BetSharpr
Updated Oct 25, 8:33 PM ET
MON OCT 26
MONDAY OCT 26 upcoming games

Picks can still change until they lock before the start.

OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Dallas24.3
–
19.1Philadelphia
SPREAD
Dallas -4.5
53% chance to cover

Toss-up: we lean Dallas.

TOMORROWMon Oct 26 · 8:15 PM ET
Dallas @ Philadelphia
70%
30%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKDallas -4.5 SPREAD
Our team ratings like Dallas more than the betting line does; Philadelphia has more key players out.
  • We make Dallas the more likely winner (70%), projecting about 24-19 (Dallas 24, Philadelphia 19).
  • Philadelphia is missing 15 players (injured list or out).
Out: Dallas: K. Turpin (WR), D. Shelton (OT), D. Winters (LB), M. Davis (RB), D. Rogers (TE), P. Fant (TE), M. Hennessy (C), J. Bullard (DT), and 5 more · Philadelphia: D. Smith (WR), D. Wicks (WR), L. Johnson (OT), N. Smith Jr. (LB), M. Carter II (CB), T. Large (S), J. Hurts (QB), T. Bigsby (RB), and 7 more
Game-time forecast: 61°F, clear.Loud stadium for visiting teams
Top props (7)
TOP PROPS
  • Makai Lemon (WR) Over 37.5 receiving yards 72%
    Big role in the passing game; bigger role with a teammate out; soft matchup in coverage.
  • Dallas Goedert (TE) Over 48.5 receiving yards 63%
    Big role in the passing game; bigger role with a teammate out; likely chasing the game, more throws.
  • Ryan Flournoy (WR) Over 32.5 receiving yards 62%
    Big role in the passing game.
  • Jake Ferguson (TE) Over 18.5 receiving yards 61%
    Big role in the passing game.
  • George Pickens (WR) Over 62.5 receiving yards 59%
    Big role in the passing game; efficient with his targets.
  • Javonte Williams (RB) To score a touchdown 67%
    Big role in the offense; a high-scoring spot.
  • Dallas Goedert (TE) To score a touchdown 44%
    Big role in the offense; bigger role with a teammate out; defense gives up touchdowns.
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Divisional game, so these teams know each other well.
Out
Dallas: K. Turpin (WR), D. Shelton (OT), D. Winters (LB), M. Davis (RB), D. Rogers (TE), P. Fant (TE), M. Hennessy (C), J. Bullard (DT), and 5 more · Philadelphia: D. Smith (WR), D. Wicks (WR), L. Johnson (OT), N. Smith Jr. (LB), M. Carter II (CB), T. Large (S), J. Hurts (QB), T. Bigsby (RB), and 7 more
Input quality (not a win chance)62