BetSharpr
Updated Nov 14, 8:40 PM ET
SAT NOV 7
SATURDAY NOV 7 graded picks
Went 7-3 on the day
TOP PICKSat Nov 7
Main card · Women's Bantamweight · 3 rounds
🇧🇷 PriscilaCachoeira13-10-0
VS
Nina 🇷🇸Milosevic10-1-0
10%
90%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKNina Milosevic to win MONEYLINEWIN
Better grappler, younger, much stronger pro record.
Brazil
From
Serbia
13-10-0
Pro record
10-1-0
5-10
Top-level record
2-0
38
Age
30
5'7"
Height
5'5"
65"
Reach
67"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Power striker
Style
–
45
Striking
53
36
Grappling
50
62
Cardio
50
Chance of each result
4%
By KO / TKO
32%
1%
By submission
23%
5%
By decision
35%
Goes the distance 43%Ends inside 1.5 rds 33%
TOP PROPS
  • Nina Milosevic Wins by decision 35%LOSS
Full stats
Priscila CachoeiraNina Milosevic
Win chance10%90%
Chance to win by KO/TKO4%32%
Chance to win by submission1%23%
Chance to win by decision5%35%
FromBrazilSerbia
Pro record13-10-010-1-0
Top-level record5-102-0
Pro wins by method8 KO · 0 sub · 5 dec4 KO · 2 sub · 3 dec
Age3830
Height5'7"5'5"
Reach65"67"
StanceOrthodoxOrthodox
StylePower striker–
StrikingAverageAverage (few top-level fights)
PowerStrongAverage (few top-level fights)
ChinAverageStrong (few top-level fights)
GrapplingWeakAverage (few top-level fights)
CardioAverageAverage (few top-level fights)
Pace in round 3+Speeds up (+72%)–
Sig. strikes landed / min4.3–
Sig. strikes absorbed / min7.5–
Striking accuracy44%54%
Takedowns / 15 min0.4–
Takedown accuracy50%–
Takedown defense69%66%
Late-round takedown defense65%–
Held down / 15 min5.5 min0.0 min
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0–
Top-level fights with stats141
Confidence90%
TOP PICKSat Nov 7
Main card · Bantamweight · 3 rounds
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 DaveyGrant18-9-0
VS
Elijah 🇺🇸Smith11-1-0
17%
83%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKElijah Smith to win MONEYLINEWIN
Better striker, better grappler, younger.
England
From
USA
18-9-0
Pro record
11-1-0
8-8
Top-level record
4-0
40
Age
24
5'8"
Height
5'9"
69"
Reach
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Power striker
Style
–
58
Striking
65
49
Grappling
60
75
Cardio
42
Chance of each result
4%
By KO / TKO
32%
6%
By submission
23%
7%
By decision
28%
Goes the distance 39%Ends inside 1.5 rds 35%
TOP PROPS
  • Elijah Smith Wins by KO/TKO 32%
Full stats
Davey GrantElijah Smith
Win chance17%83%
Chance to win by KO/TKO4%32%
Chance to win by submission6%23%
Chance to win by decision7%28%
FromEnglandUSA
Pro record18-9-011-1-0
Top-level record8-84-0
Pro wins by method4 KO · 8 sub · 5 dec5 KO · 2 sub · 3 dec
Age4024
Height5'8"5'9"
Reach69"71"
StanceOrthodoxOrthodox
StylePower striker–
StrikingStrongElite
PowerStrongAverage
ChinAverageStrong
GrapplingAverageStrong
CardioStrongAverage
Pace in round 3+Speeds up (+15%)–
Sig. strikes landed / min5.13.7
Sig. strikes absorbed / min3.81.7
Striking accuracy44%55%
Takedowns / 15 min1.01.8
Takedown accuracy40%75%
Takedown defense64%58%
Late-round takedown defense70%69%
Held down / 15 min2.3 min3.5 min
Sub attempts / 15 min0.21.2
Top-level fights with stats153
Confidence83%
TOP PICKSat Nov 7
Prelim · Welterweight · 3 rounds
🇰🇷 SeokhyeonKo14-3-0
VS
Wellington 🇧🇷Turman18-9-0
77%
23%
Win chance · our model
Small cage + wrestler (Ko); Turman long layoff
OUR PICKSeokhyeon Ko to win MONEYLINEWIN
Better striker, better grappler, better cardio.
