SATURDAY OCT 31 upcoming games
Picks can still change until they lock before the start.
Mississippi State21.6
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Texas35.6
SpreadMississippi State +20.566%
TotalOver 5164%
We expect Texas to win comfortably, but Mississippi State to stay within the spread, in a higher-scoring game.
TOP PICKSat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
Mississippi State@11Texas
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKMississippi State +20.5SPREAD
We like Mississippi State at this line.
Trust score · High 100
Game-time forecast: 69°F, slight chance showers and thunderstorms, 20% chance of rain.Loud stadium: Darrell K Royal–Texas Memorial Stadium, #22 on our list of toughest road crowds
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- No. 11 Texas (5-2) is at home against Mississippi State (4-3).
- Mississippi State has won 1 of its last 4, scoring 17 and allowing 34 a game.
- Out: Mississippi State
- B. Mitchell (WR), T. Williams (DL)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Texas has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 26 and allowing 24 a game.
- Mississippi State is missing B. Mitchell (WR), T. Williams (DL).
- Texas is missing T. Goosby (OG).
- Mississippi State faces one of the tougher road crowds in the country.
- Out: Texas
- T. Goosby (OG)
- Records
- Mississippi State 4-3 · Texas 5-2
Minnesota8.1
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Indiana36
SpreadIndiana -22.564%
TotalUnder 45.553%
We expect Indiana to win in a blowout, and to cover the spread.
TOP PICKSat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
Minnesota@1Indiana
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKIndiana -22.5SPREAD
We like Indiana at this line.
Trust score · High 100
Game-time forecast: 60°F, partly cloudy.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- No. 1 Indiana (7-1) is at home against Minnesota (5-2).
- Minnesota has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 18 and allowing 22 a game.
- Out: Minnesota
- R. Estrada (RB)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Indiana has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 24 and allowing 14 a game.
- Minnesota is missing R. Estrada (RB).
- Their games this season have averaged about 46 combined points; the posted total is 45.5.
- Records
- Minnesota 5-2 · Indiana 7-1
Northwestern17.6
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Oregon31.1
SpreadOregon -4.572%
TotalUnder 50.554%
We expect Oregon to win comfortably, and to cover the spread, in a lower-scoring game.
Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
Northwestern@9Oregon
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKOregon -4.5SPREAD
We like Oregon at this line.
Trust score · High 100
Game-time forecast: 43°F, slight chance light rain, 24% chance of rain.Loud stadium: Autzen Stadium, #18 on our list of toughest road crowds
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- Oregon (4-3) is at home against Northwestern (6-1).
- Northwestern has won 4 of its last 4, scoring 36 and allowing 16 a game.
- Out: Northwestern
- J. Fussell (CB), T. McGlinchey (TE)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Oregon has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 21 and allowing 20 a game.
- Northwestern is missing J. Fussell (CB), T. McGlinchey (TE).
- Oregon is missing A. Flowers (CB), I. Hooks (WR), J. McClellan (WR).
- Northwestern faces one of the tougher road crowds in the country.
- Out: Oregon
- A. Flowers (CB), I. Hooks (WR), J. McClellan (WR)
- Records
- Northwestern 6-1 · Oregon 4-3
Virginia19.3
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Wake Forest26.8
SpreadVirginia +13.565%
TotalUnder 49.558%
We expect Wake Forest to win comfortably, but Virginia to stay within the spread, in a lower-scoring game.
Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
Virginia@18Wake Forest
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKVirginia +13.5SPREAD
We like Virginia at this line.
Trust score · High 100
Game-time forecast: 56°F, partly cloudy.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- No. 18 Wake Forest (6-1) is at home against Virginia (4-4).
- Virginia has won 1 of its last 4, scoring 16 and allowing 26 a game.
- Out: Virginia
- D. Newton-Short (WR), E. Minter (S), J. Hammond (DL), J. Stevens (RB), R. Flores Jr. (WR), T. Hamann (K), T. Ward (WR)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Wake Forest has won 4 of its last 4, scoring 42 and allowing 13 a game.
- Virginia is missing D. Newton-Short (WR), E. Minter (S), J. Hammond (DL).
- Wake Forest comes in rested off a bye week.
- Their games this season have averaged about 52 combined points; the posted total is 49.5.
