SATURDAY OCT 24 graded picks
Went 4-3 on the day
TOP PICKSat Oct 24
🇧🇷 IasminLucindo19-6-0
VS
Nicolle 🇧🇷Caliari9-5-0
Win chance · our model
Bout added 5 days out (both on short notice)
OUR PICKIasmin Lucindo to win
MONEYLINEWIN
Longer reach, better striker, better grappler.
Brazil
From
Brazil
19-6-0
Pro record
9-5-0
6-2
Top-level record
1-3
24
Age
29
5'3"
Height
5'3"
66"
Reach
62"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Wrestler
Style
Grappler
Striking
Grappling
Cardio
Chance of each result
22%
By KO / TKO
5%
13%
By submission
5%
45%
By decision
9%
Goes the distance 66%Ends inside 1.5 rds 20%
TOP PROPS
- Iasmin Lucindo Wins by decision 42%WIN
Full stats
| Iasmin Lucindo | Nicolle Caliari | |
|---|---|---|
| Win chance | 81% | 19% |
| Chance to win by KO/TKO | 22% | 5% |
| Chance to win by submission | 13% | 5% |
| Chance to win by decision | 45% | 9% |
| From | Brazil | Brazil |
| Pro record | 19-6-0 | 9-5-0 |
| Top-level record | 6-2 | 1-3 |
| Pro wins by method | 8 KO · 3 sub · 8 dec | 5 KO · 4 sub · 0 dec |
| Age | 24 | 29 |
| Height | 5'3" | 5'3" |
| Reach | 66" | 62" |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Style | Wrestler | Grappler |
| Striking | Strong | Weak |
| Power | Weak | Below average |
| Chin | Elite | Average |
| Grappling | Elite | Strong |
| Cardio | Average | Strong |
| Pace in round 3+ | Fades (-13%) | Speeds up (+30%) |
| Sig. strikes landed / min | 3.2 | 3.0 |
| Sig. strikes absorbed / min | 2.8 | 5.9 |
| Striking accuracy | 45% | 39% |
| Takedowns / 15 min | 2.3 | 3.0 |
| Takedown accuracy | 56% | 26% |
| Takedown defense | 65% | 64% |
| Late-round takedown defense | 52% | 69% |
| Held down / 15 min | 1.9 min | 1.8 min |
| Sub attempts / 15 min | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Top-level fights with stats | 7 | 3 |
Confidence78%
TOP PICKSat Oct 24
🇷🇺 AbubakarVagaev26-4-0
VS
Jacob 🇦🇺Malkoun10-4-0
Win chance · our model
Bout added 9 days out (both on short notice)
OUR PICKJacob Malkoun to win
MONEYLINELOSS
Better striker, better grappler.
Russia
From
Australia
26-4-0
Pro record
10-4-0
2-0
Top-level record
6-4
33
Age
31
6'0"
Height
5'9"
73"
Reach
73"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
–
Style
Well-rounded
Striking
Grappling
Cardio
Chance of each result
7%
By KO / TKO
23%
4%
By submission
13%
16%
By decision
38%
Goes the distance 41%Ends inside 1.5 rds 34%
TOP PROPS
- Jacob Malkoun Wins by decision 40%LOSS
Full stats
| Abubakar Vagaev | Jacob Malkoun | |
|---|---|---|
| Win chance | 26% | 74% |
| Chance to win by KO/TKO | 7% | 23% |
| Chance to win by submission | 4% | 13% |
| Chance to win by decision | 16% | 38% |
| From | Russia | Australia |
| Pro record | 26-4-0 | 10-4-0 |
| Top-level record | 2-0 | 6-4 |
| Pro wins by method | 4 KO · 1 sub · 21 dec | 3 KO · 0 sub · 7 dec |
| Age | 33 | 31 |
| Height | 6'0" | 5'9" |
| Reach | 73" | 73" |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Style | – | Well-rounded |
| Striking | Average (few top-level fights) | Elite |
| Power | Below average (few top-level fights) | Average |
| Chin | Strong (few top-level fights) | Strong |
| Grappling | Average (few top-level fights) | Strong |
| Cardio | Strong (few top-level fights) | Below average |
| Pace in round 3+ | – | Fades (-32%) |
| Sig. strikes landed / min | 1.8 | 4.2 |
| Sig. strikes absorbed / min | 2.2 | 2.3 |
| Striking accuracy | 39% | 57% |
| Takedowns / 15 min | 4.0 | 5.4 |
| Takedown accuracy | 40% | 43% |
| Takedown defense | 65% | 61% |
| Late-round takedown defense | 64% | 64% |
| Held down / 15 min | 2.8 min | 1.4 min |
| Sub attempts / 15 min | 0.0 | 0.7 |
| Top-level fights with stats | 1 | 9 |
Confidence77%
TOP PICKSat Oct 24
🇷🇺 AlexanderVolkov41-11-0
VS
Rizvan 🇷🇺Kuniev14-4-1
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKAlexander Volkov to win
MONEYLINEWIN
Longer reach, better striker, real knockout threat.