South Korea
From
Brazil
14-3-0
Pro record
18-9-0
3-1
Top-level record
3-7
33
Age
30
5'10"
Height
6'0"
71"
Reach
72"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Wrestler
Style
Grappler
64
Striking
40
64
Grappling
40
71
Cardio
34
Chance of each result
23%
By KO / TKO
4%
16%
By submission
8%
38%
By decision
11%
Goes the distance 48%Ends inside 1.5 rds 30%
TOP PROPS
  • Seokhyeon Ko Wins by decision 38%WIN
Full stats
Seokhyeon KoWellington Turman
Win chance77%23%
Chance to win by KO/TKO23%4%
Chance to win by submission16%8%
Chance to win by decision38%11%
FromSouth KoreaBrazil
Pro record14-3-018-9-0
Top-level record3-13-7
Pro wins by method6 KO · 0 sub · 7 dec4 KO · 8 sub · 6 dec
Age3330
Height5'10"6'0"
Reach71"72"
StanceSouthpawOrthodox
StyleWrestlerGrappler
StrikingEliteBelow average
PowerWeakWeak
ChinEliteAverage
GrapplingStrongBelow average
CardioStrongAverage
Pace in round 3+Holds paceHolds pace
Sig. strikes landed / min3.03.2
Sig. strikes absorbed / min1.54.2
Striking accuracy50%51%
Takedowns / 15 min3.31.6
Takedown accuracy59%21%
Takedown defense60%56%
Late-round takedown defense59%35%
Held down / 15 min1.3 min4.1 min
Sub attempts / 15 min0.30.8
Top-level fights with stats39
Confidence77%
TOP PICKSat Nov 7
Prelim · Featherweight · 3 rounds
🇺🇸 AustinBashi15-2-0
VS
Carlos 🇺🇸Calderon11-5-0
76%
24%
Win chance · our model
Late change: Carlos Calderon took this fight; Calderon long layoff; Late replacement: Calderon, 2 days' notice; Bashi camp was for a different opponent
OUR PICKAustin Bashi to win MONEYLINEWIN
Better grappler, better cardio, live submission threat.
USA
From
USA
15-2-0
Pro record
11-5-0
2-2
Top-level record
0-1
25
Age
30
5'6"
Height
5'11"
70"
Reach
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Grappler
Style
–
45
Striking
50
59
Grappling
50
76
Cardio
50
Chance of each result
16%
By KO / TKO
5%
26%
By submission
8%
34%
By decision
11%
Goes the distance 52%Ends inside 1.5 rds 28%
TOP PROPS
  • Austin Bashi Wins by decision 34%LOSS
Full stats
Austin BashiCarlos Calderon
Win chance76%24%
Chance to win by KO/TKO16%5%
Chance to win by submission26%8%
Chance to win by decision34%11%
FromUSAUSA
Pro record15-2-011-5-0
Top-level record2-20-1
Pro wins by method3 KO · 6 sub · 5 dec2 KO · 6 sub · 3 dec
Age2530
Height5'6"5'11"
Reach70"71"
StanceOrthodoxSouthpaw
StyleGrappler–
StrikingAverageAverage (few top-level fights)
PowerBelow averageAverage (few top-level fights)
ChinStrongStrong (few top-level fights)
GrapplingStrongAverage (few top-level fights)
CardioStrongAverage (few top-level fights)
Pace in round 3+Speeds up (+67%)–
Sig. strikes landed / min1.7–
Sig. strikes absorbed / min2.3–
Striking accuracy40%–
Takedowns / 15 min3.1–
Takedown accuracy21%–
Takedown defense61%–
Late-round takedown defense61%–
Held down / 15 min2.3 min–
Sub attempts / 15 min0.9–
Top-level fights with stats3–
Confidence76%
Sat Nov 7
Co-main · Women's Strawweight · 3 rounds
🇺🇸 TatianaSuarez13-1-0
VS
Virna 🇧🇷Jandiroba23-4-0
71%
29%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKTatiana Suarez to win MONEYLINE
Live submission threat.
