Thursday, Nov 5
BEST PICKS OF TODAY
HockeyThu Nov 5 · 7:00 PM ET
Chicago @ Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay to winMONEYLINE
74%
Tampa Bay has the stronger goalie in net (Andrei Vasilevskiy); Chicago is on the second night of a back-to-back; Chicago has gone 4 games without a win; home ice.
HockeyThu Nov 5 · 9:30 PM ET
Nashville @ Colorado
Colorado to winMONEYLINE
63%
Home ice.
Pro BasketballThu Nov 5 · 10:00 PM ET
Miami @ Golden State
Miami +7.5SPREADEARLY LOOK
60%
We expect a closer game than the line says; Golden State is without Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody and Kristaps Porzingis; Miami played the night before but still gets the edge.
Changed from Golden State to win at lock.
Officials: Bill Kennedy, Jason Goldenberg, Chelisa Painter
WHAT CHANGED TODAY 1 pick that left this list, and why
- HockeyWinnipeg to win (Vancouver @ Winnipeg · Thu Nov 5 · 7:00 PM ET)
Bumped from this list by higher-confidence picks. It is still a top pick on the Hockey tab.
BETS OF THE DAY 0 locked in · 1 not yet · +44.2 units overall, 12-6 All slips →
BETSHARPRPro Basketball
Point spread
Miami +7.5
-114
price now
price now
Miami @ Golden State
Thu Nov 5 · 10:00 PM ET
Stake10 u
To win~8.77 u
StatusNot locked in
PASSED ON TODAY 7 top picks we are not betting, and why
- SoccerAtalanta to win (Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty · Thu 12:45 PM ET)
The price right now is -1000, heavier than our -200 cap. It books if the price eases before the last hour. - SoccerRed Star Belgrade to win (Red Star Belgrade vs Inter D'Escaldes · Thu 12:45 PM ET)
The price right now is -1800, heavier than our -200 cap. It books if the price eases before the last hour. - SoccerF.C. København to win (F.C. København vs Iberia 1999 · Thu 3:00 PM ET)
The price right now is -700, heavier than our -200 cap. It books if the price eases before the last hour. - SoccerFC Lugano to win (FC Lugano vs Kauno Zalgiris · Thu 3:00 PM ET)
The price right now is -700, heavier than our -200 cap. It books if the price eases before the last hour. - HockeyTampa Bay to win (Chicago @ Tampa Bay · Thu Nov 5 · 7:00 PM ET)
The price right now is -425, heavier than our -200 cap and the 60-minute line is not priced at -150 or better. It books if the price eases before the last hour. - HockeyWinnipeg to win (Vancouver @ Winnipeg · Thu Nov 5 · 7:00 PM ET)
The full-game price is -218, past our -200 cap, so we look at the 60-minute line instead: our 50% chance to win in regulation does not beat its -140 price by 5%: not enough value at that number. It books if the price moves our way before the last hour. - HockeyColorado to win (Nashville @ Colorado · Thu Nov 5 · 9:30 PM ET)
The price right now is -218, heavier than our -200 cap. It books if the price eases before the last hour.
TOP PROP PICKS OF TODAY 6 propsprops record 633-541-4 (53.9%) · all sports
- Desmond BanePro Basketball · OrlandoUnder 3.5 threes made 65%Our projection is below the line.
- Will RichardPro Basketball · Golden StateUnder 1.5 threes made 65%Our projection is below the line.
- Wendell Carter Jr.Pro Basketball · OrlandoUnder 9.5 rebounds 63%Our projection is below the line.
- Giannis AntetokounmpoPro Basketball · MiamiUnder 1.5 steals 63%Our projection is below the line.
- Stephen CurryPro Basketball · Golden StateUnder 1.5 steals 62%Our projection is below the line.
- Mark AndrewsPro Football · BaltimoreOver 17.5 receiving yards 61%Big role in the passing game; likely chasing the game, more throws.
