BetSharpr

Updated Nov 1, 11:50 PM ET
SOCCER

Europe · Club cup (top tier) BETA

Soccer is in beta. Every number here is BetSharpr's own model, built from past results and lineups. The record starts when the tab went live and counts only reads that were locked before kick-off.

TUESDAY · Nov 3

Tue 12:45 PM ETEARLY LOOK
Galatasaray
v
VfB Stuttgart

Not enough data for this game: one of the clubs plays in a league we do not rate yet, so we show no projection.

Tue 12:45 PM ETEARLY LOOK
Shakhtar Donetsk
v
Sporting CP

Not enough data for this game: one of the clubs plays in a league we do not rate yet, so we show no projection.

Tue 3:00 PM ETEARLY LOOK
Atlético Madrid
v
Bayern Munich
OUR PROJECTIONAtlético 1 – 2 Bayern
37% Atlético22% DrawBayern 41%
Over 2.5 goals · 71%Both score · 71%
TO SCORE · AtléticoJulián Álvarez 19% Jonathan David 18% Alejandro Grimaldo 17% PK
TO SCORE · BayernHarry Kane 35% PK Michael Olise 27% Ismael Saibari 9%
OUTM. Hjulmand Atlético MID, susp. (likely)
  • Bayern Munich are scoring freely (3.0 a game lately)
Tue 3:00 PM ETEARLY LOOK
Barcelona
v
Aston Villa
OUR PROJECTIONBarcelona 3 – 1 Aston Villa
60% Barcelona19% DrawAston Villa 21%
Over 2.5 goals · 77%Both score · 72%
TO SCORE · BarcelonaLamine Yamal 32% Raphinha 28% PK Anthony Gordon 19%
TO SCORE · Aston VillaNicolas Jackson 32% John McGinn 13% Johan Manzambi 12%
OUTA. Onana Aston Villa MIDA. Wan-Bissaka Aston Villa DEFM. Ruggeri Aston Villa MID
  • Barcelona are scoring freely (2.6 a game lately)
  • Barcelona have won 5 of their last 6 at home
  • Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 5
Tue 3:00 PM ETEARLY LOOK
Bodo/Glimt
v
Lille

Not enough data for this game: one of the clubs plays in a league we do not rate yet, so we show no projection.

Tue 3:00 PM ETEARLY LOOK
Feyenoord Rotterdam
v
Internazionale
OUR PROJECTIONFeyenoord 1 – 2 Inter Milan
25% Feyenoord22% DrawInter Milan 53%
Over 2.5 goals · 67%Both score · 65%
TO SCORE · FeyenoordAnis Hadj Moussa 33% Nacho Ferri 29% Gjivai Zechiël 20%
TO SCORE · Inter MilanMarcus Thuram 32% Hakan Çalhanoglu 11% PK Carlos Augusto 11%
OUTA. Bastoni Inter Milan DEF, susp. (likely)
  • Feyenoord Rotterdam have lost 4 of their last 5
  • Internazionale have lost 4 of their last 5
Tue 3:00 PM ETEARLY LOOK
LASK Linz
v
Slovan Bratislava

Not enough data for this game: one of the clubs plays in a league we do not rate yet, so we show no projection.

Tue 3:00 PM ETEARLY LOOK
Manchester United
v
AS Roma
OUR PROJECTIONMan Utd 2 – 1 AS Roma
50% Man Utd24% DrawAS Roma 26%
Over 2.5 goals · 59%Both score · 60%
TO SCORE · Man UtdBryan Mbeumo 21% Matheus Cunha 17% Bruno Fernandes 15% PK
TO SCORE · AS RomaDonyell Malen 27% PK Matìas Soulè 15% Niccolò Pisilli 9%
OUTL. Shaw Man Utd DEFB. Sesko Man Utd FWDP. Dorgu Man Utd MID
  • Lisandro Martínez (Manchester United) was sent off last game and is likely suspended
Tue 3:00 PM ETEARLY LOOK
Villarreal
v
Paris Saint-Germain
OUR PROJECTIONVillarreal 1 – 2 PSG
27% Villarreal21% DrawPSG 52%
Over 2.5 goals · 74%Both score · 72%
TO SCORE · VillarrealGeorges Mikautadze 17% Ayoze Pérez 15% Pape Gueye 10%
TO SCORE · PSGFerran Torres 30% Désiré Doué 17% Maghnes Akliouche 11%
  • Villarreal have lost 4 of their last 5
  • Paris Saint-Germain are scoring freely (3.2 a game lately)

How it works: each club gets an attack and a defence strength from its recent results, adjusted for who it played, home advantage and rest. Those give the likely goals for each side, which become the projected score, win/draw/loss chances, over/under and both-teams-to-score chances. A player's scoring chance comes from his recent goals and shots, how likely he is to play, and the strength of the match-up. Grades (A elite, B strong, C solid, D quiet) compare players in the same position in the same league; HOT and COLD describe the last five games. A game's reads lock about an hour before kick-off. Final scores are checked against a second source before they are graded. These are model estimates, not betting advice, and not a guarantee.

Results cross-checked against openfootball (public domain; includes openfootball/europe for France and the Netherlands), Wikipedia contributors (CC BY-SA 4.0, for Mexico, Portugal and the United States) and, for Germany, OpenLigaDB (Open Database License, www.openligadb.de). Club names are used only to identify the teams.