BetSharpr

Updated Oct 18, 4:33 PM ET
SUNDAY, OCT 18
STAT CORNER true stats about today's games, new ones every update All stats →
PRO FOOTBALL 130 stats →
  • HomeKansas City is 17-4 at home since 2024.
  • DefenseSauce Gardner has defended a pass in 8 of his last 10 games (since Week 6, 2025).
COLLEGE FOOTBALL 10 stats →
  • RankedRanked teams are 91-12 against unranked FBS teams this season.
  • RoadRanked teams are 31-3 on the road at unranked FBS teams this season.
PRO BASKETBALL 10 stats →
  • OpenerHome teams are 89-55 on the NBA's opening night since 1996-97.
  • PlayoffsNew York went 16-3 in the 2026 playoffs on the way to the title.
COLLEGE BASKETBALL 8 stats →
  • TournamentNo. 9 seeds have beaten No. 8 seeds in 48 of 92 NCAA tournament games since 2002-03.
  • TournamentNo. 12 seeds have beaten No. 5 seeds in 35 of 92 NCAA tournament games since 2002-03.
  • GoalieBrandon Bussi went 31-6-2 with a .895 save % in 39 starts last season (2025-26).
  • RestCarolina played last night. It has won 25 of 46 second games of a back-to-back since 2023-24.
BASEBALL 14 stats →
  • StreakSteven Kwan reached base in his last 18 regular-season games.
  • Playoff teamsTampa Bay went 36-26 against this year's playoff teams this season.
BEST PICKS OF TODAY our surest picks across every sport for today's games
Pro Football
Pittsburgh @ Tampa Bay
Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET
Tampa Bay +2.5SPREAD
Our team ratings like Tampa Bay more than the betting line does; home field for Tampa Bay; Tampa Bay is better rested.
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Pittsburgh 20.1·Tampa Bay 19.2
OUR PICKS
Winner Pittsburgh54%to win
Spread Tampa Bay +2.556%to cover
Total Over 38.552%to hit
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • We make Pittsburgh the more likely winner (54%), projecting about 20-19 (Pittsburgh 20, Tampa Bay 19).
  • Tampa Bay has the rest edge (10 days vs 7).
Total, model read
Over 38.5
Out
Pittsburgh: D. Allar (QB), W. Howard (QB), E. Heidenreich (RB), B. Skowronek (WR), K. Jobity Jr. (DT), D. Kent (CB), S. Murphy-Bunting (CB), T. Smith (CB), and 9 more · Tampa Bay: B. Mayfield (QB), S. Tucker (RB), A. Winfield Jr. (S), D. Sills V (WR), J. McMillan (WR), M. Kamara (LB), J. Hayes (CB)
Input quality (not a win chance)84
Hockey
Columbus @ Minnesota
Sun Oct 18 · 6:00 PM ET
Minnesota to winMONEYLINE
Minnesota has the stronger goalie in net (Jesper Wallstedt); Columbus is on the second night of a back-to-back; home ice.
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Columbus 2.9·Minnesota 3.5
OUR PICKS
Winner Minnesota60%to win
Spread Columbus +1.563%to cover
Total Under 6.552%to hit
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Goalies: Talbot in net for Columbus (.822 this season, .805 over his last 4 starts); Wallstedt in net for Minnesota (.921 this season, .908 over his last 5 starts). Not confirmed yet for Columbus
  • Form: Columbus won last game (2-3 in its last 5); Minnesota won last game (3-2 in its last 5)
  • Minnesota has home ice
  • Columbus is on the second night of a back-to-back
Out
Minnesota: Jared Spurgeon, Olli Maatta, Nico Sturm, Marcus Foligno, Filip Gustavsson, Nick Foligno, Brock Faber
Confidence60%
Pro Football
Houston @ Jacksonville
Sun Oct 18 · 9:30 AM ET
Jacksonville +2.5SPREADLOSS
Our team ratings like Jacksonville more than the betting line does; neutral site, so no home field.
FINAL
