Dave Covers Spreads, UFC FREE PICK: Marwan Amirkhani vs Mike Grundy

Dave Covers Spreads, UFC FREE PICK: Marwan Amirkhani vs Mike Grundy


Marwan Amirkhani vs Mike Grundy 

Dave Covers Spreads, UFC FREE PICK


If you have been a follower of mine you know how often we absolutely crush the UFC. Week in and week out we completely dominate the card hitting over 75% of our picks for a crushing return of +21.52 units in the last year. Here is my complete expert breakdown of the epic featherweight matchup between 5’8” Mike Grundy and 5’10” Marwan Amirkhani.


Grundy looked really good against Evloev despite the decision loss. He had some good moments in the first round that showed real promise. I have watched all of Mike Grundy’s fights in preparation for this card so when I say his grappling is his strong point you can take that for a fact. This fight will actually be fairly even on the feet in the stand-up, the difference is Amirkhani just doesn’t have the grappling ability to stay with Grundy on the ground. 


We have seen Amirkhani now just simply not have the cardio to make a big impact in his fights, and if you take into account the emotional side of this bout, Grundy is fighting for his career here after losing his last 2 previous fights. Grundy had good control time, and got good takedowns over the entire 3 rounds against Vannata. 


It might be close in the first round, in fact I can see Amirkhani having good control, coming out guns blazing but won’t have the skill to put Grundy away, and as we approach the later 2nd and 3rd rounds Grundy will completely dominate the fight and start to land some clean shots as Amirkhani begins to fade. 


There is still a good amount of value on the Moneyline in this fight, but I also like this fight to go over the total rounds posted. 



  • Mike Grundy ML (1U)
  • Total rounds over +2.5 (1U)


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