Russia
From
Russia
41-11-0
Pro record
14-4-1
15-5
Top-level record
1-2
37
Age
34
6'7"
Height
6'4"
80"
Reach
76"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Striker
Style
Mixed
Striking
Grappling
Cardio
Chance of each result
33%
By KO / TKO
13%
16%
By submission
7%
23%
By decision
9%
Goes the distance 28%Ends inside 1.5 rds 41%
TOP PROPS
- Alexander Volkov Wins by KO/TKO 33%LOSS
Full stats
| Alexander Volkov | Rizvan Kuniev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win chance | 72% | 28% |
| Chance to win by KO/TKO | 33% | 13% |
| Chance to win by submission | 16% | 7% |
| Chance to win by decision | 23% | 9% |
| From | Russia | Russia |
| Pro record | 41-11-0 | 14-4-1 |
| Top-level record | 15-5 | 1-2 |
| Pro wins by method | 15 KO · 3 sub · 10 dec | 7 KO · 2 sub · 5 dec |
| Age | 37 | 34 |
| Height | 6'7" | 6'4" |
| Reach | 80" | 76" |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Style | Striker | Mixed |
| Striking | Elite | Average |
| Power | Strong | Average |
| Chin | Average | Strong |
| Grappling | Average | Average |
| Cardio | Average | Strong |
| Pace in round 3+ | Holds pace | Holds pace |
| Sig. strikes landed / min | 5.1 | 2.9 |
| Sig. strikes absorbed / min | 3.1 | 2.9 |
| Striking accuracy | 58% | 44% |
| Takedowns / 15 min | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Takedown accuracy | 62% | – |
| Takedown defense | 69% | 81% |
| Late-round takedown defense | 76% | 83% |
| Held down / 15 min | 3.4 min | 3.4 min |
| Sub attempts / 15 min | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| Top-level fights with stats | 19 | 2 |
Confidence72%
TOP PICKSat Oct 24
🇷🇺 NikitaKrylov31-13-0
VS
Abdul 🇹🇷Rakhman Yakhyaev11-0-0
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKAbdul Rakhman Yakhyaev to win
MONEYLINEWIN
Better cardio, younger, unbeaten as a pro.
