THURSDAY OCT 22 graded picks
Went 6-6 on the day
TOP PICKThu Oct 22
San Jose
@
Ottawa
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKOttawa to win
MONEYLINELOSS
Home ice.
FINAL
San Jose 6 · Ottawa 2
✗ Moneyline✓ Spread✗ Total
San Jose 2.8projected goalsOttawa 3.6
Puck line San Jose +1.5 60%Total Under 6.5 52%
Full breakdown
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- Goalies: Askarov in net for San Jose (.865 this season, .861 over his last 5 starts); Ersson in net for Ottawa (.831 this season, .820 over his last 2 starts)
- Form: San Jose won last game (2-2-1 in its last 5); Ottawa won last game (3-2 in its last 5)
- Ottawa has home ice
- Ottawa is on the second night of a back-to-back
- San Jose is missing Alexander Wennberg, Quentin Musty and Kyle Keyser; Ottawa is missing Linus Ullmark, Thomas Chabot and William Eklund
- Scoring per game: San Jose 2.7 for and 3.5 against; Ottawa 2.9 for and 2.4 against
TOP PICKThu Oct 22
Detroit
@
Vancouver
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKDetroit to win
MONEYLINEWIN
Detroit has the stronger goalie in net (John Gibson); Vancouver has gone 8 games without a win.
FINAL
Detroit 5 · Vancouver 2
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✓ Total
Detroit 3.7projected goalsVancouver 3
Puck line Vancouver +1.5 62%Total Over 6.5 54%
Full breakdown
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- Goalies: Gibson in net for Detroit (.873 this season, .862 over his last 5 starts); Lankinen in net for Vancouver (.807 this season, .794 over his last 5 starts). Not confirmed yet for Detroit and Vancouver
- Form: Detroit lost last game (2-0-3 in its last 5); Vancouver no win in 8 games (0-4-1 in its last 5)
- Vancouver has home ice
- Detroit is missing Daniil Tarasov, Simon Edvinsson and Mason Appleton; Vancouver is missing Jack Thompson, Akil Thomas and Mackenzie MacEachern
- Scoring per game: Detroit 2.6 for and 3.1 against; Vancouver 3.0 for and 4.6 against
- Hot scorers - Detroit: DeBrincat (4 goals in last 5)
TOP PICKThu Oct 22
Winnipeg
@
Dallas
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKDallas to win
MONEYLINEWIN
Dallas has won 3 straight; home ice.
FINAL
Winnipeg 2 · Dallas 3
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✗ Total
Winnipeg 2.6projected goalsDallas 3.1
Puck line Winnipeg +1.5 65%Total Over 5.5 54%
Full breakdown
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- Goalies: Skinner in net for Winnipeg (.910 this season, .918 over his last 5 starts); Oettinger in net for Dallas (.945 this season, .946 over his last 5 starts)
- Form: Winnipeg no win in 3 games (1-3-1 in its last 5); Dallas won 3 in a row (3-1-1 in its last 5)
- Dallas has home ice
- Winnipeg is missing Josh Morrissey, Vladislav Namestnikov and Connor Hellebuyck; Dallas is missing Esa Lindell, Oskar Back and Matt Duchene
- Scoring per game: Winnipeg 2.7 for and 2.9 against; Dallas 2.6 for and 1.7 against
- Hot scorers - Winnipeg: Connor (3 goals in last 5), Perfetti (3 goals in last 5); Dallas: Rantanen (3 goals in last 5), Hyry (3 goals in last 5)
Thu Oct 22
Anaheim
@
New Jersey
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKNew Jersey to win
MONEYLINEWIN
Anaheim has gone 4 games without a win; home ice.
FINAL
Anaheim 1 · New Jersey 4
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✗ Total
Anaheim 3.1projected goalsNew Jersey 3.6
Puck line Anaheim +1.5 65%Total Over 6.5 54%
Full breakdown
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- Goalies: Husso in net for Anaheim (.885 this season, .881 over his last 2 starts); Daws in net for New Jersey (.857 this season, .857 over his last 3 starts)
- Form: Anaheim no win in 4 games (1-4 in its last 5); New Jersey won last game (3-2 in its last 5)
- New Jersey has home ice
- Anaheim is missing Ian Moore, Ryan Poehling and Troy Terry; New Jersey is missing Nick Bjugstad and Seamus Casey
- Scoring per game: Anaheim 2.9 for and 3.2 against; New Jersey 3.2 for and 3.3 against
- Hot scorers - New Jersey: Gritsyuk (goal in 3 straight), Evangelista (3 goals in last 5)
Thu Oct 22
Minnesota
@
Calgary
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKMinnesota to win
MONEYLINELOSS
The model rates Minnesota as the stronger team.
