SATURDAY NOV 7 graded picks
Went 5-8 on the day
Top 25 games 13 games
BYU22
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Utah32
SpreadUtah -4.563%
TotalOver 49.560%
TOP PICKSat Nov 7 · 12:00 PM ET
13BYU@5Utah
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKUtah -4.5SPREADWIN
We like Utah at this line.
Trust score · High 80
FINAL
BYU 20 · Utah 28
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✗ Total
RIVALRY Holy War
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- No. 5 Utah (9-0) is at home against No. 13 BYU (7-2).
- BYU has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 28 and allowing 23 a game.
- Out: BYU
- L. Martin (RB), R. Saleapaga (TE), S. Moa (RB)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Utah has won its last 4, scoring 34 and allowing 22 a game.
- BYU is missing L. Martin (RB), R. Saleapaga (TE), S. Moa (RB).
- Their games this season have averaged about 53 combined points; the posted total is 49.5.
- Records
- BYU 7-2 · Utah 9-0
Texas23
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Missouri22
SpreadMissouri +3.555%
TotalOver 43.554%
Sat Nov 7 · 12:00 PM ET
8Texas@23Missouri
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKMissouri +3.5SPREADLOSS
We like Missouri at this line.
Trust score · High 80
FINAL
Texas 34 · Missouri 20
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✓ Total
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- Missouri (6-3) is at home against No. 8 Texas (7-2).
- Texas has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 28 and allowing 21 a game.
- Out: Texas
- H. Smothers (RB), N. Townsend (TE), T. Goosby (OG)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Missouri has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 27 and allowing 16 a game.
- Texas is missing H. Smothers (RB), N. Townsend (TE), T. Goosby (OG).
- Missouri is missing A. Hardy (RB), C. Green (OG), G. Hoffman (TE).
- Their games this season have averaged about 49 combined points; the posted total is 43.5.
- Out: Missouri
- A. Hardy (RB), C. Green (OG), G. Hoffman (TE), J. Brady (WR)
- Records
- Texas 7-2 · Missouri 6-3
UCLA21
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Minnesota23
SpreadMinnesota +669%
TotalOver 37.567%
Sat Nov 7 · 12:00 PM ET
17UCLA@Minnesota
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKMinnesota +6SPREADLOSS
We like Minnesota at this line.
Trust score · High 80
FINAL
UCLA 34 · Minnesota 20
✗ Moneyline✗ Spread✓ Total
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- Minnesota (5-4) is at home against No. 17 UCLA (9-0).
- UCLA has won its last 4, scoring 22 and allowing 8 a game.
- Out: UCLA
- J. Davis (OG), M. Matthews (WR), N. Iamaleava (QB), R. Pleasant (CB)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Minnesota has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 16 and allowing 22 a game.
- UCLA is missing J. Davis (OG), M. Matthews (WR), N. Iamaleava (QB).
- Minnesota is missing P. Walsh (TE), R. Estrada (RB).
- Their games this season have averaged about 46 combined points; the posted total is 37.5.
- Out: Minnesota
- P. Walsh (TE), R. Estrada (RB)
- Records
- UCLA 9-0 · Minnesota 5-4
Texas A&M27
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
South Carolina25
SpreadTexas A&M +7.573%
TotalUnder 52.552%
Sat Nov 7 · 3:00 PM ET
24Texas A&M@South Carolina
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKTexas A&M +7.5SPREADLOSS
We like Texas A&M at this line.
Trust score · High 80
FINAL
Texas A&M 9 · South Carolina 17
✗ Moneyline✗ Spread✓ Total
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- South Carolina (6-3) is at home against Texas A&M (4-5).
- Texas A&M has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 25 and allowing 16 a game.
- Out: Texas A&M
- A. Bethel-Roman (WR), B. Ivy (OG), M. Williams (WR), T. Bussey (WR), T. Riden Jr. (RB)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- South Carolina has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 35 and allowing 26 a game.
- Texas A&M is missing A. Bethel-Roman (WR), B. Ivy (OG), M. Williams (WR).
- South Carolina is missing D. Stewart (DL), J. Gibson (WR), J. Sellers (WR).
- Texas A&M comes in rested off a bye week.