Russia
From
Türkiye
31-13-0
Pro record
11-0-0
12-11
Top-level record
4-0
34
Age
25
6'3"
Height
6'2"
77"
Reach
78"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Well-rounded
Style
–
Striking
Grappling
Cardio
Chance of each result
11%
By KO / TKO
26%
13%
By submission
30%
5%
By decision
15%
Goes the distance 27%Ends inside 1.5 rds 42%
TOP PROPS
- Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev Wins by submission 30%LOSS
Full stats
| Nikita Krylov | Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win chance | 29% | 71% |
| Chance to win by KO/TKO | 11% | 26% |
| Chance to win by submission | 13% | 30% |
| Chance to win by decision | 5% | 15% |
| From | Russia | Türkiye |
| Pro record | 31-13-0 | 11-0-0 |
| Top-level record | 12-11 | 4-0 |
| Pro wins by method | 12 KO · 16 sub · 2 dec | 4 KO · 5 sub · 1 dec |
| Age | 34 | 25 |
| Height | 6'3" | 6'2" |
| Reach | 77" | 78" |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Style | Well-rounded | – |
| Striking | Strong | Average |
| Power | Strong | Average |
| Chin | Average | Strong |
| Grappling | Average | Average |
| Cardio | Weak | Average |
| Pace in round 3+ | Holds pace | – |
| Sig. strikes landed / min | 4.4 | – |
| Sig. strikes absorbed / min | 2.8 | – |
| Striking accuracy | 54% | 58% |
| Takedowns / 15 min | 2.2 | – |
| Takedown accuracy | 38% | 75% |
| Takedown defense | 52% | 63% |
| Late-round takedown defense | 61% | – |
| Held down / 15 min | 3.5 min | 0.0 min |
| Sub attempts / 15 min | 1.1 | – |
| Top-level fights with stats | 22 | 3 |
Confidence71%
Sat Oct 24
🇺🇸 KodySteele9-1-0
VS
Noah 🇫🇷Gugnon10-3-0
Win chance · our model
Bout added 5 days out (both on short notice)
OUR PICKNoah Gugnon to win
MONEYLINELOSS
Rated the stronger fighter on record and attributes.
USA
From
France
9-1-0
Pro record
10-3-0
2-1
Top-level record
1-1
31
Age
26
5'9"
Height
5'11"
71"
Reach
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Striking
Grappling
Cardio
Chance of each result
14%
By KO / TKO
25%
9%
By submission
18%
14%
By decision
19%
Goes the distance 49%Ends inside 1.5 rds 30%
TOP PROPS
- Noah Gugnon Wins by KO/TKO 29%LOSS
Full stats
| Kody Steele | Noah Gugnon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win chance | 38% | 62% |
| Chance to win by KO/TKO | 14% | 25% |
| Chance to win by submission | 9% | 18% |
| Chance to win by decision | 14% | 19% |
| From | USA | France |
| Pro record | 9-1-0 | 10-3-0 |
| Top-level record | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Pro wins by method | 5 KO · 2 sub · 2 dec | 6 KO · 4 sub · 0 dec |
| Age | 31 | 26 |
| Height | 5'9" | 5'11" |
| Reach | 71" | 71" |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Striking | Average | Average (few top-level fights) |
| Power | Average | Average (few top-level fights) |
| Chin | Strong | Strong (few top-level fights) |
| Grappling | Strong | Average (few top-level fights) |
| Cardio | Average | Average (few top-level fights) |
| Sig. strikes landed / min | 3.2 | – |
| Sig. strikes absorbed / min | 6.7 | – |
| Striking accuracy | 29% | 45% |
| Takedowns / 15 min | 1.6 | – |
| Takedown accuracy | 40% | – |
| Takedown defense | 63% | 63% |
| Late-round takedown defense | 63% | – |
| Held down / 15 min | 0.6 min | 0.0 min |
| Sub attempts / 15 min | 0.8 | – |
| Top-level fights with stats | 2 | 1 |
Confidence70%
Sat Oct 24
🇩🇪 AbusMagomedov30-7-1
VS
Cam 🇦🇺Rowston15-4-0
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKCam Rowston to win
MONEYLINELOSS
Better striker, younger.
