Arizona Cardinals vs Cleaveland Browns
Dave Covers Spreads, NFL Preview and Breakdown
Photo by: USA Today Sports
The leagues last undated team, the Arizona Cardinals take on the 3-2 Cleaveland Browns in a very intresting Sunday Matchup. This will be the third time this season that the Cardinals have been underdogs, the won the first two. Can the Cards keep this going or will Baker Mayfield and the Browns continue to work hard on the ground and drive through to a win.
The line for this game opened as Cleaveland -2.5 before moving to -3.5. The total for this game opened at 51.5 and has moved down to 49.5 as of writing this.
Key Betting Trends:
- Cardinals are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 6
- Under is 10-1 in the Cardinals last 11 road games
- Browns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss
- Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings between these teams.
Arizona Cardinals Breakdown:
The Cardinals are the only team yet to lose, posting a 5-0 record. The real story of this is star quarterback Kyle Murray who is once again in MVP talks, and rightfully so. He is coming into this game with 124 completions, 1512 yards and 10 touchdowns. Deandre Hopkins has been the receiver for many of these throws with 23 receptions for 312 yards, that’s 13.57 yards per catch. The biggest game of the season for the cardinals came with a huge win over the Los Angeles Rams.
The Cardinals also feature a mediocre defence, which they will need to show up against this Browns run game. As of now, the Cardinals rank 8th in passing defence, which is solid but 28th in rushing defence. Going up against a team in the Browns that lead the league in rushing yards per game this could be really problematic.
Cleaveland Browns Breakdown:
The Brown’s are a very well balanced team. They feature both a top 5 offense and defence. The real story of this team has been the run game. They are leading the league with 187.6 yards per game, mostly by Nick Chubb who has rushed 90 times already this season for 523 yards and 4 touchdowns.
Baker Mayfield has yet to be lights out this season. At first he looked incredible in Week 1 against the Chiefs, but we have now learnt how bad the Chiefs defence is. He is only posting a 96.9 passer rating with 1240 yards and 4 touchdowns coming into this game. He look really good going downfield most of the time then misses on key throws. Look for him to keep building on his passing game, so expect a lot of rushing from Cleaveland as he continues to find his stride through the air.
Finding angles in the prop market:
Look for Cleaveland to be all over the run game. Consider their best running back, Chubb and look for openings in his markets.
Overall the Cardinals are hard to look past, and can definitely put up points. I expect Cleaveland to run the ball heavily which burns clock, but the total has already moved down so I lean slight under but not confident. The original line of 51.5 was much more appealing. As for the game, I think both teams have a real shot, but I give the slight edge to the home team in this one.