- Out: South Carolina
- D. Stewart (DL), J. Gibson (WR), J. Sellers (WR)
- Records
- Texas A&M 4-5 · South Carolina 6-3
Alabama26
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
LSU26
SpreadAlabama +4.562%
TotalUnder 54.557%
Sat Nov 7 · 3:30 PM ET
6Alabama@21LSU
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKAlabama +4.5SPREADWIN
We like Alabama at this line.
Trust score · High 80
FINAL
Alabama 31 · LSU 13
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✓ Total
RIVALRY Alabama-LSU rivalry
Loud stadium: Tiger Stadium, #1 on our list of toughest road crowds
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- No. 21 LSU (6-3) is at home against No. 6 Alabama (7-2).
- Alabama has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 28 and allowing 22 a game.
- Out: Alabama
- A. Walker (WR), J. Ford (TE)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- LSU has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 42 and allowing 16 a game.
- Alabama is missing A. Walker (WR), J. Ford (TE).
- LSU is missing D. Spears (S), P. Wright III (WR).
- Alabama comes in rested off a bye week.
- Out: LSU
- D. Spears (S), P. Wright III (WR)
- Records
- Alabama 7-2 · LSU 6-3
Oregon22
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Ohio State29
TotalOver 44.564%
Sat Nov 7 · 3:30 PM ET
10Oregon@7Ohio State
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKNo pick
Our numbers and the betting line agree on this one, so there is no side to take.
FINAL
Oregon 41 · Ohio State 28
✗ Moneyline✓ Total
Loud stadium: Ohio Stadium, #8 on our list of toughest road crowds
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- No. 7 Ohio State (6-3) is at home against No. 10 Oregon (6-3).
- Oregon has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 19 and allowing 20 a game.
- Out: Oregon
- A. Flowers (CB), A. Olesh (TE), I. Hooks (WR)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Ohio State has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 28 and allowing 19 a game.
- Oregon is missing A. Flowers (CB), A. Olesh (TE), I. Hooks (WR).
- Ohio State is missing B. Inniss (WR), J. Jackson (RB), J. Sayin (QB).
- Oregon faces one of the tougher road crowds in the country.
- Out: Ohio State
- B. Inniss (WR), J. Jackson (RB), J. Sayin (QB)
- Records
- Oregon 6-3 · Ohio State 6-3
Cincinnati24
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Houston35
TotalUnder 61.555%
Sat Nov 7 · 3:30 PM ET
Cincinnati@19Houston
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKNo pick
Our numbers and the betting line agree on this one, so there is no side to take.
FINAL
Cincinnati 24 · Houston 31
✓ Moneyline✓ Total
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- No. 19 Houston (7-2) is at home against Cincinnati (5-4).
- Cincinnati has won 1 of its last 4, scoring 28 and allowing 38 a game.
- Out: Houston
- J. Hebert (RB), J. Thurman (TE), M. Tounkara (WR)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Houston has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 28 and allowing 22 a game.
- Houston is missing J. Hebert (RB), J. Thurman (TE), M. Tounkara (WR).
- Houston comes in rested off a bye week.
- Their games this season have averaged about 60 combined points; the posted total is 61.5.
- Records
- Cincinnati 5-4 · Houston 7-2
Merrimack6
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Wake Forest52
TotalOver 55.554%
Sat Nov 7 · 3:30 PM ET
Merrimack@11Wake Forest
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKNo pick
A starting QB was ruled out and the betting line didn't move on it, so we're staying off this one.
FINAL
Merrimack 0 · Wake Forest 77
✓ Moneyline✓ Total
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- No. 11 Wake Forest (8-1) is at home against Merrimack (0-2).
- Wake Forest has won its last 4, scoring 47 and allowing 8 a game.
- Records
- Merrimack 0-2 · Wake Forest 8-1
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Merrimack comes in rested off a bye week.
- Wake Forest may be looking ahead to a ranked opponent next week.
- Their games this season have averaged about 53 combined points; the posted total is 55.5.
Kentucky23
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Tennessee33
SpreadTennessee -5.561%
TotalOver 49.567%
Sat Nov 7 · 6:15 PM ET
Kentucky@12Tennessee
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKTennessee -5.5SPREADWIN
We like Tennessee at this line.
Trust score · High 80
FINAL
Kentucky 6 · Tennessee 34
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✗ Total
RIVALRY Tennessee-Kentucky rivalry
Loud stadium: Neyland Stadium, #7 on our list of toughest road crowds
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- No. 12 Tennessee (7-2) is at home against Kentucky (7-2).
- Kentucky has won its last 4, scoring 31 and allowing 24 a game.
