BetSharpr
Updated Oct 26, 12:08 AM ET
SAT OCT 24
SATURDAY OCT 24 graded picks
Went 5-12 on the day
Pittsburgh17.3
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Miami35.3
SpreadPittsburgh +23.564%
TotalOver 50.555%
We expect Miami to win in a blowout, but Pittsburgh to stay within the spread, in a higher-scoring game.
TOP PICKSat Oct 24 · 12:00 PM ET
Pittsburgh@3Miami
13%
87%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKPittsburgh +23.5SPREADLOSS
We like Pittsburgh at this line.
Trust score · High 100
FINAL
Pittsburgh 23 · Miami 52
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✓ Total
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • No. 3 Miami (7-0) is at home against Pittsburgh (5-3).
  • Pittsburgh has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 33 and allowing 20 a game.
Out: Miami
C. Brown (RB), J. Moore (WR), L. Gilbert (TE)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Miami has won 4 of its last 4, scoring 42 and allowing 18 a game.
  • Miami is missing C. Brown (RB), J. Moore (WR), L. Gilbert (TE).
  • Their games this season have averaged about 56 combined points; the posted total is 50.5.
Records
Pittsburgh 5-3 · Miami 7-0
Texas A&M20.8
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Alabama30.2
SpreadTexas A&M +15.565%
TotalOver 49.554%
We expect Alabama to win comfortably, but Texas A&M to stay within the spread, in a higher-scoring game.
TOP PICKSat Oct 24 · 3:30 PM ET
23Texas A&M@7Alabama
27%
73%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKTexas A&M +15.5SPREADWIN
We like Texas A&M at this line.
Trust score · High 100
FINAL
Texas A&M 20 · Alabama 31
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✓ Total
Loud stadium: Bryant-Denny Stadium, #6 on our list of toughest road crowds
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • No. 7 Alabama (6-2) is at home against Texas A&M (4-4).
  • Texas A&M has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 22 and allowing 17 a game.
Out: Texas A&M
B. Ivy (OG), M. Williams (WR), T. Bussey (WR), T. Riden Jr. (RB)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Alabama has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 33 and allowing 22 a game.
  • Texas A&M is missing B. Ivy (OG), M. Williams (WR), T. Bussey (WR).
  • Alabama is missing A. Walker (WR), R. Coleman-Williams (WR).
  • Texas A&M faces one of the tougher road crowds in the country.
Out: Alabama
A. Walker (WR), R. Coleman-Williams (WR)
Records
Texas A&M 4-4 · Alabama 6-2
USC27.7
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Wisconsin19.7
SpreadUSC -2.564%
TotalUnder 51.560%
We expect USC to win comfortably, and to cover the spread, in a lower-scoring game.
Sat Oct 24 · 7:30 PM ET
17USC@Wisconsin
69%
31%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKUSC -2.5SPREADLOSS
We like USC at this line.
Trust score · High 100
FINAL
USC 7 · Wisconsin 24
✗ Moneyline✗ Spread✓ Total
Loud stadium: Camp Randall Stadium, #12 on our list of toughest road crowds
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Wisconsin (5-2) is at home against No. 17 USC (6-2).
  • USC has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 31 and allowing 30 a game.
Out: USC
C. Simms (WR), K. O'Connor (OG), T. Anderson (WR)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Wisconsin has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 29 and allowing 12 a game.
  • USC is missing C. Simms (WR), K. O'Connor (OG), T. Anderson (WR).
  • Wisconsin is playing without its starting quarterback (D. O'Neil).
  • USC comes in rested off a bye week.
Out: Wisconsin
D. O'Neil (QB)
Records
USC 6-2 · Wisconsin 5-2
Vanderbilt27.4
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Kentucky29.4
SpreadVanderbilt +11.573%
TotalOver 51.562%
We expect Kentucky to win a close one, but Vanderbilt to stay within the spread, in a higher-scoring game.
Sat Oct 24 · 7:30 PM ET
Vanderbilt@24Kentucky
45%
55%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKVanderbilt +11.5SPREADLOSS
We like Vanderbilt at this line.
Trust score · High 100
FINAL
Vanderbilt 17 · Kentucky 34
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✗ Total
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • No. 24 Kentucky (7-1) is at home against Vanderbilt (3-5).
