BetSharpr

Updated Nov 1, 11:50 PM ET
SOCCER

Italy · Top division BETA

Soccer is in beta. Every number here is BetSharpr's own model, built from past results and lineups. The record starts when the tab went live and counts only reads that were locked before kick-off.

TODAY · Nov 1

Sun 6:30 AM ETFINAL · CHECKING
Como
v
Venezia
Result pending verification
Sun 9:00 AM ETFINAL · CHECKING
Frosinone
v
Torino
Result pending verification
Sun 9:00 AM ETFINAL · CHECKING
Lazio
v
Cagliari
Result pending verification
Sun 12:00 PM ETFINAL · CHECKING
Lecce
v
Genoa
Result pending verification
Sun 2:45 PM ETFINAL · CHECKING
Juventus
v
Napoli
Result pending verification

TOMORROW · Nov 2

Mon 12:30 PM ETEARLY LOOK
Sassuolo
v
Fiorentina
OUR PROJECTIONSassuolo 0 – 1 Fiorentina
35% Sassuolo26% DrawFiorentina 39%
Over 2.5 goals · 51%Both score · 55%
TO SCORE · SassuoloDomenico Berardi 19% CArmand Laurienté 16% C COLDSebastiano Esposito 13% C
TO SCORE · FiorentinaFranco Mastantuono 24% C COLDAlieu Njie 17% CMateo Pellegrino 17% C
PLAYERS TO WATCHVasilije Adzic Sassuolo AÁlex Jiménez Fiorentina B HOT
OUTK. Thorstvedt Sassuolo MID, susp. (likely)
  • Sassuolo have lost 4 of their last 5
  • Fiorentina have lost 4 of their last 6 on the road
  • Fiorentina played 3 days ago; Sassuolo has had 6 days off
  • Sassuolo are 15th in the table, Fiorentina 17th
  • Kristian Thorstvedt (Sassuolo) was sent off last game and is likely suspended
Mon 2:45 PM ETEARLY LOOK
Atalanta
v
Parma
OUR PROJECTIONAtalanta 2 – 1 Parma
63% Atalanta22% DrawParma 15%
Under 2.5 goals · 52%Both score · 44%
TO SCORE · AtalantaNikola Krstovic 31% A HOTÉderson 16% PK BCharles De Ketelaere 15% C
TO SCORE · ParmaJosé Romero 17% BEl Bilal Toure 13% DSimone Lontani 11% B
PLAYERS TO WATCHNikola Krstovic Atalanta A HOTGianluca Scamacca Atalanta ADiego Carlos Parma A
  • Parma are struggling to score (0.6 a game lately)
  • Parma have lost 6 of their last 6 on the road
  • Atalanta are 13th in the table, Parma 18th
RECENT RESULTS

SATURDAY · Oct 31

Sat 10:00 AM ETFINAL · CHECKING
Bologna
v
Monza
Result pending verification
Sat 1:00 PM ETFINAL · CHECKING
Udinese
v
AS Roma
Result pending verification
Sat 3:45 PM ETFINAL · CHECKING
AC Milan
v
Internazionale
Result pending verification
POWER RANKINGS our own strength ratings, change vs a week ago · Nov 1

Ranked by our team ratings, which weigh recent seasons, not the league table.

#ClubW-D-LMoveWhy
1Internazionale8-1-1–4 wins in last 5
2AS Roma7-3-0–unbeaten in 6
3Como7-2-1–4 straight wins
4Napoli4-2-4–2 wins in last 5
5Juventus5-2-3–2 wins in last 5
6AC Milan6-3-1–3 wins in last 5
7Atalanta3-2-4–1 win in last 5
8Lazio9-1-0–6 straight wins
9Frosinone6-2-2–3 wins in last 5
10Bologna4-2-4–3 straight wins
11Fiorentina1-2-6–winless in 5
12Genoa4-1-5▲ 33 straight wins; climbing
13Torino4-1-5▼ 13 wins in last 5
14Sassuolo2-2-5▼ 13 straight losses
15Udinese1-2-7▼ 1winless in 6
16Cagliari4-1-5–4 straight losses
17Parma1-2-6–1 win in last 5
18Monza2-1-7–3 straight losses
19Lecce3-0-7–3 straight losses
20Venezia1-0-9–3 straight losses
PLAYER GRADES best graded players this season

IN FORM

Gustavo Varela Monza A HOTAntonio Raimondo Frosinone A HOTNikola Krstovic Atalanta A HOTAdrien Rabiot AC Milan A HOTMarcus Thuram Internazionale A HOTGiacomo Calo Frosinone A HOTDiego Moreira AC Milan A HOTNico Paz Como A HOTKevin De Bruyne Napoli A HOTFarès Ghedjemis Frosinone A HOTJunior Messias Genoa A HOTNicola Zalewski Atalanta A HOT