- Out: Kentucky
- L. Watkins (TE), T. Mizell (RB)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Tennessee has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 24 and allowing 17 a game.
- Kentucky is missing L. Watkins (TE), T. Mizell (RB).
- Tennessee is missing B. Brady (LS), J. Harmon (LB), W. Moe Jr. (OG).
- Kentucky comes in rested off a bye week.
- Out: Tennessee
- B. Brady (LS), J. Harmon (LB), W. Moe Jr. (OG)
- Records
- Kentucky 7-2 · Tennessee 7-2
Georgia29
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Ole Miss30
SpreadOle Miss +359%
TotalOver 56.555%
Sat Nov 7 · 7:30 PM ET
3Georgia@15Ole Miss
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKOle Miss +3SPREADLOSS
We like Ole Miss at this line.
Trust score · High 80
FINAL
Georgia 42 · Ole Miss 7
✗ Moneyline✗ Spread✗ Total
Loud stadium: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, #21 on our list of toughest road crowds
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- No. 15 Ole Miss (6-3) is at home against No. 3 Georgia (8-1).
- Georgia has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 27 and allowing 16 a game.
- Out: Georgia
- D. Dowdell (RB), I. Canion (WR)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Ole Miss has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 39 and allowing 17 a game.
- Georgia is missing D. Dowdell (RB), I. Canion (WR).
- Georgia faces one of the tougher road crowds in the country.
- Their games this season have averaged about 58 combined points; the posted total is 56.5.
- Records
- Georgia 8-1 · Ole Miss 6-3
Iowa25
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Northwestern17
SpreadIowa -2.562%
TotalUnder 42.551%
Sat Nov 7 · 7:30 PM ET
14Iowa@Northwestern
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKIowa -2.5SPREADWIN
We like Iowa at this line.
Trust score · High 80
FINAL
Iowa 24 · Northwestern 10
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✓ Total
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- Northwestern (6-3) is at home against No. 14 Iowa (7-2).
- Iowa has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 24 and allowing 17 a game.
- Out: Northwestern
- A. Chiles (QB), J. Fussell (CB), T. McGlinchey (TE)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Northwestern has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 34 and allowing 21 a game.
- Northwestern is missing A. Chiles (QB), J. Fussell (CB), T. McGlinchey (TE).
- Their games this season have averaged about 47 combined points; the posted total is 42.5.
- Records
- Iowa 7-2 · Northwestern 6-3
Miami27
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Notre Dame31
SpreadMiami +5.554%
TotalOver 54.560%
Sat Nov 7 · 7:30 PM ET
4Miami@1Notre Dame
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKMiami +5.5SPREADLOSS
We like Miami at this line.
Trust score · High 80
FINAL
Miami 24 · Notre Dame 31
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✓ Total
Loud stadium: Notre Dame Stadium, #9 on our list of toughest road crowds
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- No. 1 Notre Dame (8-1) is at home against No. 4 Miami (8-1).
- Miami has won its last 4, scoring 44 and allowing 26 a game.
- Out: Miami
- C. Brown (RB), J. Moore (WR), L. Gilbert (TE), M. Toney (WR)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Notre Dame has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 38 and allowing 18 a game.
- Miami is missing C. Brown (RB), J. Moore (WR), L. Gilbert (TE).
- Notre Dame is missing B. Hebert (QB), F. Brewu (DT), J. Onye (DT).
- Miami faces one of the tougher road crowds in the country.
- Out: Notre Dame
- B. Hebert (QB), F. Brewu (DT), J. Onye (DT), Q. Porter (WR)
- Records
- Miami 8-1 · Notre Dame 8-1
West Virginia19
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Texas Tech41
SpreadTexas Tech -17.560%
TotalUnder 68.569%
Sat Nov 7 · 9:30 PM ET
West Virginia@9Texas Tech
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKTexas Tech -17.5SPREADLOSS
We like Texas Tech at this line.
Trust score · High 80
FINAL
West Virginia 48 · Texas Tech 53
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✗ Total
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- No. 9 Texas Tech (8-1) is at home against West Virginia (5-4).
- West Virginia has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 36 and allowing 40 a game.
- Out: West Virginia
- A. Devine (RB), C. Ball (TE), M. Boswell (RB)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Texas Tech has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 35 and allowing 24 a game.
- West Virginia is missing A. Devine (RB), C. Ball (TE), M. Boswell (RB).
