SUNDAY OCT 25 graded picks
Went 2-4 on the day
TOP PICKSun Oct 25 · 6:00 PM ET
BACK-TO-BACK · Brooklyn
Indiana136
Brooklyn109
FINAL · we projected 115.1 – 112.7Projected total 227.8
SPREADBrooklyn +6.561%
OVER / UNDERUnder 231.558%
The % is our chance that read is right.
Win chance · Indiana favored
OUR PICKBrooklyn +6.5SPREADLOSS
61%ConfidenceWe expect a closer game than the line says; Brooklyn has home court; Brooklyn played the night before but still gets the edge.
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✗ Total
- Indiana has a clear edge in roster quality over Brooklyn
- Brooklyn gets home court
- Brooklyn is on the second night of a back-to-back
OutIndiana: Ben Sheppard (G), Johnny Furphy (G), T.J. McConnell (G); Brooklyn: Mikel Brown Jr. (G), Tyler Bilodeau (F)
PLAYER PROPS
- Julius RandleUnder 0.5 blocks83%WIN
- Tyrese HaliburtonUnder 1.5 steals79%LOSS
- Michael Porter Jr.Under 0.5 blocks78%WIN
2 more props
- Pascal SiakamUnder 3.5 assists72%LOSS
- Jarace WalkerUnder 2.5 assists70%WIN
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Indiana has 3 players out
- Recent games: Indiana 1-4, Brooklyn 2-3 over their last five
- Indiana is led by Tyrese Haliburton
Sun Oct 25 · 7:00 PM ET
Orlando111
New York102
FINAL · we projected 112.6 – 116.9Projected total 229.5
SPREADOrlando +7.559%
OVER / UNDEROver 224.561%
The % is our chance that read is right.
Win chance · New York favored
OUR PICKOrlando +7.5SPREADWIN
59%ConfidenceWe expect a closer game than the line says; Orlando still gets the edge without Paolo Banchero.
✗ Moneyline✓ Spread✗ Total
- New York has a clear edge in roster quality over Orlando
- New York gets home court
- Orlando is without Paolo Banchero
OutOrlando: Paolo Banchero (F), Noah Penda (F), Jonathan Isaac (F), Izaiyah Nelson (F); New York: Jose Alvarado (G)
PLAYER PROPS
- Franz WagnerUnder 0.5 blocks75%WIN
- Tristan da SilvaUnder 0.5 blocks75%LOSS
- Josh HartUnder 1.5 steals74%LOSS
2 more props
- OG AnunobyUnder 5.5 rebounds71%WIN
- Desmond BaneUnder 1.5 steals71%WIN
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Recent games: Orlando 2-3, New York 1-4 over their last five
- New York is led by Jalen Brunson
- We like Orlando getting the points: we expect a closer game than the line says
Sun Oct 25 · 7:00 PM ET
Toronto94
Minnesota117
FINAL · we projected 113.3 – 114.7Projected total 228
SPREADToronto +1.556%
OVER / UNDERUnder 228.551%
The % is our chance that read is right.
Win chance · Minnesota favored
OUR PICKToronto +1.5SPREADLOSS
56%ConfidenceToronto has the stronger roster on paper; Minnesota is without Donte DiVincenzo.
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✓ Total
- Minnesota and Toronto are closely matched on paper
- Minnesota gets home court
- Minnesota is without Donte DiVincenzo
OutToronto: Kawhi Leonard (F), Nate Bittle (C); Minnesota: Donte DiVincenzo (G)
PLAYER PROPS
- Jonathan KumingaUnder 1.5 threes made79%LOSS
- Terrence Shannon Jr.Under 0.5 steals76%LOSS
- LaMelo BallUnder 1.5 steals75%LOSS
2 more props
- Kawhi LeonardUnder 0.5 blocks73%
- Scottie BarnesUnder 1.5 steals73%LOSS
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Recent games: Toronto 3-2, Minnesota 3-2 over their last five
- Minnesota is led by Anthony Edwards
- We like Toronto getting the points: we expect a closer game than the line says
Sun Oct 25 · 9:00 PM ET
Memphis123
Sacramento112
FINAL · we projected 117.6 – 111.9Projected total 229.5
SPREADMemphis -3.556%
OVER / UNDERUnder 234.561%
The % is our chance that read is right.
