Dave Covers Spreads, NBA FINALS FREE PICK: Celtics vs Warriors Game 3

Dave Covers Spreads, NBA FINALS FREE PICK: Celtics vs Warriors Game 3


Dave Covers Spreads, NBA FREE PICKS

It has already been a roller coaster first two games of the 2022 NBA Finals, Boston taking first blow in taking Game 1 marking Golden State’s first home loss of this postseason. The Warriors answered back in Game 2 with a blowout 107-88 victory behind Curry’s 29 points including 5 from deep. For Game 3 we had to Boston and the TD Garden, but who steps up? 

Find out in our NBA Finals betting picks and predictions for Celtics vs Warriors Game 3. 


This series has already been absolutely thrilling. Boston managed the largest point differential for a quarter in NBA finals history (24) with their heroic 4th Quarter in Game 1, outscoring the Warriors 40-16. The books did not let this fool them and the game 2 line moved in the Warriors favour, from -3.5 in game 1 to -4 in game 2. This tells us a few things:


  1. The Series is pretty even and we can account for this 3 points as the books “home court advantage” and 
  2. The books think this one is going to feature major swings game to game. 


With the series tied 1-1, we head to Boston and the Celtics look to capitalise on that precious home court. As a basketball fan I would love to see 7 games of this, but for the Celtics these next 2 games are vital in avoiding the possibility of a game 7 in San Francisco. The Celtics have had two lopsided games so far, 


Celtics in Game 1

Celtics in Game 2

120 Points

88 Points

21 Made 3 Pointers (51%)

15 Made 3 Pointers (40%)

39 Rebounds 

43 Rebounds

33 Assists

24 Assists 

12 Turnovers 

18 Turnovers 



We can see a few things when comparing Game 1 to Game 2, most noticeably in the points scored. The Warriors did a much better job of defending the Celtics in Game 2, and some of this comes down to the insane energy that Draymond Green Played with, only finishing with 9/5/7 Green’s stats don’t tell the entire story. He was unbelievable in Game 2 and brought such a ferocious effort and intensity to the game that it completely through the Celtics off guard. Some credit is deserved also to Gary Payton II who made his return to the Warriors lineup for Game 2 as well. 


For the first half of game 2 the Celtics had what felt like all the momentum. I liked the shots they were getting for the first quarter and a half and if you asked me during the game who wins I would’ve probably set Boston. The Warriors came out showing why they are the best 3rd quarter team in the NBA and completely dismantled the Celtics. Smart and Horford combined for just 4 points in game 2, I don’t expect this to continue in Boston. 


I am loving the Celtics to take Game 3 at home and take a 2-1 lead in the series. The Warriors are 1-6 ATS (against the spread) in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record of above .600%. The Celtics respond well to being blown out, as they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points, 12-2 ATS in their last 14 following a loss and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 2 days rest. Take the Celtics to cover the spread.

FREE PICK: Boston Celtics -3.5 



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