The Detroit Tigers may be one of the worst teams in baseball, but they are looking to gain their second consecutive series win as they are set to face the San Francisco Giants. The giants don’t look nearly as good as last year but still sit 6 games above .500 and have played well at home all season. Can they bounce back after a 10-3 loss to the Reds? Here is my complete prediction and breakdown.
Tigers Look to make it 3 Wins in 4 Games
The Detroit Tigers are coming off a 2-1 series victory against the Diamondbacks, winning the first two games 11-4 combined before falling 11-7 in the final. The Tigers are playing better baseball of late but still find themselves with a terrible record of 28-44, which has them sitting in 4th place in the AL Central.
The team is below average in all aspects of the game. For their offensive numbers Detroit is averaging 3 runs per game (30th in the Majors), a batting average of .226 (27th) and OBP of .282 (29th). Miguel Caberera leads the team with a .296 batting average and Javier Baez leads them with 25 RBI’s and 7 home runs.
For this game the Tigers are sending Tarik Skubal to the mound. The 25-year-old leftie is having a rough stretch allowing 3 or more runs in each of his last 4 games. Overall he is posting a 5-5 record over 79.1 innings of work, for a 3.63 ERA and 1.13 WHIP. Which on paper are all oaky numbers. These numbers are still inflated from the start of the season where Skubal looked great, since June 8th he has allowed 6 or more hits in each of his starts.
The bullpen for the Tigers isn’t anything to brag about. The team is giving up 4.33 runs per game and has a combined ERA of 4.12 which is 21st in the Majors.
Giants look to make Strong Push
The San Francisco Giants have struggled over the past week, losing four of their last six games. They are now 6.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West and will need to turn things around against this Tigers Team.
Despite being clear of .500 the Giants aren’t actually posting great numbers this season. There batting average is 16th in the Majors at .240 but they are still managing to post 4.9 runs per game (3rd in the league). Thairo Estrada leads the team with a .265 batting average and Joc Pederson leads them with 17 home runs.
Maybe the bigger struggle for the Giants is their pitching staff. The team is giving up nearly as much as they score per game with 4.33 runs. Opponents are batting at .252 against the Giants, their combined ERA is 4.01 (18th) and their WHIP is 1.26 (17th).
Despite this, pitching should not be an issue for the Giants in this one as their hand the ball to Carlos Rodon. Rodon started this season on fire, before slumping for 2 games and coming out the other side just as good. He has giving up 1 run in his last 3 starts with no more than 3 hits. His last game he completed a full 7 innings against a hot team in Atlanta allowing just 1 run on 3 hits. For the season Rodon is 6-4, over 80 innings, with a 2.70 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. He has also struck out 101 batters, whilst walking 28.
The Giants have struggled in recent games, but this is a perfect spot for the team to turn this around. Tiger’s starter, Tarik Skubal is having a major slump and the Giants struggling bats should find it easy to string together some hits. Pair this with the fact that an already poor offensive team is on the road facing one of the better pitchers in the league, the Tigers should struggle to get a point on the board. The Giants poor form means there is still value on the money line in this one so I am taking them to win.
Back the Giants.
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Thanks for reading, Dave Covers Spreads