Germany
From
Australia
30-7-1
Pro record
15-4-0
6-3
Top-level record
3-1
36
Age
31
6'2"
Height
6'3"
78"
Reach
78"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Well-rounded
Style
–
Striking
Grappling
Cardio
Chance of each result
15%
By KO / TKO
27%
13%
By submission
20%
11%
By decision
14%
Goes the distance 30%Ends inside 1.5 rds 40%
TOP PROPS
- Cam Rowston Wins by KO/TKO 29%LOSS
Full stats
| Abus Magomedov | Cam Rowston | |
|---|---|---|
| Win chance | 39% | 61% |
| Chance to win by KO/TKO | 15% | 27% |
| Chance to win by submission | 13% | 20% |
| Chance to win by decision | 11% | 14% |
| From | Germany | Australia |
| Pro record | 30-7-1 | 15-4-0 |
| Top-level record | 6-3 | 3-1 |
| Pro wins by method | 14 KO · 8 sub · 7 dec | 7 KO · 6 sub · 2 dec |
| Age | 36 | 31 |
| Height | 6'2" | 6'3" |
| Reach | 78" | 78" |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Style | Well-rounded | – |
| Striking | Average | Elite |
| Power | Strong | Average |
| Chin | Average | Elite |
| Grappling | Elite | Average |
| Cardio | Below average | Below average |
| Pace in round 3+ | Speeds up (+14%) | – |
| Sig. strikes landed / min | 3.1 | 5.5 |
| Sig. strikes absorbed / min | 3.3 | 2.0 |
| Striking accuracy | 49% | 49% |
| Takedowns / 15 min | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| Takedown accuracy | 59% | 43% |
| Takedown defense | 69% | 64% |
| Late-round takedown defense | 63% | 63% |
| Held down / 15 min | 1.2 min | 0.2 min |
| Sub attempts / 15 min | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Top-level fights with stats | 8 | 3 |
Confidence65%
Sat Oct 24
🇷🇺 PetrYan20-5-0
VS
Merab 🇬🇪Dvalishvili21-5-0
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKMerab Dvalishvili to win
MONEYLINE
Rated the stronger fighter on record and attributes.
Russia
From
Georgia
20-5-0
Pro record
21-5-0
12-4
Top-level record
14-3
33
Age
35
5'7"
Height
5'6"
67"
Reach
68"
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Well-rounded
Style
Wrestler
Striking
Grappling
Cardio
Chance of each result
14%
By KO / TKO
14%
7%
By submission
11%
19%
By decision
36%
Goes the distance 45%Ends inside 1.5 rds 23%
TOP PROPS
- Merab Dvalishvili Wins by decision 36%
Full stats
| Petr Yan | Merab Dvalishvili | |
|---|---|---|
| Win chance | 40% | 60% |
| Chance to win by KO/TKO | 14% | 14% |
| Chance to win by submission | 7% | 11% |
| Chance to win by decision | 19% | 36% |
| From | Russia | Georgia |
| Pro record | 20-5-0 | 21-5-0 |
| Top-level record | 12-4 | 14-3 |
| Pro wins by method | 7 KO · 1 sub · 12 dec | 3 KO · 2 sub · 16 dec |
| Age | 33 | 35 |
| Height | 5'7" | 5'6" |
| Reach | 67" | 68" |
| Stance | Switch | Orthodox |
| Style | Well-rounded | Wrestler |
| Striking | Elite | Strong |
| Power | Strong | Average |
| Chin | Strong | Strong |
| Grappling | Elite | Elite |
| Cardio | Elite | Strong |
| Pace in round 3+ | Speeds up (+36%) | Speeds up (+17%) |
| Sig. strikes landed / min | 5.2 | 4.4 |
| Sig. strikes absorbed / min | 4.2 | 2.8 |
| Striking accuracy | 55% | 42% |
| Takedowns / 15 min | 1.7 | 6.0 |
| Takedown accuracy | 49% | 35% |
| Takedown defense | 83% | 74% |
| Late-round takedown defense | 85% | 74% |
| Held down / 15 min | 1.8 min | 0.8 min |
| Sub attempts / 15 min | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| Top-level fights with stats | 16 | 17 |
Confidence60%
Sat Oct 24
🇧🇪 BolajiOki10-5-0
VS
Daniel 🇧🇷Santos15-3-0
Win chance · our model
Reach gap 6 in; Bout added 5 days out (both on short notice)
OUR PICKDaniel Santos to win
MONEYLINEWIN
Better grappler.