USA
From
Brazil
13-1-0
Pro record
23-4-0
9-1
Top-level record
9-4
35
Age
38
5'5"
Height
5'3"
66"
Reach
64"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Well-rounded
Style
Grappler
61
Striking
55
74
Grappling
76
69
Cardio
86
Chance of each result
11%
By KO / TKO
3%
24%
By submission
11%
36%
By decision
15%
Goes the distance 63%Ends inside 1.5 rds 21%
TOP PROPS
  • Tatiana Suarez Wins by decision 36%
Full stats
Tatiana SuarezVirna Jandiroba
Win chance71%29%
Chance to win by KO/TKO11%3%
Chance to win by submission24%11%
Chance to win by decision36%15%
FromUSABrazil
Pro record13-1-023-4-0
Top-level record9-19-4
Pro wins by method2 KO · 7 sub · 4 dec1 KO · 14 sub · 8 dec
Age3538
Height5'5"5'3"
Reach66"64"
StanceSouthpawOrthodox
StyleWell-roundedGrappler
StrikingStrongStrong
PowerBelow averageAverage
ChinEliteStrong
GrapplingEliteElite
CardioStrongElite
Pace in round 3+Holds paceSpeeds up (+54%)
Sig. strikes landed / min2.92.3
Sig. strikes absorbed / min1.62.9
Striking accuracy60%41%
Takedowns / 15 min4.53.1
Takedown accuracy46%39%
Takedown defense62%67%
Late-round takedown defense68%69%
Held down / 15 min1.8 min1.9 min
Sub attempts / 15 min0.71.4
Top-level fights with stats1013
Confidence71%
Sat Nov 7
Prelim · Middleweight · 3 rounds
🇱🇹 MantasKondratavicius9-2-0
VS
Andre 🇺🇸Petroski14-6-0
71%
29%
Win chance · our model
Late change: Andre Petroski took this fight; Small cage + wrestler (Petroski); Late replacement: Petroski, 10 days' notice; Kondratavicius camp was for a different opponent
OUR PICKMantas Kondratavicius to win MONEYLINELOSS
Better striker, better cardio, younger.
Lithuania
From
USA
9-2-0
Pro record
14-6-0
1-1
Top-level record
9-5
27
Age
35
6'2"
Height
6'0"
75"
Reach
73"
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
–
Style
Wrestler
62
Striking
48
56
Grappling
79
44
Cardio
33
Chance of each result
36%
By KO / TKO
9%
17%
By submission
10%
18%
By decision
10%
Goes the distance 33%Ends inside 1.5 rds 38%
TOP PROPS
  • Mantas Kondratavicius Wins by KO/TKO 36%LOSS
Full stats
Mantas KondrataviciusAndre Petroski
Win chance71%29%
Chance to win by KO/TKO36%9%
Chance to win by submission17%10%
Chance to win by decision18%10%
FromLithuaniaUSA
Pro record9-2-014-6-0
Top-level record1-19-5
Pro wins by method6 KO · 2 sub · 1 dec4 KO · 4 sub · 5 dec
Age2735
Height6'2"6'0"
Reach75"73"
StanceOrthodoxSwitch
Style–Wrestler
StrikingStrong (few top-level fights)Average
PowerAverage (few top-level fights)Average
ChinStrong (few top-level fights)Average
GrapplingAverage (few top-level fights)Elite
CardioAverage (few top-level fights)Below average
Pace in round 3+–Holds pace
Sig. strikes landed / min5.02.8
Sig. strikes absorbed / min1.13.0
Striking accuracy70%49%
Takedowns / 15 min2.03.1
Takedown accuracy50%53%
Takedown defense68%71%
Late-round takedown defense76%61%
Held down / 15 min5.0 min0.9 min
Sub attempts / 15 min1.01.2
Top-level fights with stats113
Confidence71%
Sat Nov 7
Prelim · Women's Flyweight · 3 rounds
🇧🇷 KarineSilva20-7-0
VS
Gabriella 🇧🇷Fernandes11-5-0
64%
36%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKKarine Silva to win MONEYLINEWIN
Better striker, better grappler, live submission threat.
