SATURDAY OCT 24 graded picks
Went 3-5 on the day
TOP PICKSat Oct 24 · 8:00 PM ET
San Antonio122
Dallas106
FINAL · we projected 117.1 – 109Projected total 226.1
SPREADDallas +14.574%
OVER / UNDERUnder 229.557%
The % is our chance that read is right.
Win chance · San Antonio favored
OUR PICKDallas +14.5SPREADLOSS
74%ConfidenceWe expect a closer game than the line says; San Antonio is without Tobias Harris; Dallas has home court; Dallas still gets the edge without Cooper Flagg and Santi Aldama.
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✓ Total
- San Antonio has a big edge in roster quality over Dallas
- Dallas gets home court
- Both teams played last night
OutSan Antonio: Tobias Harris (F), Jayden Quaintance (F); Dallas: Cooper Flagg (F), Naji Marshall (F), Santi Aldama (F), Dereck Lively II (C), Caleb Martin (F), Tarik Biberovic (F)
PLAYER PROPS
- Victor WembanyamaUnder 1.5 steals82%WIN
- Devin VassellUnder 1.5 steals81%LOSS
- Daniel GaffordUnder 1.5 blocks72%LOSS
2 more props
- Julian ChampagnieUnder 2.5 threes made72%LOSS
- Kyrie IrvingUnder 2.5 threes made69%
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- San Antonio is without Tobias Harris
- Dallas is without Cooper Flagg, Kyrie Irving and Santi Aldama
- Recent games: San Antonio 2-3, Dallas 2-3 over their last five
TOP PICKSat Oct 24 · 6:00 PM ET
Miami110
Charlotte115
FINAL · we projected 113.1 – 114.5Projected total 227.6
SPREADCharlotte +3.566%
OVER / UNDEROver 227.550%
The % is our chance that read is right.
Win chance · Charlotte favored
OUR PICKCharlotte +3.5SPREADWIN
66%ConfidenceWe expect a closer game than the line says; Charlotte has home court; Charlotte still gets the edge without Kon Knueppel and Coby White.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✗ Total
- Charlotte and Miami are closely matched on paper
- Charlotte gets home court
- Both teams played last night
OutCharlotte: Kon Knueppel (G), Coby White (G), Grant Williams (F), Kylan Boswell (G)
PLAYER PROPS
- Klay ThompsonUnder 2.5 rebounds74%LOSS
- Brandon MillerUnder 3.5 assists71%LOSS
- Pelle LarssonUnder 6.5 rebounds + assists71%LOSS
2 more props
- Davion MitchellUnder 1.5 threes made70%LOSS
- Giannis AntetokounmpoUnder 0.5 threes made70%WIN
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Charlotte is without Kon Knueppel and Coby White
- Recent games: Miami 1-4, Charlotte 2-3 over their last five
- Charlotte is led by Brandon Miller
Sat Oct 24 · 8:30 PM ET
Houston121
Atlanta114
FINAL · we projected 113.3 – 114.3Projected total 227.6
SPREADAtlanta +1.558%
OVER / UNDEROver 227.550%
The % is our chance that read is right.
Win chance · Atlanta favored
OUR PICKAtlanta +1.5SPREADLOSS
58%ConfidenceWe expect a closer game than the line says; Houston is without Fred VanVleet; Atlanta has home court.
✗ Moneyline✗ Spread✓ Total
- Atlanta and Houston are closely matched on paper
- Atlanta gets home court
- Both teams played last night
OutHouston: Steven Adams (C); Atlanta: Mouhamed Gueye (F), Henri Veesaar (C)
PLAYER PROPS
- Jalen JohnsonUnder 1.5 steals79%LOSS
- CJ McCollumUnder 2.5 threes made77%WIN
- Nickeil Alexander-WalkerUnder 3.5 assists74%LOSS
2 more props
- Dyson DanielsUnder 0.5 blocks72%WIN
- Tari EasonUnder 1.5 threes made70%WIN
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Houston is without Fred VanVleet
- Recent games: Houston 4-1, Atlanta 5-0 over their last five
- Atlanta is led by Jalen Johnson
Sat Oct 24 · 7:30 PM ET
BACK-TO-BACK · Milwaukee
Milwaukee116
Philadelphia127
FINAL · we projected 111 – 121.3Projected total 232.3
SPREADMilwaukee +12.557%
OVER / UNDERUnder 234.555%
The % is our chance that read is right.
Win chance · Philadelphia favored
OUR PICKMilwaukee +12.5SPREADWIN
57%ConfidenceWe expect a closer game than the line says; Philadelphia is without LeBron James; Milwaukee played the night before but still gets the edge.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✗ Total
- Philadelphia has a big edge in roster quality over Milwaukee
- Philadelphia gets home court
- Milwaukee is on the second night of a back-to-back
OutPhiladelphia: VJ Edgecombe (G), Joel Embiid (C), Dominick Barlow (F), Jabari Walker (F), Ariel Hukporti (C), Tacko Fall (C)
PLAYER PROPS
- Joel EmbiidUnder 1.5 blocks79%WIN
- Kentavious Caldwell-PopeUnder 1.5 threes made77%LOSS
- Kyle KuzmaUnder 1.5 threes made74%WIN
2 more props
- VJ EdgecombeUnder 1.5 steals71%WIN
- Ryan RollinsUnder 4.5 rebounds68%WIN
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Philadelphia is without LeBron James
- Recent games: Milwaukee 1-4, Philadelphia 2-3 over their last five
- Philadelphia is led by Tyrese Maxey
Sat Oct 24 · 8:00 PM ET
Washington124
Chicago120
FINAL · we projected 113.5 – 117.7Projected total 231.2
SPREADChicago -1.557%
OVER / UNDERUnder 244.576%
The % is our chance that read is right.