  • Vanderbilt has won 0 of its last 4, scoring 17 and allowing 36 a game.
Out: Kentucky
L. Watkins (TE), T. Mizell (RB)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Kentucky has won 4 of its last 4, scoring 34 and allowing 26 a game.
  • Kentucky is missing L. Watkins (TE), T. Mizell (RB).
  • Their games this season have averaged about 56 combined points; the posted total is 51.5.
Records
Vanderbilt 3-5 · Kentucky 7-1
Colorado21.5
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Oklahoma State26.5
SpreadColorado +14.573%
TotalUnder 55.568%
We expect Oklahoma State to win comfortably, but Colorado to stay within the spread, in a lower-scoring game.
Sat Oct 24 · 7:00 PM ET
Colorado@Oklahoma State
38%
62%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKColorado +14.5SPREAD
We like Colorado at this line.
Trust score · High 100
Game-time forecast: 76°F, partly cloudy.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Oklahoma State (4-2) is at home against Colorado (2-4).
  • Colorado has won 0 of its last 4, scoring 13 and allowing 30 a game.
Out: Colorado
Z. Atkins (TE)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Oklahoma State has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 44 and allowing 22 a game.
  • Colorado is missing Z. Atkins (TE).
  • Oklahoma State is missing J. Sexton (OG), O. Hammond (TE).
  • Their games this season have averaged about 53 combined points; the posted total is 55.5.
Out: Oklahoma State
J. Sexton (OG), O. Hammond (TE)
Records
Colorado 2-4 · Oklahoma State 4-2
Michigan State22.2
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
UCLA29.2
SpreadMichigan State +13.566%
TotalOver 43.568%
We expect UCLA to win comfortably, but Michigan State to stay within the spread, in a higher-scoring game.
Sat Oct 24 · 3:30 PM ET
Michigan State@19UCLA
33%
67%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKMichigan State +13.5SPREADLOSS
We like Michigan State at this line.
Trust score · High 100
FINAL
Michigan State 10 · UCLA 28
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✗ Total
Loud stadium: Rose Bowl, #2 on our list of toughest road crowds
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • No. 19 UCLA (7-0) is at home against Michigan State (2-6).
  • Michigan State has won 0 of its last 4, scoring 18 and allowing 31 a game.
Out: UCLA
J. Davis (OG), M. Matthews (WR), N. Iamaleava (QB), R. Pleasant (CB)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • UCLA has won 4 of its last 4, scoring 35 and allowing 16 a game.
  • UCLA is playing without its starting quarterback (N. Iamaleava).
  • Michigan State faces one of the tougher road crowds in the country.
  • Their games this season have averaged about 49 combined points; the posted total is 43.5.
Records
Michigan State 2-6 · UCLA 7-0
Boise State25.9
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Washington State20.9
SpreadWashington State +15.575%
TotalUnder 52.564%
We expect Boise State to win comfortably, but Washington State to stay within the spread, in a lower-scoring game.
Sat Oct 24 · 6:00 PM ET
Boise State@Washington State
62%
38%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKWashington State +15.5SPREADLOSS
We like Washington State at this line.
Trust score · High 100
FINAL
Boise State 31 · Washington State 10
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✓ Total
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Washington State (1-7) is at home against Boise State (6-1).
  • Boise State has won 4 of its last 4, scoring 36 and allowing 20 a game.
Out: Washington State
C. Toney (RB), H. Cedarland (TE), R. McKendry (WR), T. Freeman (WR)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Washington State has won 0 of its last 4, scoring 19 and allowing 31 a game.
  • Washington State is missing C. Toney (RB), H. Cedarland (TE), R. McKendry (WR).
  • Boise State comes in rested off a bye week.
  • Their games this season have averaged about 52 combined points; the posted total is 52.5.
Records
Boise State 6-1 · Washington State 1-7
Indiana29.5
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Michigan16.5
SpreadIndiana -8.561%
TotalOver 42.558%
We expect Indiana to win comfortably, and to cover the spread, in a higher-scoring game.
Sat Oct 24 · 12:00 PM ET
1Indiana@25Michigan
79%
21%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKIndiana -8.5SPREADLOSS
We like Indiana at this line.