Brazil
From
Brazil
20-7-0
Pro record
11-5-0
6-3
Top-level record
3-4
32
Age
33
5'5"
Height
5'6"
67"
Reach
66"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Grappler
Style
Mixed
55
Striking
45
62
Grappling
52
31
Cardio
49
Chance of each result
19%
By KO / TKO
7%
21%
By submission
8%
24%
By decision
21%
Goes the distance 59%Ends inside 1.5 rds 23%
TOP PROPS
  • Karine Silva Wins by decision 24%WIN
Full stats
Karine SilvaGabriella Fernandes
Win chance64%36%
Chance to win by KO/TKO19%7%
Chance to win by submission21%8%
Chance to win by decision24%21%
FromBrazilBrazil
Pro record20-7-011-5-0
Top-level record6-33-4
Pro wins by method8 KO · 9 sub · 2 dec3 KO · 3 sub · 5 dec
Age3233
Height5'5"5'6"
Reach67"66"
StanceOrthodoxSouthpaw
StyleGrapplerMixed
StrikingStrongAverage
PowerAverageAverage
ChinEliteAverage
GrapplingStrongAverage
CardioBelow averageAverage
Pace in round 3+Holds paceHolds pace
Sig. strikes landed / min2.33.5
Sig. strikes absorbed / min2.65.3
Striking accuracy40%47%
Takedowns / 15 min2.10.4
Takedown accuracy55%18%
Takedown defense50%64%
Late-round takedown defense34%72%
Held down / 15 min4.5 min5.1 min
Sub attempts / 15 min1.40.2
Top-level fights with stats86
Confidence64%
Sat Nov 7
Main event · Heavyweight · 5 rounds
🇩🇴 WaldoCortes-Acosta17-4-0
VS
Johnny 🇧🇷Walker23-10-0
63%
37%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKWaldo Cortes-Acosta to win MONEYLINE
Better striker, better grappler, better cardio.
Dominican Republic
From
Brazil
17-4-0
Pro record
23-10-0
10-4
Top-level record
9-7
35
Age
34
6'4"
Height
6'6"
78"
Reach
82"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Power striker
Style
Well-rounded
72
Striking
59
61
Grappling
54
82
Cardio
16
Chance of each result
35%
By KO / TKO
21%
12%
By submission
9%
17%
By decision
7%
Goes the distance 19%Ends inside 1.5 rds 34%
TOP PROPS
  • Waldo Cortes-Acosta Wins by KO/TKO 35%
Full stats
Waldo Cortes-AcostaJohnny Walker
Win chance63%37%
Chance to win by KO/TKO35%21%
Chance to win by submission12%9%
Chance to win by decision17%7%
FromDominican RepublicBrazil
Pro record17-4-023-10-0
Top-level record10-49-7
Pro wins by method9 KO · 1 sub · 7 dec12 KO · 2 sub · 2 dec
Age3534
Height6'4"6'6"
Reach78"82"
StanceOrthodoxOrthodox
StylePower strikerWell-rounded
StrikingEliteStrong
PowerEliteElite
ChinEliteAverage
GrapplingStrongAverage
CardioStrongWeak
Pace in round 3+Speeds up (+26%)Fades (-23%)
Sig. strikes landed / min4.93.8
Sig. strikes absorbed / min3.42.9
Striking accuracy48%54%
Takedowns / 15 min0.40.3
Takedown accuracy50%40%
Takedown defense70%56%
Late-round takedown defense72%77%
Held down / 15 min1.3 min2.7 min
Sub attempts / 15 min0.10.4
Top-level fights with stats1417
Confidence63%
Sat Nov 7
Prelim · Featherweight · 3 rounds
🇯🇵 KeiichiroNakamura8-2-0
VS
Ollie 🇳🇿Schmid5-3-0
63%
37%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKKeiichiro Nakamura to win MONEYLINELOSS
Rated the stronger fighter on record and attributes.