Belgium
From
Brazil
10-5-0
Pro record
15-3-0
2-4
Top-level record
5-2
30
Age
31
5'10"
Height
5'7"
73"
Reach
67"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Striker
Style
Well-rounded
Striking
Grappling
Cardio
Chance of each result
17%
By KO / TKO
26%
5%
By submission
11%
18%
By decision
23%
Goes the distance 42%Ends inside 1.5 rds 34%
TOP PROPS
- Daniel Santos Wins by KO/TKO 27%LOSS
Full stats
| Bolaji Oki | Daniel Santos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win chance | 39% | 61% |
| Chance to win by KO/TKO | 17% | 26% |
| Chance to win by submission | 5% | 11% |
| Chance to win by decision | 18% | 23% |
| From | Belgium | Brazil |
| Pro record | 10-5-0 | 15-3-0 |
| Top-level record | 2-4 | 5-2 |
| Pro wins by method | 5 KO · 1 sub · 4 dec | 7 KO · 2 sub · 6 dec |
| Age | 30 | 31 |
| Height | 5'10" | 5'7" |
| Reach | 73" | 67" |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Style | Striker | Well-rounded |
| Striking | Average | Average |
| Power | Average | Strong |
| Chin | Average | Average |
| Grappling | Average | Strong |
| Cardio | Average | Below average |
| Pace in round 3+ | Speeds up (+16%) | Fades (-36%) |
| Sig. strikes landed / min | 6.2 | 5.2 |
| Sig. strikes absorbed / min | 5.2 | 5.4 |
| Striking accuracy | 45% | 40% |
| Takedowns / 15 min | 1.1 | 2.6 |
| Takedown accuracy | 57% | 33% |
| Takedown defense | 68% | 66% |
| Late-round takedown defense | 77% | 64% |
| Held down / 15 min | 1.8 min | 0.8 min |
| Sub attempts / 15 min | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Top-level fights with stats | 5 | 6 |
Confidence60%
Sat Oct 24
🇦🇺 AlexanderVolkanovski28-4-0
VS
Movsar 🇷🇺Evloev20-0-0
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKMovsar Evloev to win
MONEYLINE
Better cardio, younger, unbeaten as a pro.
Australia
From
Russia
28-4-0
Pro record
20-0-0
15-3
Top-level record
10-0
38
Age
32
5'6"
Height
5'7"
71"
Reach
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Striker
Style
Well-rounded
Striking
Grappling
Cardio
Chance of each result
15%
By KO / TKO
14%
7%
By submission
12%
19%
By decision
33%
Goes the distance 49%Ends inside 1.5 rds 21%
TOP PROPS
- Movsar Evloev Wins by decision 33%
Full stats
| Alexander Volkanovski | Movsar Evloev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win chance | 41% | 59% |
| Chance to win by KO/TKO | 15% | 14% |
| Chance to win by submission | 7% | 12% |
| Chance to win by decision | 19% | 33% |
| From | Australia | Russia |
| Pro record | 28-4-0 | 20-0-0 |
| Top-level record | 15-3 | 10-0 |
| Pro wins by method | 13 KO · 3 sub · 12 dec | 3 KO · 4 sub · 13 dec |
| Age | 38 | 32 |
| Height | 5'6" | 5'7" |
| Reach | 71" | 72" |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Style | Striker | Well-rounded |
| Striking | Elite | Strong |
| Power | Strong | Weak |
| Chin | Average | Elite |
| Grappling | Strong | Strong |
| Cardio | Strong | Elite |
| Pace in round 3+ | Speeds up (+32%) | Speeds up (+24%) |
| Sig. strikes landed / min | 6.0 | 3.9 |
| Sig. strikes absorbed / min | 3.3 | 2.8 |
| Striking accuracy | 57% | 48% |
| Takedowns / 15 min | 1.6 | 4.8 |
| Takedown accuracy | 34% | 53% |
| Takedown defense | 69% | 60% |
| Late-round takedown defense | 75% | 64% |
| Held down / 15 min | 0.8 min | 1.1 min |
| Sub attempts / 15 min | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Top-level fights with stats | 18 | 10 |
Confidence59%
Sat Oct 24
🇺🇸 GrantDawson25-3-1
VS
Nurullo 🇹🇯Aliev12-1-0
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKGrant Dawson to win
MONEYLINE
Live submission threat.