- Records
- Virginia 4-4 · Wake Forest 6-1
Nevada15
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
UCLA32
SpreadNevada +23.566%
TotalUnder 48.554%
We expect UCLA to win in a blowout, but Nevada to stay within the spread, in a lower-scoring game.
Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
Nevada@19UCLA
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKNevada +23.5SPREAD
We like Nevada at this line.
Trust score · High 100
Game-time forecast: 59°F, partly cloudy.Loud stadium: Rose Bowl, #2 on our list of toughest road crowds
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- No. 19 UCLA (7-0) is at home against Nevada (3-4).
- Nevada has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 27 and allowing 23 a game.
- Out: UCLA
- J. Davis (OG), M. Matthews (WR), N. Iamaleava (QB), R. Pleasant (CB)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- UCLA has won 4 of its last 4, scoring 29 and allowing 9 a game.
- UCLA is playing without its starting quarterback (N. Iamaleava).
- Nevada faces one of the tougher road crowds in the country.
- Their games this season have averaged about 49 combined points; the posted total is 48.5.
- Records
- Nevada 3-4 · UCLA 7-0
Miami33.4
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
North Carolina12.9
SpreadMiami -16.560%
TotalUnder 50.560%
We expect Miami to win in a blowout, and to cover the spread, in a lower-scoring game.
Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
3Miami@North Carolina
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKMiami -16.5SPREAD
We like Miami at this line.
Trust score · High 90
Game-time forecast: 55°F, mostly clear.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- North Carolina (4-3) is at home against No. 3 Miami (7-0).
- Miami has won 4 of its last 4, scoring 47 and allowing 18 a game.
- Out: Miami
- C. Brown (RB), J. Moore (WR), L. Gilbert (TE)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- North Carolina has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 25 and allowing 26 a game.
- Miami is missing C. Brown (RB), J. Moore (WR), L. Gilbert (TE).
- North Carolina is missing J. Warren (TE), J. Washington (TE).
- Their games this season have averaged about 55 combined points; the posted total is 50.5.
- Out: North Carolina
- J. Warren (TE), J. Washington (TE)
- Records
- Miami 7-0 · North Carolina 4-3
Arizona20.9
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Texas Tech29.9
SpreadTexas Tech -4.561%
TotalUnder 52.554%
We expect Texas Tech to win comfortably, and to cover the spread, in a lower-scoring game.
Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
21Arizona@8Texas Tech
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKTexas Tech -4.5SPREAD
We like Texas Tech at this line.
Trust score · High 90
Game-time forecast: 62°F, chance showers and thunderstorms, wind up to 10 mph, 54% chance of rain.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- No. 8 Texas Tech (6-1) is at home against No. 21 Arizona (6-1).
- Arizona has won 4 of its last 4, scoring 40 and allowing 16 a game.
- Out: Arizona
- D. Austin (S), T. Spivey (WR)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Texas Tech has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 39 and allowing 21 a game.
- Arizona is missing D. Austin (S), T. Spivey (WR).
- Texas Tech is missing C. Dickey (RB), D. Lee Jr. (WR).
- Game-time forecast: 62°F, chance showers and thunderstorms, wind up to 10 mph, 54% chance of rain.
- Out: Texas Tech
- C. Dickey (RB), D. Lee Jr. (WR)
- Records
- Arizona 6-1 · Texas Tech 6-1
Missouri28.1
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Arkansas23.6
SpreadArkansas +9.562%
TotalOver 48.557%
We expect Missouri to win comfortably, but Arkansas to stay within the spread, in a higher-scoring game.
Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
Missouri@Arkansas
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKArkansas +9.5SPREAD
We like Arkansas at this line.
Trust score · High 90
Game-time forecast: 63°F, slight chance rain showers, 40% chance of rain.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- Arkansas (3-4) is at home against Missouri (5-2).
- Missouri has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 25 and allowing 21 a game.
- Out: Missouri
- A. Hardy (RB), C. Green (OG), G. Hoffman (TE), J. Brady (WR)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Arkansas has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 22 and allowing 21 a game.
- Missouri is missing A. Hardy (RB), C. Green (OG), G. Hoffman (TE).
- Arkansas is missing H. Hendrix (TE), M. Lassiter (TE).
- Missouri comes in rested off a bye week.