Japan
From
New Zealand
8-2-0
Pro record
5-3-0
1-1
Top-level record
1-1
27
Age
25
5'10"
Height
5'11"
70"
Reach
–
Southpaw
Stance
–
54
Striking
48
48
Grappling
50
63
Cardio
50
Chance of each result
30%
By KO / TKO
12%
9%
By submission
7%
24%
By decision
19%
Goes the distance 52%Ends inside 1.5 rds 27%
TOP PROPS
  • Keiichiro Nakamura Wins by KO/TKO 30%LOSS
Full stats
Keiichiro NakamuraOllie Schmid
Win chance63%37%
Chance to win by KO/TKO30%12%
Chance to win by submission9%7%
Chance to win by decision24%19%
FromJapanNew Zealand
Pro record8-2-05-3-0
Top-level record1-11-1
Pro wins by method7 KO · 0 sub · 1 dec3 KO · 0 sub · 1 dec
Age2725
Height5'10"5'11"
Reach70"–
StanceSouthpaw–
StrikingAverage (few top-level fights)Average (few top-level fights)
PowerAverage (few top-level fights)Average (few top-level fights)
ChinStrong (few top-level fights)Strong (few top-level fights)
GrapplingAverage (few top-level fights)Average (few top-level fights)
CardioAverage (few top-level fights)Average (few top-level fights)
Sig. strikes landed / min3.3–
Sig. strikes absorbed / min5.7–
Striking accuracy38%30%
Takedowns / 15 min0.0–
Takedown defense60%63%
Late-round takedown defense63%–
Held down / 15 min0.0 min0.4 min
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0–
Top-level fights with stats11
Confidence63%
Sat Nov 7
Prelim · Featherweight · 3 rounds
🇧🇷 JoseDelano17-4-0
VS
Murtazali 🇰🇬Magomedov12-0-0
38%
62%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKMurtazali Magomedov to win MONEYLINEWIN
Unbeaten as a pro, live submission threat.
Brazil
From
Kyrgyzstan
17-4-0
Pro record
12-0-0
1-1
Top-level record
2-0
30
Age
27
5'8"
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
54
Striking
51
49
Grappling
51
65
Cardio
50
Chance of each result
9%
By KO / TKO
19%
9%
By submission
21%
20%
By decision
22%
Goes the distance 56%Ends inside 1.5 rds 26%
TOP PROPS
  • Murtazali Magomedov Wins by decision 22%WIN
Full stats
Jose DelanoMurtazali Magomedov
Win chance38%62%
Chance to win by KO/TKO9%19%
Chance to win by submission9%21%
Chance to win by decision20%22%
FromBrazilKyrgyzstan
Pro record17-4-012-0-0
Top-level record1-12-0
Pro wins by method4 KO · 5 sub · 8 dec4 KO · 5 sub · 0 dec
Age3027
Height5'8"5'9"
Reach70"70"
StanceOrthodoxOrthodox
StrikingAverage (few top-level fights)Average (few top-level fights)
PowerBelow average (few top-level fights)Average (few top-level fights)
ChinStrong (few top-level fights)Strong (few top-level fights)
GrapplingAverage (few top-level fights)Average (few top-level fights)
CardioStrong (few top-level fights)Average (few top-level fights)
Sig. strikes landed / min7.1–
Sig. strikes absorbed / min4.5–
Striking accuracy62%71%
Takedowns / 15 min0.0–
Takedown accuracy0%50%
Takedown defense67%63%
Late-round takedown defense69%–
Held down / 15 min1.1 min0.0 min
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0–
Top-level fights with stats11
Confidence62%
Sat Nov 7
Prelim · Featherweight · 3 rounds
🇺🇸 AustinBashi14-2-0
VS
Lucas 🇺🇸Brennan11-3-0
61%
39%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKAustin Bashi to win MONEYLINE
Better grappler, live submission threat.
USA
From
USA
14-2-0
Pro record
11-3-0
1-2
Top-level record
0-1
25
Age
26
5'6"
Height
5'10"
70"
Reach
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Grappler
Style
–
45
Striking
48
59
Grappling
48
76
Cardio
66
Chance of each result
12%
By KO / TKO
8%
20%
By submission
16%
28%
By decision
14%
Goes the distance 54%Ends inside 1.5 rds 26%
TOP PROPS
  • Austin Bashi Wins by decision 28%
Full stats
Austin BashiLucas Brennan
Win chance61%39%
Chance to win by KO/TKO12%8%
Chance to win by submission20%16%
Chance to win by decision28%14%
FromUSAUSA
Pro record14-2-011-3-0
Top-level record1-20-1
Pro wins by method3 KO · 6 sub · 5 dec2 KO · 8 sub · 1 dec
Age2526
Height5'6"5'10"
Reach70"71"
StanceOrthodoxSouthpaw
StyleGrappler–
StrikingAverageAverage (few top-level fights)
PowerBelow averageBelow average (few top-level fights)
ChinStrongStrong (few top-level fights)
GrapplingStrongAverage (few top-level fights)
CardioStrongStrong (few top-level fights)
Pace in round 3+Speeds up (+67%)–
Sig. strikes landed / min1.70.6
Sig. strikes absorbed / min2.32.2
Striking accuracy40%25%
Takedowns / 15 min3.10.0
Takedown accuracy21%0%
Takedown defense61%59%
Late-round takedown defense61%69%
Held down / 15 min2.3 min6.6 min
Sub attempts / 15 min0.91.0
Top-level fights with stats31
Confidence61%
Sat Nov 7
Main card · Light Heavyweight · 3 rounds
🇺🇸 BillyElekana10-3-0
VS
Lucas 🇧🇷Fernando15-3-0
41%
59%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKLucas Fernando to win MONEYLINE
Longer reach, better striker, better cardio.