Trust score · High 90
FINAL
Indiana 13 · Michigan 6
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✗ Total
Loud stadium: Michigan Stadium, #4 on our list of toughest road crowds
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Michigan (4-3) is at home against No. 1 Indiana (7-1).
  • Indiana has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 28 and allowing 18 a game.
Out: Michigan
A. Sprague (OG)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Michigan has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 26 and allowing 19 a game.
  • Michigan is missing A. Sprague (OG).
  • Indiana faces one of the tougher road crowds in the country.
  • Their games this season have averaged about 44 combined points; the posted total is 42.5.
Records
Indiana 7-1 · Michigan 4-3
BYU25.1
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
UCF21.1
SpreadUCF +7.559%
TotalOver 43.556%
We expect BYU to win comfortably, but UCF to stay within the spread, in a higher-scoring game.
Sat Oct 24 · 3:30 PM ET
12BYU@UCF
60%
40%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKUCF +7.5SPREADWIN
We like UCF at this line.
Trust score · High 90
FINAL
BYU 31 · UCF 39
✗ Moneyline✓ Spread✓ Total
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • UCF (4-3) is at home against No. 12 BYU (6-1).
  • BYU has won 4 of its last 4, scoring 28 and allowing 17 a game.
Out: BYU
L. Martin (RB), S. Moa (RB)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • UCF has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 28 and allowing 28 a game.
  • BYU is missing L. Martin (RB), S. Moa (RB).
  • UCF is playing without its starting quarterback (A. Barnett III).
  • BYU is in a letdown spot after an upset win.
Out: UCF
A. Barnett III (QB), D. Thomas Jr. (WR), L. Carter (LB)
Records
BYU 6-1 · UCF 4-3
Houston25.1
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Utah35.1
SpreadUtah -6.559%
TotalOver 57.556%
We expect Utah to win comfortably, and to cover the spread, in a higher-scoring game.
Sat Oct 24 · 10:15 PM ET
20Houston@6Utah
26%
74%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKUtah -6.5SPREADWIN
We like Utah at this line.
Trust score · High 90
FINAL
Houston 13 · Utah 21
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✗ Total
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • No. 6 Utah (7-0) is at home against No. 20 Houston (6-2).
  • Houston has won 4 of its last 4, scoring 35 and allowing 23 a game.
Out: Houston
J. Hebert (RB), J. Thurman (TE), M. Tounkara (WR)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Utah has won 4 of its last 4, scoring 33 and allowing 16 a game.
  • Houston is missing J. Hebert (RB), J. Thurman (TE), M. Tounkara (WR).
  • Their games this season have averaged about 58 combined points; the posted total is 57.5.
Records
Houston 6-2 · Utah 7-0
Iowa State21.9
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Arizona27.4
SpreadIowa State +1061%
TotalUnder 51.555%
We expect Arizona to win comfortably, but Iowa State to stay within the spread, in a lower-scoring game.
Sat Oct 24 · 7:30 PM ET
Iowa State@21Arizona
36%
64%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKIowa State +10SPREADLOSS
We like Iowa State at this line.
Trust score · High 90
FINAL
Iowa State 3 · Arizona 39
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✓ Total
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • No. 21 Arizona (6-1) is at home against Iowa State (3-4).
  • Iowa State has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 32 and allowing 26 a game.
Out: Iowa State
C. Pabst (WR), J. Bailey (WR)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Arizona has won 4 of its last 4, scoring 40 and allowing 20 a game.
  • Iowa State is missing C. Pabst (WR), J. Bailey (WR).
  • Arizona is missing D. Austin (S), T. Spivey (WR).
  • Iowa State comes in rested off a bye week.
Out: Arizona
D. Austin (S), T. Spivey (WR)
Records
Iowa State 3-4 · Arizona 6-1
California18.4
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
SMU34
SpreadCalifornia +17.555%
TotalUnder 55.557%
We expect SMU to win in a blowout, but California to stay within the spread, in a lower-scoring game.
Sat Oct 24 · 12:00 PM ET
California@SMU
16%
84%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKCalifornia +17.5SPREADLOSS
We like California at this line.
Trust score · High 80
FINAL
California 20 · SMU 59
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✗ Total
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • SMU (6-1) is at home against California (3-5).