AROUND THE LEAGUES
Pro Football1 game · 2026 season20-9-3 (69.0%) · 2026 top picks
College Football13 picks · 2026 season56-58-1 (49.1%) · 2026 Top 25 picks at the posted line (since Sep 18)
Pro Basketball2 picks · Regular season · 2026-2716-10 (61.5%) · season top picks
College Basketball8 picks · 2026-278-15 (34.8%) · Season all picks
Hockey11 picks · Thu Nov 549-21 (70.0%) · Season top picks
BaseballThe baseball season is over. Picks return when next season's games are on the schedule; the final record is below.2-3 (40.0%) · Season top picks
MMA14 picks · Weekly card: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker · Sat Nov 76-5 (54.5%) · Weekly cards top picks
Full record by sport
OUR RECORD BY SPORT
| Sport | Picks | Record | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pro Football | Last 7 days | 4-0 | 100.0% |
| Pro Football | Season top picks | 20-9-3 | 69.0% |
| Pro Football | Season all picks | 38-21-5 | 64.4% |
| College Football | Last 7 days | 9-8 | 52.9% |
| College Football | Season top picks | 7-4-1 | 63.6% |
| College Football | Season all picks | 56-58-1 | 49.1% |
| Pro Basketball | Yesterday | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| Pro Basketball | Last 7 days | 5-3 | 62.5% |
| Pro Basketball | Season top picks | 16-10 | 61.5% |
| College Basketball | Last 7 days | 8-15 | 34.8% |
| Hockey | Yesterday | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| Hockey | Last 7 days | 10-3 | 76.9% |
| Hockey | Season top picks | 49-21 | 70.0% |
| Baseball | Season top picks | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| MMA | Last card, all picks | 8-3 | 72.7% |
| MMA | Last card, top picks | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| MMA | All time, all picks | 25-19-1 | 56.8% |
PROP PICKS BY SPORT
| Sport | Props | Record | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pro Football | Pro football props 2026 | 146-165 | 46.9% |
| Pro Basketball | Pro basketball props 2026-27 | 361-229-4 | 61.2% |
| Hockey | Hockey goal-scorer props | 45-80 | 36.0% |
| Baseball | Baseball playoff props | 71-44 | 61.7% |
| MMA | Finish picks | 10-23 | 30.3% |
| All sports | Combined | 633-541-4 | 53.9% |
Stat corner
STAT CORNER true stats about today's games, new ones every update All stats →
PRO FOOTBALL 12 stats →
- PlayerDerrick Henry has had 50+ rushing yards in 9 of his last 10 games (since Dec 27, 2025).
- RecordBaltimore is 12-29 as a home underdog since 1999.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL 10 stats →
- SpreadHome underdogs are 94-76-2 against the spread in FBS vs FBS games this season.
- TotalsFBS vs FBS games are 253-250-2 to the over this season.
PRO BASKETBALL 9 stats →
- ScoringDesmond Bane had 12 games with 30+ points in 2025-26 (82 games).
- RestPhoenix played yesterday. It is 7-9 on the second night of a back-to-back since the start of 2025-26.
COLLEGE BASKETBALL 59 stats →
- PlayerCoen Carr averaged 12.0 points and 5.4 rebounds for Michigan State in 2025-26 (35 games).
- HomeMichigan State is 68-12 at home since the 2021-22 season.
HOCKEY 56 stats →
- PlayerNick Schmaltz has 12 points in his last 9 regular-season games against Montreal (a point in 7 of them, since Jan 2022).
- HomeEdmonton won 75 of 123 home games over the last 3 seasons.
BASEBALL 9 stats →
- PlayoffsThe team with home field in the Division Series has won 35 of 60 since 2012.
- TotalsPlayoff games this year have averaged 7.1 total runs, against 9.0 in the regular season.
PATTERN WATCH real trends across the leagues this season See all patterns →
- 203-20Division I home teams are 203-20 (91%) this season. They won 68% over the last three seasons.
- 8 straightSan José State has gone under the total in 8 straight games this season.
- 8 straightChicago has allowed 120 or more points in 8 straight games this season.