Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens
Dave Covers Spreads, NFL Preview and Breakdown
The red hot Chargers will look to keep their offensive dominance rolling as they head to Baltimore on Sunday to take on Lamar Jackson and the Ravens. Find out how we think this game will play out with our NFL Preview, betting tips and breakdown
Photo by: Sports Illustrated
The line for this game opened at Baltimore favoured by 3.5 but quickly moved down to 3. The total opened at 50.5 and has moved slightly to favour the over at 51.5.
Key Betting Trends:
- Under is 7-0 in Chargers last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards in their previous game
- Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against a team with a winning record
- Chargers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs AFC
- Ravens are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs a team with a winning road record
- Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings
Los Angeles Chargers Breakdown:
The LA Chargers had a huge game last week getting a 47-42 win out over Baker Mayfield and the Cleveland Browns. Herbert has been unstoppable this season, throwing for 398 yards last game, including 4 touchdowns. Running Back Austin Ekeler is also having an outstanding season leading the NFL with seven touchdowns whilst his wide receiver teammate Mike Williams leads all receivers with six touchdowns.
The only issue for the Chargers is on defence as they are 32nd in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game with 157.6. We saw this last week as Cleaveland (probably the best running team in the NFL) who put 230 yards on them.
Baltimore Ravens Breakdown:
The Ravens saw arguably Lamar Jackson’s career best game last week as the completed a 17 point comeback against the Colts. Lamar had 500 yards of offense himself (442 passing and 62 rushing) whilst throwing 4 touchdown passes. Marquise Brown has been electric this season averaging 90.2 receiving yards this season.
If I am honest the Ravens have gotten lucky multiple times this season which lead to their 4-1 record. I think this has them inflated a bit, by the public and the bookmaker know it. Let me break it down for you. First, they managed a 36-5 victory over the Chiefs, good game right? No. The Chiefs gave them that win with multiple turnovers in prime position. Next, a record breaking 66 yard field goal barely gets them the win over the Lions. Finally, last week, the Colts missed a FG in the last seconds which would’ve given them the outright win. Lamar has been great, but I am not sold on this Baltimore team that is suffering multiple running back injuries.
Finding angles in the prop market:
Austin Ekeler is having an outstanding season. With Herbert throwing well, look for him to receive a good amount of throws. As of writing this he is sitting at over/under +39.5 receiving yards, and I see no reason for him to saw over that number.
Final Thoughts:
Look for both teams to make good moves on the offensive side of the ball, but give the edge to the Chargers. Herbert has been unreal and will have no issue passing all over the Baltimore defence. The Chargers should be able to cover a field goal in this one.