USA
From
Tajikistan
25-3-1
Pro record
12-1-0
13-2-1
Top-level record
4-1
32
Age
25
5'10"
Height
5'10"
72"
Reach
72"
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Grappler
Style
Wrestler
Striking
Grappling
Cardio
Chance of each result
12%
By KO / TKO
11%
21%
By submission
6%
22%
By decision
28%
Goes the distance 47%Ends inside 1.5 rds 30%
TOP PROPS
- Grant Dawson Wins by decision 22%
Full stats
| Grant Dawson | Nurullo Aliev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win chance | 55% | 45% |
| Chance to win by KO/TKO | 12% | 11% |
| Chance to win by submission | 21% | 6% |
| Chance to win by decision | 22% | 28% |
| From | USA | Tajikistan |
| Pro record | 25-3-1 | 12-1-0 |
| Top-level record | 13-2-1 | 4-1 |
| Pro wins by method | 3 KO · 9 sub · 5 dec | 2 KO · 0 sub · 10 dec |
| Age | 32 | 25 |
| Height | 5'10" | 5'10" |
| Reach | 72" | 72" |
| Stance | Switch | Orthodox |
| Style | Grappler | Wrestler |
| Striking | Strong | Strong |
| Power | Average | Average |
| Chin | Average | Elite |
| Grappling | Elite | Elite |
| Cardio | Strong | Elite |
| Pace in round 3+ | Speeds up (+28%) | Speeds up (+32%) |
| Sig. strikes landed / min | 3.1 | 2.0 |
| Sig. strikes absorbed / min | 2.2 | 1.7 |
| Striking accuracy | 51% | 42% |
| Takedowns / 15 min | 3.6 | 3.5 |
| Takedown accuracy | 39% | 58% |
| Takedown defense | 67% | 66% |
| Late-round takedown defense | 69% | 65% |
| Held down / 15 min | 1.1 min | 0.8 min |
| Sub attempts / 15 min | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| Top-level fights with stats | 15 | 4 |
Confidence55%
Sat Oct 24
🏴 Lone'erKavanagh11-2-0
VS
Ramazan 🇺🇿Temirov20-4-0
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKLean: Ramazan Temirov
LEAN · NOT COUNTED
Too close to call: kavanagh fades late. A lean this slim is shown for interest only and does not count in the record.