  • California has won 1 of its last 4, scoring 18 and allowing 31 a game.
Out: California
C. Boscia (WR), C. Vargas (RB), R. Walker (TE)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • SMU has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 28 and allowing 24 a game.
  • California is missing C. Boscia (WR), C. Vargas (RB), R. Walker (TE).
  • SMU is missing D. Green (RB), I. Singleton IV (DL), L. Rhodes (RB).
  • Their games this season have averaged about 53 combined points; the posted total is 55.5.
Out: SMU
D. Green (RB), I. Singleton IV (DL), L. Rhodes (RB), T. Polley Jr. (S)
Records
California 3-5 · SMU 6-1
Iowa24.1
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Minnesota19.1
SpreadMinnesota +7.556%
TotalOver 40.556%
We expect Iowa to win comfortably, but Minnesota to stay within the spread, in a higher-scoring game.
Sat Oct 24 · 3:30 PM ET
14Iowa@Minnesota
62%
38%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKMinnesota +7.5SPREADWIN
We like Minnesota at this line.
Trust score · High 80
FINAL
Iowa 10 · Minnesota 13
✗ Moneyline✓ Spread✗ Total
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Minnesota (5-2) is at home against No. 14 Iowa (5-2).
  • Iowa has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 32 and allowing 18 a game.
Out: Iowa
H. Brown (QB)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Minnesota has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 25 and allowing 22 a game.
  • Iowa is playing without its starting quarterback (H. Brown).
  • Minnesota is missing R. Estrada (RB).
  • Iowa comes in rested off a bye week.
Out: Minnesota
R. Estrada (RB)
Records
Iowa 5-2 · Minnesota 5-2
LSU23.1
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Auburn20.6
SpreadAuburn +5.558%
TotalUnder 52.570%
We expect LSU to win a close one, but Auburn to stay within the spread, in a lower-scoring game.
Sat Oct 24 · 12:00 PM ET
13LSU@Auburn
56%
44%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKAuburn +5.5SPREADLOSS
We like Auburn at this line.
Trust score · High 80
FINAL
LSU 38 · Auburn 17
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✗ Total
Loud stadium: Jordan-Hare Stadium, #20 on our list of toughest road crowds
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Auburn (4-3) is at home against No. 13 LSU (6-2).
  • LSU has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 41 and allowing 14 a game.
Out: LSU
D. Spears (S), P. Wright III (WR)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Auburn has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 25 and allowing 27 a game.
  • LSU is missing D. Spears (S), P. Wright III (WR).
  • Auburn is missing E. Smith (WR), N. Davenport (RB).
  • LSU faces one of the tougher road crowds in the country.
Out: Auburn
E. Smith (WR), N. Davenport (RB)
Records
LSU 6-2 · Auburn 4-3
Ole Miss26.7
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Texas29.2
SpreadOle Miss +351%
TotalOver 55.551%
Toss-up: we lean Ole Miss to keep it closer than the line.
Sat Oct 24 · 7:30 PM ET
10Ole Miss@11Texas
44%
56%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKOle Miss +3SPREADLOSS
We like Ole Miss at this line.
Trust score · High 70
FINAL
Ole Miss 27 · Texas 34
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✓ Total
Loud stadium: Darrell K Royal–Texas Memorial Stadium, #22 on our list of toughest road crowds
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • No. 11 Texas (5-2) is at home against No. 10 Ole Miss (5-2).
  • Ole Miss has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 36 and allowing 24 a game.
Out: Texas
T. Goosby (OG)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Texas has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 24 and allowing 19 a game.
  • Texas is missing T. Goosby (OG).
  • Ole Miss faces one of the tougher road crowds in the country.
  • Their games this season have averaged about 55 combined points; the posted total is 55.5.
Records
Ole Miss 5-2 · Texas 5-2
Texas Tech34.6
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Cincinnati22.1
SpreadTexas Tech -11.553%
TotalUnder 57.552%
Toss-up: we lean Texas Tech to cover.
Sat Oct 24 · 12:00 PM ET
8Texas Tech@Cincinnati
79%
21%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKTexas Tech -11.5SPREADLOSS
We like Texas Tech at this line.