Win chance · Chicago favored
OUR PICKChicago -1.5SPREADLOSS
57%ConfidenceChicago has the stronger roster on paper and home court; Chicago still gets the edge without Nic Claxton.
✗ Moneyline✗ Spread✓ Total
- Chicago has a clear edge in roster quality over Washington
- Chicago gets home court
- Both teams played last night
OutWashington: AJ Dybantsa (F), Jamir Watkins (G), Tristan Vukcevic (F); Chicago: Nic Claxton (C)
PLAYER PROPS
- Bilal CoulibalyUnder 1.5 steals78%LOSS
- Alex SarrUnder 1.5 threes made77%WIN
- Norman PowellUnder 3.5 rebounds73%WIN
2 more props
- Matas BuzelisUnder 1.5 blocks72%WIN
- Caleb WilsonUnder 1.5 steals70%LOSS
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Washington has 3 players out
- Chicago is without Nic Claxton
- Recent games: Washington 2-3, Chicago 3-2 over their last five
Sat Oct 24 · 10:00 PM ET
BACK-TO-BACK · Golden State
Golden State122
Phoenix131
FINAL · we projected 109.2 – 116.7Projected total 225.9
SPREADGolden State +9.555%
OVER / UNDEROver 221.559%
The % is our chance that read is right.
Win chance · Phoenix favored
OUR PICKGolden State +9.5SPREADWIN
55%ConfidenceWe expect a closer game than the line says; Golden State played the night before but still gets the edge; Golden State still gets the edge without Jimmy Butler III, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody and Kristaps Porzingis.
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✓ Total
- Phoenix has a clear edge in roster quality over Golden State
- Phoenix gets home court
- Golden State is on the second night of a back-to-back
OutGolden State: Jimmy Butler III (F), Moses Moody (G), Kristaps Porzingis (C); Phoenix: Mark Williams (C)
PLAYER PROPS
- Gui SantosUnder 1.5 steals77%WIN
- De'Anthony MeltonUnder 3.5 assists69%LOSS
- Devin BookerUnder 9.5 rebounds + assists67%LOSS
2 more props
- Brandon WilliamsUnder 16.5 points66%LOSS
- Dillon BrooksUnder 5.5 rebounds + assists65%LOSS
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Golden State is without Jimmy Butler III, Stephen Curry and Brandin Podziemski
- Recent games: Golden State 3-2, Phoenix 1-4 over their last five
- Phoenix is led by Collin Gillespie
Sat Oct 24 · 7:30 PM ET
Brooklyn121
Cleveland125
FINAL · we projected 109.3 – 122Projected total 231.3
SPREADCleveland -11.554%
OVER / UNDEROver 228.556%
The % is our chance that read is right.
Win chance · Cleveland favored
OUR PICKCleveland -11.5SPREADLOSS
54%ConfidenceCleveland has the stronger roster on paper and home court.
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✓ Total
- Cleveland has a big edge in roster quality over Brooklyn
- Cleveland gets home court
- Recent games: Brooklyn 3-2, Cleveland 1-3 over their last five
OutBrooklyn: Mikel Brown Jr. (G), Tyler Bilodeau (F)
PLAYER PROPS
- Keon EllisUnder 1.5 threes made76%LOSS
- Donovan MitchellUnder 1.5 steals73%WIN
- Julius RandleUnder 1.5 threes made72%LOSS
2 more props
- Jaylon TysonUnder 2.5 assists71%LOSS
- Peyton WatsonUnder 1.5 threes made71%LOSS
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Cleveland is led by Donovan Mitchell
- We like Cleveland to win by more than the line
Sat Oct 24 · 9:00 PM ET
BACK-TO-BACK · New Orleans
New Orleans135
Denver141
FINAL · we projected 114 – 126.2Projected total 240.2
SPREADDenver -11.552%
OVER / UNDEROver 239.551%
The % is our chance that read is right.
Win chance · Denver favored
OUR PICKDenver -11.5SPREADLOSS
52%ConfidenceDenver has the stronger roster on paper and home court; New Orleans played the night before; Denver still gets the edge without Cameron Johnson.
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✓ Total
- Denver has a big edge in roster quality over New Orleans
- Denver gets home court
- New Orleans is on the second night of a back-to-back
OutNew Orleans: Yves Missi (C); Denver: Spencer Jones (F), Julian Strawther (G)
PLAYER PROPS
- Aaron GordonUnder 0.5 blocks75%WIN
- Dejounte MurrayUnder 0.5 blocks72%LOSS
- Christian BraunUnder 0.5 blocks71%WIN
2 more props
- Trey Murphy IIIUnder 0.5 blocks70%WIN
- Jamal MurrayUnder 0.5 blocks70%LOSS
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Denver is without Cameron Johnson
- Recent games: New Orleans 2-3, Denver 3-2 over their last five
- Denver is led by Nikola Jokic