Wednesday, Oct 21
BEST PICKS OF TODAY our surest picks across every sport
Pro BasketballWed Oct 21 · 7:00 PM ET
Milwaukee @ Washington
Milwaukee +4.5SPREADEARLY LOOK
64%
Milwaukee has the stronger roster on paper.
Pro BasketballWed Oct 21 · 8:30 PM ET
Dallas @ Houston
Dallas +9.5SPREADEARLY LOOK
62%
We expect a closer game than the line says; Dallas still gets the edge without Santi Aldama.
HockeyWed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET
Florida @ Ottawa
Ottawa to winMONEYLINE
60%
Home ice.
HockeyWed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET
Philadelphia @ Buffalo
Buffalo to winMONEYLINE
60%
Buffalo is the more rested team; home ice.
BETS OF THE DAY 0 locked in · 7 waiting for the last hour before the start · bankroll 63.1 units, 12-12-1 All slips →
Not locked in yet: each of these is booked in the last hour before its start, at the odds posted then. The price shown is the one standing now and updates every check; it locks in when the ticket does.
BETSHARPRPro Basketball
Point spread
Milwaukee +4.5
-105
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Milwaukee @ Washington
Wed Oct 21 · 7:00 PM ET
Stake10 u
To win~9.52 u
StatusNot locked in
BETSHARPRHockey
Moneyline
Ottawa to win
-110
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Florida @ Ottawa
Wed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET
Stake20 u
To win~18.18 u
StatusNot locked in
BETSHARPRHockey
60-minute moneyline
Buffalo to win in 60 min
-125
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Philadelphia @ Buffalo
Wed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET
Stake20 u
To win~16.00 u
StatusNot locked in
BETSHARPRHockey
Player prop
Jason Zucker: To score a goal
+370
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Philadelphia @ Buffalo
Wed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET
Stake5 u
To win~18.50 u
StatusNot locked in
BETSHARPRPro Basketball
Point spread
New Orleans +3.5
-112
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Indiana @ New Orleans
Wed Oct 21 · 8:00 PM ET
Stake10 u
To win~8.93 u
StatusNot locked in
BETSHARPRPro Basketball
Point spread
Dallas +9.5
-102
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Dallas @ Houston
Wed Oct 21 · 8:30 PM ET
Stake10 u
To win~9.80 u
StatusNot locked in
BETSHARPRPro Basketball
Point spread
Los Angeles (L) -6.5
-112
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Golden State @ Los Angeles (L)
Wed Oct 21 · 10:00 PM ET
Stake10 u
To win~8.93 u
StatusNot locked in
TOP PROP PICKS OF TODAY 6 propsprops record 122-119 (50.6%) · all sports
- Giannis AntetokounmpoPro Basketball · MiamiUnder 1.5 stealsEARLY LOOK 83%Our projection is below the line; first games with a new team.
- Andrew NembhardPro Basketball · IndianaUnder 1.5 stealsEARLY LOOK 81%Our projection is below the line.
- Matisse ThybullePro Basketball · Los Angeles (L)Under 1.5 assistsEARLY LOOK 80%Our projection is below the line; first games with a new team.
- Jalen JohnsonPro Basketball · AtlantaUnder 1.5 stealsEARLY LOOK 79%Our projection is below the line.
- Bilal CoulibalyPro Basketball · WashingtonUnder 1.5 threes madeEARLY LOOK 79%Our projection is below the line.
- Derrick Jones Jr.Pro Basketball · Los Angeles (C)Under 1.5 stealsEARLY LOOK 79%Our projection is below the line.
AROUND THE LEAGUES tap a sport for every pick
Pro Football8 picks · Week 7 · 202615-6-3 (71.4%) · 2026 top picks
College Football BETA16 picks · Week 8 · 202641-34-1 (54.7%) · 2026 Top 25 picks at the posted line (since Week 3)
Pro Basketball BETA36 picks · Regular season · 2026-271-0 (100.0%) · season top picks
College Basketball BETA21 games · Preseason · 2026-27
Hockey19 picks · Wed Oct 2132-14 (69.6%) · Season top picks
Baseball BETA1 pick · Postseason · Oct 21
MMA BETA14 picks · Pay-per-view card: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · Sat Oct 24
Full record by sport
OUR RECORD BY SPORT graded game picks, wins and losses
| Sport | Picks | Record | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pro Football | Season top picks | 15-6-3 | 71.4% |
| Pro Football | Season all spread picks | 25-15-4 | 62.5% |
| College Football | Last week (Week 7) | 9-6-1 | 60.0% |
| College Football | Season top picks (since Week 6) | 5-2-1 | 71.4% |
| College Football | 2026 season, all Top 25 picks | 41-34-1 | 54.7% |
| Pro Basketball | Season top picks | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| Pro Basketball | Season all picks | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| Hockey | Yesterday | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| Hockey | Season top picks | 32-14 | 69.6% |
| Hockey | Season all picks | 93-58 | 61.6% |
| Baseball | Playoff picks | 12-8 | 60.0% |
| MMA | Weekly cards · top picks | 3-4 | 42.9% |
PROP PICKS BY SPORT graded player props, wins and losses
| Sport | Props | Record | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pro Football | Pro football props 2026 | 51-67 | 43.2% |
| Pro Basketball | Pro basketball props 2026-27 | 11-4 | 73.3% |
| Hockey | Hockey goal-scorer props | 6-10 | 37.5% |
| Baseball | Baseball playoff props | 50-29 | 63.3% |
| MMA | Finish picks | 4-9 | 30.8% |
| All sports | Combined | 122-119 | 50.6% |
Stat corner: true stats about today's games
STAT CORNER true stats about today's games, new ones every update All stats →
PRO FOOTBALL 10 stats →
- LeagueHome teams are 39-44-5 against the spread this season.
- LeagueOvers are 47-46 this season.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL 10 stats →
- HomeOhio has the longest active FBS home win streak: 16 straight.
- StreakUtah has the longest active FBS win streak: 12 straight games.
PRO BASKETBALL 102 stats →
- Vs playoff teamsSacramento went 7-39 against 2026 playoff teams in the 2025-26 regular season.
- PlayerZach LaVine averaged 19.2 points in 2025-26 (39 games).
COLLEGE BASKETBALL 8 stats →
- TournamentNo. 1 seeds are 90-2 against No. 16 seeds in the NCAA tournament since 2002-03.
- TournamentNo. 2 seeds are 85-7 against No. 15 seeds in the NCAA tournament since 2002-03.
HOCKEY 23 stats →
- AssistsTim Stützle has an assist in 8 of his last 10 regular-season games (8 assists, since Apr 2026).
- HomeBuffalo won 26 of 41 home games last season (2025-26).
BASEBALL 9 stats →
- HomeHome teams are 592-505 in playoff games since 1995 (2020 bubble games left out).
- Pitching5 of the 35 playoff games this year have been shutouts.
PATTERN WATCH trends inside our own graded picks See all patterns →
- 63-33Hockey picks have gone 63-33 (65.6%) this season, above the 50% mark. established
- 27-22Picks posted at 70+% confidence have gone 27-22 (55%), about 19 points below their stated average (~74%). worth watching
- O 32-52 · U 19-15Pro football prop Overs have gone 32-52 while Unders have gone 19-15. established
HOW IT WORKS
Each sport has its own model. It rates every team or fighter from game data, injuries and matchups, then picks a side for every game on the board. The picks we trust most go to the top of each tab. When games finish, each pick is graded and added to the record, win or lose. Preseason picks are shown for fun and are not counted.
Models that are new or still being tested are marked BETA. We never call a pick a lock, because no pick is.