Trust score · High 70
FINAL
Texas Tech 24 · Cincinnati 37
✗ Moneyline✗ Spread✗ Total
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Cincinnati (5-2) is at home against No. 8 Texas Tech (6-1).
  • Texas Tech has won 4 of its last 4, scoring 40 and allowing 18 a game.
Out: Texas Tech
C. Dickey (RB), D. Lee Jr. (WR)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Cincinnati has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 29 and allowing 34 a game.
  • Texas Tech is missing C. Dickey (RB), D. Lee Jr. (WR).
  • Their games this season have averaged about 59 combined points; the posted total is 57.5.
Records
Texas Tech 6-1 · Cincinnati 5-2
Tennessee30.1
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
South Carolina27.1
SpreadTennessee -350%
TotalOver 50.566%
We expect Tennessee to win comfortably, and to cover the spread, in a higher-scoring game.
Sat Oct 24 · 3:30 PM ET
15Tennessee@South Carolina
58%
42%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKTennessee -3SPREADLOSS
We like Tennessee at this line.
Trust score · High 70
FINAL
Tennessee 24 · South Carolina 27
✗ Moneyline✗ Spread✓ Total
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • South Carolina (4-3) is at home against No. 15 Tennessee (6-2).
  • Tennessee has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 23 and allowing 15 a game.
Out: Tennessee
B. Brady (LS), J. Harmon (LB), W. Moe Jr. (OG)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • South Carolina has won 1 of its last 4, scoring 31 and allowing 36 a game.
  • Tennessee is missing B. Brady (LS), J. Harmon (LB), W. Moe Jr. (OG).
  • South Carolina is missing D. Stewart (DL), J. Gibson (WR), J. Sellers (WR).
  • South Carolina comes in rested off a bye week.
Out: South Carolina
D. Stewart (DL), J. Gibson (WR), J. Sellers (WR)
Records
Tennessee 6-2 · South Carolina 4-3
Oklahoma26.6
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Mississippi State23.6
SpreadOklahoma -2.551%
TotalOver 45.562%
We expect Oklahoma to win comfortably, and to cover the spread, in a higher-scoring game.
Sat Oct 24 · 12:00 AM ET
Oklahoma@Mississippi State
57%
43%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKOklahoma -2.5SPREAD
We like Oklahoma at this line.
Trust score · High 70
Game-time forecast: 57°F, clear.
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Mississippi State (4-2) is at home against Oklahoma (3-3).
  • Oklahoma has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 17 and allowing 23 a game.
Out: Oklahoma
T. Harris (WR)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Mississippi State has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 24 and allowing 36 a game.
  • Oklahoma is missing T. Harris (WR).
  • Mississippi State is missing B. Mitchell (WR), T. Williams (DL).
  • Their games this season have averaged about 50 combined points; the posted total is 45.5.
Out: Mississippi State
B. Mitchell (WR), T. Williams (DL)
Records
Oklahoma 3-3 · Mississippi State 4-2
Rutgers19.9
OUR PROJECTED SCORE
Northwestern35.9
SpreadNorthwestern -15.551%
TotalUnder 59.559%
We expect Northwestern to win in a blowout, and to cover the spread, in a lower-scoring game.
Sat Oct 24 · 12:00 PM ET
Rutgers@Northwestern
16%
84%
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKNorthwestern -15.5SPREADWIN
We like Northwestern at this line.
Trust score · High 70
FINAL
Rutgers 14 · Northwestern 42
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✓ Total
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
  • Northwestern (6-1) is at home against Rutgers (2-5).
  • Rutgers has won 2 of its last 4, scoring 36 and allowing 32 a game.
Out: Rutgers
D. Lonergan (QB), K. Sanders (CB)
Full breakdown
MORE REASONS
  • Northwestern has won 3 of its last 4, scoring 32 and allowing 19 a game.
  • Rutgers is playing without its starting quarterback (D. Lonergan).
  • Northwestern is missing J. Fussell (CB), T. McGlinchey (TE).
  • Their games this season have averaged about 57 combined points; the posted total is 59.5.
Out: Northwestern
J. Fussell (CB), T. McGlinchey (TE)
Records
Rutgers 2-5 · Northwestern 6-1