Dave Covers Spreads, NBA PLAYOFF FREE PICK: Celtics vs Heat GAME 7
The two best words in sports. Game 7. The Boston Celtics had a chance to close out the Eastern Conference and the 1st seeded Miami Heat but fell short with a 111-103 Heat Victory led by Super-Star Jimmy Butler. Butler finished with an incredible 47 points, 9 rebounds and 8 assists. Can he carry Miami again? Or is the Celtics defence just too much to take? Here is my FREE analysis and breakdown as well as a free pick for the final game of the Eastern Conference this season.
The Celtics had every chance to close out the Heat in TD Garden on Friday night, they were 8.5 point favourites heading into the game and I backed them at that number. Despite the staggering injuries on the Heat side they managed a win. What is most shocking about the result of game 6 was the performance put on by Jimmy Butler. We have seen ‘playoff Jimmy’ in full affect before including in the first game of this series but game 3,4 and 5 had Jimmy looking hurt, tired and finished, he proved us wrong. Kyle Lowry also turned back the clock in game 6 to deliver a clutch 4 threes and help Jimmy seal the victory for the heat.
What is most shocking about the Celtics is the fact their star duo (Tatum and Brown) only attempting a combined two shots in the fourth quarter. The stars have to show up for the Celtics if they are to close this one out on the road, which they are fully capable of doing. The Celtics defence is incredible and will be the backbone of this game 7,but they are also going up against an incredible defence in the Heat, hence the total being set at just 195.5 points, by far the lowest of the playoffs.
The Heat will need Butler to have another superhuman performance, which he is capable of doing, but the problem with the Heat is their other offensive weapons. Their main scoring option besides Butler is Sixth-Man of the Year winner, Tyler Herro who has missed the last three games with a serious groin strain, so we cant rely on seeing him this game and even if he does play he is not 100% despite the fact he is listed as a game-time decision.
This is a game where guys will need like Kyle Lowry, Max Strus and Bam Adebayo to show up and deliver some points. Like I said before, Lowry was amazing in game 6 finishing with 18 points and 10 assists as well as 4 made threes. This was somewhat shocking as Lowry had a combined 14 points across the other 3 games he played in. Lowry is suffering from a Hamstring issue and is yet again a game time decision for this one. I am expecting him to suit up but not have the same impact as game 6. There is one thing we know about game 7’s they are tense which leads to low scoring. I am fading Lowry and taking his under total points, I expect the Celtics defence to be too much, paired with the Game 7 atmosphere and hamstring issue, take the under.
FREE PICK: Kyle Lowry Under +11.5 Points
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