USA
From
Brazil
10-3-0
Pro record
15-3-0
3-2
Top-level record
2-0
31
Age
29
6'3"
Height
6'3"
77"
Reach
80"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Grappler
Style
–
52
Striking
60
50
Grappling
48
33
Cardio
46
Chance of each result
13%
By KO / TKO
25%
14%
By submission
15%
15%
By decision
18%
Goes the distance 32%Ends inside 1.5 rds 39%
TOP PROPS
  • Lucas Fernando Wins by KO/TKO 25%
Full stats
Billy ElekanaLucas Fernando
Win chance41%59%
Chance to win by KO/TKO13%25%
Chance to win by submission14%15%
Chance to win by decision15%18%
FromUSABrazil
Pro record10-3-015-3-0
Top-level record3-22-0
Pro wins by method3 KO · 3 sub · 4 dec8 KO · 2 sub · 4 dec
Age3129
Height6'3"6'3"
Reach77"80"
StanceSouthpawOrthodox
StyleGrappler–
StrikingAverageStrong (few top-level fights)
PowerAverageAverage (few top-level fights)
ChinStrongStrong (few top-level fights)
GrapplingAverageAverage (few top-level fights)
CardioBelow averageAverage (few top-level fights)
Sig. strikes landed / min2.76.2
Sig. strikes absorbed / min3.61.2
Striking accuracy56%60%
Takedowns / 15 min0.80.0
Takedown accuracy22%–
Takedown defense63%60%
Late-round takedown defense63%63%
Held down / 15 min0.6 min1.2 min
Sub attempts / 15 min0.80.0
Top-level fights with stats41
Confidence59%
Sat Nov 7
Prelim · Welterweight · 3 rounds
🇺🇸 JonnyParsons9-4-0
VS
Jose 🇧🇷Henrique10-1-0
43%
57%
Win chance · our model
Reach gap 10 in; Parsons long layoff; Henrique long layoff
OUR PICKJose Henrique to win MONEYLINEWIN
Longer reach, younger, much stronger pro record.
USA
From
Brazil
9-4-0
Pro record
10-1-0
1-1
Top-level record
1-0
35
Age
24
5'9"
Height
6'3"
69"
Reach
79"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
55
Striking
50
50
Grappling
50
50
Cardio
50
Chance of each result
20%
By KO / TKO
16%
7%
By submission
14%
16%
By decision
28%
Goes the distance 47%Ends inside 1.5 rds 30%
TOP PROPS
  • Jose Henrique Wins by decision 28%LOSS
Full stats
Jonny ParsonsJose Henrique
Win chance43%57%
Chance to win by KO/TKO20%16%
Chance to win by submission7%14%
Chance to win by decision16%28%
FromUSABrazil
Pro record9-4-010-1-0
Top-level record1-11-0
Pro wins by method7 KO · 0 sub · 2 dec0 KO · 0 sub · 1 dec
Age3524
Height5'9"6'3"
Reach69"79"
StanceOrthodoxOrthodox
StrikingStrong (few top-level fights)Average (few top-level fights)
PowerAverage (few top-level fights)Average (few top-level fights)
ChinStrong (few top-level fights)Strong (few top-level fights)
GrapplingAverage (few top-level fights)Average (few top-level fights)
CardioAverage (few top-level fights)Average (few top-level fights)
Sig. strikes landed / min6.3–
Sig. strikes absorbed / min4.4–
Striking accuracy51%–
Takedowns / 15 min0.0–
Takedown defense65%–
Held down / 15 min0.1 min–
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0–
Top-level fights with stats1–
Confidence57%
Sat Nov 7
Prelim · Heavyweight · 3 rounds
🇧🇷 GabrielLorenco8-2-0
VS
Thomas 🇺🇸Petersen12-5-0
57%
43%
Win chance · our model
Late change: Thomas Petersen took this fight; Late replacement: Petersen, 7 days' notice; Lorenco camp was for a different opponent
OUR PICKGabriel Lorenco to win MONEYLINELOSS
Rated the stronger fighter on record and attributes.
