THURSDAY OCT 22 graded picks
Went 0-1 on the day
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
New England23.7
–
26.3Chicago
SPREAD
New England +3
51% chance to cover
OVER / UNDER
Under 50.5
51% chance to hit
Toss-up: we lean Chicago by a hair, with the game landing under the total.
TOP PICKThu Oct 22 · 8:15 PM ET
New England
@
Chicago
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKNew England +3
SPREADLOSS
Our team ratings like New England more than the betting line does.
FINAL
New England 24 · Chicago 30
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✗ Total
- We make Chicago the more likely winner (61%), projecting about 24-26 (New England 24, Chicago 26).
- Overall we rank New England 1st and Chicago 2nd of 32, which is closer than the betting line says.
Total, model read: Under 50.5
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- New England is 4-3 (W W L in last 3), 22.9 points for and 20.4 against per game.
- Chicago is 5-2 (L W W in last 3), 25.7 points for and 20.4 against per game.
- Total, model read
- Under 50.5
Input quality (not a win chance)66