England
From
Uzbekistan
11-2-0
Pro record
20-4-0
4-2
Top-level record
3-1
27
Age
29
5'6"
Height
5'4"
67"
Reach
63"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Striker
Style
–
Striking
Grappling
Cardio
Chance of each result
14%
By KO / TKO
23%
7%
By submission
8%
25%
By decision
22%
Goes the distance 51%Ends inside 1.5 rds 28%
Full stats
| Lone'er Kavanagh | Ramazan Temirov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win chance | 47% | 53% |
| Chance to win by KO/TKO | 14% | 23% |
| Chance to win by submission | 7% | 8% |
| Chance to win by decision | 25% | 22% |
| From | England | Uzbekistan |
| Pro record | 11-2-0 | 20-4-0 |
| Top-level record | 4-2 | 3-1 |
| Pro wins by method | 4 KO · 1 sub · 5 dec | 12 KO · 1 sub · 7 dec |
| Age | 27 | 29 |
| Height | 5'6" | 5'4" |
| Reach | 67" | 63" |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Style | Striker | – |
| Striking | Strong | Strong |
| Power | Average | Strong |
| Chin | Average | Strong |
| Grappling | Average | Average |
| Cardio | Below average | Below average |
| Pace in round 3+ | Fades (-49%) | – |
| Sig. strikes landed / min | 4.1 | 4.7 |
| Sig. strikes absorbed / min | 3.9 | 3.7 |
| Striking accuracy | 50% | 41% |
| Takedowns / 15 min | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| Takedown accuracy | 46% | 50% |
| Takedown defense | 73% | 67% |
| Late-round takedown defense | 79% | 69% |
| Held down / 15 min | 2.7 min | 1.0 min |
| Sub attempts / 15 min | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Top-level fights with stats | 5 | 3 |
Sat Oct 24
🇺🇸 AaronPico15-5-0
VS
Losene 🇧🇪Keita17-3-0
Win chance · our model
Late change: Losene Keita took this fight; Late replacement: Keita, 14 days' notice; Pico camp was for a different opponent
OUR PICKLean: Aaron Pico
LEAN · NOT COUNTED
Too close to call: rated the stronger fighter on record and attributes. A lean this slim is shown for interest only and does not count in the record.
USA
From
Belgium
15-5-0
Pro record
17-3-0
2-1
Top-level record
1-2
30
Age
28
5'8"
Height
5'8"
70"
Reach
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Striking
Grappling
Cardio
Chance of each result
20%
By KO / TKO
23%
9%
By submission
5%
23%
By decision
21%
Goes the distance 54%Ends inside 1.5 rds 27%
Full stats
| Aaron Pico | Losene Keita | |
|---|---|---|
| Win chance | 51% | 49% |
| Chance to win by KO/TKO | 20% | 23% |
| Chance to win by submission | 9% | 5% |
| Chance to win by decision | 23% | 21% |
| From | USA | Belgium |
| Pro record | 15-5-0 | 17-3-0 |
| Top-level record | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Pro wins by method | 9 KO · 2 sub · 3 dec | 11 KO · 0 sub · 6 dec |
| Age | 30 | 28 |
| Height | 5'8" | 5'8" |
| Reach | 70" | 72" |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Striking | Average (few top-level fights) | Strong (few top-level fights) |
| Power | Below average (few top-level fights) | Average (few top-level fights) |
| Chin | Average (few top-level fights) | Strong (few top-level fights) |
| Grappling | Average (few top-level fights) | Average (few top-level fights) |
| Cardio | Average (few top-level fights) | Average (few top-level fights) |
| Sig. strikes landed / min | 6.2 | 3.9 |
| Sig. strikes absorbed / min | 3.1 | 4.0 |
| Striking accuracy | 54% | 47% |
| Takedowns / 15 min | 6.5 | 0.0 |
| Takedown accuracy | 50% | – |
| Takedown defense | 63% | 65% |
| Late-round takedown defense | 63% | 63% |
| Held down / 15 min | 0.0 min | 0.0 min |
| Sub attempts / 15 min | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Top-level fights with stats | 2 | 2 |
Sat Oct 24
🇷🇺 AzamatMurzakanov16-2-0
VS
Dominick 🇺🇸Reyes17-5-0
Win chance · our model
Reach gap 6 in
OUR PICKLean: Dominick Reyes
LEAN · NOT COUNTED
Too close to call: longer reach, better grappler. A lean this slim is shown for interest only and does not count in the record.