- Texas Tech is missing C. Dickey (RB), C. Eakin (WR), D. Lee Jr. (WR).
- West Virginia comes in rested off a bye week.
- Out: Texas Tech
- C. Dickey (RB), C. Eakin (WR), D. Lee Jr. (WR), M. Simmons (WR)
- Records
- West Virginia 5-4 · Texas Tech 8-1
More games 4 games
Boise State40
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Colorado State29
SpreadColorado State +16.563%
TotalUnder 69.553%
Sat Nov 7 · 6:00 PM ET
Boise State@Colorado State
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKColorado State +16.5SPREADLOSS
We like Colorado State at this line.
Trust score · High 80
FINAL
Boise State 64 · Colorado State 38
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✗ Total
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- Colorado State (3-6) is at home against Boise State (8-1).
- Boise State has won its last 4, scoring 38 and allowing 26 a game.
- Out: Boise State
- M. Madsen (QB), S. Gaines (RB)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Colorado State has won 1 of its last 4, scoring 31 and allowing 50 a game.
- Boise State is missing M. Madsen (QB), S. Gaines (RB).
- Colorado State is missing D. Robinson (RB), J. Vereen (TE).
- Their games this season have averaged about 69 combined points; the posted total is 69.5.
- Out: Colorado State
- D. Robinson (RB), J. Vereen (TE)
- Records
- Boise State 8-1 · Colorado State 3-6
Oklahoma State26
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Kansas State34
SpreadKansas State +3.577%
TotalUnder 61.554%
TOP PICKSat Nov 7 · 12:00 AM ET
Oklahoma State@Kansas State
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKKansas State +3.5SPREADLOSS
We like Kansas State at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 51°F, partly cloudy.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- Kansas State (4-4) is at home against Oklahoma State (5-3).
- Oklahoma State has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 45 and allowing 34 a game.
- Out: Oklahoma State
- J. Sexton (OG), O. Hammond (TE)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Kansas State has won 1 of its last 4, scoring 23 and allowing 28 a game.
- Oklahoma State is missing J. Sexton (OG), O. Hammond (TE).
- Kansas State is playing without its starting quarterback (D. Duff).
- Their games this season have averaged about 61 combined points; the posted total is 61.5.
- Out: Kansas State
- A. Morrell (TE), D. Duff (QB), G. Oakley (TE), J. Pastore (OG), W. Anciaux (TE)
- Records
- Oklahoma State 5-3 · Kansas State 4-4
Oklahoma22
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Florida23
SpreadOklahoma +5.560%
TotalUnder 48.558%
Sat Nov 7 · 12:00 AM ET
Oklahoma@Florida
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKOklahoma +5.5SPREADWIN
We like Oklahoma at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 64°F, mostly clear.
Loud stadium: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, #14 on our list of toughest road crowds
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- Florida (5-3) is at home against Oklahoma (4-4).
- Oklahoma has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 22 and allowing 26 a game.
- Out: Oklahoma
- T. Harris (WR)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Florida has won 1 of its last 4, scoring 18 and allowing 34 a game.
- Oklahoma is missing T. Harris (WR).
- Florida is missing D. Groce (WR), K. Jimenez (RB).
- Oklahoma faces one of the tougher road crowds in the country.
- Out: Florida
- D. Groce (WR), K. Jimenez (RB)
- Records
- Oklahoma 4-4 · Florida 5-3
Rutgers18
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Wisconsin29
TotalOver 46.553%
Sat Nov 7 · 12:00 AM ET
Rutgers@Wisconsin
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKNo pick
Our numbers and the betting line agree on this one, so there is no side to take.
Game-time forecast: 47°F, mostly cloudy.
Loud stadium: Camp Randall Stadium, #12 on our list of toughest road crowds
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- Wisconsin (5-3) is at home against Rutgers (2-6).
- Rutgers has won 1 of its last 4, scoring 22 and allowing 37 a game.
- Out: Rutgers
- D. Lonergan (QB), K. Sanders (CB)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Wisconsin has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 16 and allowing 14 a game.
- Rutgers is playing without its starting quarterback (D. Lonergan).
- Wisconsin is playing without its starting quarterback (D. O'Neil).
- Rutgers faces one of the tougher road crowds in the country.
- Out: Wisconsin
- D. O'Neil (QB)
- Records
- Rutgers 2-6 · Wisconsin 5-3