- Out: Arkansas
- H. Hendrix (TE), M. Lassiter (TE)
- Records
- Missouri 5-2 · Arkansas 3-4
Notre Dame41.4
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Navy15.9
SpreadNavy +30.562%
TotalOver 53.559%
We expect Notre Dame to win in a blowout, but Navy to stay within the spread, in a higher-scoring game.
Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 PM ET
4Notre Dame@Navy
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKNavy +30.5SPREAD
We like Navy at this line.
Trust score · High 90
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- No. 4 Notre Dame (6-1) and Navy (2-5) meet on a neutral field.
- Notre Dame has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 42 and allowing 18 a game.
- Out: Notre Dame
- B. Hebert (QB), Q. Porter (WR)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Navy has won 1 of its last 4, scoring 29 and allowing 32 a game.
- Notre Dame is playing without its starting quarterback (B. Hebert).
- Navy is missing J. Chalmers (RB), L. Walker (RB), M. Barlow (TE).
- Notre Dame comes in rested off a bye week.
- Out: Navy
- J. Chalmers (RB), L. Walker (RB), M. Barlow (TE)
- Records
- Notre Dame 6-1 · Navy 2-5
- Site
- Neutral field
Utah35.2
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Cincinnati25.8
SpreadUtah -6.558%
TotalOver 56.561%
We expect Utah to win comfortably, and to cover the spread, in a higher-scoring game.
Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
6Utah@Cincinnati
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKUtah -6.5SPREAD
We like Utah at this line.
Trust score · High 80
Game-time forecast: 61°F, partly cloudy.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- Cincinnati (5-2) is at home against No. 6 Utah (7-0).
- Utah has won 4 of its last 4, scoring 30 and allowing 20 a game.
- Records
- Utah 7-0 · Cincinnati 5-2
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Cincinnati has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 29 and allowing 32 a game.
- Their games this season have averaged about 57 combined points; the posted total is 56.5.
Auburn21.3
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Ole Miss33.3
SpreadAuburn +12.551%
TotalOver 53.553%
Toss-up: we lean Auburn to keep it closer than the line.
Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
Auburn@10Ole Miss
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKAuburn +12.5SPREAD
We like Auburn at this line.
Trust score · High 70
Game-time forecast: 61°F, mostly cloudy.Loud stadium: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, #21 on our list of toughest road crowds
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- No. 10 Ole Miss (5-2) is at home against Auburn (4-3).
- Auburn has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 20 and allowing 25 a game.
- Out: Auburn
- E. Smith (WR), N. Davenport (RB)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Ole Miss has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 34 and allowing 26 a game.
- Auburn is missing E. Smith (WR), N. Davenport (RB).
- Auburn faces one of the tougher road crowds in the country.
- Their games this season have averaged about 55 combined points; the posted total is 53.5.
- Records
- Auburn 4-3 · Ole Miss 5-2
Arizona State19.6
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
BYU32.5
SpreadArizona State +14.554%
TotalOver 51.551%
We expect BYU to win comfortably, but Arizona State to stay within the spread.
Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
Arizona State@12BYU
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKArizona State +14.5SPREAD
We like Arizona State at this line.
Trust score · High 70
Game-time forecast: 50°F, light rain likely, 68% chance of rain.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- No. 12 BYU (6-1) is at home against Arizona State (4-3).
- Arizona State has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 26 and allowing 34 a game.
- Out: Arizona State
- H. Hassmann (WR), K. Anderson (TE), L. Rawls (CB), W. Helton (OG)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- BYU has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 25 and allowing 21 a game.
- Arizona State is missing H. Hassmann (WR), K. Anderson (TE), L. Rawls (CB).
- BYU is missing L. Martin (RB), S. Moa (RB).
- Game-time forecast: 50°F, light rain likely, 68% chance of rain.
- Out: BYU
- L. Martin (RB), S. Moa (RB)
- Records
- Arizona State 4-3 · BYU 6-1
SMU33.2
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Syracuse23.8
SpreadSMU -9.550%
TotalOver 56.551%
Toss-up: we lean SMU to cover.
Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
SMU@Syracuse
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKSMU -9.5SPREAD
We like SMU at this line.
Trust score · High 70
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- Syracuse (3-4) is at home against SMU (6-1).
- SMU has won 4 of its last 4, scoring 35 and allowing 18 a game.
