zaidu SanusiFC PortoDEFA004230/0
EwertonAcadémico de ViseuGKA009000/0
Lucas FrançaSanta ClaraGKA008101/0
Alberto CostaFC PortoDEFA007220/0
André ClóvisAcadémico de ViseuFWDB518041/0
Pau VíctorBragaFWDB517042/0
Gonçalo PaciênciaSanta ClaraFWDB516081/0
Georgios KoutsiasFC FamalicaoFWDB507830/0
Ivan MartínezAroucaFWDB507102/0
Ianis StoicaEstrelaMIDB426810/0
André SilvaFC PortoFWDB HOT426350/0
Abraham MarcusEstrelaMIDB418931/0
Soufiane MesseguemAcadémico de ViseuMIDB HOT318894/0
Hector HernándezGil VicenteFWDB314652/0
Jalen BlesaRio AveFWDB318762/0
SorrisoFC FamalicaoMIDB HOT228112/0
Näis DjouahraAroucaMIDB HOT068501/0
Fotis IoannidisSporting CPFWDB223090/0
Vivaldo SemedoAlvercaFWDB303821/0
William GomesFC PortoFWDB225210/0
Nile JohnMoreirenseMIDB307462/0
Diogo BezerraRio AveMIDB HOT138020/0
Manuel MendonçaMoreirenseMIDB HOT215981/0
Yanis BegraouiEstorilFWDB206301/0
José FontánAroucaDEFB208773/0
FernandoSanta ClaraFWDB203180/0
Mathias De AmorimFC FamalicaoMIDB COLD038873/0
SamuVitória de GuimaraesMIDB COLD117302/0
Miguel NogueiraVitória de GuimaraesMIDB034092/0
Léo SantosC.D. NacionalDEFB114050/0
DjéSanta ClaraMIDB116652/0
MuriloGil VicenteMIDB115750/0

Grades compare a player with others in the same position in this league; Injury and suspension news is checked where a source exists; an injured player can still appear in this table until he misses games.

How it works: each club gets an attack and a defence strength from its recent results, adjusted for who it played, home advantage and rest. Those give the likely goals for each side, which become the projected score, win/draw/loss chances, over/under and both-teams-to-score chances. A player's scoring chance comes from his recent goals and shots, how likely he is to play, and the strength of the match-up. Grades (A elite, B strong, C solid, D quiet) compare players in the same position in the same league; HOT and COLD describe the last five games. A game's reads lock about an hour before kick-off. Final scores are checked against a second source before they are graded. These are model estimates, not betting advice, and not a guarantee.

Results cross-checked against openfootball (public domain; includes openfootball/europe for France and the Netherlands), Wikipedia contributors (CC BY-SA 4.0, for Mexico, Portugal and the United States) and, for Germany, OpenLigaDB (Open Database License, www.openligadb.de). Club names are used only to identify the teams.