Houston 34 · Jacksonville 31
✗ Moneyline✗ Spread✓ Total
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Houston 20.4·Jacksonville 23
OUR PICKS
Winner Jacksonville60%to win
Spread Jacksonville +2.570%to cover
Total Over 42.552%to hit
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • We make Jacksonville the more likely winner (60%), projecting about 20-23 (Houston 20, Jacksonville 23).
  • Neutral site, so no home-field edge for either side.
  • Divisional game, so these teams know each other well.
Total, model read
Over 42.5
Input quality (not a win chance)77
TOP PROP PICKS OF TODAY 6 propsprops record 67-48 (58.3%) · all sports
Javonte Williams Pro Football · Dallas
Dallas @ Green Bay
To score a touchdown
Big role in the offense; soft matchup; expected game flow helps.
Confidence69%
Jordan Love Pro Football · Green Bay
Dallas @ Green Bay
Over 1.5 passing TDs
Big role in the offense; soft matchup; expected game flow helps.
Confidence67%
Steven Kwan Baseball · Cleveland
Tampa Bay @ Cleveland
1+ total bases
7 total bases in his last 7 games; Cleveland is 8-2 in its last 10.
Confidence66%
Chase DeLauter Baseball · Cleveland
Tampa Bay @ Cleveland
1+ total bases
13 total bases in his last 7 games; Cleveland is 8-2 in its last 10.
Confidence65%
José Ramírez Baseball · Cleveland
Tampa Bay @ Cleveland
1+ total bases
Hot bat: 11 for 27 in his last 7 games; 2 home runs in his last 7 games.
Confidence63%
Jonny DeLuca Baseball · Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay @ Cleveland
1+ total bases
7 total bases in his last 7 games.
Confidence62%
OUR RECORD BY SPORT graded game picks, wins and losses
SportPicksRecordWin %
Pro FootballWeek 6 top picks1-150.0%
Pro FootballSeason top picks14-5-373.7%
Pro FootballSeason all spread picks21-14-460.0%
College FootballLast week (Week 7)9-6-160.0%
College FootballSeason top picks (since Week 6)5-2-171.4%
College Football2026 season, all Top 25 picks41-34-154.7%
HockeyYesterday3-0100.0%
HockeySeason top picks29-1172.5%
HockeySeason all picks83-5161.9%
BaseballPlayoff picks10-855.6%
MMAWeekly cards · top picks3-442.9%
MMAProspect cards · top picks2-340.0%
PROP PICKS BY SPORT graded player props, wins and losses
SportPropsRecordWin %
Pro FootballPro football props 202617-1356.7%
BaseballBaseball playoff props44-2365.7%
MMAFinish picks6-1233.3%
All sportsCombined67-4858.3%
PATTERN WATCH trends inside our own graded picks See all patterns →
SPORTS pick a tab
Pro Football LIVE
14 picks · Week 6 · 2026
Record 14-5-3 (73.7%) · 2026 top picks
College Football BETA
33 picks · Week 8 · 2026
Record 41-34-1 (54.7%) · 2026 Top 25 picks at the posted line (since Week 3)
Pro Basketball BETA
28 picks · Regular season · 2026-27
College Basketball BETA
21 games · Preseason · 2026-27
Hockey LIVE
29 picks · Sun Oct 18
Record 29-11 (72.5%) · Season top picks
Baseball BETA
4 picks · Postseason · Oct 18
MMA BETA
11 picks · Pay-per-view card: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · Sat Oct 24
HOW IT WORKS

Each sport has its own model. It rates every team or fighter from game data, injuries and matchups, then picks a side for every game on the board. The picks we trust most go to the top of each tab. When games finish, each pick is graded and added to the record, win or lose. Preseason picks are shown for fun and are not counted.

Models that are new or still being tested are marked BETA. We never call a pick a lock, because no pick is.