Brazil
From
USA
8-2-0
Pro record
12-5-0
0-1
Top-level record
4-4
27
Age
31
6'3"
Height
6'1"
76"
Reach
74"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
–
Style
Well-rounded
50
Striking
52
50
Grappling
58
50
Cardio
90
Chance of each result
29%
By KO / TKO
20%
17%
By submission
11%
11%
By decision
12%
Goes the distance 26%Ends inside 1.5 rds 43%
TOP PROPS
  • Gabriel Lorenco Wins by KO/TKO 29%LOSS
Full stats
Gabriel LorencoThomas Petersen
Win chance57%43%
Chance to win by KO/TKO29%20%
Chance to win by submission17%11%
Chance to win by decision11%12%
FromBrazilUSA
Pro record8-2-012-5-0
Top-level record0-14-4
Pro wins by method6 KO · 1 sub · 1 dec7 KO · 1 sub · 3 dec
Age2731
Height6'3"6'1"
Reach76"74"
StanceOrthodoxSouthpaw
Style–Well-rounded
StrikingAverage (few top-level fights)Average
PowerAverage (few top-level fights)Average
ChinStrong (few top-level fights)Average
GrapplingAverage (few top-level fights)Strong
CardioAverage (few top-level fights)Elite
Pace in round 3+–Speeds up (+114%)
Sig. strikes landed / min–3.0
Sig. strikes absorbed / min–2.6
Striking accuracy–58%
Takedowns / 15 min–2.6
Takedown accuracy–37%
Takedown defense–70%
Late-round takedown defense–63%
Held down / 15 min–0.7 min
Sub attempts / 15 min–0.2
Top-level fights with stats–7
Confidence57%
Sat Nov 7
Main card · Flyweight · 3 rounds
🇺🇸 MitchRaposo12-3-0
VS
Marcos 🇧🇷Degli15-4-0
52%
48%
Win chance · our model
Small cage + wrestler (Raposo)
OUR PICKLean: Mitch Raposo LEAN · NOT COUNTED
Too close to call: better cardio. A lean this slim is shown for interest only and does not count in the record.
USA
From
Brazil
12-3-0
Pro record
15-4-0
3-2
Top-level record
0-1
28
Age
26
5'5"
Height
5'6"
64"
Reach
67"
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Wrestler
Style
–
48
Striking
50
40
Grappling
50
71
Cardio
50
Chance of each result
13%
By KO / TKO
17%
11%
By submission
14%
28%
By decision
17%
Goes the distance 61%Ends inside 1.5 rds 22%
Full stats
Mitch RaposoMarcos Degli
Win chance52%48%
Chance to win by KO/TKO13%17%
Chance to win by submission11%14%
Chance to win by decision28%17%
FromUSABrazil
Pro record12-3-015-4-0
Top-level record3-20-1
Pro wins by method4 KO · 3 sub · 4 dec9 KO · 5 sub · 1 dec
Age2826
Height5'5"5'6"
Reach64"67"
StanceSwitchOrthodox
StyleWrestler–
StrikingAverageAverage (few top-level fights)
PowerWeakAverage (few top-level fights)
ChinStrongStrong (few top-level fights)
GrapplingBelow averageAverage (few top-level fights)
CardioStrongAverage (few top-level fights)
Pace in round 3+Fades (-17%)–
Sig. strikes landed / min1.8–
Sig. strikes absorbed / min2.9–
Striking accuracy42%–
Takedowns / 15 min1.8–
Takedown accuracy32%–
Takedown defense65%–
Late-round takedown defense71%–
Held down / 15 min2.5 min–
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0–
Top-level fights with stats4–