Russia
From
USA
16-2-0
Pro record
17-5-0
6-2
Top-level record
11-5
37
Age
36
5'10"
Height
6'4"
71"
Reach
77"
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Power striker
Style
Power striker
Striking
Grappling
Cardio
Chance of each result
32%
By KO / TKO
28%
7%
By submission
10%
10%
By decision
12%
Goes the distance 24%Ends inside 1.5 rds 44%
Full stats
| Azamat Murzakanov | Dominick Reyes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win chance | 49% | 51% |
| Chance to win by KO/TKO | 32% | 28% |
| Chance to win by submission | 7% | 10% |
| Chance to win by decision | 10% | 12% |
| From | Russia | USA |
| Pro record | 16-2-0 | 17-5-0 |
| Top-level record | 6-2 | 11-5 |
| Pro wins by method | 12 KO · 1 sub · 2 dec | 10 KO · 2 sub · 4 dec |
| Age | 37 | 36 |
| Height | 5'10" | 6'4" |
| Reach | 71" | 77" |
| Stance | Southpaw | Southpaw |
| Style | Power striker | Power striker |
| Striking | Elite | Strong |
| Power | Elite | Elite |
| Chin | Average | Average |
| Grappling | Average | Strong |
| Cardio | Below average | Weak |
| Pace in round 3+ | Speeds up (+67%) | Holds pace |
| Sig. strikes landed / min | 4.5 | 5.0 |
| Sig. strikes absorbed / min | 3.3 | 3.4 |
| Striking accuracy | 56% | 54% |
| Takedowns / 15 min | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Takedown accuracy | 21% | 29% |
| Takedown defense | 69% | 76% |
| Late-round takedown defense | 71% | 76% |
| Held down / 15 min | 1.6 min | 1.1 min |
| Sub attempts / 15 min | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Top-level fights with stats | 7 | 15 |
Sat Oct 24
🇦🇺 ColbyThicknesse10-1-0
VS
Asaf 🇷🇺Chopurov11-1-0
Win chance · our model
Bout added 22 days out (both on short notice)
OUR PICKLean: Asaf Chopurov
LEAN · NOT COUNTED
Too close to call: thicknesse fades late. A lean this slim is shown for interest only and does not count in the record.
Australia
From
Russia
10-1-0
Pro record
11-1-0
3-1
Top-level record
0-1
27
Age
24
5'7"
Height
5'7"
69"
Reach
–
Orthodox
Stance
–
Grappler
Style
–
Striking
Grappling
Cardio
Chance of each result
10%
By KO / TKO
15%
11%
By submission
16%
27%
By decision
22%
Goes the distance 59%Ends inside 1.5 rds 24%
Full stats
| Colby Thicknesse | Asaf Chopurov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win chance | 48% | 52% |
| Chance to win by KO/TKO | 10% | 15% |
| Chance to win by submission | 11% | 16% |
| Chance to win by decision | 27% | 22% |
| From | Australia | Russia |
| Pro record | 10-1-0 | 11-1-0 |
| Top-level record | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Pro wins by method | 2 KO · 2 sub · 6 dec | 5 KO · 5 sub · 1 dec |
| Age | 27 | 24 |
| Height | 5'7" | 5'7" |
| Reach | 69" | – |
| Stance | Orthodox | – |
| Style | Grappler | – |
| Striking | Average | Average (few top-level fights) |
| Power | Weak | Average (few top-level fights) |
| Chin | Elite | Strong (few top-level fights) |
| Grappling | Average | Average (few top-level fights) |
| Cardio | Average | Average (few top-level fights) |
| Pace in round 3+ | Fades (-53%) | – |
| Sig. strikes landed / min | 3.2 | – |
| Sig. strikes absorbed / min | 2.9 | – |
| Striking accuracy | 41% | – |
| Takedowns / 15 min | 0.7 | – |
| Takedown accuracy | 7% | – |
| Takedown defense | 56% | – |
| Late-round takedown defense | 59% | – |
| Held down / 15 min | 3.2 min | – |
| Sub attempts / 15 min | 1.7 | – |
| Top-level fights with stats | 3 | – |