COLD LATELY

Giorgi Kvernadze Frosinone A COLDMaxence Caqueret Como A COLDFederico Dimarco Internazionale A COLDAndy Diouf Internazionale B COLDFranco Mastantuono Fiorentina C COLDDarryl Bakola Sassuolo C COLDKeinan Davis Udinese C COLDStephan El Shaarawy Genoa C COLD
Player table top 60 by grade
PlayerClubPosGradeGoalsAssistsMinutesCards Y/R
Gustavo VarelaMonzaFWDA HOT917601/0
Donyell MalenAS RomaFWDA815751/1
Antonio RaimondoFrosinoneFWDA HOT807623/0
Nikola KrstovicAtalantaFWDA HOT625381/0
Adrien RabiotAC MilanMIDA HOT535761/0
Marcus ThuramInternazionaleFWDA HOT526361/0
Giacomo CaloFrosinoneMIDA HOT518560/0
Diego MoreiraAC MilanMIDA HOT433961/0
Daniel MaldiniCagliariFWDA506500/0
Giorgi KvernadzeFrosinoneMIDA COLD348362/0
Nico PazComoMIDA HOT337341/0
Kevin De BruyneNapoliMIDA HOT415400/0
Lautaro MartínezInternazionaleFWDA403532/0
Romano SchmidFrosinoneMIDA247722/0
Martin BaturinaComoMIDA314422/0
Vasilije AdzicSassuoloMIDA313670/0
Christian PulisicAC MilanMIDA314711/0
Hakan ÇalhanogluInternazionaleMIDA304041/0
Niccolò PisilliAS RomaMIDA304222/0
Farès GhedjemisFrosinoneMIDA HOT145960/0
Assane DiaoComoMIDA214272/0
Junior MessiasGenoaMIDA HOT215190/0
Nicola ZalewskiAtalantaMIDA HOT132760/0
Juan MirandaBolognaDEFA HOT056821/0
Nuno TavaresLazioDEFA137120/0
Emanuele LulliAS RomaMIDA HOT214770/0
BremerJuventusDEFA209000/0
KaikiComoDEFA114511/0
Álex ValleComoDEFA024641/0
Maxence CaqueretComoMIDA COLD024131/0
Yan CoutoComoDEFA027442/0
Gianluca ScamaccaAtalantaFWDA102870/0
Romano FlorianiLazioDEFA108251/0
Gianluca ManciniAS RomaDEFA026590/0
Mario HermosoAS RomaDEFA106482/0
Federico DimarcoInternazionaleMIDA COLD015700/0
Christos MandasLazioGKA009000/0
Mile SvilarAS RomaGKA004500/0
Marc-Oliver KempfComoDEFA004770/0
Diego CarlosParmaDEFA004231/0
Vanja Milinkovic-SavicNapoliGKA002700/0
Tijjani NoslinLazioFWDB HOT435780/0
Anastasios DouvikasComoFWDB507670/0
Gustav IsaksenLazioFWDB HOT415591/0
Matìas SoulèAS RomaFWDB336732/0
Milutin OsmajicGenoaFWDB417350/0
Ché AdamsTorinoFWDB405710/0
Jurgen EkkelenkampUdineseMIDB318510/0
Matteo PolitanoNapoliFWDB HOT235631/0
Piotr ZielinskiInternazionaleMIDB225510/0
Rasmus HøjlundNapoliFWDB306310/0
Federico BernardeschiBolognaMIDB306932/0
Davide FrattesiLazioMIDB307710/0
Álex JiménezFiorentinaDEFB HOT226061/0
Carlos AugustoInternazionaleMIDB225352/0
Jay RobinsonMonzaFWDB215140/0
Pio EspositoInternazionaleFWDB215061/0
Kenneth TaylorLazioMIDB HOT217862/0
Rafik BelghaliTorinoMIDB135082/0
Nicolò BarellaInternazionaleMIDB127522/0

Grades compare a player with others in the same position in this league; Injury and suspension news is checked where a source exists; an injured player can still appear in this table until he misses games.

How it works: each club gets an attack and a defence strength from its recent results, adjusted for who it played, home advantage and rest. Those give the likely goals for each side, which become the projected score, win/draw/loss chances, over/under and both-teams-to-score chances. A player's scoring chance comes from his recent goals and shots, how likely he is to play, and the strength of the match-up. Grades (A elite, B strong, C solid, D quiet) compare players in the same position in the same league; HOT and COLD describe the last five games. A game's reads lock about an hour before kick-off. Final scores are checked against a second source before they are graded. These are model estimates, not betting advice, and not a guarantee.

Results cross-checked against openfootball (public domain; includes openfootball/europe for France and the Netherlands), Wikipedia contributors (CC BY-SA 4.0, for Mexico, Portugal and the United States) and, for Germany, OpenLigaDB (Open Database License, www.openligadb.de). Club names are used only to identify the teams.