FINAL
Minnesota 1 · Calgary 2
✗ Moneyline✓ Spread✓ Total
Minnesota 3.1projected goalsCalgary 2.8
Puck line Calgary +1.5 67%Total Under 6.5 61%
Full breakdown
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- Goalies: Wallstedt in net for Minnesota (.915 this season, .905 over his last 5 starts); Cooley in net for Calgary (.868 this season, .868 over his last 3 starts)
- Form: Minnesota lost last game (3-1-1 in its last 5); Calgary won last game (2-3 in its last 5)
- Calgary has home ice
- Calgary is the more rested team
- Minnesota is missing Filip Gustavsson, Marcus Foligno and Nick Foligno; Calgary is missing Mikael Backlund, Samuel Honzek and Jonathan Huberdeau
- Scoring per game: Minnesota 3.1 for and 2.5 against; Calgary 2.1 for and 4.6 against
Thu Oct 22
Nashville
@
Boston
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKBoston to win
MONEYLINEWIN
Home ice.
FINAL
Nashville 0 · Boston 6
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✓ Total
Nashville 3.1projected goalsBoston 3.3
Puck line Nashville +1.5 69%Total Under 6.5 52%
Full breakdown
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- Goalies: Saros in net for Nashville (.906 this season, .895 over his last 5 starts); DiPietro in net for Boston (.912 this season, .912 over his last 2 starts). Not confirmed yet for Nashville
- Form: Nashville won last game (2-1-2 in its last 5); Boston lost last game (4-0-1 in its last 5)
- Boston has home ice
- Nashville is the more rested team
- Scoring per game: Nashville 2.9 for and 3.0 against; Boston 3.6 for and 2.2 against
- Hot scorers - Nashville: O'Reilly (goal in 3 straight), Edstrom (4 goals in last 5); Boston: Poitras (3 goals in last 5), Minten (3 goals in last 5)
Thu Oct 22
Los Angeles
@
New York (I)
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKNew York (I) to win
MONEYLINELOSS
New York (I) has the stronger goalie in net (Semyon Varlamov); home ice.
FINAL
Los Angeles 3 · New York (I) 2
✗ Moneyline✓ Spread✗ Total
Los Angeles 2.8projected goalsNew York (I) 3.1
Puck line New York (I) +1.5 75%Total Over 5.5 57%
Full breakdown
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- Goalies: Kuemper in net for Los Angeles (.869 this season, .869 over his last 5 starts); Varlamov in net for New York (I) (.905 this season, .905 over his last 2 starts). Not confirmed yet for Los Angeles
- Form: Los Angeles won last game (1-3-1 in its last 5); New York (I) won 2 in a row (3-1-1 in its last 5)
- New York (I) has home ice
- Los Angeles is missing Alex Turcotte, Jakub Dvorak and Jan Jenik; New York (I) is missing Calum Ritchie, Matias Maccelli and Alexander Romanov
- Scoring per game: Los Angeles 2.4 for and 3.9 against; New York (I) 3.0 for and 2.2 against
- Hot scorers - New York (I): Holmstrom (3 goals in last 5)
Thu Oct 22
New York (R)
@
Toronto
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKNew York (R) to win
MONEYLINELOSS
New York (R) has the stronger goalie in net (Dylan Garand); Toronto has more players out.
FINAL
New York (R) 4 · Toronto 5
✗ Moneyline✓ Spread✗ Total
New York (R) 3.2projected goalsToronto 3
Puck line Toronto +1.5 69%Total Under 6.5 55%
Full breakdown
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- Goalies: Garand in net for New York (R) (.929 this season, .917 over his last 5 starts); Bobrovsky in net for Toronto (.902 this season, .907 over his last 5 starts)
- Form: New York (R) won last game (3-1-1 in its last 5); Toronto won 2 in a row (2-2-1 in its last 5)
- Toronto has home ice
- New York (R) is missing Igor Shesterkin, Joe Veleno and Joonas Korpisalo; Toronto is missing John Tavares, Dakota Joshua and Miles Wood
- Scoring per game: New York (R) 3.0 for and 2.2 against; Toronto 3.5 for and 3.2 against
- Hot scorers - New York (R): Lafrenière (3 goals in last 5), Cuylle (3 goals in last 5); Toronto: Matthews (4 goals in last 5), Marchenko (4 goals in last 5)
Thu Oct 22
Vegas
@
St. Louis
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKSt. Louis to win
MONEYLINEWIN
St. Louis has the stronger goalie in net (Joel Hofer); home ice.