Win chance · Memphis favored
OUR PICKMemphis -3.5SPREAD
56%ConfidenceMemphis has the stronger roster on paper; Sacramento is without Keegan Murray and Maxime Raynaud.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✗ Total
- Memphis has a big edge in roster quality over Sacramento
- Sacramento gets home court
- Sacramento is without Keegan Murray and Maxime Raynaud
OutMemphis: Zach Edey (C), Karim Lopez (F); Sacramento: Keegan Murray (F), Maxime Raynaud (C), Dylan Cardwell (C), Ben Simmons (G)
PLAYER PROPS
- Jaylen WellsUnder 14.5 points + rebounds67%LOSS
- Isaiah StewartUnder 8.5 points65%LOSS
- Cameron BoozerUnder 1.5 threes made64%LOSS
2 more props
- De'Andre HunterUnder 1.5 threes made63%LOSS
- Precious AchiuwaUnder 0.5 blocks63%LOSS
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Recent games: Memphis 4-1, Sacramento 0-5 over their last five
- Memphis is led by Ty Jerome
- We like Memphis to win by more than the line
Sun Oct 25 · 7:30 PM ET
BACK-TO-BACK · Philadelphia
Detroit106
Philadelphia93
FINAL · we projected 113.8 – 114.8Projected total 228.6
SPREADPhiladelphia +1.553%
OVER / UNDEROver 228.550%
The % is our chance that read is right.
Win chance · Philadelphia favored
OUR PICKPhiladelphia +1.5SPREADLOSS
53%ConfidenceWe expect a closer game than the line says; Detroit is without Jalen Duren; Philadelphia has home court; Philadelphia played the night before but still gets the edge; Philadelphia still gets the edge without Joel Embiid.
✗ Moneyline✗ Spread✗ Total
- Philadelphia and Detroit are closely matched on paper
- Philadelphia gets home court
- Philadelphia is on the second night of a back-to-back
OutDetroit: Jalen Duren (C), Ausar Thompson (G); Philadelphia: VJ Edgecombe (G), Joel Embiid (C), Dominick Barlow (F), Jabari Walker (F), Ariel Hukporti (C), Tacko Fall (C)
PLAYER PROPS
- Paul ReedUnder 1.5 blocks89%LOSS
- Ausar ThompsonUnder 0.5 threes made83%
- Kentavious Caldwell-PopeUnder 1.5 steals73%WIN
2 more props
- Duncan RobinsonUnder 2.5 assists72%LOSS
- John CollinsUnder 1.5 threes made70%LOSS
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Detroit is without Jalen Duren
- Philadelphia is without Joel Embiid
- Recent games: Detroit 4-1, Philadelphia 3-2 over their last five
Sun Oct 25 · 7:00 PM ET
Los Angeles (C)101
Oklahoma City108
FINAL · we projected 102.9 – 120.3Projected total 223.2
SPREADOklahoma City -16.552%
OVER / UNDERUnder 223.551%
The % is our chance that read is right.
Win chance · Oklahoma City favored
OUR PICKOklahoma City -16.5SPREADLOSS
52%ConfidenceOklahoma City has the stronger roster on paper and home court; Los Angeles (C) is without Brandon Ingram, Bradley Beal and Max Strus.
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✓ Total
- Oklahoma City has a big edge in roster quality over Los Angeles (C)
- Oklahoma City gets home court
- Los Angeles (C) is without Brandon Ingram, Bradley Beal and Max Strus
OutLos Angeles (C): Brandon Ingram (F), Bradley Beal (G), Max Strus (G), Jordan Miller (G), Yanic Konan Niederhauser (C); Oklahoma City: Nikola Topic (G), Thomas Sorber (C), Otega Oweh (G)
PLAYER PROPS
- Kris DunnUnder 1.5 threes made78%WIN
- Darius GarlandUnder 1.5 steals77%WIN
- Jalen WilliamsUnder 0.5 blocks76%LOSS
2 more props
- Derrick Jones Jr.Under 1.5 threes made75%LOSS
- Isaiah JacksonUnder 1.5 assists75%LOSS
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Oklahoma City has 3 players out
- Recent games: Los Angeles (C) 3-2, Oklahoma City 3-2 over their last five
- Oklahoma City is led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Sun Oct 25 · 5:00 PM ET
Los Angeles (L)132
Utah123
FINAL · we projected 120.8 – 114.1Projected total 234.9
SPREADLos Angeles (L) -6.551%
OVER / UNDERUnder 237.556%
The % is our chance that read is right.
Win chance · Los Angeles (L) favored
OUR PICKLos Angeles (L) -6.5SPREADWIN
51%ConfidenceLos Angeles (L) has the stronger roster on paper; Utah is without Jusuf Nurkic.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✗ Total
- Los Angeles (L) has a big edge in roster quality over Utah
- Utah gets home court
- Utah is without Jusuf Nurkic
OutLos Angeles (L): Cameron Carr (G), Adou Thiero (F); Utah: Jusuf Nurkic (C), Trey Alexander (G)
PLAYER PROPS
- Lauri MarkkanenUnder 1.5 steals81%WIN
- Quentin GrimesUnder 0.5 blocks73%WIN
- Sandro MamukelashviliUnder 1.5 threes made73%WIN
2 more props
- Ziaire WilliamsUnder 1.5 threes made72%LOSS
- Austin ReavesUnder 0.5 blocks69%LOSS
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Recent games: Los Angeles (L) 3-2, Utah 3-2 over their last five
- Los Angeles (L) is led by Luka Doncic
- We like Los Angeles (L) to win by more than the line