- Out: SMU
- D. Green (RB), I. Singleton IV (DL), L. Rhodes (RB), T. Polley Jr. (S)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Syracuse has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 31 and allowing 33 a game.
- SMU is missing D. Green (RB), I. Singleton IV (DL), L. Rhodes (RB).
- Syracuse is missing N. Edwards (WR).
- Their games this season have averaged about 58 combined points; the posted total is 56.5.
- Out: Syracuse
- N. Edwards (WR)
- Records
- SMU 6-1 · Syracuse 3-4
Wisconsin14.6
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Iowa19.1
SpreadIowa -3.553%
TotalUnder 39.564%
We expect Iowa to win comfortably, and to cover the spread, in a lower-scoring game.
Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
Wisconsin@14Iowa
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKIowa -3.5SPREAD
We like Iowa at this line.
Trust score · High 70
Game-time forecast: 63°F, chance rain showers, 48% chance of rain.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- No. 14 Iowa (5-2) is at home against Wisconsin (5-2).
- Wisconsin has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 22 and allowing 12 a game.
- Out: Wisconsin
- D. O'Neil (QB)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Iowa has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 21 and allowing 22 a game.
- Wisconsin is playing without its starting quarterback (D. O'Neil).
- Iowa is playing without its starting quarterback (H. Brown).
- Game-time forecast: 63°F, chance rain showers, 48% chance of rain.
- Out: Iowa
- H. Brown (QB)
- Records
- Wisconsin 5-2 · Iowa 5-2
Florida22.2
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Georgia33.2
SpreadGeorgia -10.551%
TotalOver 53.555%
We expect Georgia to win comfortably, and to cover the spread, in a higher-scoring game.
Sat Oct 31 · 3:30 PM ET
Florida@5Georgia
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKGeorgia -10.5SPREAD
We like Georgia at this line.
Trust score · High 70
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- Florida (5-2) and No. 5 Georgia (6-1) meet on a neutral field.
- Florida has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 29 and allowing 34 a game.
- Out: Florida
- D. Groce (WR), K. Jimenez (RB)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Georgia has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 31 and allowing 18 a game.
- Florida is missing D. Groce (WR), K. Jimenez (RB).
- Georgia is missing D. Dowdell (RB), I. Canion (WR).
- Florida comes in rested off a bye week.
- Out: Georgia
- D. Dowdell (RB), I. Canion (WR)
- Records
- Florida 5-2 · Georgia 6-1
- Site
- Neutral field
Texas State27.4
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Boise State36.5
SpreadTexas State +10.554%
TotalOver 60.558%
We expect Boise State to win comfortably, but Texas State to stay within the spread, in a higher-scoring game.
Sat Oct 31 · 10:00 PM ET
Texas State@Boise State
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKTexas State +10.5SPREAD
We like Texas State at this line.
Trust score · High 70
Game-time forecast: 49°F, slight chance rain showers.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- Boise State (6-1) is at home against Texas State (4-3).
- Texas State has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 44 and allowing 21 a game.
- Out: Texas State
- C. Snodgrass (TE)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- Boise State has won 4 of its last 4, scoring 34 and allowing 16 a game.
- Texas State is missing C. Snodgrass (TE).
- Their games this season have averaged about 61 combined points; the posted total is 60.5.
- Records
- Texas State 4-3 · Boise State 6-1
Ohio State30.6
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
USC24.6
TotalOver 54.551%
We expect Ohio State to win comfortably.
Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
2Ohio State@17USC
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKNo pick
A starting QB was ruled out and the betting line didn't move on it, so we're staying off this one.
Game-time forecast: 61°F, partly cloudy.Loud stadium: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, #23 on our list of toughest road crowds
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- No. 17 USC (6-2) is at home against No. 2 Ohio State (6-1).
- Ohio State has won 4 of its last 4, scoring 34 and allowing 16 a game.
- Out: Ohio State
- J. Jackson (RB), J. Sayin (QB)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
- USC has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 22 and allowing 27 a game.
- Ohio State is playing without its starting quarterback (J. Sayin).
- USC is missing C. Simms (WR), K. O'Connor (OG), T. Anderson (WR).
- Ohio State comes in rested off a bye week.
- Out: USC
- C. Simms (WR), K. O'Connor (OG), T. Anderson (WR)
- Records
- Ohio State 6-1 · USC 6-2