FINAL
Vegas 2 · St. Louis 6
✓ Moneyline✓ Spread✗ Total
Vegas 2.9projected goalsSt. Louis 3.1
Puck line St. Louis +1.5 74%Total Under 6.5 59%
Full breakdown
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- Goalies: Hill in net for Vegas (.906 this season, .906 over his last 4 starts); Hofer in net for St. Louis (.919 this season, .904 over his last 5 starts). Not confirmed yet for Vegas
- Form: Vegas lost last game (3-2 in its last 5); St. Louis won last game (3-2 in its last 5)
- St. Louis has home ice
- Vegas is missing Parker Wotherspoon; St. Louis is missing Ross Johnston, Torey Krug and Dillon Dube
- Scoring per game: Vegas 4.0 for and 2.7 against; St. Louis 3.2 for and 3.2 against
- Hot scorers - Vegas: Stone (goal in 3 straight), Olofsson (4 goals in last 5); St. Louis: Snuggerud (4 goals in last 5), McTavish (3 goals in last 5)
Thu Oct 22
Florida
@
Pittsburgh
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKPittsburgh to win
MONEYLINEWIN
Florida is on the second night of a back-to-back; home ice.
FINAL
Florida 0 · Pittsburgh 4
✓ Moneyline✗ Spread✗ Total
Florida 3.2projected goalsPittsburgh 3.3
Puck line Florida +1.5 70%Total Over 6.5 50%
Full breakdown
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- Goalies: Black in net for Florida; Silovs in net for Pittsburgh (.866 this season, .848 over his last 5 starts)
- Form: Florida lost last game (3-2 in its last 5); Pittsburgh no win in 4 games (1-4 in its last 5)
- Pittsburgh has home ice
- Florida is on the second night of a back-to-back
- Florida is missing Jacob Markstrom, Brad Marchand and Aleksander Barkov; Pittsburgh is missing Samuel Girard, Bryan Rust and Ben Kindel
- Scoring per game: Florida 3.1 for and 3.0 against; Pittsburgh 3.3 for and 3.8 against
Thu Oct 22
Utah
@
Seattle
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKUtah to win
MONEYLINELOSS
The model rates Utah as the stronger team.
FINAL
Utah 3 · Seattle 5
✗ Moneyline✓ Spread✗ Total
Utah 3.1projected goalsSeattle 3
Puck line Seattle +1.5 70%Total Under 6.5 59%
Full breakdown
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- Goalies: Vejmelka in net for Utah (.879 this season, .879 over his last 5 starts); Grubauer in net for Seattle (.904 this season, .907 over his last 5 starts). Not confirmed yet for Utah and Seattle
- Form: Utah won last game (4-1 in its last 5); Seattle won last game (3-1-1 in its last 5)
- Seattle has home ice
- Utah is missing Michael Carcone and Maveric Lamoureux; Seattle is missing Jacob Melanson, Ryan Lindgren and Jake O'Brien
- Scoring per game: Utah 3.8 for and 3.1 against; Seattle 3.9 for and 3.4 against
- Hot scorers - Utah: Schmaltz (7 goals in last 10), Keller (3 goals in last 5)
Thu Oct 22
Carolina
@
Edmonton
Win chance · our model
OUR PICKCarolina to win
MONEYLINELOSS
Edmonton has more players out.
FINAL
Carolina 5 · Edmonton 6
✗ Moneyline✓ Spread✗ Total
Carolina 3.3projected goalsEdmonton 3.2
Puck line Edmonton +1.5 70%Total Under 6.5 52%
Full breakdown
WHY WE LEAN THIS WAY
- Goalies: Bussi in net for Carolina (.882 this season, .882 over his last 5 starts); Levi in net for Edmonton (.898 this season, .931 over his last 5 starts). Not confirmed yet for Carolina
- Form: Carolina won last game (4-1 in its last 5); Edmonton won 2 in a row (4-1 in its last 5)
- Edmonton has home ice
- Carolina is missing Taylor Hall, Mark Jankowski and Jordan Staal; Edmonton is missing Jason Dickinson, Alec Regula and Matt Savoie
- Scoring per game: Carolina 3.8 for and 2.5 against; Edmonton 4.6 for and 3.0 against
- Hot scorers - Carolina: Svechnikov (3 goals in last 5), Stankoven (6 goals in last 10); Edmonton: Draisaitl (goal in 4 straight), Podkolzin (3 goals in last 5)